Support vector regression-based operational effectiveness evaluation approach to reconnaissance satellite system

As one of the most important part of weapon system of systems(WSoS),quantitative evaluation of reconnaissance satellite system(RSS)is indispensable during its construction and application.Aiming at the problem of nonlinear effectiveness evaluation under small sample conditions,we propose an evaluation method based on support vector regression(SVR)to effectively address the defects of traditional methods.Considering the performance of SVR is influenced by the penalty factor,kernel type,and other parameters deeply,the improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)is employed for parameter optimization.In the proposed IGWO algorithm,the opposition-based learning strategy is adopted to increase the probability of avoiding the local optima,the mutation operator is used to escape from premature convergence and differential convergence factors are applied to increase the rate of convergence.Numerical experiments of 14 test functions validate the applicability of IGWO algorithm dealing with global optimization.The index system and evaluation method are constructed based on the characteristics of RSS.To validate the proposed IGWO-SVR evaluation method,eight benchmark data sets and combat simulation are employed to estimate the evaluation accuracy,convergence performance and computational complexity.According to the experimental results,the proposed method outperforms several prediction based evaluation methods,verifies the superiority and effectiveness in RSS operational effectiveness evaluation.

Small-time scale network traffic prediction based on a local support vector machine regression model

In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the reconstructed phase space, the local support vector machine prediction method is used to predict the traffic measurement data, and the BIC-based neighbouring point selection method is used to choose the number of the nearest neighbouring points for the local support vector machine regression model. The experimental results show that the local support vector machine prediction method whose neighbouring points are optimized can effectively predict the small-time scale traffic measurement data and can reproduce the statistical features of real traffic measurements.

Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility in western Serbia using hybrid support vector regression(SVR)with GWO,BAT and COA algorithms

In this study,we developed multiple hybrid machine-learning models to address parameter optimization limitations and enhance the spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility models.We created a geographic information system database,and our analysis results were used to prepare a landslide inventory map containing 359 landslide events identified from Google Earth,aerial photographs,and other validated sources.A support vector regression(SVR)machine-learning model was used to divide the landslide inventory into training(70%)and testing(30%)datasets.The landslide susceptibility map was produced using 14 causative factors.We applied the established gray wolf optimization(GWO)algorithm,bat algorithm(BA),and cuckoo optimization algorithm(COA)to fine-tune the parameters of the SVR model to improve its predictive accuracy.The resultant hybrid models,SVR-GWO,SVR-BA,and SVR-COA,were validated in terms of the area under curve(AUC)and root mean square error(RMSE).The AUC values for the SVR-GWO(0.733),SVR-BA(0.724),and SVR-COA(0.738)models indicate their good prediction rates for landslide susceptibility modeling.SVR-COA had the greatest accuracy,with an RMSE of 0.21687,and SVR-BA had the least accuracy,with an RMSE of 0.23046.The three optimized hybrid models outperformed the SVR model(AUC=0.704,RMSE=0.26689),confirming the ability of metaheuristic algorithms to improve model performance.

Modeling personalized head-related impulse response using support vector regression

A new customization approach based on support vector regression （SVR） is proposed to obtain individual headrelated impulse response （HRIR） without complex measurement and special equipment. Principal component analysis （PCA） is first applied to obtain a few principal components and corresponding weight vectors correlated with individual anthropometric parameters. Then the weight vectors act as output of the nonlinear regression model. Some measured anthropometric parameters are selected as input of the model according to the correlation coefficients between the parameters and the weight vectors. After the regression model is learned from the training data, the individual HRIR can be predicted based on the measured anthropometric parameters. Compared with a back-propagation neural network （BPNN） for nonlinear regression, better generalization and prediction performance for small training samples can be obtained using the proposed PCA-SVR algorithm.

Semi-supervised Support Vector Regression Model for Remote Sensing Water Quality Retrieving

This paper proposed a semi-supervised regression model with co-training algorithm based on support vector machine, which was used for retrieving water quality variables from SPOT 5 remote sensing data. The model consisted of two support vector regressors (SVRs). Nonlinear relationship between water quality variables and SPOT 5 spectrum was described by the two SVRs, and semi-supervised co-training algorithm for the SVRs was es-tablished. The model was used for retrieving concentrations of four representative pollution indicators―permangan- ate index (CODmn), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N), chemical oxygen demand (COD) and dissolved oxygen (DO) of the Weihe River in Shaanxi Province, China. The spatial distribution map for those variables over a part of the Weihe River was also produced. SVR can be used to implement any nonlinear mapping readily, and semi-supervis- ed learning can make use of both labeled and unlabeled samples. By integrating the two SVRs and using semi-supervised learning, we provide an operational method when paired samples are limited. The results show that it is much better than the multiple statistical regression method, and can provide the whole water pollution condi-tions for management fast and can be extended to hyperspectral remote sensing applications.

