目的探讨β胶原特殊序列(β-crosslaps,β-CTX)、总1型胶原氨基端延长肽(t-P1NP)及N端中段骨钙素(N-MID-OT)在绝经后女性骨质疏松性骨折风险评估中的应用价值。方法回顾性分析2020年2月至2022年12月解放军总医院第六医学中心收治的102...目的探讨β胶原特殊序列(β-crosslaps,β-CTX)、总1型胶原氨基端延长肽(t-P1NP)及N端中段骨钙素(N-MID-OT)在绝经后女性骨质疏松性骨折风险评估中的应用价值。方法回顾性分析2020年2月至2022年12月解放军总医院第六医学中心收治的102例绝经后骨质疏松(postmenopausal osteoporosis,PMOP)患者的临床资料,将其作为研究组,并根据是否发生骨折将其分为PMOP骨折组(39例)与PMOP未骨折组(63例),另选100名健康体检者作为对照组。记录所有研究对象的β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT水平并进行比较,用ROC曲线评价β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT在绝经后女性骨质疏松性骨折风险评估中的应用价值。结果研究组的平均体重、体质量指数、股骨颈骨密度(bone mineral density,BMD)、左髋总和BMD及L 1~4总和BMD均明显低于对照组(P<0.05);而两组研究对象的平均年龄、平均身高及绝经年龄等比较差异均无统计学意义(P>0.05)。研究组的β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT均明显高于对照组(t值依次为12.688、37.430、26.599,P<0.05)。β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测用于预测PMOP的AUC值为0.978,敏感度为98.04%,特异度为97.00%,表明β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT三指标联合检测用于预测PMOP的效能更高。PMOP骨折组的β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT均明显高于PMOP未骨折组(t值依次为6.078、16.363、12.227,P<0.05)。β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测用于评估PMOP骨折风险的AUC值为0.939,敏感度为94.87%,特异度为95.24%,表明β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测用于评估PMOP骨折风险的效能更高。结论PMOP患者β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT水平均明显升高,而PMOP骨折患者β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT水平升高更为明显,且β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测可显著提高对PMOP预测及骨折风险评估效能,值得借鉴。展开更多
Dynamic fault tree analysis is widely used for the reliability analysis of the complex system with dynamic failure characteristics. In many circumstances, the exact value of system reliability is difficult to obtain d...Dynamic fault tree analysis is widely used for the reliability analysis of the complex system with dynamic failure characteristics. In many circumstances, the exact value of system reliability is difficult to obtain due to absent or insufficient data for failure probabilities or failure rates of components. The traditional fuzzy operation arithmetic based on extension principle or interval theory may lead to fuzzy accumulations. Moreover, the existing fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis methods are restricted to the case that all system components follow exponential time-to-failure distributions. To overcome these problems, a new fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis approach based on the weakest n-dimensional t-norm arithmetic and developed sequential binary decision diagrams method is proposed to evaluate system fuzzy reliability. Compared with the existing approach,the proposed method can effectively reduce fuzzy cumulative and be applicable to any time-tofailure distribution type for system components. Finally, a case study is presented to illustrate the application and advantages of the proposed approach.展开更多
文摘目的探讨β胶原特殊序列(β-crosslaps,β-CTX)、总1型胶原氨基端延长肽(t-P1NP)及N端中段骨钙素(N-MID-OT)在绝经后女性骨质疏松性骨折风险评估中的应用价值。方法回顾性分析2020年2月至2022年12月解放军总医院第六医学中心收治的102例绝经后骨质疏松(postmenopausal osteoporosis,PMOP)患者的临床资料,将其作为研究组,并根据是否发生骨折将其分为PMOP骨折组(39例)与PMOP未骨折组(63例),另选100名健康体检者作为对照组。记录所有研究对象的β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT水平并进行比较,用ROC曲线评价β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT在绝经后女性骨质疏松性骨折风险评估中的应用价值。结果研究组的平均体重、体质量指数、股骨颈骨密度(bone mineral density,BMD)、左髋总和BMD及L 1~4总和BMD均明显低于对照组(P<0.05);而两组研究对象的平均年龄、平均身高及绝经年龄等比较差异均无统计学意义(P>0.05)。研究组的β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT均明显高于对照组(t值依次为12.688、37.430、26.599,P<0.05)。β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测用于预测PMOP的AUC值为0.978,敏感度为98.04%,特异度为97.00%,表明β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT三指标联合检测用于预测PMOP的效能更高。PMOP骨折组的β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT均明显高于PMOP未骨折组(t值依次为6.078、16.363、12.227,P<0.05)。β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测用于评估PMOP骨折风险的AUC值为0.939,敏感度为94.87%,特异度为95.24%,表明β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测用于评估PMOP骨折风险的效能更高。结论PMOP患者β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT水平均明显升高,而PMOP骨折患者β-CTX、t-P1NP及N-MID-OT水平升高更为明显,且β-CTX+t-P1NP+N-MID-OT联合检测可显著提高对PMOP预测及骨折风险评估效能,值得借鉴。
基金supported by the National Defense Basic Scientific Research program of China (No.61325102)
文摘Dynamic fault tree analysis is widely used for the reliability analysis of the complex system with dynamic failure characteristics. In many circumstances, the exact value of system reliability is difficult to obtain due to absent or insufficient data for failure probabilities or failure rates of components. The traditional fuzzy operation arithmetic based on extension principle or interval theory may lead to fuzzy accumulations. Moreover, the existing fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis methods are restricted to the case that all system components follow exponential time-to-failure distributions. To overcome these problems, a new fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis approach based on the weakest n-dimensional t-norm arithmetic and developed sequential binary decision diagrams method is proposed to evaluate system fuzzy reliability. Compared with the existing approach,the proposed method can effectively reduce fuzzy cumulative and be applicable to any time-tofailure distribution type for system components. Finally, a case study is presented to illustrate the application and advantages of the proposed approach.
