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基于TQR-EGM模型的水资源生态安全评价及动态预警 被引量:5
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作者 何刚 赵疏航 杜宇 《水资源与水工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期36-42,共7页
水资源的生态安全有利于人类的生存和经济社会的可持续发展。以安徽省为例,构建以TQR(威胁-质量-调控)为概念模型的水资源生态安全综合评价指标体系,借助熵权法赋权并计算2013-2018年生态安全指数来评价水资源生态安全水平,并利用障碍... 水资源的生态安全有利于人类的生存和经济社会的可持续发展。以安徽省为例,构建以TQR(威胁-质量-调控)为概念模型的水资源生态安全综合评价指标体系,借助熵权法赋权并计算2013-2018年生态安全指数来评价水资源生态安全水平,并利用障碍度模型和灰色预测模型进行障碍因素诊断和安全动态预警。研究结果表明:安徽省水资源生态安全水平呈稳步上升趋势,从较不安全上升至比较安全;质量子系统对安徽省水资源生态安全的影响最大,主要障碍因素是饮用水源水质达标率和人均污水排放量;安徽省水资源生态安全警情由“重警”到“轻警”,并在未来5年内保持在“无警”。 展开更多
关键词 水资源生态安全 威协-质量-调控(tqr)模型 障碍度模型 动态预警 灰色预测 熵权法 水生态安全评价
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Improving a method for evaluating alfalfa cultivar resistance to thrips 被引量:3
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作者 TU Xiong-bing FAN Yao-li +4 位作者 JI Ming-shan LIU Zhong-kuan XIE Nan LIU Zhen-yu ZHANG Ze-hua 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第3期600-607,共8页
The thrips quantity ratio(TQR) model is an important tool for evaluating crop resistance to thrips based on the correlation between thrips quantities and cultivars. Unfortunately, it is inaccurate, and the results a... The thrips quantity ratio(TQR) model is an important tool for evaluating crop resistance to thrips based on the correlation between thrips quantities and cultivars. Unfortunately, it is inaccurate, and the results appear significantly inconsistent when analysing the same cultivars in the same field study. To improve this model, we first studied the resistance of 28 alfalfa cultivars to thrips in Cangzhou, Hebei Province, north China. The results showed that the most suitable evaluation period was from May to June, as the thrips population was stable during this period. Second, we found that the natural enemy population was significantly positively correlated with the thrips population density(R=0.7275, P〈0.0001), which might influence resistance estimation. Hence, we introduced a parameter ‘α', corresponding to the natural enemy quantity ratio, to eliminate the effect of the natural enemy using "αTQR". Using the improved method, 28 cultivars were clustered into three classes: the resistant class, sensitive class, and median class. All numerical values were calculated for αTQR displayed as a Gaussian distribution. This information showed that all data should be divided into nine groups using a median value of 1±0.1 with an equal difference of 0.1. Based on the new standard cultivars, Gongnong 1, Alfaking, Cangzhou and Algonquin were classified as highly resistant cultivars; Zhongmu 3, Gongnong 2, Zhongmu 1 and Zhongmu 2 were classified in the resistant group; Queen was classified in the moderately resistant group; Derby, WL354HQ, KRIMA, Apex, 53 HR, SARDI 5 and Farmers Treasure were classified in the median class; WL319HQ, WL343HQ and Sitel were classified as the low sensitive group; WL440 HQ and SARDI7 as the moderately sensitive group; WL168HQ and Sanditi as the sensitive group; and SARDI 10, WL363HQ, FD4, WL323 and SOCA as the highly sensitive group. 展开更多
关键词 thrips quantity ratio(tqr model alfalfa cultivar resistance thrips natural enemy
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