Prognostic value of pre-and post-transplantation 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography results in non-Hodgkin lymphoma patients receiving autologous stem cell transplantation

Objective： High-dose chemotherapy （HDC） followed by autologous stem cell transplantation （ASCT） is the standard of care in the upfront or relapsed/refractory setting in some patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma （NHL）. However, a proportion of patients do not respond to ASCT. lSF-fluorodeoxyglueose （FDG） positron emission tomography （PET）/computed tomography （CT） has been widely used for staging, response evaluation, and prognosis prediction. Here, we investigated the prognostic role of PET/CT in NHL patients before and after ASCT. Methods： A retrospective study was conducted at Peking University Cancer Hospital. All NHL patients who underwent ASCT between March 2010 and July 2016 were identified. Patients who had PET/CT scan before and after ASCT were included. Deauville criteria （5-point scale） were used to interpret PET scans. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed using Cox regression. The predictive value of PET scanning was estimated by comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic （ROC） curve. Results： In total, 79 patients were enrolled in this study. In univariate analysis, pre- and post-ASCT PET result was identified as prognostic factors for 3-year progression-free survival （PFS） and overall survival （OS）. Patients with negative pre-ASCT PET result demonstrated significantly better PFS （84.2% vs. 54.2%） and OS （89.2% vs. 63.6%） than patients with positive pre-ASCT PET result. PFS （91.6% vs. 25.3%） and OS （96.5% vs. 36.8%） were also significantly different between patients with negative and positive post-ASCT PET result. Multivariate analysis also showed a significant association between survival and post-ASCT PET result. ROC analysis revealed that the predictive value of post-ASCT PET result was superior to that of pre-ASCT PET result alone. Combined pre- and post-ASCT PET result is better for predicting outcomes in patients with NHL receiving transplantation. Deauville criteria score 〉3 was identified as the best cutoffvalue for post-ASCT PET. Conclusions： Post-ASCT PET result was more important than pre-ASCT PET result in predicting outcomes for NHL patients who underwent ASCT. The prognostic significance can be improved when combining pre- ASCT PET result with post-ASCT PET result. Deauville criteria can be used for interpreting PET scans in this scenario.

MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF CELL DYNAMICS AFTER ALLOGENEIC BONE MARROW TRANSPLANTATION

In this paper a basic mathematical model is introduced to describe the dynamics of three ceil lines after allogeneic stem cell transplantation： normal host cells, leukemic host cells and donor cells. Their evolution is one of competitive type and depends upon kinetic and cell-cell interaction parameters. Numerical simulations prove that the evolution can ultimately lead either to the normal hematopoietic state achieved by the expansion of the donor cells and the elimination of the host cells, or to the leukemic hematopoietic state characterized by the proliferation of the cancer line and the suppression of the other cell lines. One state or the other is reached depending on cell-cell interactions （anti-host, anti-leukemia and anti-graft effects） and initial cell concentrations at transplantation.The model also provides a theoretical basis for the control of post-transplant evolution aimed at the achievement of normal hematopoiesis.