Modelling Hydrological Consequences of Climate Change—Progress and Challenges

The simulation of hydrological consequences of climate change has received increasing attention from the hydrology and land-surface modelling communities. There have been many studies of climate-change effects on hydrology and water resources which usually consist of three steps： （1） use of general circulation models （GCMs） to provide future global climate scenarios under the effect of increasing greenhouse gases, （2） use of downscaling techniques （both nested regional climate models, RCMs, and statistical methods） for ＂downscaling＂ the GCM output to the scales compatible with hydrological models, and （3） use of hydrologic models to simulate the effects of climate change on hydrological regimes at various scales. Great progress has been achieved in all three steps during the past few years, however, large uncertainties still exist in every stage of such study. This paper first reviews the present achievements in this field and then discusses the challenges for future studies of the hydrological impacts of climate change.

基于水文测流信息化的水资源评估与规划

本研究聚焦于水文测流信息化对水资源的评估与规划。随着水资源管理日益依赖高精度的数据和高效的分析工具,测流信息化在水资源评估与规划中扮演着关键角色。本研究通过4个方面深入探讨了水文测流信息化在水资源管理中的应用:数据收集与处理、水资源量评估、水资源利用规划,以及风险管理与预测。研究旨在提出一套科学合理的水资源评估与规划方法,以促进水资源的可持续利用和管理。

三峡地区水资源评价

在大量水文资料统计分析的基础上，对三峡地区主要水文要素的时空分布及变化特征、分区水资源的评价和开发利用条件进行了系统分析，可为三峡工程建设提供该地区社会经济发展的科学依据和基本的水文水资源数据。

湿润半湿润地区水资源评估水文模拟方法

本文提出了适应湿润半湿润地区水资源评估的水文模拟方法，对水资源总量、地下水量、陆面蒸散发和蒸散发能力等的评估模拟问题进行了分析研究。应用结果表明，该方法具有理沦系统性、成果客观性和生产实用性。并通过水文模型参数的规律性研究，初步解决了缺乏水文资料地区的水资源评估问题。