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Contractor-Related Factors and Performance of Bridge Construction Projects Implemented by Kenya National Highways Authority (KeNHA) Kenya
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作者 Joan Anyika Otike Charles Kabubo Victoria Okumu 《Open Journal of Civil Engineering》 2024年第2期214-224,共11页
The performance of bridge projects in Kenya is poor in terms of completion by schedule, cost, and quality (scope). Yet, there is less evidence of empirical research on what factors contribute to this outcome. This stu... The performance of bridge projects in Kenya is poor in terms of completion by schedule, cost, and quality (scope). Yet, there is less evidence of empirical research on what factors contribute to this outcome. This study aimed to bridge this gap by examining the effects of contractor-related factors on the performance of bridge construction projects in Kenya through a case study of the Bridge projects Implemented by the Kenya National Highway Agency (KeNHA). The theory of constraints (TOC) was adopted as its theoretical framework. Descriptive research was used, and the target population was 18 bridge construction projects, which were the units of analysis from 2012 to 2022. In each of these projects, 18 respondents, namely clients, consultants, contractors, engineers, environment and social guards, project managers, stakeholders, subcontractors, technical advisors, and inspectors, were included in a target population of 144 respondents. A census was conducted and a structured questionnaire was administered from which a response rate of 68% was achieved. The information was analyzed using descriptive, correlation, and multiple linear regression analysis. The contractor-related factors considered in the study were staff and management factors. The findings indicated that staff and management factors had a positive and significant outcome on performance of bridge construction projects. The study recommends continuous training and a safe learning environment for staff to improve their skills and performance in future projects. The study also recommends that a special category for bridge contractors be created in Kenya’s National Construction Authority rankings to ensure that only qualified contractors implement the Bridge projects. 展开更多
关键词 Staff Factors Management Factors Performance Bridge projects KeNHA
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Multi-Criteria Wildfire Risk Hazard Assessment in GIS Environment: Projection for the Future and Impact on RES Projects Installation Planning
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作者 Aggelos Pallikarakis Flora Konstantopoulou 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2024年第5期242-265,共24页
It is alarming for the fact that Wildfires number, severity and consequently impact have significantly increased during the last years, an aftermath of the Climate Change. One of the most affected areas worldwide is M... It is alarming for the fact that Wildfires number, severity and consequently impact have significantly increased during the last years, an aftermath of the Climate Change. One of the most affected areas worldwide is Mediterranean, due to the unique combination of its type of vegetation and demanding climatic conditions. This research is focused on the Region of Epirus in Greece, an area with significant natural vegetation and a range of geomorphological aspects. In order to estimate the Wildfire Risk Hazard, several factors have been used: geomorphological (slope, aspect, elevation, TWI, Hydrographic network), social (Settlements and landfils, roads, overhead lines and substations), environmental (land cover) and climatic (Fire Weather Index). Through a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) and an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) in a GIS environment, the Wildfire Risk Hazard has been estimated not only for current conditions but also for future projections for the near future (2031-2060) and the far future (2071-2100). The selected case study includes the potential impact of the Wildfires to the installed (or targeted to be installed) RES projects in the studied region. 展开更多
关键词 RES projects Greece Epirus Analytic Hierarchy Process Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
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A Review on Determinants Affecting Commercialization of Academic Institution Final Year Projects
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作者 Xin Lan Zaheril Bin Zainudin 《Journal of Sustainable Business and Economics》 2024年第2期44-61,共18页
Final year project is an important training and assessment component incorporated in many courses of academic institution.The ability to translate ideas,research,and creativity into actual products,services,or busines... Final year project is an important training and assessment component incorporated in many courses of academic institution.The ability to translate ideas,research,and creativity into actual products,services,or businesses shows how successful and impactful people or institutions can be in the wider economy.However,in most of the cases,the outcomes of the final year project usually remain as academic discussion without maximizing their potential to be converted into a commercialized product or services.In this review,theory and applications are discussed to understand how entrepreneurial skills and networking abilities,components of individuals’human capital can impact the commercialisation of final year projects.Furthermore,determinants affecting commercialization of final year projects will also be explored namely:entrepreneurial skills,networking ability,access to resources,institutional support as well as creativity and innovation. 展开更多
