In this article an attempt to determine the influence of mining factors on the seismic activity during the longwall mining of the upper layer of coal seam no.405/2 in one of the Polish hard coal mines in the Upper Sil...In this article an attempt to determine the influence of mining factors on the seismic activity during the longwall mining of the upper layer of coal seam no.405/2 in one of the Polish hard coal mines in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin was conducted.Two longwall panels were mined in analogous geological conditions and based on the same mining system and technology.However,there was significant difference with regards to the mining factors,which was reflected in the observed seismic activity.Some tools used in mining seismology were applied to illustrate the aforementioned influence of mining factors,e.g.the frequency-energy distribution,the frequency-magnitude distribution,the 2 D distribution of released seismic energy,the relationship between released seismic energy and the volume of mined coal,the Benioff strain release,and the Gutenberg-Richter(GR)b coefficient distribution(b is the proportion between high and low energy tremors).Concerning the Benioff strain release,a new solution,based on the slope of a fitted line in a moving time window,is proposed.展开更多
In order to further reveal the interrelation among division of seismic statistical regions, delimitation of potential seismic sources and estimation of seismicity parameters, we select 21 representative sites located ...In order to further reveal the interrelation among division of seismic statistical regions, delimitation of potential seismic sources and estimation of seismicity parameters, we select 21 representative sites located in different places within the range of 100°-120°E, 29°-42°N to study the influences of seismicity parameter uncertainties of statistical regions on seismic risk estimations of these sites in the inhomogeneous and homogeneous distribution models. Combining the results from this study and previous ones, we can see that different schemes for dividing seismic statistical regions can change the seismic data in a statistical region. The uncertain data and additional uncertainty in selecting time intervals for seismic statistics will result in uncertainty of seismicity parameters estimation in a statistical region. For the homogeneous model, the larger the variation of this uncertainty is, the greater the uncertain influence on the seismic risk estimation of a site will be, which means that the division of seismic statistical regions makes a major contribution. In a seismic statistical region, the delimitation of potential sources and variant weight assignment of spatial distribution functions can raise the estimated values of ground motion parameters in the place where great earthquake might occur and its vicinity. In these places, the influence of uncertainty in potential source delimitation is very obvious, especially on the absolute magnitude of ground motion parameters (e.g., intensity), which means that the link of potential source delimitation makes a major effect. Generally speaking, the link of potential source delimitation affects mainly the sites located in the potential sources with the highest and second-high upper-limit earthquake magnitudes or in the vicinity of those with the highest upper-limit magnitude. While for the sites located in the potential sources with low upper-imit magnitudes, the uncertainty influence of statistical region division is larger than that of potential source delimitation.展开更多
In the paper, we have discovered the abnormal area distribution features of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainty with different probabilities of exceedance in 50 years within the range of 10...In the paper, we have discovered the abnormal area distribution features of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainty with different probabilities of exceedance in 50 years within the range of 100°-120°E, 29°-42°N for the purpose to solve the problem that abnormal areas of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainties emerge in a certain cities and towns caused by seismicity parameter uncertainty in a seismic statistical region in an inhomogeneous distribution model that considers tempo-spatial nonuniformity of seismic activity. And we have also approached the interrelation between the risk estimation uncertainty of a site caused by seismicity parameter uncertainty in a seismic statistical region and the delimitation of potential sources, as well as the reasons for forming abnormal areas. The results from the research indicate that the seismicity parameter uncertainty has unequal influence on the uncertainty of risk estimation at each site in a statistical region in the inhomogeneous distribution model, which relates to the scheme for delimiting potential sources. Abnormal areas of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainty often emerge in the potential sources of Mu greater than or equal 8 (Mu is upper limit of a potential source) and their vicinity. However, this kind of influence is equal in the homogeneous distribution model. The uncertainty of risk estimation of each site depends on its seat. Generally speaking, the sites located in the middle part of a statistical region are only related to the seismicity parameter uncertainty of the region, while the sites situated in or near the juncture of two or three statistical regions might be subject to the synthetic influences of seismicity parameter uncertainties of several statistical regions.展开更多
