Calculation of landslide occurrence probability in Taiwan region under different ground motion conditions

In this study,Bayesian probability method and machine learning model are used to study the real occurrence probability of earthquake-induced landslide risk in Taiwan region.The analyses were based on the 1999 Taiwan Chi-Chi Earthquake,the largest earthquake in the history in this Region in a hundred years,thus can provide better control on the prediction accuracy of the model.This seismic event has detailed and complete seismic landslide inventories identified by polygons,including 9272 seismic landslide records.Taking into account the real earthquake landslide occurrence area,the difference in landslide area and the non-sliding/sliding sample ratios and other factors,a total of 13,656,000 model training samples were selected.We also considered other seismic landslide influencing factors,including elevation,slope,aspect,topographic wetness index,lithology,distance to fault,peak ground acceleration and rainfall.Bayesian probability method and machine learning model were combined to establish the multi-factor influence of earthquake landslide occurrence model.The model is then applied to the whole Taiwan region using different ground motion peak accelerations(from 0.1 g to 1.0 g with 0.1 g intervals)as a triggering factor to complete the real probability of earthquake landslide map in Taiwan under different peak ground accelerations,and the functional relationship between different Peak Ground Acceleration and their predicted area is obtained.

Improved stress release model: Application to the study of earthquake prediction in Taiwan Region

Stress release model used to be applied to seismicity study of large historical earthquakes in a space of large scale. In this paper, we improve the stress release model, and discuss whether the stress release model is still applicable or not in the case of smaller spatio-temporal scale and weaker earthquakes. As an example of testing the model, we have analyzed the M greater than or equal 6 earthquakes in recent about 100 years. The result shows that the stress release model is still applicable. The earthquake conditional probability intensity in Taiwan Region is calculated with the improved stress release model. We see that accuracy of earthquake occurrence time predicted by the improved stress release model is higher than that by Poisson model in the test of retrospect earthquake prediction.

Correlation Fractal and Multifractal Characteristics of Seismic Activity in the Taiwan Region, China

Based on the analysis of newly collected data of plate tectonics, distribution of active faults and crustal deformation, the Taiwan Region is divided into two seismic regions and six seismic belts. Then, correlation fractal dimensions of all the regions and belts are calculated, and the fractal characteristics of hypocenteral distribution can be quantitatively analyzed. Finally, multifractal dimensions D q and f(α) are calculated by using the earthquake catalog of the past 11 years in the Taiwan Region. This study indicates that (1) there exists a favorable corresponding relationship between spatial images of seismic activity described with correlation fractal dimension analysis and tectonic settings; (2) the temporal structure of earthquakes is not single but multifractal fractal, and the pattern of D q variation with time is a good indicator for predicting strong earthquake events.

The New Detection and the Basic Characteristics of the Structural System of Taiwan Region of China—Using the Earth Satellite's Remote-sensing Images to Explain the Structural System of Taiwan Region of China

This text uses the regional geological investigation data and the remote sensing image data of earth-satellite remote sensing to synthetically analyze the structural system of Taiwan region of China. Authors detection-marked and assurance-marked and divided 5 kinds of structural system of the Taiwan region: (1) the wreath-shaped structural system, (2) the N-N-E oriented structural system, (3) the S-N oriented structural system, (4) the N-E oriented structural system, (5) the arc-shaped structural system. Combination of the texture faces and associated method were adopted to recover and reconstruct the structural evolution sequences and the formation periods. In this paper, problems such as the development process in geology etc. are also discussed, contributing new information to research the structural field of the East Asia and its tectonic plate movements and structural actions inside the land plate .

Taiwan region students in Malaysia and Intercultu-rality:When National Identities Take Primacy over Individualities

Using a liquid approach,the authors analyze the intercultural discourse of Taiwan region students who had taken part in a short term exchange program with a Malaysian university.The four participants were graduating in Mandarin Chinese in their home institution and were following a Chinese program in multilingual Malaysia.Data were collected through focus groups held in Mandarin Chinese and focused on their experience in the host country.The authors analyze how participants talk about themselves,Malaysians,and their adaptation to the host country.The processes of essentialization and othering that occur and put in contrast the host and the home contexts are similar to those held in Asia-to-Europe mobility and very far from an“interculturality without culture”(Dervin,2010).If we focus on the construction of discourses,this Asia-to-Asia mobility forces us to relativize the opposition of cultures as an explanation for difficulties encountered by mobile students.