关键词 COMMERCIALIZATION Final Year projects ENTREPRENEURSHIP Institution Support Network Resources
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Financial Calculation Problems and Countermeasure Analysis of Large-Scale Engineering Construction Projects
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作者 Qiong Hou 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第2期15-21,共7页
The financial aspects of large-scale engineering construction projects profoundly influence their success.Strengthening cost control and establishing a scientific financial evaluation system can enhance the project’s... The financial aspects of large-scale engineering construction projects profoundly influence their success.Strengthening cost control and establishing a scientific financial evaluation system can enhance the project’s economic benefits,minimize unnecessary costs,and provide decision-makers with a robust financial foundation.Additionally,implementing an effective cash flow control mechanism and conducting a comprehensive assessment of potential project risks can ensure financial stability and mitigate the risk of fund shortages.Developing a practical and feasible fundraising plan,along with stringent fund management practices,can prevent fund wastage and optimize fund utilization efficiency.These measures not only facilitate smooth project progression and improve project management efficiency but also enhance the project’s economic and social outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 Large-scale engineering construction projects Financial calculation Fund management
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Exploration of the Maturity Evaluation of College Students’Innovation and Entrepreneurship Projects Based on Computer Database Technology
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作者 Shuai Yuan 《Journal of Electronic Research and Application》 2024年第6期89-95,共7页
The college innovation and entrepreneurship program is a powerful means to enhance students’innovation and entrepreneurship skills.Evaluating the maturity of innovation and entrepreneurship projects can stimulate stu... The college innovation and entrepreneurship program is a powerful means to enhance students’innovation and entrepreneurship skills.Evaluating the maturity of innovation and entrepreneurship projects can stimulate students’enthusiasm and initiative to participate.Utilizing computer database technology for maturity evaluation can make the process more efficient,accurate,and convenient,aligning with the needs of the information age.Exploring strategies for applying computer database technology in the maturity evaluation of innovation and entrepreneurship projects offers valuable insights and directions for developing these projects,while also providing strong support for enhancing students’innovation and entrepreneurship abilities. 展开更多
关键词 DATABASE Innovation and entrepreneurship projects Maturity evaluation
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Trust beyond Technology Algorithms: A Theoretical Exploration of Consumer Trust and Behavior in Technological Consumption and AI Projects
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作者 David Oyekunle Ugochukwu Okwudili Matthew +1 位作者 David Preston David Boohene 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2024年第6期72-102,共31页
In an era dominated by artificial intelligence (AI), establishing customer confidence is crucial for the integration and acceptance of AI technologies. This interdisciplinary study examines factors influencing custome... In an era dominated by artificial intelligence (AI), establishing customer confidence is crucial for the integration and acceptance of AI technologies. This interdisciplinary study examines factors influencing customer trust in AI systems through a mixed-methods approach, blending quantitative analysis with qualitative insights to create a comprehensive conceptual framework. Quantitatively, the study analyzes responses from 1248 participants using structural equation modeling (SEM), exploring interactions between technological factors like perceived usefulness and transparency, psychological factors including perceived risk and domain expertise, and organizational factors such as leadership support and ethical accountability. The results confirm the model, showing significant impacts of these factors on consumer trust and AI adoption attitudes. Qualitatively, the study includes 35 semi-structured interviews and five case studies, providing deeper insight into the dynamics shaping trust. Key themes identified include the necessity of explainability, domain competence, corporate culture, and stakeholder engagement in fostering trust. The qualitative findings complement the quantitative data, highlighting the complex interplay between technology capabilities, human perceptions, and organizational practices in establishing trust in AI. By integrating these findings, the study proposes a novel conceptual model that elucidates how various elements collectively influence consumer trust in AI. This model not only advances theoretical understanding but also offers practical implications for businesses and policymakers. The research contributes to the discourse on trust creation and decision-making in technology, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary efforts to address societal challenges associated with technological advancements. It lays the groundwork for future research, including longitudinal, cross-cultural, and industry-specific studies, to further explore consumer trust in AI. 展开更多
