We study waiting time problems for first-order Markov dependent trials via conditional probability generating functions. Our models involve α frequency cells and β run cells with prescribed quotas and an additional ...We study waiting time problems for first-order Markov dependent trials via conditional probability generating functions. Our models involve α frequency cells and β run cells with prescribed quotas and an additional γ slack cells without quotas. For any given and , in our Model I we determine the waiting time until at least frequency cells and at least run cells reach their quotas. For any given τ ≤ α + β, in our Model II we determine the waiting time until τ cells reach their quotas. Computer algorithms are developed to calculate the distributions, expectations and standard deviations of the waiting time random variables of the two models. Numerical results demonstrate the efficiency of the algorithms.展开更多
背景急性缺血性卒中(AIS)高发,及时恢复脑血流是治疗的关键,超时间窗就诊患者无更多促进脑血流恢复的治疗手段。研究远隔缺血后适应(RIPostC)治疗对AIS超时间窗就诊患者的临床疗效、并发症和预后,具有重要的临床意义。目的探究RIPostC...背景急性缺血性卒中(AIS)高发,及时恢复脑血流是治疗的关键,超时间窗就诊患者无更多促进脑血流恢复的治疗手段。研究远隔缺血后适应(RIPostC)治疗对AIS超时间窗就诊患者的临床疗效、并发症和预后,具有重要的临床意义。目的探究RIPostC治疗对AIS超时间窗患者干预的影响,为超时间窗就诊的AIS患者寻求安全、有效的脑血流恢复治疗方式。方法本研究采用随机、分组、安慰剂对照法进行试验。选取2021-09-02—2022-08-31于北京航天总医院神经内科病房住院治疗的超溶栓时间窗(发病时间>6 h)的AIS患者为研究对象。依据随机数字表法将患者分为对照组和试验组。试验期+随访期共90 d,均使用同等的一般治疗、脑血管病常规治疗,试验组在此基础上给予RIPostC治疗14 d(28次),对照组给予模拟的RIPostC治疗14 d(28次)。在干预前和干预后30 d、干预后90 d,采用改良Rankin量表(mRS)、美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评估两组患者神经功能,简易精神状态检查量表(MMSE)、蒙特利尔认知评估量表(MoCA)评估患者认知功能,工具性日常生活能力量表(IADL)评估日常生活能力,焦虑自评量表(SAS)、抑郁自评量表(SDS)评估精神状态,经颅多普勒超声(TCD)评估脑血流速度,以白介素(IL)-6反映炎症情况。结果122例患者中,最终完成试验及随访99例,其中试验组49例,对照组50例。两组患者性别、年龄、基础疾病(高血压、糖尿病、冠心病)及基线NIHSS评分比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。重复测量方差分析结果示,时间与组别对MMSE、MoCA、mRS、NIHSS、脑血流速度、IL-6存在交互作用(P<0.05),时间和组别对MMSE、MoCA、NIHSS、脑血流速度、IL-6主效应显著(P<0.05),时间对mRS、SAS、SDS、IADL主效应显著(P<0.05)。试验组干预后30、90 d MMSE、MoCA评分及脑血流速度均高于对照组,mRS、NIHSS评分均低于对照组(P<0.05);试验组干预后30、90 d SDS、IADL评分低于对照组(P<0.05);试验组干预后30 d SAS评分高于对照组,IL-6低于对照组(P<0.05)。99例患者中共有23例患者发生不良反应,其中试验组17例,对照组6例,两组皮肤瘀点、头晕、心慌、胸闷发生率比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);对照组患者皮肤瘀斑发生率[4.00%(2/50)与12.24%(6/49)]、总不良反应发生率[12.00%(6/50)与34.69%(17/49)]低于试验组(P<0.05)。结论RIPostC治疗可降低AIS患者的炎症反应,对神经功能、认知功能抑郁情绪及颅内血流速度可起到积极的改善效果。展开更多
AIM To prospectively investigate the efficacy and safety of clipflap assisted endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD) for gastric tumors.METHODS From May 2015 to October 2016, we enrolled 104 patients with gastric cance...AIM To prospectively investigate the efficacy and safety of clipflap assisted endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD) for gastric tumors.METHODS From May 2015 to October 2016, we enrolled 104 patients with gastric cancer or adenoma scheduled for ESD at Shiga University of Medical Science Hospital. We randomized patients into two subgroups using the minimization method based on location of the tumor(upper, middle or lower third of the stomach), tumor size(< 20 mm or > 20 mm) and ulcer status: ESD using an endoclip(the clip-flap group) and ESD without an endoclip(the conventional group). Therapeutic efficacy(procedure time) and safety(complication: Gastrointestinal bleeding and perforation) were assessed. RESULTS En bloc resection was performed in all patients. Four patients had delayed bleeding(3.8%) and two had perforation(1.9%). No