Martingales and Super-Martingales Relative to a Convex Set of Equivalent Measures

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local regularity of it in the discrete case are founded. The description of all local regular super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is presented. The notion of the complete set of equivalent measures is introduced. We prove that every bounded in some sense super-martingale relative to the complete set of equivalent measures is local regular. A new definition of the fair price of contingent claim in an incomplete market is given and the formula for the fair price of Standard Option of European type is found. The proved Theorems are the generalization of the famous Doob decomposition for super-martingale onto the case of super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures.

Assessment of Contingent Liabilities for Risk Assets Evolutions Built on Brownian Motion

This paper is a generalization of the results of the previous papers. Using these results a class of evolutions of risk assets based on the geometric Brownian motion is constructed. Among these evolutions of risk assets, the important class of the random processes is the random processes with parameters built on the basis of the discrete geometric Brownian motion. For this class of random processes the interval of non-arbitrage prices are found for the wide class of contingent liabilities. In particular, for the payoff functions of standard options call and put of the European type the fair prices of super-hedge are obtained. Analogous results are obtained for the put and call of arithmetical options of Asian type. For the parameters entering in the definition of random process the description of all statistical estimates is presented. Statistical estimate for which the fair price of super-hedge for the payoff functions of standard call and put options of European type is minimal is indicated. From the formulas found it follows that the fair price of super-hedge can be less than the price of the underlying asset. In terms of estimates the simple formula for the fair price of super-hedge is found. Every estimates can be realized in the reality. This depends on the distribution function of the observed dates in the financial market.

Description of Incomplete Financial Markets for Time Evolution of Risk Assets

In the paper, a class of discrete evolutions of risk assets having the memory is considered. For such evolutions the description of all martingale measures is presented. It is proved that every martingale measure is an integral on the set of extreme points relative to some measure on it. For such a set of evolutions of risk assets, the contraction of the set of martingale measures on the filtration is described and the representation for it is found. The inequality for the integrals from a nonnegative random value relative to the contraction of the set of martingale measure on the filtration which is dominated by one is obtained. Using these inequalities a new proof of the optional decomposition theorem for super-martingales is presented. The description of all local regular super-martingales relative to the regular set of measures is presented. The applications of the results obtained to mathematical finance are presented. In the case, as evolution of a risk asset is given by the discrete geometric Brownian motion, the financial market is incomplete and a new formula for the fair price of super-hedge is founded.

Attitude control of multi-spacecraft systems on SO(3)with stochastic links failure

In this paper,for Multi-Spacecraft System(MSS)with a directed communication topology link and a static virtual leader,a controller is proposed to realize attitude consensus and attitude stabilization with stochastic links failure and actuator saturation.First,an MSS attitude error model suitable for a directed topology link and with a static virtual leader based on SO(3)is derived,which considers that the attitude error on SO(3)cannot be defined based on algebraic subtraction.Then,we design a controller to realize the MSS on SO(3)with attitude consensus and attitude stabilization under stochastic links failure and actuator saturation.Finally,the simulation results of a multi-spacecraft system with stochastic links failure and a static virtual leader spacecraft are demonstrated to illustrate the efficiency of the attitude controller.