Accurate prediction of shield tunneling-induced settlement is a complex problem that requires consideration of many influential parameters.Recent studies reveal that machine learning(ML)algorithms can predict the sett...Accurate prediction of shield tunneling-induced settlement is a complex problem that requires consideration of many influential parameters.Recent studies reveal that machine learning(ML)algorithms can predict the settlement caused by tunneling.However,well-performing ML models are usually less interpretable.Irrelevant input features decrease the performance and interpretability of an ML model.Nonetheless,feature selection,a critical step in the ML pipeline,is usually ignored in most studies that focused on predicting tunneling-induced settlement.This study applies four techniques,i.e.Pearson correlation method,sequential forward selection(SFS),sequential backward selection(SBS)and Boruta algorithm,to investigate the effect of feature selection on the model’s performance when predicting the tunneling-induced maximum surface settlement(S_(max)).The data set used in this study was compiled from two metro tunnel projects excavated in Hangzhou,China using earth pressure balance(EPB)shields and consists of 14 input features and a single output(i.e.S_(max)).The ML model that is trained on features selected from the Boruta algorithm demonstrates the best performance in both the training and testing phases.The relevant features chosen from the Boruta algorithm further indicate that tunneling-induced settlement is affected by parameters related to tunnel geometry,geological conditions and shield operation.The recently proposed Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)method explores how the input features contribute to the output of a complex ML model.It is observed that the larger settlements are induced during shield tunneling in silty clay.Moreover,the SHAP analysis reveals that the low magnitudes of face pressure at the top of the shield increase the model’s output。展开更多
Boosting algorithms have been widely utilized in the development of landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)studies.However,these algorithms possess distinct computational strategies and hyperparameters,making it challen...Boosting algorithms have been widely utilized in the development of landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)studies.However,these algorithms possess distinct computational strategies and hyperparameters,making it challenging to propose an ideal LSM model.To investigate the impact of different boosting algorithms and hyperparameter optimization algorithms on LSM,this study constructed a geospatial database comprising 12 conditioning factors,such as elevation,stratum,and annual average rainfall.The XGBoost(XGB),LightGBM(LGBM),and CatBoost(CB)algorithms were employed to construct the LSM model.Furthermore,the Bayesian optimization(BO),particle swarm optimization(PSO),and Hyperband optimization(HO)algorithms were applied to optimizing the LSM model.The boosting algorithms exhibited varying performances,with CB demonstrating the highest precision,followed by LGBM,and XGB showing poorer precision.Additionally,the hyperparameter optimization algorithms displayed different performances,with HO outperforming PSO and BO showing poorer performance.The HO-CB model achieved the highest precision,boasting an accuracy of 0.764,an F1-score of 0.777,an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.837 for the training set,and an AUC value of 0.863 for the test set.The model was interpreted using SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP),revealing that slope,curvature,topographic wetness index(TWI),degree of relief,and elevation significantly influenced landslides in the study area.This study offers a scientific reference for LSM and disaster prevention research.This study examines the utilization of various boosting algorithms and hyperparameter optimization algorithms in Wanzhou District.It proposes the HO-CB-SHAP framework as an effective approach to accurately forecast landslide disasters and interpret LSM models.However,limitations exist concerning the generalizability of the model and the data processing,which require further exploration in subsequent studies.展开更多
Today,urban traffic,growing populations,and dense transportation networks are contributing to an increase in traffic incidents.These incidents include traffic accidents,vehicle breakdowns,fires,and traffic disputes,re...Today,urban traffic,growing populations,and dense transportation networks are contributing to an increase in traffic incidents.These incidents include traffic accidents,vehicle breakdowns,fires,and traffic disputes,resulting in long waiting times,high carbon emissions,and other undesirable situations.It is vital to estimate incident response times quickly and accurately after traffic incidents occur for the success of incident-related planning and response activities.This study presents a model for forecasting the traffic incident duration of traffic events with high precision.The proposed model goes through a 4-stage process using various features to predict the duration of four different traffic events and presents a feature reduction approach to enable real-time data collection and prediction.In the first stage,the dataset consisting of 24,431 data points and 75 variables is prepared by data collection,merging,missing data processing and data cleaning.In the second stage,models such as Decision Trees(DT),K-Nearest Neighbour(KNN),Random Forest(RF)and Support Vector Machines(SVM)are used and hyperparameter optimisation is performed with GridSearchCV.In the third stage,feature selection and reduction are performed and real-time data are used.In the last stage,model performance with 14 variables is evaluated with metrics such as accuracy,precision,recall,F1-score,MCC,confusion matrix and SHAP.The RF model outperforms other models with an accuracy of 98.5%.The study’s prediction results demonstrate that the proposed dynamic prediction model can achieve a high level of success.展开更多