The seismic hazard of research area is evaluated by probabilistic analysis method for three different seismic statis-tical zone scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in seismic statistical zone delimiting on the eva...The seismic hazard of research area is evaluated by probabilistic analysis method for three different seismic statis-tical zone scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in seismic statistical zone delimiting on the evaluation result is discussed too. It can be seen that for those local sites along zone's border or within areas with vast change of upper bound magnitude among different scenarios the influence on seismic hazard result should not be neglected.展开更多
For several seismic statistical zones in North China, the key factors causing uncertainties in the important seismicity parameters b and v4 and the features of their uncertainties are discussed in this paper. The magn...For several seismic statistical zones in North China, the key factors causing uncertainties in the important seismicity parameters b and v4 and the features of their uncertainties are discussed in this paper. The magnitude of uncertainty is also analyzed. It can be seen that the key influencing factors are statistical period, methods of processing statistical samples, lower limit magnitude and the annual average occurrence ratio of large earthquakes. The variation ranges of b and v4 in the Tancheng-Lujiang zone are as high as 0.2 and 1. 4 respectively, which are similar to those in the Fenwei zone. They are much smaller however in the Hebei zone because of its sufficient statistical samples.展开更多
Characteristic period is an important parameter of the seismic design response spectrum. There is important theoretical significance and engineering application value to the study of the characteristic period of seism...Characteristic period is an important parameter of the seismic design response spectrum. There is important theoretical significance and engineering application value to the study of the characteristic period of seismic design response spectrum of ultra high voltage (UHV) electrical equipment. In this paper, 1448 horizontal earthquake records within the world scope including the United States and Japan for Site Class m were analyzed. Results show that both magnitude and epicentral distance have great influence on the characteristic period. About 80 % of characteristic periods of strong earthquake records are about 0. 9s. Statistical analysis was conducted on the seismic hazard assessment results of 312 projects of China in recent years, and it is found that about 70 % of characteristic periods are about 0. 9s. Combined with the related code comparison and analysis, it is suggested that the characteristic period of the seismic design response spectrmn of UHV electrical equipment should select 0. 9s in order to effectively guarantee the seismic safety of UHV electrical equipment.展开更多
文摘In this article an attempt to determine the influence of mining factors on the seismic activity during the longwall mining of the upper layer of coal seam no.405/2 in one of the Polish hard coal mines in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin was conducted.Two longwall panels were mined in analogous geological conditions and based on the same mining system and technology.However,there was significant difference with regards to the mining factors,which was reflected in the observed seismic activity.Some tools used in mining seismology were applied to illustrate the aforementioned influence of mining factors,e.g.the frequency-energy distribution,the frequency-magnitude distribution,the 2 D distribution of released seismic energy,the relationship between released seismic energy and the volume of mined coal,the Benioff strain release,and the Gutenberg-Richter(GR)b coefficient distribution(b is the proportion between high and low energy tremors).Concerning the Benioff strain release,a new solution,based on the slope of a fitted line in a moving time window,is proposed.
基金Joint Seismological Science Foundation of China (103051).
文摘In order to further reveal the interrelation among division of seismic statistical regions, delimitation of potential seismic sources and estimation of seismicity parameters, we select 21 representative sites located in different places within the range of 100°-120°E, 29°-42°N to study the influences of seismicity parameter uncertainties of statistical regions on seismic risk estimations of these sites in the inhomogeneous and homogeneous distribution models. Combining the results from this study and previous ones, we can see that different schemes for dividing seismic statistical regions can change the seismic data in a statistical region. The uncertain data and additional uncertainty in selecting time intervals for seismic statistics will result in uncertainty of seismicity parameters estimation in a statistical region. For the homogeneous model, the larger the variation of this uncertainty is, the greater the uncertain influence on the seismic risk estimation of a site will be, which means that the division of seismic statistical regions makes a major contribution. In a seismic statistical region, the delimitation of potential sources and variant weight assignment of spatial distribution functions can raise the estimated values of ground motion parameters in the place where great earthquake might occur and its vicinity. In these places, the influence of uncertainty in potential source delimitation is very obvious, especially on the absolute magnitude of ground motion parameters (e.g., intensity), which means that the link of potential source delimitation makes a major effect. Generally speaking, the link of potential source delimitation affects mainly the sites located in the potential sources with the highest and second-high upper-limit earthquake magnitudes or in the vicinity of those with the highest upper-limit magnitude. While for the sites located in the potential sources with low upper-imit magnitudes, the uncertainty influence of statistical region division is larger than that of potential source delimitation.
