基于StaMPS-PS时序InSAR对流层延迟改正方法评估

时序分析是合成孔径雷达干涉测量(InSAR)的一项关键技术,它被广泛应用于监测广阔地区的地表缓慢形变。这种方法能够提供大范围、大面积的形变监测。其中,StaMPS PS方法凭借适用范围广、开源等优点,受到众多学者的使用。但在时序InSAR中,对流层延迟相位会导致形变监测精度的降低,因此,以合肥市为研究区域,分析了经验模型线性改正、GACOS(generic atmospheric correction online service for InSAR)改正和欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)最新发布的ERA5数据集改正,并对比这3种方法在时序InSAR反演形变速率中的改正效果。通过计算得到研究区的标准差,进行比较分析和验证。其中线性改正、ERA5和GACOS改正后的标准差分别降低了21.71%、16.14%、10.38%。对于合肥区域,这3种方法均可减弱对流层延迟的影响,且精度都有所提高,其中线性改正效果最好,适用性更高,ERA5和GACOS受天气以及地面监测点密度等影响,在该区域改正效果较差。

Present-day movement characteristics of the Qinghai Nanshan fault and its surrounding area from GPS observation

The Qinghai Nanshan fault is a larger fault in the Northeastern Xizang Plateau.In previous studies,its movement characteristics are mainly investigated with geological and seismic observations,and the tectonic transformation role of the fault on its east is not yet clear.This study uses data fusion to obtain denser GPS observations near the Qinghai Nanshan fault.Based on tectonic characteristics,we establish a block model to investigate the fault slip rate,locking degree,and slip deficit.The results show that the Qinghai Nanshan fault slip rate is characterized by sinistral and convergent movement.Both the sinistral and convergent rates display a decreasing trend from west to east.The locking degree and slip deficit are higher in the western segment(with an average of about 0.74 and 1.1 mm/a)and lower in the eastern segment.Then,we construct a strain rate field using GPS observations to analyze the regional strain characteristics.The results indicate that along the fault,the western segment shows a larger shear strain rate and negative dilation rate.Regional earthquake records show that the frequency of earthquakes is lower near the fault.The joint results suggest that the western segment may have a higher earthquake risk.In addition,the insignificant fault slip rate in the eastern segment may indicate that it does not participate in the tectonic transformation among the Riyueshan,Lajishan,and West Qinling faults.

Quantification of the concrete freeze–thaw environment across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau based on machine learning algorithms

The reasonable quantification of the concrete freezing environment on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau(QTP) is the primary issue in frost resistant concrete design, which is one of the challenges that the QTP engineering managers should take into account. In this paper, we propose a more realistic method to calculate the number of concrete freeze–thaw cycles(NFTCs) on the QTP. The calculated results show that the NFTCs increase as the altitude of the meteorological station increases with the average NFTCs being 208.7. Four machine learning methods, i.e., the random forest(RF) model, generalized boosting method(GBM), generalized linear model(GLM), and generalized additive model(GAM), are used to fit the NFTCs. The root mean square error(RMSE) values of the RF, GBM, GLM, and GAM are 32.3, 4.3, 247.9, and 161.3, respectively. The R^(2) values of the RF, GBM, GLM, and GAM are 0.93, 0.99, 0.48, and 0.66, respectively. The GBM method performs the best compared to the other three methods, which was shown by the results of RMSE and R^(2) values. The quantitative results from the GBM method indicate that the lowest, medium, and highest NFTC values are distributed in the northern, central, and southern parts of the QTP, respectively. The annual NFTCs in the QTP region are mainly concentrated at 160 and above, and the average NFTCs is 200 across the QTP. Our results can provide scientific guidance and a theoretical basis for the freezing resistance design of concrete in various projects on the QTP.

