A detailed analysis was carried out on global asymptotic behavior of a kind of stochastic SIRS(susceptible-infective-removed-susceptible)model.This model has been obtained by introducing stochasticity into the origina...A detailed analysis was carried out on global asymptotic behavior of a kind of stochastic SIRS(susceptible-infective-removed-susceptible)model.This model has been obtained by introducing stochasticity into the original deterministic SIRS model via the technique of parameter perturbation which is standard in stochastic population modeling.By making corresponding Lyapunov function and using It formula,the condition for the solution of the model tending to the disease free equilibrium asymptotically was obtained.Under this condition,the epidemics will die out as time goes by.Based on this,almost surely exponential stability was analyzed.展开更多
A stochastic two-group SIR model is presented in this paper. The existence and uniqueness of its nonnegative solution is obtained, and the solution belongs to a positively invariant set. Further- more, the globally as...A stochastic two-group SIR model is presented in this paper. The existence and uniqueness of its nonnegative solution is obtained, and the solution belongs to a positively invariant set. Further- more, the globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium is deduced by the stochastic Lyapunov functional method if R0 〈 1, which means the disease will die out. While if R0 〉 1, we show that the solution is fluctuating around a point which is the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model in time average. In addition, the intensity of the fluctuation is proportional to the intensity of the white noise. When the white noise is small, we consider the disease will prevail. At last, we illustrate the dynamic behavior of the model and their approximations via a range of numerical experiments.展开更多
In this paper,a stochastic epidemic system with both switching noise and white noise is proposed to research the dynamics of the diseases.Nonlinear incidence and vaccination strategies are also considered in the propo...In this paper,a stochastic epidemic system with both switching noise and white noise is proposed to research the dynamics of the diseases.Nonlinear incidence and vaccination strategies are also considered in the proposed model.By using the method of stochastic analysis,we point out the key parameters that determine the persistence and extinction of the diseases.Specifically,if R0^s is greater than 0,the stochastic system has a unique ergodic stationary distribution;while if R ^* is less than 0,the diseases will be extinct at an exponential rate.展开更多
基金Foundation of Shanghai for Outstanding Young Teachers in University,China(No.B-5300-08-007)the 085 Knowledge Innovation Project of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission,China(No.Z08509008-01)Humanities and SocialScience Fund General Project of Ministry of Education,China(No.08JA630051)
文摘A detailed analysis was carried out on global asymptotic behavior of a kind of stochastic SIRS(susceptible-infective-removed-susceptible)model.This model has been obtained by introducing stochasticity into the original deterministic SIRS model via the technique of parameter perturbation which is standard in stochastic population modeling.By making corresponding Lyapunov function and using It formula,the condition for the solution of the model tending to the disease free equilibrium asymptotically was obtained.Under this condition,the epidemics will die out as time goes by.Based on this,almost surely exponential stability was analyzed.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10971021)the Ministry of Education of China (Grant No. 109051)+1 种基金the Ph.D. Programs Foundation of Ministry of China (Grant No. 200918)the Graduate Innovative Research Project of NENU (Grant No. 09SSXT117)
文摘A stochastic two-group SIR model is presented in this paper. The existence and uniqueness of its nonnegative solution is obtained, and the solution belongs to a positively invariant set. Further- more, the globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium is deduced by the stochastic Lyapunov functional method if R0 〈 1, which means the disease will die out. While if R0 〉 1, we show that the solution is fluctuating around a point which is the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model in time average. In addition, the intensity of the fluctuation is proportional to the intensity of the white noise. When the white noise is small, we consider the disease will prevail. At last, we illustrate the dynamic behavior of the model and their approximations via a range of numerical experiments.
基金Z.Qiu is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)grant No.11671206X.Zhao is supported by the Scholarship Foundation of China Scholarship Council grant No.201906840072+2 种基金T.Feng is supported by the Scholarship Foundation of China Scholarship Council grant No.201806840120the Out-standing Chinese and Foreign Youth Exchange Program of China Association of Science and Technologythe Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities grant No.30918011339.
文摘In this paper,a stochastic epidemic system with both switching noise and white noise is proposed to research the dynamics of the diseases.Nonlinear incidence and vaccination strategies are also considered in the proposed model.By using the method of stochastic analysis,we point out the key parameters that determine the persistence and extinction of the diseases.Specifically,if R0^s is greater than 0,the stochastic system has a unique ergodic stationary distribution;while if R ^* is less than 0,the diseases will be extinct at an exponential rate.