关键词 Consumer Trust AI-Driven projects TRANSPARENCY Ethical Accountability Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) Interdisciplinary Study Organizational Factors Psychological Factors Behavioral Intention
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Research on Intelligent Cost Estimation of Engineering Foundation Projects Based on CSIs Theory
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作者 Jie Di Wenhao Xing +2 位作者 Meng Wu Dan Zhang Jiashuo Zhao 《Journal of World Architecture》 2024年第5期29-35,共7页
Against the backdrop of rapid development in China’s construction and infrastructure sectors,discrepancies between project budgets and actual costs have become pronounced,manifesting in project overruns and suspensio... Against the backdrop of rapid development in China’s construction and infrastructure sectors,discrepancies between project budgets and actual costs have become pronounced,manifesting in project overruns and suspensions,posing significant challenges.To address inaccuracies in investment targets and operational complexities,this study focuses on a beam-bridge construction project in a district of Shijiazhuang city as a case study.Drawing upon historical analogs,the project employs a Work Breakdown Structure(WBS)to decompose the engineering works.Building on theories of Cost Significant(CS)and Whole Life Costing(WLC),the study constructs Cost Significant Items(CSIs)and develops a CNN-BiLSTM-Attention neural network for nonlinear prediction.By identifying significant cost drivers in engineering projects,this paper presents a streamlined cost estimation method that significantly reduces computational burdens,simplifies data collection processes,and optimizes data analysis and forecasting,thereby enhancing prediction accuracy.Finally,validation with real-world cost fluctuation data demonstrates minor errors,meeting predictive requirements across project execution phases. 展开更多
关键词 Project management Cost Significant Items(CSIs) Engineering costing Intelligent estimation
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Construction Safety Management of Mechanical and Electrical Installation Projects
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作者 Honglou Chi 《Journal of Architectural Research and Development》 2024年第2期50-54,共5页
Various industries today rely on the support of electromechanical equipment,expanding its scope of application and leading to an increase in electromechanical installation projects.However,due to the high level of exp... Various industries today rely on the support of electromechanical equipment,expanding its scope of application and leading to an increase in electromechanical installation projects.However,due to the high level of expertise required and the potential risks involved,it is crucial to emphasize safety management during construction.This paper delves into the significance of construction safety management for electromechanical installation projects,identifies common problems encountered during construction,and proposes solutions.This analysis aims to provide relevant personnel with essential guidance and references for managing electromechanical installation projects safely. 展开更多
关键词 Construction safety Mechanical and electrical installation Installation engineering Engineering projects Safety management
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Design of Aided Decision-Making Program for Prioritizing Construction Projects in Urban Road Network Planning
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作者 任刚 王炜 顾志康 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2002年第3期249-253,共5页
The importance and complexity of prioritizing construction projects (PCP) in urban road network planning lead to the necessity to develop an aided decision making program (ADMP). Cost benefit ratio model and stage rol... The importance and complexity of prioritizing construction projects (PCP) in urban road network planning lead to the necessity to develop an aided decision making program (ADMP). Cost benefit ratio model and stage rolled method are chosen as the theoretical foundations of the program, and then benefit model is improved to accord with the actuality of urban traffic in China. Consequently, program flows, module functions and data structures are designed, and particularly an original data structure of road ... 展开更多
关键词 prioritizing construction projects program design urban road network planning aided decision making
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残膜回收机有效作业面积监测系统设计研究
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作者 王德阳 张若宇 +3 位作者 段宏伟 翟志强 付宇轩 孟庆建 《农机化研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期54-60,共7页
为便于新疆棉田残膜回收的精准作业收费和补贴,设计了一种残膜回收机有效作业面积监测系统。通过仿真试验对比锁相放大器降噪前后残膜回收机作业时经纬度数据,得出锁相滤波对于噪声环境有较好的抗干扰性能;采用高斯投影正算方法将降噪... 为便于新疆棉田残膜回收的精准作业收费和补贴,设计了一种残膜回收机有效作业面积监测系统。通过仿真试验对比锁相放大器降噪前后残膜回收机作业时经纬度数据,得出锁相滤波对于噪声环境有较好的抗干扰性能;采用高斯投影正算方法将降噪后经纬度数据转化为平面坐标,得出1.5°带的高斯投影的相对误差相较于3°带降低了0.01%。同时,利用卡尔曼滤波算法和构成角方法筛选有效作业轨迹,使用缓冲区法计算重复作业面积,最终利用轨迹算法精准获取残膜回收机有效作业面积,得出所设计的残膜回收机有效作业面积监测系统对于大块农田测量时相对误差为2.6%,对于小块农田测量时相对误差为3.3%。研究结果表明:所设计的残膜回收机有效作业面积监测系统可以精确计算出残膜回收机的有效作业面积,为残膜回收机作业质量评估提供了一定的理论基础。 展开更多
关键词 北斗导航 作业面积监测 高斯投影 卡尔曼滤波 缓冲区算法
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利用项目学习方式培养中小学生的21世纪技能——ThinkQuest Projects全球竞赛及获奖案例评析
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作者 谭姣连 《软件导刊.教育技术》 2012年第3期3-7,共5页
