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Reconstructing the Residential Wards in Tang Period Chang’an Based on a Theoretical Ward Categorization System
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作者 C.K.Heng Y.Wang 《中国建筑史论汇刊》 2013年第2期473-488,共16页
长安是唐帝国的首都(公元618-906年)。历史与考古证据的不足,制约了对长安街区特征的深入研究。在最近的研究中,我们按照某些参数对街区进行分类,以构建更易于理解的框架。这些参数为形式、规模和内容。这种系统研究法提供了一个理解街... 长安是唐帝国的首都(公元618-906年)。历史与考古证据的不足,制约了对长安街区特征的深入研究。在最近的研究中,我们按照某些参数对街区进行分类,以构建更易于理解的框架。这些参数为形式、规模和内容。这种系统研究法提供了一个理解街区物理形式和结构的框架。它也为街区中城市景观的重建和想象提供了基础。论文选取三个典型街区进行数字重建。按照文献记载,这些街区当时依照主人的社会地位填充着不同类型和规模的院子。重建三个选区的这种系统方法.适用于长安的所有街区.它为我们提供了一个理论城市模型,可用作讨论和交换关于长安新研究的平台。 展开更多
关键词 唐长安 居住区 分区系统 数字重建
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Effects of Periodic Temperature Changes on Stress Relaxation of Chemically Treated Wood 被引量:4
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作者 XieManhua ZhaoGuangjie 《Forestry Studies in China》 CAS 2004年第4期45-49,共5页
关键词 WOOD structural change chemical treatment periodic temperature change stress relaxation
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Climate change during the last glacial period on the southeast margin of Badain Jaran Desert, Northwest China 被引量:3
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作者 FAN Xiao-lu ZHANG Xin-yi TIAN Ming-zhong 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第10期2379-2388,共10页
Reconstruction of the desert paleoclimate is important to understand the mechanisms that triggered and/or enhanced climate change.Through optically stimulated luminescence(OSL)dating,grain size,magnetic susceptibility... Reconstruction of the desert paleoclimate is important to understand the mechanisms that triggered and/or enhanced climate change.Through optically stimulated luminescence(OSL)dating,grain size,magnetic susceptibility,X-ray powder diffraction(XRD)and geochemical indicators,we provide a welldated record of a sedimentary outcrop on the southeast margin of the Bardain Jaran Desert,Northwest China,during the last glacial period.Four Qz-OSL ages are obtained,41.0±3.4 ka,54.7±4.4 ka,59.5±5.0 ka and 66.8±5.8 ka,corresponding to the depths of 35 cm,70 cm,150 cm and 200 cm respectively.Indicators like grain size,clay content,magnetic susceptibility,XRD and geochemical index(e.g.Sr,Ba,Sr/Ca)jointly indicate abrupt climate changes at the depth of 35 cm(age,ca.41.0 ka)and200 cm(age,ca.67 ka).Namely,the 280 cm sedimentary outcrop perfectly records a warm wet climate stage,corresponding to the late Marine Isotope Stages(MIS)4 to the early MIS 3.Besides,there is a trend of grain size increase after around 40ka BP,which is most likely a signal of wind strength change.Our research supports that enhancing Siberian High pressure system during the late MIS 3played a key role in NW East Asia climate evolution. 展开更多
关键词 LAST GLACIAL period Bardain Jaran DESERT Climate change Siberian High pressure system XRD
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Characteristics of Temperature Change in China over the Last 2000 years and Spatial Patterns of Dryness/Wetness during Cold and Warm Periods 被引量:10
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作者 Quansheng GE Haolong LIU +2 位作者 Xiang MA Jingyun ZHENG Zhixin HAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第8期941-951,共11页
This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation ... This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation in China has exhibited significant 50–70-yr, 100–120-yr, and 200–250-yr cycles. Results also show that the amplitudes of decadal and centennial temperature variation were 1.3℃ and 0.7℃, respectively, with the latter significantly correlated with long-term changes in solar radiation, especially cold periods, which correspond approximately to sunspot minima. The most rapid warming in China occurred over AD 1870–2000, at a rate of 0.56°± 0.42℃(100 yr)^(-1); however, temperatures recorded in the 20 th century may not be unprecedented for the last 2000 years, as data show records for the periods AD 