History,Reality,and Challenges:Bounded Dynamic Relations Between the Gulf Arab States and Taiwan Region

The relations between Taiwan region and the Gulf Arab States are twisting and subtle.The UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 in 1971 and the suspension of the official relation between Taiwan and Saudi Arabia in 1990 generally divided the relations into three general periods.Because of Taiwan’s sensitive role and the‘One China Policy,’the relationship has been constrained,especially after 1990.However,the relationship is still dynamic in the field of trade,civil exchanges,technology transfer,and industrial cooperation.Since the DPP came to power in Taiwan in 2016,the cross-strait relation has reached its lowest point since the Chen Shui-bian era,and the relationship between Taiwan and the Gulf Arab states has encountered new challenges given PRC has been pursuing this region as a strategic fulcrum.Meanwhile,the strategic contraction of the US in the Middle East will bring more uncertainty.

V_p and V_p/V_s structures in the crust and upper mantle of the Taiwan region, China

A tomographic study of the Vp and Vp/Vs structures in the crust and upper mantle beneath the Taiwan region of China is conducted by simultaneous inversion of P and S arrival times. Compared with the previous tomographic results, the spherical finite difference technique is suitable for the strong heterogeneous velocity structure, and may improve the accuracy in the travel time and three-dimensional ray tracing calculations. The Vp and Vp/Vs structures derived from joint inversion and the relocated earthquakes can provide better constraints for analyzing the lateral heterogeneity and deep tectonic characters in the crust and upper mantle. Our tomographic results reveal significant relations between the seismic wavespeed structure and the tectonic characters. In the shallow depth, sedimentary basins and orogen show distinct wavespeed anomalies, with low Vp, high Vp/Vs in basins and high Vp, low Vp/Vs in orogen. As the suture zone of Eurasian Plate and Philippine Sea Plate, Longitudinal Valley is characterized by a significant high Vp/Vs anomaly extending to the middle-lower crust and upper mantle, which reflects the impact of rock cracking, partial melting, and the presence of fluids. In the northeast Taiwan, the Vp, Vp/Vs anomalies and relocated earthquakes depict the subducting Philippine Sea Plate under the Eurasian Plate. The high Vp of oceanic plate and the low Vp, high Vp/Vs atop the subducted oceanic plate extend to 80 km depth. Along the east-west profiles, the thickness of crust reaches 60 km at the east of Central Range with eastward dipping trend, which reveals the eastward subduction of the thickened and deformed crust of the Eurasian continental plate.

Numerical simulation of characteristics of semidiurnal tidal waves in sea region around Taiwan

POM97, an oceanic model, has been used for the first time to the numerical study on the tidal waves of the as Regions around Taiwan. In this paper, we have got the result that the semidiurnal tidal waves of these area mainly are the co-operating tides which come from the south of 23'N of the western Pacific. Those semidiurnal tidal waves affecting the Taiwan Straits come respectively from the south and the north entrance of the channel, and the north tidal wave is stronger than the south one. The strongest tidal field is the area from the Meizhou Bay to the Xinhua Bay along the coast of Fujian Province, where the biggest amplitude of the M2 partial tide can reach 240 cm. The strongest tidal cur- rent fields lie in the Penghu watercourse, where the maximum velocity of the M2 partial tide can arrive at 196 m/s. In the horizontal structure of the tidal currets, we have found that there is a stream dot in the north of the channel, besides, there still exist four new ones. As for the vertical structure, it mainly is biassed to the right at the surface, and to the left near the bottom layer.

台湾地区2024年“二合一”选举结果及影响分析

台湾地区2024年“二合一”选举在中美战略博弈持续、两岸关系严峻复杂的形势下举行。各主要政党展开激烈竞逐,打破岛内传统政治生态格局。民进党赖清德以未过半的相对多数票当选,立法机构呈“三党不过半”新局,折射出加速分化的岛内民意以及多元竞合的政党政治新态势。未来4年,岛内政局将在民进党当局“三重少数”执政下以立法机构为重心展开角力,政局恐将动荡不安。两岸关系的对抗性和不确定性进一步上升,内地发展进步将持续增强对两岸关系的主导权和主动权,民进党继续执政无法改变两岸关系发展基本格局。

