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Influence of non-stationarity and auto-correlation of climatic records on spatio-temporal trend and seasonality analysis in a region with prevailing arid and semi-arid climate,Iran
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作者 Mahsa MIRDASHTVAN Mohsen MOHSENI SARAVI 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第6期964-983,共20页
Trend and stationarity analysis of climatic variables are essential for understanding climate variability and provide useful information about the vulnerability and future changes,especially in arid and semi-arid regi... Trend and stationarity analysis of climatic variables are essential for understanding climate variability and provide useful information about the vulnerability and future changes,especially in arid and semi-arid regions.In this study,various climatic zones of Iran were investigated to assess the relationship between the trend and the stationarity of the climatic variables.The Mann-Kendall test was considered to identify the trend,while the trend free pre-whitening approach was applied for eliminating serial correlation from the time-series.Meanwhile,time series stationarity was tested by Dickey-Fuller and Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin tests.The results indicated an increasing trend for mean air temperature series at most of the stations over various climatic zones,however,after eliminating the serial correlation factor,this increasing trend changes to an insignificant decreasing trend at a 95%confidence level.The seasonal mean air temperature trend suggested a significant increase in the majority of the stations.The mean air temperature increased more in northwest towards central parts of Iran that mostly located in arid and semiarid climatic zones.Precipitation trend reveals an insignificant downward trend in most of the series over various climatic zones;furthermore,most of the stations follow a decreasing trend for seasonal precipitation.Furthermore,spatial patterns of trend and seasonality of precipitation and mean air temperature showed that the northwest parts of Iran and margin areas of the Caspian Sea are more vulnerable to the changing climate with respect to the precipitation shortfalls and warming.Stationarity analysis indicated that the stationarity of climatic series influences on their trend;so that,the series which have significant trends are not static.The findings of this investigation can help planners and policy-makers in various fields related to climatic issues,implementing better management and planning strategies to adapt to climate change and variability over Iran. 展开更多
关键词 climate change trend analysis stationarity tests serial correlation SEASONALITY arid and semi-arid regions
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Detecting Stationarity and Nonlinearity in Propeller Singing Signal
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作者 于大鹏 赵德有 汪玉 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2010年第4期447-450,共4页
<Abstract>The propeller singing is such a complex fluid-structure coupling phenomenon that needs to study intensively.In this paper,the stationarity of propeller singing signal is tested by the recurrence plot t... <Abstract>The propeller singing is such a complex fluid-structure coupling phenomenon that needs to study intensively.In this paper,the stationarity of propeller singing signal is tested by the recurrence plot technique. According to surrogate data,the singing time series has nonlinearity character.And the nonlinearity of time series is not caused by the static nonlinear measurement function but the intrinsic character itself based on further research.The results provide an objective basis for analyzing the propeller singing signal with the nonlinear time series technique. 展开更多
关键词 propeller singing signal stationarity test nonlinearity test surrogate data
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