Cybersecurity increasingly relies on machine learning(ML)models to respond to and detect attacks.However,the rapidly changing data environment makes model life-cycle management after deployment essential.Real-time det...Cybersecurity increasingly relies on machine learning(ML)models to respond to and detect attacks.However,the rapidly changing data environment makes model life-cycle management after deployment essential.Real-time detection of drift signals from various threats is fundamental for effectively managing deployed models.However,detecting drift in unsupervised environments can be challenging.This study introduces a novel approach leveraging Shapley additive explanations(SHAP),a widely recognized explainability technique in ML,to address drift detection in unsupervised settings.The proposed method incorporates a range of plots and statistical techniques to enhance drift detection reliability and introduces a drift suspicion metric that considers the explanatory aspects absent in the current approaches.To validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in a real-world scenario,we applied it to an environment designed to detect domain generation algorithms(DGAs).The dataset was obtained from various types of DGAs provided by NetLab.Based on this dataset composition,we sought to validate the proposed SHAP-based approach through drift scenarios that occur when a previously deployed model detects new data types in an environment that detects real-world DGAs.The results revealed that more than 90%of the drift data exceeded the threshold,demonstrating the high reliability of the approach to detect drift in an unsupervised environment.The proposed method distinguishes itself fromexisting approaches by employing explainable artificial intelligence(XAI)-based detection,which is not limited by model or system environment constraints.In conclusion,this paper proposes a novel approach to detect drift in unsupervised ML settings for cybersecurity.The proposed method employs SHAP-based XAI and a drift suspicion metric to improve drift detection reliability.It is versatile and suitable for various realtime data analysis contexts beyond DGA detection environments.This study significantly contributes to theMLcommunity by addressing the critical issue of managing ML models in real-world cybersecurity settings.Our approach is distinguishable from existing techniques by employing XAI-based detection,which is not limited by model or system environment constraints.As a result,our method can be applied in critical domains that require adaptation to continuous changes,such as cybersecurity.Through extensive validation across diverse settings beyond DGA detection environments,the proposed method will emerge as a versatile drift detection technique suitable for a wide range of real-time data analysis contexts.It is also anticipated to emerge as a new approach to protect essential systems and infrastructures from attacks.展开更多
基金support provided by The Science and Technology Development Fund,Macao SAR,China(File Nos.0057/2020/AGJ and SKL-IOTSC-2021-2023)Science and Technology Program of Guangdong Province,China(Grant No.2021A0505080009).
文摘Accurate prediction of shield tunneling-induced settlement is a complex problem that requires consideration of many influential parameters.Recent studies reveal that machine learning(ML)algorithms can predict the settlement caused by tunneling.However,well-performing ML models are usually less interpretable.Irrelevant input features decrease the performance and interpretability of an ML model.Nonetheless,feature selection,a critical step in the ML pipeline,is usually ignored in most studies that focused on predicting tunneling-induced settlement.This study applies four techniques,i.e.Pearson correlation method,sequential forward selection(SFS),sequential backward selection(SBS)and Boruta algorithm,to investigate the effect of feature selection on the model’s performance when predicting the tunneling-induced maximum surface settlement(S_(max)).The data set used in this study was compiled from two metro tunnel projects excavated in Hangzhou,China using earth pressure balance(EPB)shields and consists of 14 input features and a single output(i.e.S_(max)).The ML model that is trained on features selected from the Boruta algorithm demonstrates the best performance in both the training and testing phases.The relevant features chosen from the Boruta algorithm further indicate that tunneling-induced settlement is affected by parameters related to tunnel geometry,geological conditions and shield operation.The recently proposed Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)method explores how the input features contribute to the output of a complex ML model.It is observed that the larger settlements are induced during shield tunneling in silty clay.Moreover,the SHAP analysis reveals that the low magnitudes of face pressure at the top of the shield increase the model’s output。
基金funded by the Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing(Grants No.CSTB2022NSCQ-MSX0594)the Humanities and Social Sciences Research Project of the Ministry of Education(Grants No.16YJCZH061).