项目学习是被公认的最有效的反映素质教育的教学方式之一,但如何开展项目学习才能有效地培养学生的21世纪技能,则是需要认真研究的问题。分析了ThinkQuest Projects全球竞赛的获奖案例,以期为教师深入理解和继续开展项目学习提供一定的... 项目学习是被公认的最有效的反映素质教育的教学方式之一,但如何开展项目学习才能有效地培养学生的21世纪技能,则是需要认真研究的问题。分析了ThinkQuest Projects全球竞赛的获奖案例,以期为教师深入理解和继续开展项目学习提供一定的思路和经验。 展开更多
关键词 ThinkQuest projects 项目学习 21世纪技能
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Modeling and Analysis of Mechanization Projects of Wheat Production by GERT Networks 被引量:14
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作者 Reza Abdi Hamid Reza Ghasemzadeh +2 位作者 Shamsollah Abdollahpour Majid Sabzeparvar Adel Dabbag Mohamadi Nasab 《Agricultural Sciences in China》 CSCD 2010年第7期1078-1083,共6页
In crop production systems,all operations such as seed bed preparation,etc.,must be accomplished on time,if yield reduction and low quality product are to be avoided.Therefore all operations in mechanized cropping pro... In crop production systems,all operations such as seed bed preparation,etc.,must be accomplished on time,if yield reduction and low quality product are to be avoided.Therefore all operations in mechanized cropping projects require precise scheduling,planning and management.The basic approach in all scheduling techniques is to form a network of activities and events relationships that graphically portrays the sequential relations between the tasks in a project.Such a network would as a powerful tool available a farm manager to plan,schedule,monitor and control a project.Since GERT(Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique) networks have most of advantages associated with networks and available system analyst in exact evaluation of certain types of networks,in this research it was used and mechanized wheat production system was simulated,modeled and analyzed.Critical activities,events and path were determined.Results showed that the network model was able to answer any statistic questions concerning with the project.Network models,particularly GERT networks are increasingly powerful tool for modeling,scheduling,planning,controlling,and analyzing of agricultural mechanization projects. 展开更多
关键词 GERT networks MECHANIZATION PROJECT SCHEDULING WHEAT
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Application of system dynamics for assessment of sustainable performance of construction projects 被引量:10
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作者 SHENL.Y. 吴宇哲 +1 位作者 CHANE.H.W. HAOJ.L. 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第4期339-349,共11页
Sustainable performance is expected to become a major factor when examining the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its life cycle performance. The study on which this paper is based developed a simulati... Sustainable performance is expected to become a major factor when examining the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its life cycle performance. The study on which this paper is based developed a simulation model, using system dy- namics methodology, to assess the sustainable performance of projects. Three major factors are used to examine project sus- tainable performance (PSP): the sustainability of economic development (E), the sustainability of social development (S), and the sustainability of environmental development (En). Sustainable development ability (SDA) was used as a prototype to evaluate the degree of sustainable performance. The simulation software ‘ithink’ was used to help with the application of the model to a real life case. This paper explains and demonstrates the procedures used to develop the model and finally offers an approach for assessing the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its sustainable performance. 展开更多
关键词 Construction project Project life cycle Project sustainable performance (PSP) Sustainable development ability(SDA) System dynamics Simulation
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Ranking environmental projects model based on multicriteria decision-making and the weight sensitivity analysis 被引量:5
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作者 Jiang Yan Tian Dagang Pan Yue 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2007年第3期534-539,共6页
With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects (alternatives) for obtaining the best environmental qua... With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects (alternatives) for obtaining the best environmental quality and economic benefits is an important problem for the decision makers. The purpose of this paper is to develop a decision-making model to rank a finite number of alternatives with several and sometimes conflicting criteria. A model for ranking the projects of municipal sewage treatment plants is proposed by using exports' information and the data of the real projects. And, the ranking result is given based on the PROMETHEE method. Furthermore, by means of the concept of the weight stability intervals (WSI), the sensitivity of the ranking results to the size of criteria values and the change of weights value of criteria are discussed. The result shows that some criteria, such as “proportion of benefit to project cost”, will influence the ranking result of alternatives very strong while others not. The influence are not only from the value of criterion but also from the changing the weight of criterion. So, some criteria such as “proportion of benefit to project cost” are key critera for ranking the projects. Decision makers must be cautious to them. 展开更多
关键词 multicriteria decision-making ranking environmental projects model PROMETHEE method sensitivity analysis weight stability intervals.