台湾地区“大法官释宪”对警察权转型的影响

从1990年至今,台湾地区“大法官释宪”制度在限制警察权和保障人权等方面发挥了重要作用。在人身自由等基本人权保障方面,“大法官”议决坚持法官保留、正当法律程序、法律明确性和比例原则,使威权时期极度扩张的警察权受到严格规范和制约,进而实现转型。近年来在警察执法的隐私权保护领域,“大法官释宪”也取得了一定成绩。台湾地区“大法官释宪”制度的升级,将继续影响台湾地区警政制度的发展与走向。

档案文献所呈现的清前期在台湾地区设立土司之议

康熙二十二年(1683年)至乾隆九年(1744年),清朝统一台湾地区后的六十余年间,闽台官员先后五次提出仿照施行于西南民族地区的土司制度,在台湾地区“番族社会”设立土司,其中康熙朝两次,雍正朝两次,乾隆朝一次。前三次均为“私议”,第四次为南澳镇总兵许良彬的奏请,虽直达“天听”,但均未纳入清政府决策程序加以讨论。乾隆九年,福建布政使高山奏请在台湾地区“熟番”中设立土司,则经过户部议准、乾隆帝允行,再到闽浙总督马尔泰等提出反对并获乾隆帝支持的反复,前后历时近一年,最终被否决,相关讨论由此画上句号,此后再无人提及在台设立土司之事。本文拟通过档案文献厘清这一历史过程,并从雍正朝西南边疆实施大规模改土归流后土司制度的发展变化,结合同时期川西北“番族社会”设立“流职土司”情形,审视高山奏议所具有的积极意义和特殊历史价值。

基于学生评教结果的台湾地区高校教师教学质量管理机制研究

以学生为教育评价主体对教师的教学过程进行评价,已是高校教育改革的重要环节。如何对待学生评价,尤其是差评,是校方要把握的重要内容。为此对台湾地区23所高校出台的教师教学评价实施与追踪辅导相关办法进行了文本分析。从分析结果来看,各校要求评教结果能充分反映出教师教学情况、顾及评教结果不佳教师的感受并且充分保护当事人的隐私,从多方面寻找教师评教结果的问题与解决途径,以及柔性的辅导与刚性的惩戒机制并行兼施。台湾地区高校的这些做法值得借鉴。

台湾地区居民法律地位:三重面向、内容构造与优化路径

台湾地区居民法律地位问题,是防范与遏制“台独”分裂活动、推动两岸融合发展、推进国家完全统一进程中必须面对的重大现实问题。在法律实践中,台湾地区居民地位具有“待解放的中国人民”“特殊的中国公民”“同等待遇的中国居民”三重面向。相关立法坚持目标和问题导向,逐渐趋向具体化、同等化和常态化。当前,台湾地区居民法律地位的主要问题是如何推动落实同等待遇,这在一定程度上影响了其内容构造。其中,“居住地”标准是优化落实台湾地区居民法律地位的基础,权利义务是其规范内核,政策则对法律规定起着引领、实施和补充的重要作用。为切实提升台湾地区居民国家认同,建议接续推进身份管理模块化、推动同等待遇实质化、逐步实现权利义务体系化,形成优化台湾居民法律地位的系统方案。

统一后台湾地区国际参与制度安排:基本原则与路向依循——关于“一国两制”台湾方案之探讨

台湾地区国际参与问题是涉及中国主权、安全的敏感政治议题,是台湾地区在一个中国框架内的政治定位在国际社会的延伸。从有利于台湾地区的发展与治理及回应岛内民众高度期待的角度考虑,探索统一后中国台湾地区国际参与制度安排至关重要。中国台湾地区国际参与制度安排必须确保统一后中国的主权与安全、保障中国台湾地区的繁荣稳定,同时依循“一国一府”、地方性政权、中国单一制国家结构形式、体现中国台湾地区特殊性等原则。未来,建议在对外缔约、参与国际组织及其活动、与其他国家或地区互设代表机构、出入境管理及护照与其他旅游证件签发等方面探讨中国台湾地区国际参与制度安排,并注意授权方式的运用、反干涉及分离主义等因素对国际参与制度安排的影响。

