It is important to distribute the load efficiently to minimize the cost of the economic dispatch of electrical power system. The uncertainty and volatility of wind energy make the economic dispatch much more complex w...It is important to distribute the load efficiently to minimize the cost of the economic dispatch of electrical power system. The uncertainty and volatility of wind energy make the economic dispatch much more complex when the general power systems are combined with wind farms. The short term wind power prediction method was discussed in this paper. The method was based on the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). Furthermore,the effect of wind farms on the traditional economic dispatch of electrical power system was analyzed. The mathematical model of the economic dispatch was established considering the environmental factors and extra spinning reserve cost. The multi-objective co-evolutionary algorithm was used to figure out the model. And the results were compared with the NSGA-Ⅱ(non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-Ⅱ) to verify its feasibility.展开更多
为了进一步降低园区综合能源系统(park-level integrated energy system,PIES)碳排放量,优化热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)机组出力的灵活性,提出一种考虑改进阶梯型碳交易和CHP热电灵活输出的PIES低碳经济调度策略。首先,将...为了进一步降低园区综合能源系统(park-level integrated energy system,PIES)碳排放量,优化热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)机组出力的灵活性,提出一种考虑改进阶梯型碳交易和CHP热电灵活输出的PIES低碳经济调度策略。首先,将遗传算法与模糊控制相结合,设计一种遗传模糊碳交易参数优化器,从而对现有阶梯型碳交易机制进行改进,实现该机制参数的自适应变化;其次,在传统CHP中加入卡琳娜(Kalina)循环与电锅炉(electricboiler,EB),构造CHP热电灵活输出模型,以同时满足电、热负荷的不同需求;然后,提出一种柔性指标——电、热输出占比率,进而计算出电、热输出占比率区间,以衡量CHP运行灵活性;最后,将改进阶梯型碳交易机制和CHP热电灵活输出模型协同优化,以系统运行成本和碳交易成本之和最小为目标,构建PIES低碳经济优化模型。算例分析表明,所提策略可有效降低经济成本和碳排放量,同时还可扩展CHP灵活输出调节范围,能够为PIES低碳经济调度提供参考。展开更多
文章以风-光-柴-储系统为研究对象,为了研究新能源出力不确定性对该系统的影响,提出了一种新能源出力复合预测模型。为提高风-光-柴-储系统运行的经济性、环保性和安全性,提出了考虑新能源出力不确定性的风-光-柴-储系统调度模型,并采...文章以风-光-柴-储系统为研究对象,为了研究新能源出力不确定性对该系统的影响,提出了一种新能源出力复合预测模型。为提高风-光-柴-储系统运行的经济性、环保性和安全性,提出了考虑新能源出力不确定性的风-光-柴-储系统调度模型,并采用了带有Monte Carlo模拟的遗传算法对模型进行求解。文章采用了负荷缺失率(load loss rate,LLR)和置信概率对系统的安全性进行评价,并分析了其对系统调度结果的影响。仿真结果表明,文中所提出的考虑新能源出力不确定性的风-光-柴-储系统调度模型,可以降低新能源出力不确定性对系统的影响,且该方法可以有效地平衡系统的经济性和安全性。展开更多
基金Innovation Program of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission,China(No.13YZ139)Climbing Peak Discipline Project of Shanghai Dianji University,China(No.15DFXK01)
文摘It is important to distribute the load efficiently to minimize the cost of the economic dispatch of electrical power system. The uncertainty and volatility of wind energy make the economic dispatch much more complex when the general power systems are combined with wind farms. The short term wind power prediction method was discussed in this paper. The method was based on the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). Furthermore,the effect of wind farms on the traditional economic dispatch of electrical power system was analyzed. The mathematical model of the economic dispatch was established considering the environmental factors and extra spinning reserve cost. The multi-objective co-evolutionary algorithm was used to figure out the model. And the results were compared with the NSGA-Ⅱ(non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-Ⅱ) to verify its feasibility.
文摘为了进一步降低园区综合能源系统(park-level integrated energy system,PIES)碳排放量,优化热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)机组出力的灵活性,提出一种考虑改进阶梯型碳交易和CHP热电灵活输出的PIES低碳经济调度策略。首先,将遗传算法与模糊控制相结合,设计一种遗传模糊碳交易参数优化器,从而对现有阶梯型碳交易机制进行改进,实现该机制参数的自适应变化;其次,在传统CHP中加入卡琳娜(Kalina)循环与电锅炉(electricboiler,EB),构造CHP热电灵活输出模型,以同时满足电、热负荷的不同需求;然后,提出一种柔性指标——电、热输出占比率,进而计算出电、热输出占比率区间,以衡量CHP运行灵活性;最后,将改进阶梯型碳交易机制和CHP热电灵活输出模型协同优化,以系统运行成本和碳交易成本之和最小为目标,构建PIES低碳经济优化模型。算例分析表明,所提策略可有效降低经济成本和碳排放量,同时还可扩展CHP灵活输出调节范围,能够为PIES低碳经济调度提供参考。
文摘文章以风-光-柴-储系统为研究对象,为了研究新能源出力不确定性对该系统的影响,提出了一种新能源出力复合预测模型。为提高风-光-柴-储系统运行的经济性、环保性和安全性,提出了考虑新能源出力不确定性的风-光-柴-储系统调度模型,并采用了带有Monte Carlo模拟的遗传算法对模型进行求解。文章采用了负荷缺失率(load loss rate,LLR)和置信概率对系统的安全性进行评价,并分析了其对系统调度结果的影响。仿真结果表明,文中所提出的考虑新能源出力不确定性的风-光-柴-储系统调度模型,可以降低新能源出力不确定性对系统的影响,且该方法可以有效地平衡系统的经济性和安全性。