基金Joint Seismological Science Foundation of China (103051).
文摘In the paper, we have discovered the abnormal area distribution features of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainty with different probabilities of exceedance in 50 years within the range of 100°-120°E, 29°-42°N for the purpose to solve the problem that abnormal areas of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainties emerge in a certain cities and towns caused by seismicity parameter uncertainty in a seismic statistical region in an inhomogeneous distribution model that considers tempo-spatial nonuniformity of seismic activity. And we have also approached the interrelation between the risk estimation uncertainty of a site caused by seismicity parameter uncertainty in a seismic statistical region and the delimitation of potential sources, as well as the reasons for forming abnormal areas. The results from the research indicate that the seismicity parameter uncertainty has unequal influence on the uncertainty of risk estimation at each site in a statistical region in the inhomogeneous distribution model, which relates to the scheme for delimiting potential sources. Abnormal areas of maximum variation values of ground motion parameter uncertainty often emerge in the potential sources of Mu greater than or equal 8 (Mu is upper limit of a potential source) and their vicinity. However, this kind of influence is equal in the homogeneous distribution model. The uncertainty of risk estimation of each site depends on its seat. Generally speaking, the sites located in the middle part of a statistical region are only related to the seismicity parameter uncertainty of the region, while the sites situated in or near the juncture of two or three statistical regions might be subject to the synthetic influences of seismicity parameter uncertainties of several statistical regions.
基金Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation (100110).
文摘The seismic hazard of research area is evaluated by probabilistic analysis method for three different seismic statis-tical zone scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in seismic statistical zone delimiting on the evaluation result is discussed too. It can be seen that for those local sites along zone's border or within areas with vast change of upper bound magnitude among different scenarios the influence on seismic hazard result should not be neglected.
基金Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration
文摘For several seismic statistical zones in North China, the key factors causing uncertainties in the important seismicity parameters b and v4 and the features of their uncertainties are discussed in this paper. The magnitude of uncertainty is also analyzed. It can be seen that the key influencing factors are statistical period, methods of processing statistical samples, lower limit magnitude and the annual average occurrence ratio of large earthquakes. The variation ranges of b and v4 in the Tancheng-Lujiang zone are as high as 0.2 and 1. 4 respectively, which are similar to those in the Fenwei zone. They are much smaller however in the Hebei zone because of its sufficient statistical samples.
基金founded by the Earthquake Science and Technology Spark Plan of China(XH12063)
文摘Characteristic period is an important parameter of the seismic design response spectrum. There is important theoretical significance and engineering application value to the study of the characteristic period of seismic design response spectrum of ultra high voltage (UHV) electrical equipment. In this paper, 1448 horizontal earthquake records within the world scope including the United States and Japan for Site Class m were analyzed. Results show that both magnitude and epicentral distance have great influence on the characteristic period. About 80 % of characteristic periods of strong earthquake records are about 0. 9s. Statistical analysis was conducted on the seismic hazard assessment results of 312 projects of China in recent years, and it is found that about 70 % of characteristic periods are about 0. 9s. Combined with the related code comparison and analysis, it is suggested that the characteristic period of the seismic design response spectrmn of UHV electrical equipment should select 0. 9s in order to effectively guarantee the seismic safety of UHV electrical equipment.