Origin of the Dashuigou independent tellurium deposit at Qinghai–Xizang Plateau: constraints from the light stable isotopes C, O, and H

By studying the light isotopic compositions of carbon,oxygen,and hydrogen,combined with previous research results on the ore-forming source of the deposit,the authors try to uncover its metallogenic origin.The δ^(18)O and δ^(13)C isotope signatures of dolomite samples vary between 10.2 and 13.0‰,and between−7.2 and−5.2‰,respectively,implying that the carbon derives from the upper mantle.δD and δ^(18) O of quartz,biotite,and muscovite from diff erent ore veins of the deposit vary between−82 and−59‰,and between 11.6 and 12.4‰,respectively,implying that the metallogenic solutions are mainly magmatic.According to the relevant research results of many isotope geologists,the fractionation degree of hydrogen isotopes increases as the depth to the Earth’s core increases,and the more diff erentiated the hydrogen isotopes are,the lower their values will be.In other words,mantle-derived solutions can have extremely low hydrogen isotope values.This means that the δD‰ value−134 of the pyrrhotite sample numbered SD-34 in this article may indicate mantle-derived oreforming fl uid of the deposit.The formation of the Dashuigou tellurium deposit occurred between 91.71 and 80.19 Ma.

Differential response of radial growth and δ^(13)C in Qinghai spruce(Picea crassifolia) to climate change on the southern and northern slopes of the Qilian Mountains in Northwest China

Tree radial growth can have significantly differ-ent responses to climate change depending on the environ-ment.To elucidate the effects of climate on radial growth and stable carbon isotope(δ^(13)C)fractionation of Qing-hai spruce(Picea crassifolia),a widely distributed native conifer in northwestern China in different environments,we developed chronologies for tree-ring widths and δ^(13)C in trees on the southern and northern slopes of the Qilian Mountains,and analysed the relationship between these tree-ring variables and major climatic factors.Tree-ring widths were strongly influenced by climatic factors early in the growing season,and the radial growth in trees on the northern slopes was more sensitive to climate than in trees on the southern.Tree-ring δ^(13)C was more sensitive to climate than radial growth.δ^(13)C fractionation was mainly influenced by summer temperature and precipitation early in the growing season.Stomatal conductance more strongly limited stable carbon isotope fractionation in tree rings than photosynthetic rate did.The response between tree rings and climate in mountains gradually weakened as climate warmed.Changes in radial growth and stable carbon isotope fractionation of P.crassifolia in response to climate in the Qilian Mountains may be further complicated by continued climate change.

Special Stamps:Qinghai Lake

On July 20, 2002, the State Postal Bureau issued a set of three stamps picturing the Qinghai Lake shore, Bird Island, and the distant view.Located on the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, in West China’s Qinghai Province, Qinghai Lake is 3,196 meters above sea level, and the biggest inland lake in China. Oils have been used to capture its magnificence.Bird Island on Qinghai Lake is

Response of Freezing/Thawing Indexes to the Wetting Trend under Warming Climate Conditions over the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau during 1961–2010:A Numerical Simulation

Since the 1990s,the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau(QTP)has experienced a strikingly warming and wetter climate that alters the thermal and hydrological properties of frozen ground.A positive correlation between the warming and thermal degradation in permafrost or seasonally frozen ground(SFG)has long been recognized.Still,a predictive relationship between historical wetting under warming climate conditions and frozen ground has not yet been well demonstrated,despite the expectation that it will become even more important because precipitation over the QTP has been projected to increase continuously in the near future.This study investigates the response of the thermal regime to historical wetting in both permafrost and SFG areas and examines their relationships separately using the Community Land Surface Model version 4.5.Results show that wetting before the 1990s across the QTP mainly cooled the permafrost body in the arid and semiarid zones,with significant correlation coefficients of 0.60 and 0.48,respectively.Precipitation increased continually at the rate of 6.16 mm decade–1 in the arid zone after the 1990s but had a contrasting warming effect on permafrost through a significant shortening of the thawing duration within the active layer.However,diminished rainfall in the humid zone after the 1990s also significantly extended the thawing duration of SFG.The relationship between the ground thawing index and precipitation was significantly negatively correlated(−0.75).The dual effects of wetting on the thermal dynamics of the QTP are becoming critical because of the projected increases in future precipitation.