981–1100 and AD1201–70 are comparable to the present. The ensemble means of dryness/wetness spatial patterns in eastern China across all centennial warm periods illustrate a tripole pattern: dry south of 25°N, wet from 25°–30°N, and dry to the north of 30°N. However, for all centennial cold periods, this spatial pattern also exhibits a meridional distribution. The increase in precipitation over the monsoonal regions of China associated with the 20 th century warming can primarily be attributed to a mega El Nino–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. In addition, a significant association between increasing numbers of locusts and dry/cold conditions is found in eastern China. Plague intensity also generally increases in concert with wetness in northern China, while more precipitation is likely to have a negative effect in southern China. 展开更多
关键词 temperature change dry-wet spatial pattern cold and warm periods last 2000 years China
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Changes of China's various mineral resource reserves during the“Tenth-Five Year Plan”period from 2006 to 2010 被引量:1
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作者 Hao Ziguo,Fei Hongcai Liu Lian 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第6期1518-1518,共1页
关键词 period from 2006 to 2010 changes of China’s various mineral resource reserves during the Tenth-Five Year Plan
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Social development and living environment changes in the Northeast Tibetan Plateau and contiguous regions during the late prehistoric period 被引量:5
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作者 Huihui Cao Guanghui Dong 《Regional Sustainability》 2020年第1期59-67,共9页
The relationship between the evolution of human societies and their living environments has been discussed intensively in recent decades.It is important to understand the patterns and mechanisms of human–environment ... The relationship between the evolution of human societies and their living environments has been discussed intensively in recent decades.It is important to understand the patterns and mechanisms of human–environment interaction and evolution in order to cope with rapidly changing environments in the modern world.We reviewed the results of dating,archaeobotanical,and zooarchaeological studies from 139 prehistoric sites in the Northeast Tibetan Plateau(NETP)and contiguous regions(NETP-CR:i.e.,the Hexi Corridor and western margin of the Chinese Loess Plateau)and compared them with paleoenvironmental records to study variations in spatiotemporal patterns of social development in the area and their relationships with climate and vegetation changes.Our results show that hunter-gatherer groups occupied vast areas of the NETP at low intensities during^15,000–5500 BP(years before present).This was directly related to forest cover and climate change.An increase in temperature and precipitation turnover of vegetation from desert steppe to alpine meadow/subalpine shrub,and recovery of animal population on the Tibetan Plateau created more food resources and space for hunter-gatherers.Millet farmers settled extensively below 2500 m a.s.l.(meters above sea level)in the NETP-CR between^5500 and 3600 BP,and might have coexisted with hunting groups above 2500 m a.s.l.via subsistence exchange.The distribution of human settlements during that period was affected by climate change,with the relatively warm and wet climate promoting the expansion of millet agriculture to the NETP-CR during 5500–4500 BP,while climate deterioration caused humans to retreat to lower altitudes.During 3600–2200 BP,a range of livelihoods emerged in different regions of the NETPCR.This was promoted by early trans-Eurasian exchange and the development of an agro-pastoral economy that utilized cold-tolerant crops and livestock.This eventually promoted the expansion of permanent human settlements to high-altitude areas in the NETP.This study found that human societies adopted various strategies to adapt to the changing living environment throughout late prehistoric times in the NETP-CR.The results provide a long-term perspective on the trajectory of regional socio-environmental co-evolution. 展开更多
