Predicting of Power Quality Steady State Index Based on Chaotic Theory Using Least Squares Support Vector Machine

An effective power quality prediction for regional power grid can provide valuable references and contribute to the discovering and solving of power quality problems. So a predicting model for power quality steady state index based on chaotic theory and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) is proposed in this paper. At first, the phase space reconstruction of original power quality data is performed to form a new data space containing the attractor. The new data space is used as training samples for the LSSVM. Then in order to predict power quality steady state index accurately, the particle swarm algorithm is adopted to optimize parameters of the LSSVM model. According to the simulation results based on power quality data measured in a certain distribution network, the model applies to several indexes with higher forecasting accuracy and strong practicability.

Efficiency Analysis of Listed Power Companies Based on Malmquist Index

This paper improved the known study for technical progress in Malmquist productivity index calculating. In the method, all the possible movements for decision making units （DMUs） are listed, and the condition that several DMUs lie on the productivity frontier is analyzed. The dynamic efficiencies of Chinese listed power companies from 1997 to 2006 were evaluated. The empirical results indicate that the improved method is effective.

Index system and methods for comprehensive assessment of cross-border power grid interconnection projects

With the global economy integration and progress in energy transformation,it has become a general trend to surpass national boundaries to achieve wider and optimal energy resource allocations.Consequently,there is a critical n eed to adopt scie ntific approaches in assessi ng cross-border power grid interconnection projects.First,con sidering the promotion of large-scale renewable energy resources and improvements in system adequacy,a comprehensive assessment index system,including costs,socio-economic benefits,environmental benefits,and technical benefits,is established in this study.Second,a synthetic assessment framework is proposed for cross-border power grid interconnection projects based on the index system comprising cost-benefit analysis,with market and network simulations,iterative methods for indicator weight evaluation,and technique for order preferenee by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)method for the project rankings.Fin ally,by assessi ng and comparing three cross-border projects betwee n Europe and Asia,the proposed index system and assessment framework have been proved to be effective and feasible;the results of this system can thus support investment decision-making related to such projects in the future.

Research on Security Assessment Index System for Operating Reserve in Large Interconnected Power Grid

Optimization and placement of spinning reserve is an important issue in power system planning and operation. Systematic way for security assessment of operating reserve needs to study. A security assessment index system for operating reserve in large interconnected power grids is presented in this paper. Firstly, classification and determination methods of operating reserve at home and abroad are investigated, and operating reserve is divided into transient state operating reserve and quasi-steady state operating reserve from the view of security assessment. Secondly, assessment indexes and optimization methods for transient state operating reserve are studied. Thirdly, optimization model, deterministic and probabilistic optimization methods for quasi-steady state operating reserve are explored. Finally, some principles for determination of operating reserve are suggested, and a security assessment index system is put forward. The proposed index system, considering both transient and quasi-steady state, both deterministic and probabilistic methods, provides a systematic way to assessment and arrangement of operating reserve.

The Wiener Index of an Undirected Power Graph

The undirected power graph P(Zn) of a finite group Zn is the graph with vertex set G and two distinct vertices u and v are adjacent if and only if u ≠ v and or . The Wiener index W(P(Zn)) of an undirected power graph P(Zn) is defined to be sum of distances between all unordered pair of vertices in P(Zn). Similarly, the edge-Wiener index We(P(Zn)) of P(Zn) is defined to be the sum of distances between all unordered pairs of edges in P(Zn). In this paper, we concentrate on the wiener index of a power graph , P(Zpq) and P(Zp). Firstly, we obtain new results on the wiener index and edge-wiener index of power graph P(Zn), using m,n and Euler function. Also, we obtain an equivalence between the edge-wiener index and wiener index of a power graph of Zn.

Technical and Economic Index System for CO_2 Emission Reduction in China's Power Industry

The main technic and economic indices for carbon dioxide emission reduction of Chinese electric power industry are designed systematically in this paper.According to quantitative calculation and influential factor analysis on the carbon dioxide emission reduction of the industry from 1978 to 2009,the author estimates and calculates the relevant indices during the 12 th Five-Year Plan period and in 2020.Finally the author analyzes the relationship and difference between the conventional technical and economic indices for electric power planning and the new index system for the low carbon economy development.