基于StaMPS的上海区域地表形变研究

为了及时掌握上海地区的沉降状态,更新沉降结果,本文通过获取覆盖上海市2020—2021年的哨兵1A(Sentinel-1A)影像数据,基于大气产品进行误差去除,用斯坦福永久散射体干涉(StaMPS)技术对上海地区进行时序监测。结果显示,研究区域永久散射体(PS)点平均形变速率为-10.4~6.5 mm/a,主要标准差区间在-2~2 mm/a,沉降主要发生在浦东新区和主城区的部分地区。同时,通过与小基线集技术(SBAS-InSAR)结果及相关文献对比验证,形变结果较为一致,说明该技术获取上海地区结果的正确性及适用性。最后,分析了5个典型沉降区及上海地铁14号、18号线沉降区域来说明沉降形成原因。

Analysis of Outdoor Cultivation of Pepino(Solanum muricatum)in Qinghai Province

[Objectives]This study was conducted to explore the feasibility of planting pepino(Solanum muricatum Ait.)in Qinghai Province,and to understand the cultivation quality and yield in various areas of Qinghai.[Methods]With small fruit type of pepino as the material,four areas in eastern Qinghai were selected to determine the agronomic traits,yield and quality indexes of pepino.[Results]Under the same cultivation conditions,there were some differences in the cultivation status of pepino,but overall,pepino fruit had higher quality.Various physiological indexes were correlated with quality and yield.[Conclusions]This study clarified the specific cultivation situation of pepino in Qinghai Province,and evaluated the quality and yield of pepino,providing strong data support for the promotion and planting of pepino in various regions in the future.

Analysis on the Spatial Agglomeration and Coupling of Socioeconomic Factors in Qinghai Tourism Under the Background of“Belt and Road”

Qinghai is the strategic base and important fulcrum of the Belt and Road Initiative while tourism is a strategic pillar industry in Qinghai Province.Due to its rich tourism resources and unique ecological environment,the integration of tourism in Qinghai into the Belt and Road has attracted great attention of the Asian Development Bank(ADB).With the spatial data of tourism elements POI and the statistical data of 44 counties in Qinghai to analyze the characteristics and influencing factors of the spatial agglomeration of tourism in Qinghai,the paper conducts research on spatial coupling and concludes with the following results:The spatial agglomeration of tourism in Qinghai presents the distribution pattern of“one circle and one belt”;economic density and population density play an important role in the formation of the spatial agglomeration pattern of tourism with some spatial spillovers;Belt and Road has a significant impact on the promotion of tourism agglomeration in Qinghai.The paper suggests that tourism in Qinghai should fully integrate into the Belt and Road,giving full play to the guiding role of Belt and Road in the allocation of social and economic resources,and optimizing the spatial layout.

郑州“7·20”地铁水淹事件STAMP致因分析

为探讨河南郑州“7·20”地铁5号线伤亡事件致因,综合运用系统理论事件模型与过程(STAMP)模型,分析5号线伤亡事件安全控制结构,据此逐级辨识事件致因;基于复杂网络理论将事件致因及其联系抽象为网络的节点和边,建立地铁水灾事件网络;计算聚类系数、度数等拓扑参数定量分析事件致因性质,确定关键致因。结果表明:地方党委政府面对汛情的应对部署不紧不实,缺少有效的组织动员和有关部门对工程建设存在失管失察是事件的深层根源;建设单位、设计单位等五方主体单位及运维单位的主体责任失职是事件的主观关键致因;应从政府及有关部门、五方主体单位和运维单位方面采取多元协同的风险防控措施。

基于系统论事故分析模型的油气智慧管道系统信息物理风险辨识

为了辨识油气智慧管道系统中存在的信息安全风险,通过基于系统论事故分析模型(systems-theoretic accident modeling and process,STAMP)的方法,对油气智慧管道系统的信息物理安全进行全面评估与分析。首先,系统综合分析了油气智慧管道涉及的设备、设施、工艺、元件,评估其安全性。其次,通过建立STAMP模型,深入分析了各层级、元件之间的反馈信息与控制动作,形成了明确的控制反馈回路,突显了元件之间的关联与控制关系。在此基础上,系统辨识出了潜在的信息风险因素,推导并构建了可能发生的系统失效场景。以天然气输气首站油气智慧管道系统为例,研究验证了基于STAMP模型的可行性和有效性。结果显示,该方法不仅直观地描述了元件之间的关联与控制关系,而且从物理层功能安全的角度全面考虑了信息风险,特别凸显了过程控制系统(process control systems,PCS)及易受攻击的操作员站。与传统方法相比,本研究所提出的方法将信息物理安全风险因素的识别率提升至80%以上,提高了40%以上,有助于避免不必要的安全措施冗余设计,提高了安全风险管控的准确性。

