Using the daily average of the NCEP/DOE AMIP-II reanalysis data from 1979 to 2005 and the characteristics of monsoon troughs in the western North Pacific,we established an intensity index and a location index to descr...Using the daily average of the NCEP/DOE AMIP-II reanalysis data from 1979 to 2005 and the characteristics of monsoon troughs in the western North Pacific,we established an intensity index and a location index to describe the activity of the monsoon troughs in three different regions and their impacts on tropical cyclones generated therein(MTTCs).The behavior of the monsoon troughs was analyzed.The following conclusions are obtained:(1)The established monsoon trough intensity index has a positive correlation to the location index,indicating that stronger monsoon trough intensity corresponds to more northward location.(2)Monsoon trough intensity exhibits significant interannual variation,with obvious periods of 4–5 years prior to 1994 and 2–3 years afterwards.(3)The affecting factors on monsoon trough intensity are different with areas.The preceding SST anomaly results in anomalous atmospheric circulation, leading to the anomaly of monsoon trough intensity in different areas.(4)The frequency of cyclogenesis and location anomalies of the MTTC are closely related to the intensity and location of the monsoon trough. Most of the anomalously less MTTC years coincide with the years with a weak general monsoon trough and weak regional monsoon troughs.The anomalously more MTTC years are associated with both a strong general monsoon trough and a weak general monsoon trough combined with a strong one over the South China Sea,though with a larger probability for the latter.(5)The interseasonal variation of the intensity of monsoon troughs provides favorable conditions for TC generation and development.The monsoon trough is in the active periods of both quasi-biweekly 10 to 20 day and 30 to 60 day oscillations,which is favorable for MTTC occurrence.展开更多
The intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of the South China Sea(SCS, 105-120°E, 5-20°N) convection and its influences on the genesis and track of the western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclones(TCs) were explored...The intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of the South China Sea(SCS, 105-120°E, 5-20°N) convection and its influences on the genesis and track of the western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclones(TCs) were explored, based on the daily average of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the OLR data and the western North Pacific tropical cyclone best-track data from 1979 to 2008. The mechanism of the influences of ISO on TC movement and the corresponding large-scale circulation were discussed by a trajectory model. It was found as follows.(1) During the SCS summer monsoon, the SCS convection exhibits the ISO features with active phases alternating with inactive phases. The monsoon circulation patterns are significantly different during these two phases. When the SCS convection is active(inactive), the SCS-WNP monsoon trough stretches eastward(retreats westward) due to the activity(inactivity) of SCS monsoon, and the WNP subtropical high retreats eastward(stretches westward), which enhances(suppresses) the monsoon circulation.(2) The amount of TC genesis in the active phase is much more than that in the inactive phase. A majority of TCs form west of 135 °E during the active phases but east of 135 °E in the inactive phases.(3) The TCs entering the area west of 135 °E and south of 25 °N would move straight into the SCS in the active phase, or recurve northward in the inactive phase.(4) Simulation results show that the steering flow associated with the active(inactive)phases is in favor of straight-moving(recurving) TCs. Meanwhile, the impacts of the locations of TC genesis on the characteristics of TC track cannot be ignored. TCs that occurred father westward are more likely to move straight into the SCS region.展开更多
利用长时间的逐日再分析资料和澳大利亚气象局提供的MJO指数,研究了MJO对我国南海冬季风异常的影响和过程。结果表明,随着MJO的对流中心从西印度洋进入西太平洋,南海海面风场出现偏南风-东北风-偏南风异常的振荡现象,表明南海冬季风阶...利用长时间的逐日再分析资料和澳大利亚气象局提供的MJO指数,研究了MJO对我国南海冬季风异常的影响和过程。结果表明,随着MJO的对流中心从西印度洋进入西太平洋,南海海面风场出现偏南风-东北风-偏南风异常的振荡现象,表明南海冬季风阶段性的间断和活跃,最明显的偏南风异常和东北风异常分别位于MJO第8—2位相和第5—6位相。通过合成MJO各位相下500 h Pa东亚大槽异常和200 h Pa东亚急流异常,我们进一步证实南海冬季风活跃期(MJO第5—6位相),东亚大槽加深,高空急流加强,我国华南沿海上空的反气旋式环流异常,东南边缘的引导气流利于冷空气南下直达南海。相反,在南海冬季风间断期(MJO第8—2位相),东亚大槽和高空急流均减弱,不利于冷空气的南下。对200 h Pa垂直速度的分析表明,MJO深对流活动的东移,调整东亚局地Hadley环流异常,在高空表现为反气旋/气旋式环流异常交替发展东移,最终消失在北太平洋地区。一方面通过科氏力的作用,引起东亚高空急流的异常,进而影响东亚大槽的位置和强度,从而影响冷空气的南下;另一方面直接加剧南海海面风场异常的南北向振荡。因此,在做南海冬季风季内变化特别是大风天气过程的延伸期预报时,热带MJO活动可以作为一个重要因子考虑在内。展开更多
Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, an investigation has been carried on the comparison of the double summer monsoon troughs over East Asia, which refer to the subtropical summer monsoon trough (subtropical-trough) ...Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, an investigation has been carried on the comparison of the double summer monsoon troughs over East Asia, which refer to the subtropical summer monsoon trough (subtropical-trough) and the South China Sea summer monsoon trough (SCS trough), respectively. The results show that the SCS trough is stronger than the subtropical-trough either in convergence or convection. The subtropical-trough extends up to higher levels and inclines northward with altitude, while, the SCS trough extends up to a lower level, and its position is seldom changed. The SCS trough establishes early and abruptly with the low level positive relative vorticity appearing suddenly, and retreats slowly, but the subtropical-trough establishes step by step with the positive relative vorticity initially over the Yunnan- Guizhou Plateau and Guangxi areas spreading gradually northeastward, and withdraws rapidly. The onset of SCS trough is obviously indicated by the reverse of the easterly, but the establishment of the subtropical- trough is characteristic of the westerly enhancement. The subtropical-trough has clearly frontal property, yet the SCS trough has not.展开更多
The high quality dataset from the SCS (South China Sea) Monsoon Experiment and 40-year NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data are used to investigate the large-scale features and abrupt change in meteorological elements during the...The high quality dataset from the SCS (South China Sea) Monsoon Experiment and 40-year NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data are used to investigate the large-scale features and abrupt change in meteorological elements during the onset of the SCS summer monsoon.It is found that the SCS summer monsoon establishment is characterized by the South Asian high migrating swiftly from the eastern side of Philippines to the northern part of Indo-China Peninsula and the enhancement of the Bay of Bengal trough and equatorial westerly over the Indian Ocean associated with the equatorial westerly expanding towards northeastward,and followed by the mid-low latitude interaction and continuous retreat eastward of the western Pacific subtropical high.Further study shows that the meridional temperature difference and the zonal wind vertical shear over the Asian lower latitudes also experience abrupt change during the onset of the SCS summer monsoon. Numerical experiments reveal that the Indian Peninsula acts as a critical role for the enhancement of the Bay of Bengal trough with a cyclonic difference circulation excited to the east side of the peninsula through ground sensible heating in such a way that the SCS summer monsoon occurs prior to the Indian summer monsoon.展开更多
基金An open project of Key Laboratory for Meteorological Disasters for Jiangsu Province(KLME0708)Natural Science Foundation of China(90915002+2 种基金4077504740775058)A project of Young Talents for Fujian Province(2007F3019)
文摘Using the daily average of the NCEP/DOE AMIP-II reanalysis data from 1979 to 2005 and the characteristics of monsoon troughs in the western North Pacific,we established an intensity index and a location index to describe the activity of the monsoon troughs in three different regions and their impacts on tropical cyclones generated therein(MTTCs).The behavior of the monsoon troughs was analyzed.The following conclusions are obtained:(1)The established monsoon trough intensity index has a positive correlation to the location index,indicating that stronger monsoon trough intensity corresponds to more northward location.(2)Monsoon trough intensity exhibits significant interannual variation,with obvious periods of 4–5 years prior to 1994 and 2–3 years afterwards.(3)The affecting factors on monsoon trough intensity are different with areas.The preceding SST anomaly results in anomalous atmospheric circulation, leading to the anomaly of monsoon trough intensity in different areas.(4)The frequency of cyclogenesis and location anomalies of the MTTC are closely related to the intensity and location of the monsoon trough. Most of the anomalously less MTTC years coincide with the years with a weak general monsoon trough and weak regional monsoon troughs.The anomalously more MTTC years are associated with both a strong general monsoon trough and a weak general monsoon trough combined with a strong one over the South China Sea,though with a larger probability for the latter.(5)The interseasonal variation of the intensity of monsoon troughs provides favorable conditions for TC generation and development.The monsoon trough is in the active periods of both quasi-biweekly 10 to 20 day and 30 to 60 day oscillations,which is favorable for MTTC occurrence.