Evaluation method for assessing the auxiliary service transaction mechanism in regional power markets

Accurate and seamless auxiliary services in the power market can guarantee smooth and continuous power system operation. China’s new round of power system reform has entered a critical period, and reform implementation requires comprehensive improvements in the maturity of the supporting auxiliary service market. This study reviews the development status and evolution path of the European unified power market and the US regional power market, provides experience for the development of China’s regional power market, then identifies the key influencing factors of auxiliary service trading mechanism design in regional power markets. To analyze the rationality of the auxiliary service trading evaluation index, this paper established an evaluation model for assessing regional power markets. Using combined weight optimization, the gray correlation TOPSIS method was applied to comprehensively evaluate auxiliary service trading in the regional power market. Finally, the application of the proposed evaluation method was briefly analyzed to examine four regional power markets in China and evaluate the effectiveness of current market construction in different regions and provide suggestions for future market construction.

Potential Power of the Pyramidal Structure VIII: Exploration of Periodic Diurnal Oscillation of Pyramid Power and Bio-Entanglement

To date, numerous books have been published on so-called “pyramid power” but there have been few academic papers on this subject other than our own. Since 2007, to demonstrate the pyramid power, we have undertaken strictly scientific experiments using a pyramidal structure (PS) that we have carefully constructed. In previous reports, we used the edible cucumber, Cucumis sativus as an effective and practical biosensor. Through measurement and analysis of volatile components (gas concentrations) emitted from the biosensor, we were able to demonstrate the existence of the pyramid power and revealed some of its characteristics. In a paper published in 2022, we showed that gas concentration release from this biosensor displayed a circadian rhythm and that this rhythm changed with the season. Based on the result that the biosensor had a periodic diurnal oscillation called a circadian rhythm, we questioned whether or not pyramid power and Bio-Entanglement also had periodic diurnal oscillations. In this paper, we investigated that possibility. Our results have shown that pyramid power and Bio-Entanglement do not exhibit significant periodic diurnal oscillations. Thus we have revealed for the first time that the field associated with pyramid power is a type of static field that always exerts a constant influence. We expect that our research results will be widely accepted in the future and will become the foundation for a new research field in science, with a wide range of applications.

Machine Learning for Hybrid Line Stability Ranking Index in Polynomial Load Modeling under Contingency Conditions

In the conventional technique,in the evaluation of the severity index,clustering and loading suffer from more iteration leading to more com-putational delay.Hence this research article identifies,a novel progression for fast predicting the severity of the line and clustering by incorporating machine learning aspects.The polynomial load modelling or ZIP(constant impedances(Z),Constant Current(I)and Constant active power(P))is developed in the IEEE-14 and Indian 118 bus systems considered for analysis of power system security.The process of finding the severity of the line using a Hybrid Line Stability Ranking Index(HLSRI)is used for assisting the concepts of machine learning with J48 algorithm,infers the superior affected lines by adopting the IEEE standards in concern to be compensated in maintaining the power system stability.The simulation is performed in the WEKA environment and deals with the supervisor learning in order based on severity to ensure the safety of power system.The Unified Power Flow Controller(UPFC),facts devices for the purpose of compensating the losses by maintaining the voltage characteristics.The finite element analysis findings are compared with the existing procedures and numerical equations for authentications.