关键词 Social evolution Climate change Subsistence strategy Late prehistoric period Northeast Tibetan Plateau
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Joint Distribution of Wave Periods and Rate of Change of Wave Surface Elevation
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作者 Shi, HD Sun, F 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI 1999年第2期225-229,共5页
The rate of change of wave surface elevation is of much importance in ocean engineering, especially for the determination of the limitation of wave breaking. This paper gives a kind of joint distribution of wave perio... The rate of change of wave surface elevation is of much importance in ocean engineering, especially for the determination of the limitation of wave breaking. This paper gives a kind of joint distribution of wave periods and the rate of change of wave surface elevation by means of calculation of the two-order to four-order moment of the frequency spectrum based on the linear wave theory. For the first time, the distribution density function of wave periods determined by peaks is provided, and the conclusion is drawn that the rate of change of wave surface elevation obeys the Rayleigh distribution. 展开更多
关键词 rate of change wave surface elevation joint distribution wave period
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Climate Change Characteristics and Return Periods of Heavy Precipitation in the Northeast Side of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
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作者 Tao Huang 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2013年第7期10-14,共5页
[ Objective] The study aimed to discuss analyze climate change characteristics and return periods of heavy precipitation in the northeast side of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. [ Method] Based on the data of daily precipitati... [ Objective] The study aimed to discuss analyze climate change characteristics and return periods of heavy precipitation in the northeast side of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. [ Method] Based on the data of daily precipitation from 1943 to 2008 in 6 representative meteorological stations in Linxia located in the northeast side of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the climate change characteristics of heavy precipitation were analyzed, and the return periods of heavy precipitation were calculated by Pearson-Ill probability distribution method. [ Result] Days of heavy precipitation in Linxia region in- creased conspicuously since the 1990s. The return periods of heavy precipitation in the six stations on August 20, 2008 were consistent with the re- sults of artificial estimation. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the reasonable utilization of climate resources, disas- ter prevention and rational arranqement of anricultural plantina svstems in Linxia reaion. 展开更多
关键词 Northeast side of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Climate change Heavy precipitation Characteristic analysis Return period China
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Analysis on Change Tendency of the Precipitation Resource during Growth Period of the Conventional Crops in Plain Area before Taihang Mountains
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作者 Suqing Han Shijing Jia 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2013年第2期49-52,共4页