基金National Basic Research Program of China(2015CB953904)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41575081)+1 种基金Startup Foundation for Introducing Talent of NUIST(2015r035)Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)
文摘The intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of the South China Sea(SCS, 105-120°E, 5-20°N) convection and its influences on the genesis and track of the western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclones(TCs) were explored, based on the daily average of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the OLR data and the western North Pacific tropical cyclone best-track data from 1979 to 2008. The mechanism of the influences of ISO on TC movement and the corresponding large-scale circulation were discussed by a trajectory model. It was found as follows.(1) During the SCS summer monsoon, the SCS convection exhibits the ISO features with active phases alternating with inactive phases. The monsoon circulation patterns are significantly different during these two phases. When the SCS convection is active(inactive), the SCS-WNP monsoon trough stretches eastward(retreats westward) due to the activity(inactivity) of SCS monsoon, and the WNP subtropical high retreats eastward(stretches westward), which enhances(suppresses) the monsoon circulation.(2) The amount of TC genesis in the active phase is much more than that in the inactive phase. A majority of TCs form west of 135 °E during the active phases but east of 135 °E in the inactive phases.(3) The TCs entering the area west of 135 °E and south of 25 °N would move straight into the SCS in the active phase, or recurve northward in the inactive phase.(4) Simulation results show that the steering flow associated with the active(inactive)phases is in favor of straight-moving(recurving) TCs. Meanwhile, the impacts of the locations of TC genesis on the characteristics of TC track cannot be ignored. TCs that occurred father westward are more likely to move straight into the SCS region.
文摘利用长时间的逐日再分析资料和澳大利亚气象局提供的MJO指数,研究了MJO对我国南海冬季风异常的影响和过程。结果表明,随着MJO的对流中心从西印度洋进入西太平洋,南海海面风场出现偏南风-东北风-偏南风异常的振荡现象,表明南海冬季风阶段性的间断和活跃,最明显的偏南风异常和东北风异常分别位于MJO第8—2位相和第5—6位相。通过合成MJO各位相下500 h Pa东亚大槽异常和200 h Pa东亚急流异常,我们进一步证实南海冬季风活跃期(MJO第5—6位相),东亚大槽加深,高空急流加强,我国华南沿海上空的反气旋式环流异常,东南边缘的引导气流利于冷空气南下直达南海。相反,在南海冬季风间断期(MJO第8—2位相),东亚大槽和高空急流均减弱,不利于冷空气的南下。对200 h Pa垂直速度的分析表明,MJO深对流活动的东移,调整东亚局地Hadley环流异常,在高空表现为反气旋/气旋式环流异常交替发展东移,最终消失在北太平洋地区。一方面通过科氏力的作用,引起东亚高空急流的异常,进而影响东亚大槽的位置和强度,从而影响冷空气的南下;另一方面直接加剧南海海面风场异常的南北向振荡。因此,在做南海冬季风季内变化特别是大风天气过程的延伸期预报时,热带MJO活动可以作为一个重要因子考虑在内。
基金Supported jointly by the Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster (KLME060204)Natural Science Fundamental Research of Higher Education Colleges in Jiangsu Province (06KJB170050)National Natural Science Foundation of China (40575045).
文摘Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, an investigation has been carried on the comparison of the double summer monsoon troughs over East Asia, which refer to the subtropical summer monsoon trough (subtropical-trough) and the South China Sea summer monsoon trough (SCS trough), respectively. The results show that the SCS trough is stronger than the subtropical-trough either in convergence or convection. The subtropical-trough extends up to higher levels and inclines northward with altitude, while, the SCS trough extends up to a lower level, and its position is seldom changed. The SCS trough establishes early and abruptly with the low level positive relative vorticity appearing suddenly, and retreats slowly, but the subtropical-trough establishes step by step with the positive relative vorticity initially over the Yunnan- Guizhou Plateau and Guangxi areas spreading gradually northeastward, and withdraws rapidly. The onset of SCS trough is obviously indicated by the reverse of the easterly, but the establishment of the subtropical- trough is characteristic of the westerly enhancement. The subtropical-trough has clearly frontal property, yet the SCS trough has not.
基金National Climbing Program A"SCSMEX"National Key Program for Developing Basic Sciences (G1998040900(Ⅰ))
文摘The high quality dataset from the SCS (South China Sea) Monsoon Experiment and 40-year NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data are used to investigate the large-scale features and abrupt change in meteorological elements during the onset of the SCS summer monsoon.It is found that the SCS summer monsoon establishment is characterized by the South Asian high migrating swiftly from the eastern side of Philippines to the northern part of Indo-China Peninsula and the enhancement of the Bay of Bengal trough and equatorial westerly over the Indian Ocean associated with the equatorial westerly expanding towards northeastward,and followed by the mid-low latitude interaction and continuous retreat eastward of the western Pacific subtropical high.Further study shows that the meridional temperature difference and the zonal wind vertical shear over the Asian lower latitudes also experience abrupt change during the onset of the SCS summer monsoon. Numerical experiments reveal that the Indian Peninsula acts as a critical role for the enhancement of the Bay of Bengal trough with a cyclonic difference circulation excited to the east side of the peninsula through ground sensible heating in such a way that the SCS summer monsoon occurs prior to the Indian summer monsoon.