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Joint optimization scheduling for water conservancy projects incomplex river networks 被引量:6
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作者 Qin Liu Guo-hua Fang +1 位作者 Hong-bin Sun Xue-wen Wu 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2017年第1期43-52,共10页
In this study, we simulated water flow in a water conservancy project consisting of various hydraulic structures, such as sluices, pumping stations, hydropower stations, ship locks, and culverts, and developed a multi... In this study, we simulated water flow in a water conservancy project consisting of various hydraulic structures, such as sluices, pumping stations, hydropower stations, ship locks, and culverts, and developed a multi-period and multi-variable joint optimization scheduling model for flood control, drainage, and irrigation. In this model, the number of sluice holes, pump units, and hydropower station units to be opened were used as decision variables, and different optimization objectives and constraints were considered. This model was solved with improved genetic algorithms and verified using the Huaian Water Conservancy Project as an example. The results show that the use of the joint optimization scheduling led to a 10% increase in the power generation capacity and a 15% reduction in the total energy consumption. The change in the water level was reduced by 0.25 m upstream of the Yundong Sluice, and by 50% downstream of pumping stations No. 1, No. 2, and No. 4. It is clear that the joint optimization scheduling proposed in this study can effectively improve power generation capacity of the project, minimize operating costs and energy consumption, and enable more stable operation of various hydraulic structures. The results may provide references for the management of water conservancy projects in complex river networks. 展开更多
关键词 Complex river network Water conservancy project Hydraulic structure Flow capacity simulation Scheduling model Optimal scheduling
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Differentiation degree combination weighting method for investment decision-making risk assessment in power grid construction projects 被引量:5
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作者 Yuan Chang Chenmiao Liu +4 位作者 Minghua Liu Wenxia Liu Zongqi Liu Heng Zhang Yan Zheng 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2019年第5期466-478,共13页
Power grid construction projects are distinguished by their wide variety,high investment,long payback period,and close relation to national development and human welfare.To improve the investment accuracy in such proj... Power grid construction projects are distinguished by their wide variety,high investment,long payback period,and close relation to national development and human welfare.To improve the investment accuracy in such projects and effectively prevent investment risks,this paper proposes an investment optimization decision-making method for multiple power grid construction projects under a certain investment scale.Firstly,an in-depth analysis of the characteristics and development requirements of China’s power grid projects was performed.Thereafter,the time sequence and holographic method was adopted to conduct multi-dimensional,multi-perspective risk assessment of different parts of power grid projects,and a holographic risk assessment index system was developed.Moreover,an investment decision model considering the comprehensive risk based on combination weighting was developed according to the output and input of power grid construction projects.A new combination weighting optimization method that takes into account the investment willingness of enterprises was designed to improve the current weighting evaluation methods.Finally,the validity and applicability of the proposed evaluation method were verified by case examples. 展开更多
关键词 Power GRID projects Risk assessment Time SEQUENCE Index system Combination weighting
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Evaluation index system for positive operation of water conservancy projects 被引量:3
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作者 Qing-yuan ZHU Guo-hua FANG 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2009年第4期110-117,共8页
The conditions for the positive operation of water conservancy projects are described in this paper. A scientific and effective evaluation index system was established based on frequency analysis, theoretical analysis... The conditions for the positive operation of water conservancy projects are described in this paper. A scientific and effective evaluation index system was established based on frequency analysis, theoretical analysis, and expert consultation. This evaluation index system can be divided into six first-level indices: the degree to which facilities are intact and functionality standards are reached, the status of operation and management funds, the rationality and degree of advancement of the management team structure, the adaptability and rationality of the water conservancy project management system, the degree of automatization and informationization of the management techniques, and the conduciveness of the exterior environment. The weights for evaluation indices were obtained through the analytic hierarchy process method with consideration of the difference between public welfare and profit-oriented water conservancy projects. This study provides a scientific method for evaluating the positive operation of water conservancy projects. 展开更多
关键词 water conservancy project positive operation evaluation index system analytic hierarchy process WEIGHT
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Risk measurement of international oil and gas projects based on the Value at Risk method 被引量:2
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作者 Cheng Cheng Zhen Wang +1 位作者 Ming-Ming Liu Xiao-Hang Ren 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第1期199-216,共18页