[Objective] The aim was to study change tendency of the precipitation resource during growth period of the conventional crops in plain area before Taihang Mountains. [ Method] Based on daily precipitation data at Shij... [Objective] The aim was to study change tendency of the precipitation resource during growth period of the conventional crops in plain area before Taihang Mountains. [ Method] Based on daily precipitation data at Shijiazhuang meteorological station in recent 51 years, average rainfall dudng growth periods of the 9 kinds of conventional crops was obtained. Precipitation tendency dudng growth periods of the 9 kinds of conventional crops in plain area before Taihang Mountains was analyzed by Mann-Kendall nonparametric test. [ Result] Seen from rainfall during growth pedods of the different crops, rainfall was the least during the growth period of winter wheat, followed by summer corn. Rainfall during growth peri- ods of the cotton, oil plant, vegetable, fruit tree, potato, rice and legumes was more. Under different guaranteed rates, precipitation change also had difference. Rainfall change during growth periods of the wheat and corn was bigger, and rainfall change during growth period of the rice was smaller. Change degree of the precipitation during growth periods of the cotton, oil plant, vegetable, fruit tree and legumes was equivalent, while precipitation change during growth period of the potato was the biggest. Seen from change tendency of the precipitation during growth periods of the different crops, precipitation in the growth period of winter wheat was increasing at a speed of 0.62 mm/a. However, precipitation in growth periods of the other crops had a decreasing tendency. Precipitation in the growth periods of summer corn and legumes decreased at the same speed which was 2.11 mm/a, while precipitation in growth periods of the cotton, oil plant, vegetable, fruit tree, potato and rice decreased insignificantly. [ Con dusion] The study laid foundation for determination of the agricultural irrigation water and provided theoretical reference for regional agricultural water-saving. 展开更多
关键词 Precipitation resource Conventional crops Growth period change trend Plain area before Taihang Mountains China
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Assessing the Crop Growing Period According to the Climate Change Forecasts for Marina Baixa (SE Spain)
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作者 Mario Herrera Hassane Moutahir +2 位作者 Carlos Alberto González Esteban Chirino Juan Bellot 《Agricultural Sciences》 2015年第9期1079-1088,共10页
The present work aims to assess the likely effects of climate change on the length of growing period (LGP) of crops in Marina Baixa (SE, Spain). LGP can be assessed by a balance between preci- pitation and reference e... The present work aims to assess the likely effects of climate change on the length of growing period (LGP) of crops in Marina Baixa (SE, Spain). LGP can be assessed by a balance between preci- pitation and reference evapotranspiration. Less rainfall and an increased evapotranspiration, forecast by Global Climate Models (GCMs), are considered as a high risk for agriculture. This area is located in a semiarid climate region where water is a very limited resource. It is a typical example of areas where the agricultural sector has to compete for water with the tourism industry. In this context, by using observed and projected precipitation data set (model HadCM3, Scenario A2), calculating reference evapotranspiration (ETo), and applying the frequency analysis of a probability-type method, we estimated the growing period length in the observed period (1961-1990) and three 30-year future periods (2011-40, 2041-70 and 2071-99) in the study area. The results show a drop in annual precipitations (&#45?30%) and an increased ETo (+18%) towards the end of this century with respect to the observed period (mean annual rainfall: 356 mm;mean ETo: 1476 mm). The results also show a decrease in the number of decades (10 days) when precipitation exceeds half of the ETo, which means shorter growing periods as the 21st century advances. This expected reduction in growing period length towards the end of the present century will imply that many rainfed crops, like olives, almonds and cereals, will require a higher irrigation water supply to maintain suitable growth and performance levels. The results are an early warning to manage water resources in Marina Baixa in a sustainable way. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE change GROWING period Frequency Analysis SEMIARID Mediterranean