闽台高职图书馆服务区域经济发展研究

通过调研发现我国台湾地区高职图书馆服务区域经济发展主要有三项措施:利用网络提供个性化服务、依托区域联盟协作提供资源服务、依托专业馆员提供精准的知识服务。在对闽台高职图书馆服务区域经济发展的建设路径、馆员素质、政策扶持、服务效益进行比较的基础上,借鉴台湾高职图书馆的经验,为福建高职图书馆高质量服务区域经济发展提出三个建议:政府出资构建职教区域联盟,统一采购数据库,统一指导服务准则;转变服务思维和服务方式,主推网络图书馆的应用与服务;重视特色数据库的宣传推广和二次开发利用,精准服务区域经济发展。

族源与地缘:闽台新客家建筑

建筑文化的形成离不开其所处地区的自然条件和历史文化,文化也随着人类的迁徙得到传播和发展。本文从族源和地缘的相关性出发,以福建省和台湾地区的新客家建筑为研究对象,从客家民系、地理等学科与建筑学的交叉研究角度出发,比较分析当代闽台地区新客家建筑的异同,探讨族群、地缘与建筑文化的关联性,并探索建立闽台建筑比较研究的基本范式,从而为当代地域建筑研究与设计实践提供一定的理论基础。

“一国两制”香港地区实践对“一国两制”台湾方案的镜鉴

“一国两制”香港地区实践留下很多宝贵经验和深刻启示。“一国两制”台湾方案显然不能照搬香港模式,但其设计可充分借鉴“一国两制”香港地区实践的经验,杜绝出现制度设计的某些不足及制度设计之初未预计到但在实践中出现的问题和矛盾。“一国两制”台湾方案应健全国防、司法、国民教育、国家安全等中央事权法律;消除两岸融合发展遇到的制度冲突;确立中央全面管治权和特别行政区高度自治权有机结合的链接;强化对国家权力的认识,将国家主权、政权内涵融入国民教育中;清除外部势力的非法存在,压缩外部势力干预的空间;注重对特别行政区政府施政能力的监督。同时,探索“一国两制”台湾方案必须坚持开放性和战略性思维,以人民的利益、国家的利益和中华民族伟大复兴为依归。

基于“老屋新生”创新方式的城市历史文化空间保护与更新——以台湾地区经验为例

“老屋新生”作为城市历史文化空间保护与更新的创新方式,对城市发展过程中相关历史文化空间的保护与更新具有重要意义。探究城市发展过程中一些被闲置的历史文化空间在重新规划建设时应注意的条件与实际,认为“老屋新生”是通过一系列保护、更新及创新方式,使具有历史文化意义的老屋在现代社会中具有可持续发展的全新功能。基于传承历史文化、保存文化资产、寻访生活足迹的目的,“老屋新生”议题广受关注,引起人们对老屋的重视与保护。通过分析台湾地区4个较为典型的“老屋新生”成功案例——有记名茶、纪州庵文学森林、好样文房和林百货,探讨台湾地区在城市建设与发展过程中历史文化空间保护与更新的实践经验,以期为未来城市相关空间保护与更新提供借鉴。

RCEP影响下浙台服务业融合发展分析

《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)生效后将对台湾地区的服务业产生深远影响。从产业比较优势的角度出发,运用显示性比较优势指数(RCA)和贸易竞争优势指数(TC)分析发现金融业,保险业,个人、文化和娱乐服务业在浙江属于竞争力较弱产业,而恰恰是台湾地区的强势行业。为此,建议采用对台金融业细分行业差异化引资,推动浙台保险业“互联网+经营理念”合资经营,多方位打造浙台文化、医疗、康养等产业合作新高地三大策略深化浙台服务业融合发展。

平潭综合实验区闽台农文旅融合发展对策分析

【目的/意义】平潭因其独特的地理位置与得天独厚的条件,在闽台融合发展中具有重要优势,发挥着对台交流的前沿平台作用。研究平潭与台湾地区农文旅融合情况,有利于更好地推动闽台农文旅融合发展。【方法/过程】通过实地调研等方式,梳理闽台农文旅融合基本情况,剖析平潭农文旅融合存在的问题,并提出促进平潭农文旅融合发展的对策建议。【结果/结论】结果显示,闽台农文旅融合政策不断创设、融合内容不断拓展,平潭在对台农文旅融合方面有区位、资源、政策方面的优势,但平潭与台湾地区农文旅融合发展中存在市场不旺、程度不深、成效不明显的问题,提出突出文化特色、促进深度融合、提高服务水平、加大宣传力度等对策建议,为进一步推动闽台农文旅融合发展提供参考。