High-rise building fire pre-warning model based on the support vector regression

Aiming at reducing the deficiency of the traditional fire pre-warning algorithms and the intelligent fire pre-warning algorithms such as artificial neural network,and then to improve the accuracy of fire prewarning for high-rise buildings,a composite fire pre-warning controller is designed according to the characteristic（ nonlinear,less historical data,many influence factors）,also a high-rise building fire pre-warning model is set up based on the support vector regression（ SV R）. Then the wood fire standard history data is applied to make empirical analysis. The research results can provide a reliable decision support framework for high-rise building fire pre-warning.

Inverse Model Control for a Quad-rotor Aircraft Using TS-fuzzy Support Vector Regression

An inverse model control based on TS-fuzzy support vector regression( TS-fuzzy SVR) for a quadrotor aircraft is developed. The TS-kernel is the product of linear combination of input and a cluster of output corresponding to a cluster of TS-type fuzzy rules. The output of TS-fuzzy SVR is a linear weighted sum of the TSkernels. The dynamical model of the quad-rotor aircraft is derived. A new control scheme combined with TSfuzzy SVR inverse model control and PID control is presented so that the TS-fuzzy SVR inverse model control enhances capabilities of disturbance rejection and the robustness while the PID control enhances fast responsiveness and reliability of the system. Simulation results show the capabilities of the developed control for the attitude system of quad-rotor aircraft.

基于SARIMA和SVR组合模型的转向架系统寿命评估

随着地铁运营时间和里程的增加,地铁车辆逐渐接近其理论寿命,为确保车辆运行安全性,需对其重要子系统进行健康状态及剩余寿命评估。文中选取车辆转向架系统作为研究对象,提出了一种基于协方差优选法的季节性回归移动平均(SARIMA)和支持向量回归(SVR)的组合模型对转向架寿命进行评估。首先,将车辆转向架系统历史故障率转化为健康指数,然后基于协方差优选法将SARIMA和SVR进行赋权组合,根据转向架系统历史健康指数进行预测,最后建立历史和预测的健康指数与运行时间的数学模型,分析得到转向架系统的剩余寿命。以某地铁车辆转向架系统为例进行算例分析及验证,结果表明组合模型可更准确地预测其健康状态,为有关维修部门开展维修维护策略提供理论依据,估计得出其剩余寿命,为车辆寿命后期退役及延寿决策提供理论数据分析支撑。

基于SPA-GA-SVR模型的土壤水分及温度预测

土壤湿度和温度是影响水文循环和气候变化的重要参数,在农业实践活动和生态平衡中起着重要作用。为及时、准确地监测土壤含水量(Soil Moisture Content,SMC)及温度,提出了一种基于高光谱数据的预测方法。实验数据集来自为期5天的实地测量,所获得的高光谱数据包含大量的噪声及冗余信息,因此首先用Savitzky-Golay卷积平滑对光谱数据进行降噪处理,利用连续投影算法(Successive Projection Algorithm,SPA)提取数据特征波长,然后通过遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)对支持向量机回归(Support Vector Regression,SVR)的超参数权值和偏置进行优化,构建SPA-GASVR混合算法模型对土壤水分和温度进行预测,并与BP神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network,BPNN)、SPA-BP、SVR、SPA-SVR、GA-SVR这5种模型的预测性能进行比较。实验结果表明:各模型在土壤湿度低于30%的情况下,表现出的预测能力差异并不显著。但整体上,复合模型相比于单一的神经网络或机器学习模型具有明显的优势,且经过连续投影算法优化的模型进一步的提高其预测能力,最终SPA-GA-SVR算法在各项指标上均优于其他模型,土壤水分预测模型的R^(2)=0.981、RMSE=0.473%,土壤温度预测模型R^(2)=0.963、RMSE=0.883℃。实验证明基于高光谱数据,经过SPA和GA优化的SVR模型能实现对土壤湿度和温度精准的预测。该方法具有一定的应用价值和现实意义,可应用于便携式高光谱仪和无人机上,实现对土壤水分和温度的实时监测,为今后的播种及灌溉提供理论参考。