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Numerical Study for Characteristic Change of Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation and Its Influence Mechanism during the EI Nino Period
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作者 倪允琪 林元弼 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1990年第3期320-330,共11页
In this paper, the relation between Asian summer monsoon circulation and sea surface temperature anomalies over equatorial central-eastern Pacific is investigated by using a global spectral model. This model has nine ... In this paper, the relation between Asian summer monsoon circulation and sea surface temperature anomalies over equatorial central-eastern Pacific is investigated by using a global spectral model. This model has nine layers in the vertical and the model variables are represented in the horizontal as truncated expansions of the surface spherical harmonics with rhomboidal truncation at wave number 15. The model involves comparatively complete physical processes and parameterizations with mountains.Using the above model, two experimental schemes are designed, namely control case and anomalous sea surface temperature case. The above two schemes are respectively integrated for forty days and the simulated results are obtained from the last 30-day averaged simulations.The simulations show that positive SST anomalies over equatorial central-eastern Pacific weakens Indian monsoon circulation,decreases precipitation in Indian sub-continent whereas it intensifies East Asian monsoon circulation and increases precipitation in East Asian area. All these results reflect the characteristics of Asian summer monsoon during the El Nino period. In this paper, SST anomalies over equatorial central-eastern Pacific have a direct influence on the intensity and position of subtropical high via the wave train over Northern Hemisphere, which is similar to that suggested by Nitta(1987) and the wave train over Southern Hemisphere has an influence on the intensity of Muscarene high and Australia high resulting in affecting cross equatorial flow. As a result, atmospheric interior heat sources and sinks are redistributed because of the change of cross equatorial flow. And the response of atmosphere to the new heat source and sink has a significant influence on Asian summer monsoon. 展开更多
关键词 Asia Numerical Study for Characteristic change of Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation and Its Influence Mechanism during the EI Nino period SSTA Nino EI
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Changes of the Period and the Light Curves of the Contact Binary V1073 Cygni
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作者 Yang Yulan, Liu Qingyao (Yunnan Observatory, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming 650011, China) (United Laboratory of Optical Astronomy, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming 650011, China) (National Astronomical Observatories, The Chinses Acad 《天文研究与技术》 CSCD 1999年第S1期373-377,共5页
Observational evidence of unstable behavior for the W UMa type binary system V1073 Cygni is presented in this paper. Around 1939 the period of the binary suddenly decreased by 0 580 seconds and again suddenly decrease... Observational evidence of unstable behavior for the W UMa type binary system V1073 Cygni is presented in this paper. Around 1939 the period of the binary suddenly decreased by 0 580 seconds and again suddenly decreased by 0 746 seconds around 1981.Obvious variable O’ Connell effect of the light curves in V can be seen. The relation between the changes in the orbital period and variation in the O’ Connell effect and possible reasons for the unstable behavior of V1073 Cyg were discussed. 展开更多
关键词 changes of the period and the Light Curves of the Contact Binary V1073 Cygni