基于灰色系统理论的电网工程绿色建造模糊综合评价模型

为贯彻落实绿色发展理念,提升现有电网工程绿色建造评价方法的全面性、系统性以及客观性,提出了一种基于灰色系统理论的模糊综合评价模型。通过研究影响电网工程设计、施工与交付等环节的重要绿色评价因子,构建了多层次的绿色建造评价指标体系。并基于灰色系统理论确定指标权重,建立了多层级模糊综合评价模型。同时选取电网工程案例来进行验证,证明了该模型能够科学、合理地确定各指标的权重,从而为电网工程绿色建造评价及不断优化提供了支撑。

黄土高原径流侵蚀功率输沙模型的改进

水土流失对流域生态危害严重,输沙量模拟和预测可以为流域水土流失防治提供依据,因此精确的输沙模型是流域水土流失治理的重要工具。为了精确模拟变化环境下黄土高原年输沙量,该研究基于黄土高原19个水文站的径流和输沙数据,通过随机森林变量重要性度量方法评估年径流侵蚀功率、淤地坝指数、淤地坝相对指数、归一化植被指数、不透水地面积等因子对流域年输沙量的影响,使用非线性最小二乘法估算年输沙模型参数,对比分析不同因子组合的年输沙模型精度,提出适用性较强的黄土高原年输沙模型,据此开展年输沙量变化贡献率分析。结果表明:1)以幂函数形式构建的仅含径流侵蚀功率单因子输沙模型精度与流域面积有显著的负相关关系,相关系数为-0.505(P<0.05),模型精度随着流域面积增大而下降,在面积大于7000 km^(2)的流域适用性较差;2)年径流侵蚀功率、淤地坝指数及不透水地面积因子组合建立的多因子年输沙模型在黄土高原适用性最佳,模型在率定期纳什效率系数平均值为0.84,均方根误差平均值为0.21亿t,在验证期纳什系数平均值为0.79,均方根误差平均值为0.27亿t。3)影响研究流域年输沙量变化的因素依次是:年径流侵蚀功率、不透水地面积和淤地坝指数。研究可以为黄土高原不同区域水土流失防治和生态治理工作提供理论支撑。

基于功率诊断的微波辅助点火能量沉积研究

基于功率诊断方法,研究了不同微波参数(脉冲波形和馈入延迟时间)下对微波辅助点火的增强效果,精确测量了点火过程中与火核耦合的微波能量,并分析了能量耦合的内在机制.结果表明:入射的部分微波能量以产生等离子体的形式耦合到点火火核中,耦合能量随微波脉冲功率的增大而提高,随延迟时间的增大而减小,最高耦合能量达到6.16 mJ;火核的增强效果与耦合能量的变化趋势一致,表明耦合的微波能量是点火增强的内在原因;能量耦合效率(耦合能量/入射能量)一般随脉宽和延迟时间增大而减小,最高耦合效率达到7.23%;并发现了微波能量耦合过程中存在从较低的效率转变到较高的稳定耦合效率的现象,将后者定义为饱和耦合模式;脉冲持续时间内到达饱和耦合模式的转变过程越短,能量耦合效率越高;饱和耦合模式下的能量耦合效率不受微波参数的影响,但高功率短脉宽的脉冲波形和低延迟时间能够更快达到饱和耦合模式,明显提高点火增强效果.

考虑大规模新能源接入的电网性能评价指标体系

为了解决传统电网评价体系在评价大规模新能源和电网相互作用复杂机理时存在的不足,建立一套考虑大规模新能源接入的电网性能指标评价体系。首先,从新型电力系统的核心特征出发,贯穿“源网荷储”各个环节,构建包含接入水平、协调水平、适应水平以及承载水平4个维度的电网性能评价指标,显性表达各个指标的统计或计算方式。其次,采用AHP-CRITIC法进行主客观组合赋权,依据电网发展数据自身的客观属性,考虑数据离散程度以及皮尔逊相关系数,挖掘指标间的冲突性和变异性,以增强权重设置的科学性。最后,利用某城市新能源和电网数据对指标体系进行测算,通过对比分析说明所提指标体系与评价方法的有效性,并依据指标灵敏度大小对电网薄弱环节提出发展建议。