采用STAMP-24Model的多组织事故分析

安全生产事故往往由多组织交互、多因素耦合造成,事故原因涉及多个组织。为预防和遏制多组织生产安全事故的发生,基于系统理论事故建模与过程模型(Systems-Theory Accident Modeling and Process,STAMP)、24Model,构建一种用于多组织事故分析的方法,并以青岛石油爆炸事故为例进行事故原因分析。结果显示:STAMP-24Model可以分组织,分层次且有效、全面、详细地分析涉及多个组织的事故原因,探究多组织之间的交互关系;对事故进行动态演化分析,可得到各组织不安全动作耦合关系与形成的事故失效链及管控失效路径,进而为预防多组织事故提供思路和参考。

两次不同生命史东移高原涡的动力结构与成因分析

利用NCEP再分析资料对2008年6月25-27日和2013年6月4-10日两次东移出高原的高原涡过程进行结构特征和演变机制的诊断分析,探讨两次长、短路径高原涡过程的结构特征和造成不同生命史的影响因子。结果表明:(1)路径短的扎多涡活动过程中,南亚高压呈扁平状,高空急流偏南,高原涡处在下滑槽中移出高原;路径长的曲麻莱涡活动过程中,南亚高压有些北拱,高原涡处在南亚高压脊前西北气流下空,副高偏南,高原涡随低槽东移加强,并伴有西南涡东移。(2)两次高原涡过程结构特征差异明显,主要表现在扎多涡在高原上增强时、曲麻莱涡与西南涡耦合及之后再度加强时的结构特征,前者低涡处在600~350 hPa较深厚的正涡度、上升运动层内,还具有对流层高层强辐散的结构特征;后者具有对流层高、中、低层正涡度贯通、对流层内为上升运动、对流层低层辐合,对流层高层弱辐散的结构特征,其中对流层低层由整个对流层内为最强正涡度,演变为整个对流层内为最强正涡度、最强上升运动、最强辐合。(3)总涡度收支诊断表明,散度项变化对低涡总涡度变率变化起决定性作用。扎多涡的强度变化与散度项变化一致。曲麻莱涡在与西南涡伴行过程中,垂直输送项、水平平流项的影响在加强。(4)涡中心区500 hPa正涡度变率的收支分析看出,高原涡在没有西南涡活动时,对高原涡的500 hPa正涡度变率贡献的主要是涡度辐合造成的;在有西南涡活动时,随着与西南涡垂直方向叠合、伴行,正涡度垂直输送显得更加重要。

基于SNAP-StaMPS方法的高速公路沿线地面沉降监测

准确监测高速公路不同程度的沉降是确保高速公路正常运营以及可持续发展的基础性工作。文中以黄河三角洲高速公路及沿线为研究区,基于SNAP-StaMPS方法,采用2019年8月至2022年1月的37景Sentinel-1A数据,对该地区地面沉降监测的基础上,提取东营港疏港、东吕、荣乌3条高速公路及沿线地面沉降信息,识别出高速公路的隐患路段并对沉降原因进一步分析,为道路的维护提供基础数据支撑。研究结果显示,东营港疏港高速沉降最为严重,平均沉降速率为-74.16 mm/a;东吕高速沉降较为平缓,沉降速率为-7.9 mm/a;荣乌高速未发现明显沉降。因此证明SNAP-StaMPS方法能有效监测高速公路沿线的灾害隐患。

Contribution of external forcing to summer precipitation trends over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Southwest China