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Palaeoclimatic Cycles, Global Environmental Changes and New Glacial Periods Induced by the Impact of Extraterrestrial Bodies
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作者 王世杰 欧阳自远 肖志峰 《Chinese Journal Of Geochemistry》 EI CAS 1999年第4期298-304,共7页
In terms of Earth\|Sun geometry, the Milankovitch theory has successfully explained most of the cyclic palaeoclimatic variations during the history of the Earth, especially in the Quaternary. In this paper, the author... In terms of Earth\|Sun geometry, the Milankovitch theory has successfully explained most of the cyclic palaeoclimatic variations during the history of the Earth, especially in the Quaternary. In this paper, the authors suggest that the impact of extraterrestrial bodies on the Earth may be another mechanism to cause palaeoclimatic cycles, global environmental changes and new glacial periods. Based on geological and geochemical records in the boundary layers produced by six huge Cenozoic bolide\|impact events (65, 34, 15, 2.4, 1.1, 0.73 Ma B.P.), including those at 34, 15, 1.1 and 0.73 Ma B.P. which are represented by four famous tektite\|strewn fields, the process and mechanics of palaeoclimatic cycles and global environmental catastrophes induced by extraterrestrial impact are discussed in detail. Impact\|generated dust, soot and aerosol floating in the stratosphere could result in short\|term (<1 year), rapid drop in temperature immediately after impact. Through self\|regulation of the Earth’s climate system, the temperature at the surface slowly went up within 100a and maintained stable for a long time at 250K. If there were no other factors leading to the break\|down of the newly\|established equilibrium, a new glacial period would be initiated. Estimating from the thickness of \{δ\{\}\+\{13\}C\} and \{δ\{\}\+\{18\}O\} anomalies in sediments across the impact boundary layer and deposition rate, the duration of two stages of the palaeoclimate cycle in the form of cold weather—greenhouse effect—normal weather was 10\+4-10\+5a, respectively. The conclusion deduced from the above model is supported by palaeotemperature change recorded by oxygen isotope in sediments across the impact boundary layer. 展开更多
关键词 古气候 地球环境 流星事件 新生代 新冰河时期
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Conservation in the Chang Tang
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作者 George B.Schaller 《China's Tibet》 2008年第2期61-64,共4页
Mr.George B.Schaller is from Wildlife Conservation Society,he had been to Qinghai-Tibet Plateau many times to conduct a wildlife survey.The follows is his point view on northern Tibet,namely Chang Tang.
关键词 Conservation in the chang tang
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末次冰期东海嵊山岛黄土粒度端元分析及其环境意义 被引量:1
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作者 赵庆 郑祥民 +4 位作者 周立旻 王辉 吕红华 陈圆圆 任少芳 《沉积学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期521-533,共13页
【目的】东海岛屿晚更新世风尘黄土堆积是我国黄土在东部长三角及外延海域重要的拓展,深化这一区域风尘黄土沉积的物源特征和后期演化问题研究,对于认识晚更新世区域古环境变化尤为重要。【方法】在OSL测年和磁化率测试基础上,基于东海... 【目的】东海岛屿晚更新世风尘黄土堆积是我国黄土在东部长三角及外延海域重要的拓展,深化这一区域风尘黄土沉积的物源特征和后期演化问题研究,对于认识晚更新世区域古环境变化尤为重要。【方法】在OSL测年和磁化率测试基础上,基于东海岛屿典型风尘黄土剖面(嵊山岛黄土)的粒度分析,开展了粒度组成的端元分析,探讨了其蕴含的古环境信息。【结果与结论】嵊山岛黄土沉积可提取出3个粒度端元(EM1~EM3),进一步分析发现EM1可能代表通过高空西风气流传输的远源黏粒组分,EM2可能代表以浮尘形式远距离悬浮搬运并随风力减弱而沉降堆积的细粉砂组分,EM3可能代表冬季风驱动下的近地表短距离搬运堆积的粗粉砂组分。粒度端元分析结果表明,高空西风输送的黏粒端元组分和远距离悬浮运移的浮尘端元组分可能是沉积剖面主要粉尘来源;综合年代学结果、百分频率磁化率和颗粒中值粒径等参数分析,认为东海嵊山岛黄土沉积过程在MIS3阶段先后经历暖湿—冷干—暖湿的旋回波动;并且,所记录的MIS3阶段气候波动以及MIS2阶段末次冰盛期和冰消期的古环境变化同深海氧同位素和古海平面变化趋势相对应,说明东海陆架区域该时期环境演变与全球性气候波动相协同。 展开更多
关键词 端元分析 嵊山岛黄土 末次冰期 古气候变化
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The change of the cationic peroxidase in the leaves at the fertile transformation period in Nongken 58s
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作者 HE Zhichang Dept of Plant Sci,College of Life Sci,Wuhan Univ,Wuhan 430072,China 《Chinese Rice Research Newsletter》 1997年第1期11-12,共2页