文摘Boosting algorithms have been widely utilized in the development of landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)studies.However,these algorithms possess distinct computational strategies and hyperparameters,making it challenging to propose an ideal LSM model.To investigate the impact of different boosting algorithms and hyperparameter optimization algorithms on LSM,this study constructed a geospatial database comprising 12 conditioning factors,such as elevation,stratum,and annual average rainfall.The XGBoost(XGB),LightGBM(LGBM),and CatBoost(CB)algorithms were employed to construct the LSM model.Furthermore,the Bayesian optimization(BO),particle swarm optimization(PSO),and Hyperband optimization(HO)algorithms were applied to optimizing the LSM model.The boosting algorithms exhibited varying performances,with CB demonstrating the highest precision,followed by LGBM,and XGB showing poorer precision.Additionally,the hyperparameter optimization algorithms displayed different performances,with HO outperforming PSO and BO showing poorer performance.The HO-CB model achieved the highest precision,boasting an accuracy of 0.764,an F1-score of 0.777,an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.837 for the training set,and an AUC value of 0.863 for the test set.The model was interpreted using SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP),revealing that slope,curvature,topographic wetness index(TWI),degree of relief,and elevation significantly influenced landslides in the study area.This study offers a scientific reference for LSM and disaster prevention research.This study examines the utilization of various boosting algorithms and hyperparameter optimization algorithms in Wanzhou District.It proposes the HO-CB-SHAP framework as an effective approach to accurately forecast landslide disasters and interpret LSM models.However,limitations exist concerning the generalizability of the model and the data processing,which require further exploration in subsequent studies.
文摘Today,urban traffic,growing populations,and dense transportation networks are contributing to an increase in traffic incidents.These incidents include traffic accidents,vehicle breakdowns,fires,and traffic disputes,resulting in long waiting times,high carbon emissions,and other undesirable situations.It is vital to estimate incident response times quickly and accurately after traffic incidents occur for the success of incident-related planning and response activities.This study presents a model for forecasting the traffic incident duration of traffic events with high precision.The proposed model goes through a 4-stage process using various features to predict the duration of four different traffic events and presents a feature reduction approach to enable real-time data collection and prediction.In the first stage,the dataset consisting of 24,431 data points and 75 variables is prepared by data collection,merging,missing data processing and data cleaning.In the second stage,models such as Decision Trees(DT),K-Nearest Neighbour(KNN),Random Forest(RF)and Support Vector Machines(SVM)are used and hyperparameter optimisation is performed with GridSearchCV.In the third stage,feature selection and reduction are performed and real-time data are used.In the last stage,model performance with 14 variables is evaluated with metrics such as accuracy,precision,recall,F1-score,MCC,confusion matrix and SHAP.The RF model outperforms other models with an accuracy of 98.5%.The study’s prediction results demonstrate that the proposed dynamic prediction model can achieve a high level of success.
基金supported by the Institute of Information and Communications Technology Planning and Evaluation(IITP)grant funded by the Korean government(MSIT)(No.2022-0-00089,Development of clustering and analysis technology to identify cyber attack groups based on life cycle)the Institute of Civil Military Technology Cooperation funded by the Defense Acquisition Program Administration and Ministry of Trade,Industry and Energy of Korean government under Grant No.21-CM-EC-07.
文摘Cybersecurity increasingly relies on machine learning(ML)models to respond to and detect attacks.However,the rapidly changing data environment makes model life-cycle management after deployment essential.Real-time detection of drift signals from various threats is fundamental for effectively managing deployed models.However,detecting drift in unsupervised environments can be challenging.This study introduces a novel approach leveraging Shapley additive explanations(SHAP),a widely recognized explainability technique in ML,to address drift detection in unsupervised settings.The proposed method incorporates a range of plots and statistical techniques to enhance drift detection reliability and introduces a drift suspicion metric that considers the explanatory aspects absent in the current approaches.To validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in a real-world scenario,we applied it to an environment designed to detect domain generation algorithms(DGAs).The dataset was obtained from various types of DGAs provided by NetLab.Based on this dataset composition,we sought to validate the proposed SHAP-based approach through drift scenarios that occur when a previously deployed model detects new data types in an environment that detects real-world DGAs.The results revealed that more than 90%of the drift data exceeded the threshold,demonstrating the high reliability of the approach to detect drift in an unsupervised environment.The proposed method distinguishes itself fromexisting approaches by employing explainable artificial intelligence(XAI)-based detection,which is not limited by model or system environment constraints.In conclusion,this paper proposes a novel approach to detect drift in unsupervised ML settings for cybersecurity.The proposed method employs SHAP-based XAI and a drift suspicion metric to improve drift detection reliability.It is versatile and suitable for various realtime data analysis contexts beyond DGA detection environments.This study significantly contributes to theMLcommunity by addressing the critical issue of managing ML models in real-world cybersecurity settings.Our approach is distinguishable from existing techniques by employing XAI-based detection,which is not limited by model or system environment constraints.As a result,our method can be applied in critical domains that require adaptation to continuous changes,such as cybersecurity.Through extensive validation across diverse settings beyond DGA detection environments,the proposed method will emerge as a versatile drift detection technique suitable for a wide range of real-time data analysis contexts.It is also anticipated to emerge as a new approach to protect essential systems and infrastructures from attacks.