International oil and gas projects feature high capital-intensity, high risks and contract diversity. Therefore, in order to help decision makers make more reasonable decisions under uncertainty, it is necessary to me... International oil and gas projects feature high capital-intensity, high risks and contract diversity. Therefore, in order to help decision makers make more reasonable decisions under uncertainty, it is necessary to measure the risks of international oil and gas projects. For this purpose, this paper constructs a probabilistic model that is based on the traditional economic evaluation model, and introduces value at risk(VaR) which is a valuable risk measure tool in finance, and applies Va R to measure the risks of royalty contracts, production share contracts and service contracts of an international oil and gas project. Besides, this paper compares the influences of different risk factors on the net present value(NPV) of the project by using the simulation results. The results indicate:(1) risks have great impacts on the project's NPV, therefore, if risks are overlooked, the decision may be wrong.(2) A simulation method is applied to simulate the stochastic distribution of risk factors in the probabilistic model. Therefore, the probability is related to the project's NPV, overcoming the inherent limitation of the traditional economic evaluation method.(3) VaR is a straightforward risk measure tool, and can be applied to evaluate the risks of international oil and gas projects. It is helpful for decision making. 展开更多
关键词 RISK measurement Value at RISK INTERNATIONAL oil and gas projects FISCAL TERMS - Probabilistic model
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Impact of hydroelectric projects on river environment: Analysis of water quality changes in Ningxia Reach of Yellow River 被引量:2
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作者 Sun Dongpo Lu Ruili +1 位作者 Song Yongjun Yan Jun 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2008年第2期66-75,共10页
In this paper, the relationship between hydroelectric projects and the river environment is analyzed. Recently, the large-scale regulation of runoff by large hydroelectric projects in the Ningxia Reach of the Yellow R... In this paper, the relationship between hydroelectric projects and the river environment is analyzed. Recently, the large-scale regulation of runoff by large hydroelectric projects in the Ningxia Reach of the Yellow River has altered natural runoff processes, causing an increase in the probability of low discharge and an overall adjustment of riverbed evolution and river characteristics. During low-flow years, the combined effects of these two changes can weaken the self-purification capacity and reduce the water environmental capacity of the river. This is one of the main reasons for the recent decrease of water quality in the Ningxia Reach. This research shows that it is necessary to implement river training projects to maintain stable flow paths, not only for adjusting river regimes and for flood control, but also for increasing the self-purification capacity and the water environmental capacity of the river. Methods and proposals for coordinating the operation of hydroelectric projects with the protection of the river environment are presented in the interest of promoting sustainable development. 展开更多
关键词 runoff adjustment hydroelectric project self-purification capacity fluvial process water environmental capacity
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Risk assessment:method and case study for traffic projects 被引量:2
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作者 Xin Yu Panos D.Prevedouros 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2017年第4期236-249,共14页
A comprehensive project evaluation and decision-making method considering multiple objectives,stakeholders,and attributes of proposed traffic treatments is inherently complicated.Although individual techniques in eval... A comprehensive project evaluation and decision-making method considering multiple objectives,stakeholders,and attributes of proposed traffic treatments is inherently complicated.Although individual techniques in evaluating operations,safety,economic,and stakeholder objectives are available,a practical method that integrates all these risk factors and their uncertainties into a multiattribute decision-making tool is absent.A three-level project decision-making process was developed to model and assess multiple-attribute risk in a proposed traffic treatment from the perspective of multiple stakeholders.The direct benefits from reducing delay and safety risk(basic objectives of traffic treatments) are computed in Level 1 with established methods.Feasibility and performance analysis in Level 2 examine site-specific constraints and conduct detailed performance analysis using advanced analysis tools.In Level 3,this paper introduces an innovative and integrated multiple attributes evaluation process under fuzziness and uncertainty(MAFU) process for evaluation and decision-making.The MAFU is a comprehensive and systematic assessment and decision-making procedure that can assess the magnitudes of project performance and to integrate conflicting interests and tradeoffs among stakeholders.A case study illustrates theapplication of MAFU for the selection of a traffic alternative involving several evaluation attributes and stakeholders.Results show that the MAFU produced the smallest variance for each alternative.With traditional cost–benefit evaluation methods,the uncertainty associated with performance of a traffic project in terms of operation,safety,environmental impacts,etc.,is unrestricted and cumulative.Therefore,a reliable multi-attribute evaluation of complex traffic projects should not be made with conventional cost–benefit analysis alone but with a process like MAFU. 展开更多
关键词 Risk assessment UNCERTAINTY Traffic project Monte Carlo Simulation DECISION-MAKING
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