融合GWO和SVR的建筑安全事故预测模型

当前建筑业迅速发展,但随之而来的是频频发生的建筑安全事故,造成不可逆转的损失和伤害。虽然近些年来在建筑安全事故控制方面的研究已取得一定的成果,但建筑安全事故仍未得到有效控制。针对建筑业市政工程安全事故总数和死亡人数,探究二者之间的关系,构建灰狼优化算法-支持向量回归机(Grey Wolf Optimization and Support Vactor Regression,GWO-SVR)组合模型,收集2008—2020年每个月的建筑安全事故数据及死亡人数数据集,发现二者之间成正向相关关系,以建筑安全事故数为特征对建筑死亡人数进行预测,精度达到95%以上,对建筑安全资源与人力投入有较大参考价值,有助于提升建筑安全管理水平。

基于PSO-LSSVR的机器人磨抛材料去除模型

为了建立磨抛工艺参数与材料去除深度的关系,建立一种基于最小二乘法支持向量回归机(LSSVR)的材料去除深度预测模型,并引入粒子群优化(PSO)算法来优化LSSVR的超参数,可提高LSSVR模型的预测准确性和全局优寻能力。搭建叶片机器人砂带磨抛实验平台,设计并进行多工艺参数实验,考虑工艺参数:砂带粒度、砂带转速、进给速度、接触力和叶片表面曲率半径,获得叶片表面的材料去除深度,最终利用实验数据建立了PSO-LSSVR叶片材料去除深度预测模型。结果表明,PSO-LSSVR模型的预测准确率为95.37%,平均预测误差为0.003463,说明PSO-LSSVR模型具有较高的预测精度,并结合实际加工情况进行实验验证可行性,证明PSO-LSSVR模型可以有效合理地建立工艺参数与材料去除深度的关系。

Support Vector Regression for Bus Travel Time Prediction Using Wavelet Transform

In order to accurately predict bus travel time, a hybrid model based on combining wavelet transform technique with support vector regression(WT-SVR) model is employed. In this model, wavelet decomposition is used to extract important information of data at different levels and enhances the forecasting ability of the model. After wavelet transform different components are forecasted by their corresponding SVR predictors. The final prediction result is obtained by the summation of the predicted results for each component. The proposed hybrid model is examined by the data of bus route No.550 in Nanjing, China. The performance of WT-SVR model is evaluated by mean absolute error(MAE), mean absolute percent error(MAPE) and relative mean square error(RMSE), and also compared to regular SVR and ANN models. The results show that the prediction method based on wavelet transform and SVR has better tracking ability and dynamic behavior than regular SVR and ANN models. The forecasting performance is remarkably improved to obtain within 6% MAPE for testing section Ⅰ and 8% MAPE for testing section Ⅱ, which proves that the suggested approach is feasible and applicable in bus travel time prediction.

Improved IMM algorithm based on support vector regression for UAV tracking

With the development of technology, the relevant performance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) has been greatly improved, and various highly maneuverable UAVs have been developed, which puts forward higher requirements on target tracking technology. Strong maneuvering refers to relatively instantaneous and dramatic changes in target acceleration or movement patterns, as well as continuous changes in speed,angle, and acceleration. However, the traditional UAV tracking algorithm model has poor adaptability and large amount of calculation. This paper applies support vector regression(SVR)to the interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm. The simulation results show that the improved algorithm has higher tracking accuracy for highly maneuverable targets than the original algorithm, and can adjust parameters adaptively, making it more adaptable.

Prediction of Henry Constants and Adsorption Mechanism of Volatile Organic Compounds on Multi-Walled Carbon Nanotubes by Using Support Vector Regression

Support vector regression （SVR） combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes （MWNTs） for adsorption of volatile organic compounds （VOCs）. The prediction performance of SVR is compared with those of the model of theoretical linear salvation energy relationship （TLSER）. By using leave-one-out cross validation of SVR test Henry constants for adsorption of 35 VOCs on MWNTs, the root mean square error is 0.080, the mean absolute percentage error is only 1.19~, and the correlation coefficient （R2） is as high as 0.997. Compared with the results of the TLSER model, it is shown that the estimated errors by SVR are ali smaller than those achieved by TLSER. It reveals that the generalization ability of SVR is superior to that of the TLSER model Meanwhile, multifactor analysis is adopted for investigation of the influences of each molecular structure descriptor on the Henry constants. According to the TLSER model, the adsorption mechanism of adsorption of carbon nanotubes of VOCs is mainly a result of van der Waals and interactions of hydrogen bonds. These can provide the theoretical support for the application of carbon nanotube adsorption of VOCs and can make up for the lack of experimental data.