Nongken 58s is a type of photoperiod sensitivegenie male sterile rice which gives rice to malesterility when illuminated time is longer than13.75 h/d.The photoperiod sensitive stagesare from the differentiation of pri... Nongken 58s is a type of photoperiod sensitivegenie male sterile rice which gives rice to malesterility when illuminated time is longer than13.75 h/d.The photoperiod sensitive stagesare from the differentiation of primary branchprimordum(Ⅱ)in young ears to fullness ofcontents of the pollen(Ⅶ).The changes ofactivity and isoenzymes in cation peroxidase atph0toperiod sensitive stages and the relation-ship between this enzyme and feritility of rice 展开更多
关键词 The change of the cationic peroxidase in the leaves at the fertile transformation period in Nongken 58s
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从“氏族之人”到“编户齐民”——试论先秦时期社会成员身份的变迁 被引量:3
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作者 晁福林 《河北师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 2024年第1期1-7,共7页
夏商西周时期,社会上几乎所有的人都生活于“族”之中。这些族,夏商时期称为“氏族”,西周时期则多称为“宗族”。春秋战国时期,虽然“人”“民”多混用无别,但两者的使用却出现了有所侧重的情况。“民”能够以地域为称,但并不以族为称... 夏商西周时期,社会上几乎所有的人都生活于“族”之中。这些族,夏商时期称为“氏族”,西周时期则多称为“宗族”。春秋战国时期,虽然“人”“民”多混用无别,但两者的使用却出现了有所侧重的情况。“民”能够以地域为称,但并不以族为称,它所表现的是社会成员的地域特征,而“人”则可以表现其作为某族的血缘关系特征。社会成员间血缘关系的影响在削弱,而国家地域关系的影响在增强。社会成员身份的巨大变化是由氏族(宗族)之人,变成了国家控制下的编户齐民。“编户齐民”肇端于战国时期诸国授田制度的实施,到秦代则成为国家控制天下民众的最主要的制度。这种居民身份的变化深刻地影响着古代中国的历史发展。 展开更多
关键词 先秦时期 “氏族之人” “编户齐民” 土地制度改革 居民身份变化
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近62 a三峡地区区域性暴雨过程气候特征及长期变化规律
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作者 王荣 叶殿秀 +3 位作者 肖潺 赵珊珊 陈鲜艳 李威 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2024年第2期16-26,共11页
【目的】充分认识三峡地区区域暴雨过程的气候特征及长期变化规律对于科学防汛以及合理利用水资源具有重要意义。【方法】基于三峡地区33个国家级气象观测站1961—2022年逐日降水量资料和目前重庆市气候中心业务采用的区域性暴雨过程监... 【目的】充分认识三峡地区区域暴雨过程的气候特征及长期变化规律对于科学防汛以及合理利用水资源具有重要意义。【方法】基于三峡地区33个国家级气象观测站1961—2022年逐日降水量资料和目前重庆市气候中心业务采用的区域性暴雨过程监测指标,对三峡地区区域性暴雨过程进行客观识别,并利用多种数理统计方法分析区域性暴雨过程的气候特征和长期变化规律。【结果】结果表明:(1)三峡地区近三分之二的暴雨以区域性过程形式出现,平均每年区域性暴雨过程有8.4次,主要出现在5—9月,尤以6—7月为集中发生时段。区域性暴雨过程首次开始日期多年平均为5月8日,末次结束日期为9月17日。平均每次过程的暴雨覆盖范围为8.6站,持续时间1.3 d,平均暴雨强度为74.7 mm/d。(2)三峡地区区域性暴雨过程年频次存在2~3 a和8 a左右的变化周期,年平均区域性暴雨过程覆盖范围存在4~6 a和8~11 a周期变化。(3)近62 a三峡地区区域性暴雨过程的首次开始日期显著提前,末次结束日期无明显变化,发生期显著变长;发生频次没有明显变化趋势、平均持续时间、平均覆盖范围、平均综合强度也均没有明显变化趋势,但平均暴雨强度呈增强趋势。(4)近62 a,三峡地区区域性暴雨过程的各项指标均未发生突变现象。【结论】研究成果为三峡地区防汛减灾、水资源管理以及回应三峡工程对局地气候影响的社会关切等提供科学支撑。 展开更多
关键词 区域性暴雨过程 气候特征 变化趋势 变化周期 三峡地区 极端降雨 降水 三峡水库
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中国人口流动的健康轨迹研究
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作者 张莉 刘燕 王钦池 《人口学刊》 北大核心 2024年第3期101-112,共12页
人口的高流动性和流动人口快速老化已成为中国人口发展的显著特征。研究人口流动对我国城乡居民健康的影响及其变动趋势,对于理解和实现健康老龄化,改善人口健康水平具有重要意义。现有研究较多分析流动人口相比于城镇居民的健康状况,... 人口的高流动性和流动人口快速老化已成为中国人口发展的显著特征。研究人口流动对我国城乡居民健康的影响及其变动趋势,对于理解和实现健康老龄化,改善人口健康水平具有重要意义。现有研究较多分析流动人口相比于城镇居民的健康状况,而对流动人口和农村居民的健康差异的研究相对缺乏;对于流动人口在老年阶段的健康状况与户籍人口的差异以及流动对人口健康的影响等关键问题尚没有确定结论。本文旨在探讨人口流动与个体健康的因果关系以及流动人口和城乡户籍人口之间随时间和年龄变化的健康差异。本文利用中国家庭动态追踪调查(CFPS)2010-2020年连续六次调查的面板数据,采用固定效应模型和线性回归模型分析人口流动的健康效应和年龄效应。研究发现2012-2020年流动对人口健康的总体影响为负,验证了流动具有健康损耗效应,存在“流行病学悖论”。从时期维度看,流动对人口健康的影响呈现由健康优势转为健康劣势的趋势,人口流动的健康选择效应和流动经历的内在健康损耗效应并存。初期流动人口具有健康优势,健康自评状况优于城乡户籍人口。随着时间推进,健康优势逐渐收敛,健康损耗效应逐渐显现。从年龄维度看,流动人口和城乡户籍人口的自评健康水平随着年龄增加都呈下降趋势,但流动人口的下降速度显著慢于城乡户籍人口,其健康优势在老年阶段逐渐消失。上述发现的政策含义是:在人口老龄化不断加深和流动人口规模保持高位,流动人口老化愈加明显的背景下,流动人口的健康老龄化成为重要挑战,在政策实践层面应关注流动经历对个体生命周期的持续影响,尤其是要重视城镇中的高龄流动人口返乡回流将健康风险转移到农村,从而增加农村整体的健康脆弱性和健康照护成本,应将人口流动因素作为优化城乡卫生健康资源配置的重要考量。 展开更多
关键词 人口流动 健康轨迹 固定效应模型 时期变化
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耶鲁大学藏心耕堂本《引痘略》研究
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作者 李计筹 郭强 《南京中医药大学学报(社会科学版)》 2024年第2期91-98,共8页
《引痘略》是广东南海邱熺于1817年编写的一部论述接种牛痘的医籍。至19世纪末,该书几乎遍传全国,现存版本不下76个。出版于同治元年(1862)的心耕堂本,由邱熺之子邱昶重镌,存世数量极少,现已知仅有山西本、广图本和耶鲁本。着重介绍耶... 《引痘略》是广东南海邱熺于1817年编写的一部论述接种牛痘的医籍。至19世纪末,该书几乎遍传全国,现存版本不下76个。出版于同治元年(1862)的心耕堂本,由邱熺之子邱昶重镌,存世数量极少,现已知仅有山西本、广图本和耶鲁本。着重介绍耶鲁本的版本特征,以及其与广图本及1862年前出版的多种《引痘略》版本的区别,并从全国暴发疫情、种痘得到官方资助以及抵制假冒三个方面探讨了心耕堂本的出版背景,以及从版面和内容设计显示邱氏种痘的正统地位、他者叙事展示邱氏的仁术神功和奉献精神、五世作者群体彰显弥久善心等方面探讨了该书的编纂特点。 展开更多
关键词 引痘略 牛痘 邱熺 邱昶 心耕堂
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