在过去的60年中,全球气候经历了快速变暖和短暂的变暖停滞,而中国的区域降水也经历了多样而复杂的变化.本文分析了1961年至2014年外强迫因子对青藏高原和中国西南地区夏季降水趋势的影响.观测数据显示,青藏高原的夏季降水呈增加趋势,而中国西南地区的夏季降水呈减少趋势,这两个相邻地区的夏季降水变化趋势相反.利用CMIP6数据,本文研究了不同外强迫因子对两个区域夏季降水趋势的影响.结果表明,温室气体对青藏高原夏季降水的增加具有显著影响,而气溶胶在中国西南地区夏季降水减少中起主要作用。

钛合金薄壁构件快速加热冷模热冲压成形技术进展

为了解决钛合金薄壁构件热成形效率低、成本高、组织性能控制难度大等问题,近年来钛合金冷模热冲压成形技术受到关注。在该新技术中利用室温模具对加热后的钛合金板材进行快速冲压成形和模内快速冷却,由于取消了模具加热,可以变革性地提高钛合金薄壁构件成形效率、降低成本。然而,与传统等温成形不同,在冷模热冲压成形过程中,钛合金板材温度不断下降,这对钛合金成形极限、回弹及组织性能等的控制提出了全新的挑战。分析了钛合金薄壁构件冷模热冲压成形技术特点及存在的问题,归纳了快速加热对钛合金组织性能的影响规律,综述了钛合金薄壁构件快速加热冷模热冲压成形工艺进展,最后对该技术未来的发展方向进行了展望。

基于STAMP-偏序集的非煤矿山爆炸事故系统风险评估模型

通过提出一种基于STAMP偏序集的系统性风险评估模型,揭示非煤矿山爆炸事故的发生机理,并为爆炸事故的有效预防和控制提供参考。首先,利用STAMP模型构建了非煤矿山爆炸事故的系统层次结构,确定了事件集及其层次关系,并从系统设计和安全控制的角度分析了事故的致因因素;然后,采用排序质心法计算了事件集的初始概率,并将概率矩阵作为偏序集评价模型的输入,得到了因素间的聚类关系和节点脆弱性;最后,通过一个实例验证了该模型的有效性和可行性。该模型能够图形化地描述各致因因素间的聚类关系、节点重要度以及系统各组件间的关系,从而能够有效识别系统的脆弱性节点,并为爆炸事故预防提供科学合理的控制措施。

2023年甘肃积石山6.2级地震发震构造浅析

2023年12月18日23时59分,甘肃临夏州积石山县发生6.2级地震,造成人员伤亡和财产损失。本次地震发生在青藏高原东北缘地区,受青藏高原向NE向扩展挤压作用的影响,区域发育两组较为典型的断裂构造:NWW向大型左旋走滑断裂带是活动块体运动边界,另一组NNW向右旋走滑断裂则发育在块体内部构成次级块体边界。此次积石山6.2级地震就发生在NWW向西秦岭北缘左旋走滑断裂带和NNW向日月山右旋走滑断裂带之间的大型挤压阶区内,初步判定其发震构造为以逆冲作用为主的拉脊山断裂带东南段的积石山东缘断裂。余震展布范围严格限制在黄河以南的积石山东麓大河家第三系盆地内,根据黄河以北拉脊山和以南的积石山山脊线及坡折带存在较大不连续性,且沿黄河南岸发育较明显的断层三角面等构造地貌特征,推测沿黄河发育有一条调节区内挤压变形差异的横向断裂。断裂切断拉脊山北缘断裂带东南段,使积石山东缘断裂成为一个长度不足40 km的独立活动段,判定原震区近期发生更大地震的可能性不大。

时序InSAR解译西安-咸阳地区地面沉降时空分布特征

采用2015-06~2023-01覆盖西安-咸阳地区的Sentinel-1A卫星数据,以时序InSAR为主要技术手段,结合其他资料,获得西安-咸阳地区地面沉降分布特征和形变速率等信息,并分析地面沉降的原因和演化规律。结果表明,SBAS-InSAR与StaMPS-InSAR所得结果基本一致,地表形变区主要分布在西安中部和南部,主要影响因素为地下水开采,分布与走向受地裂缝与断层影响;咸阳大部分地区处于稳定状态,仅在局部地区有较为明显的沉降,沉降受地下水开采、城市建设等因素影响。