基于SARIMAX-SVR的光伏发电功率预测

为提高光伏发电功率预测精度,提出一种基于外生因素及季节性的差分自回归移动平均SARIMAX(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors)并结合优化支持向量回归SVR(support vector regression)的光伏发电功率预测方法。首先,采用相关性特征法聚类气象条件中关键气象因子,以消除数据冗余并降低ARIMAX模型的复杂性;其次,在ARIMAX模型中引入季节性因素,构建SARIMAX模型来捕捉数据的季节性变化;最后,使用SARIMAX模型的拟合残差其作为SVR模型的输入,进一步拟合数据的非线性。通过仿真算例分析表明,所提方法可显著提高光伏发电功率预测精度。

TYRE DYNAMICS MODELLING OF VEHICLE BASED ON SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES

Various methods of tyre modelling are implemented from pure theoretical to empirical or semi-empirical models based on experimental results. A new way of representing tyre data obtained from measurements is presented via support vector machines （SVMs）. The feasibility of applying SVMs to steady-state tyre modelling is investigated by comparison with three-layer backpropagation （BP） neural network at pure slip and combined slip. The results indicate SVMs outperform the BP neural network in modelling the tyre characteristics with better generalization performance. The SVMsqyre is implemented in 8-DOF vehicle model for vehicle dynamics simulation by means of the PAC 2002 Magic Formula as reference. The SVMs-tyre can be a competitive and accurate method to model a tyre for vehicle dynamics simuLation.

小样本下基于GM-SVR方法的航空保障特种装置可靠性评估

航空保障特种装置的可靠性评估面临失效样本数据偏少的问题。为更加准确评估小样本情况下的可靠性,采用改进的平均秩次法计算样本的经验分布函数,在此基础上提出一种基于GM-SVR的三参数威布尔分布估计方法。该方法利用灰色模型(GM)在位置参数上的优势和支持向量回归(SVR)在小样本下的良好效果,对威布尔分布的3个参量进行精确估计。采用MATLAB工具箱对模型进行仿真实验,结果表明:GM-SVR方法在故障数据样本较少情况下,参数估计精度高于传统的概率统计方法。以喷气偏流板为例,计算了威布尔分布的形状参数、尺度参数和位置参数,得到相关系数为0.9953,均方根误差为0.038,证明了在小样本情况下GM-SVR方法的拟合精度良好,可对航空保障特种装置的可靠性进行准确评估。

A Multiple Model Approach to Modeling Based on Fuzzy Support Vector Machines

A new multiple models(MM) approach was proposed to model complex industrial process by using Fuzzy Support Vector Machines(F -SVMs). By applying the proposed approach to a pH neutralization titration experiment, F -SVMs MM not only provides satisfactory approximation and generalization property, but also achieves superior performance to USOCPN multiple modeling method and single modeling method based on standard SVMs.

Fault diagnosis of power-shift steering transmission based on multiple outputs least squares support vector regression

A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression （LS-SVR） was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function （RBF） as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict the future state of the power-shift steering transmission （PSST）. A prediction model of PSST was gotten with multiple outputs LS-SVR. The model performance was greatly influenced by the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter σ2 which were optimized using cross validation method. The training and prediction of the model were done with spectrometric oil analysis data. The predictive and actual values were compared and a fault in the second PSST was found. The research proved that this method had good accuracy in PSST fault prediction, and any possible problem in PSST could be found through a comparative analysis.

基于VMD-FE-SSA-SVR模型的超短期风速预测

为有效降低风速的非线性和无序性带来的风速预测难度,提高预测准确性,提出一种结合变分模态分解(VMD)、模糊熵(FE)、麻雀搜索算法(SSA)和支持向量回归(SVR)的组合预测模型来预测超短期风速。首先利用VMD技术将风速数据分解为若干模态分量,再通过FE方法对各分量进行筛选,将FE值相近的分量进行叠加,形成若干个新序列,然后采用经SSA优化过的SVR模型对新序列进行训练与预测,最后将各新序列的预测结果叠加,形成最终预测结果。通过不同模型验证对比,VMD-FE-SSA-SVR模型预测效果较好,表明所提模型显示出较好的预测精度与稳定性,可有效预测超短期风速。