钢板桩围堰结构设计及稳定性分析

钢板桩围堰适用于深水、滩涂等复杂地质,对钢板桩围堰打桩及工作过程进行了稳定性分析。采用Fluent软件对不同工况下打桩过程进行流体动力学研究并计算其动载荷。并对钢板桩稳定性进行了校核。提出流体动力学和固体力学相结合的打桩过程稳定性分析方法。采用ANSYS屈曲分析外压载荷作用下围堰整体结构的稳定性。结果表明:动载荷受幂律指数、稠度系数及静载荷的综合影响,稠度系数与流体黏度呈线性关系,幂律指数体现了流体的非牛顿性,而不同载荷作用下流体黏度也会发生变化,需结合屈曲分析结果、打桩时间等综合选择适宜打桩力。采用特征值屈曲分析和非线性屈曲分析得到的围堰临界失稳应力较为接近,非线性屈曲分析考虑了材料的非线性,包含塑性变形成分,因此临界失稳应力更大。

风力发电参与调频市场的机制优化及收益研究

随着风力发电并网容量日益增加,传统能源提供的调频容量已无法满足系统调频需求,目前政策允许风电参与系统调频,但现有调频辅助服务机制无法有效衡量风电参与调频的真实容量,对系统安全稳定运行带来了严峻挑战。在现有调频辅助服务机制基础上,引入风电调频可信度指标及综合调频性能指标对调频市场主体报价进行调整以衡量风电参与调频的真实容量,同时优化现有调频辅助服务机制的补偿细则。针对上述优化部分,建立风电参与调频市场的出清模型。算例结果表明,优化后的机制能够有效衡量风电提供的真实调频容量,促使优质的调频资源优先出清,同时风电可提高调频可信度指标及综合调频性能指标以获得较高的调频收益。

基于DEA模型的风电企业融资效率影响因素分析

基于“双碳”背景,利用我国31家风电企业的财务数据,借助DEA-Malmquist模型研究了2015—2022年风电行业静态与动态融资效率,发现近半数企业仍处于低效率区间;使用Tobit模型对各融资效率影响因素进行回归分析,发现资产周转率、净资产收益率等有正向显著影响作用,资产负债率等有负向影响作用。企业在日常生产经营过程中应关注政策导向,注意自身资产结构并加大科研投入以提高融资效率。

Shapley值及其应用

Shapley值是合作博弈理论中最重要的概念之一,其在经济学、社会管理等领域具有十分广泛的应用.本文回顾了合作博弈的Shapley值的理论研究,并从Shapley-Shubik权力指数、拼车费用分摊、图博弈的Page-Shapley值以及SHAP方法与机器学习等4个方面介绍了Shapley值的应用进展.

光伏发电企业运营效率及影响因素研究——基于DEA-Malmquist-Tobit模型的分析

在“双碳”目标的引领下,科学评价光伏发电企业的运营效率及其影响因素,对促进光伏企业及产业的高质量发展有着重要意义。基于2014—2022年光伏发电上市公司的面板数据,运用DEA-Malmquist-Tobit模型测度了光伏企业的运营效率及其综合效率的动态变化,实证分析了运营效率的主要影响因素。结果表明,9年间光伏发电企业的全要素生产率呈1.8%增长率的小幅增长趋势,股权结构、每股收益等5个变量对光伏发电企业的运营效率有显著性影响。

基于DEA-Malmquist指数模型风电企业融资效率研究

风电产业作为国家战略性新兴产业,对经济发展和环境保护具有举足轻重的地位。近10年来,在国家政策的大力推动下,该行业发展迅速。但是,自疫情爆发以来,国内的很多风电企业都面临着生存危机,随着后疫情时代的到来,中国风电行业面临新的机遇与挑战,更在技术经济和融资方面出现了新问题,制约了其发展。本文采用DEA-Malmquist模型,对风电行业的17家企业进行静态及动态融资效率分析。研究结果表明,规模效率和纯技术效率是制约风电企业融资效率提升的主要因素。同时,结合Malmquist指数模型发现,技术进步指数对融资效率的提升具有显著影响。根据上述分析结果,为风电企业融资效率的提升提出具体的建议和意见,为风电企业解决融资问题提供参考。