significant differences in en bloc resection rate(conventional group: 100%, clip flap group: 100%), curative endoscopic resection rate(conventional group: 90.9%, clip flap group: 89.8%, P = 0.85), procedure time(conventional group: 70.8 ± 46.2 min, clip flap group: 74.7 ± 53.3 min, P = 0.69), area of resected specimen(conventional group: 884.6 ± 792.1 mm^2, clip flap group: 1006.4 ± 1004.8 mm^2, P = 0.49), delayed bleeding rate(conventional group: 5.5%, clip flap group: 2.0%, P = 0.49), or perforation rate(conventional group: 1.8%, clip flap group: 2.0%, P = 0.93) were found between the two groups. Lessexperienced endoscopists did not show any differences in procedure time between the two groups.CONCLUSION For patients with early-stage gastric tumors, the clipflap method has no advantage in efficacy or safety compared with the conventional method.展开更多
In renewal theory, the Inspection Paradox refers to the fact that an interarrival period in a renewal process which contains a fixed inspection time tends to be longer than one for the corresponding uninspected proces...In renewal theory, the Inspection Paradox refers to the fact that an interarrival period in a renewal process which contains a fixed inspection time tends to be longer than one for the corresponding uninspected process. We focus on the paradox for Bernoulli trials. Probability distributions and moments for the lengths of the interarrival periods are derived for the inspected process, and we compare them to those for the uninspected case.展开更多
文摘We study waiting time problems for first-order Markov dependent trials via conditional probability generating functions. Our models involve α frequency cells and β run cells with prescribed quotas and an additional γ slack cells without quotas. For any given and , in our Model I we determine the waiting time until at least frequency cells and at least run cells reach their quotas. For any given τ ≤ α + β, in our Model II we determine the waiting time until τ cells reach their quotas. Computer algorithms are developed to calculate the distributions, expectations and standard deviations of the waiting time random variables of the two models. Numerical results demonstrate the efficiency of the algorithms.
文摘背景急性缺血性卒中(AIS)高发,及时恢复脑血流是治疗的关键,超时间窗就诊患者无更多促进脑血流恢复的治疗手段。研究远隔缺血后适应(RIPostC)治疗对AIS超时间窗就诊患者的临床疗效、并发症和预后,具有重要的临床意义。目的探究RIPostC治疗对AIS超时间窗患者干预的影响,为超时间窗就诊的AIS患者寻求安全、有效的脑血流恢复治疗方式。方法本研究采用随机、分组、安慰剂对照法进行试验。选取2021-09-02—2022-08-31于北京航天总医院神经内科病房住院治疗的超溶栓时间窗(发病时间>6 h)的AIS患者为研究对象。依据随机数字表法将患者分为对照组和试验组。试验期+随访期共90 d,均使用同等的一般治疗、脑血管病常规治疗,试验组在此基础上给予RIPostC治疗14 d(28次),对照组给予模拟的RIPostC治疗14 d(28次)。在干预前和干预后30 d、干预后90 d,采用改良Rankin量表(mRS)、美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评估两组患者神经功能,简易精神状态检查量表(MMSE)、蒙特利尔认知评估量表(MoCA)评估患者认知功能,工具性日常生活能力量表(IADL)评估日常生活能力,焦虑自评量表(SAS)、抑郁自评量表(SDS)评估精神状态,经颅多普勒超声(TCD)评估脑血流速度,以白介素(IL)-6反映炎症情况。结果122例患者中,最终完成试验及随访99例,其中试验组49例,对照组50例。两组患者性别、年龄、基础疾病(高血压、糖尿病、冠心病)及基线NIHSS评分比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。重复测量方差分析结果示,时间与组别对MMSE、MoCA、mRS、NIHSS、脑血流速度、IL-6存在交互作用(P<0.05),时间和组别对MMSE、MoCA、NIHSS、脑血流速度、IL-6主效应显著(P<0.05),时间对mRS、SAS、SDS、IADL主效应显著(P<0.05)。试验组干预后30、90 d MMSE、MoCA评分及脑血流速度均高于对照组,mRS、NIHSS评分均低于对照组(P<0.05);试验组干预后30、90 d SDS、IADL评分低于对照组(P<0.05);试验组干预后30 d SAS评分高于对照组,IL-6低于对照组(P<0.05)。99例患者中共有23例患者发生不良反应,其中试验组17例,对照组6例,两组皮肤瘀点、头晕、心慌、胸闷发生率比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);对照组患者皮肤瘀斑发生率[4.00%(2/50)与12.24%(6/49)]、总不良反应发生率[12.00%(6/50)与34.69%(17/49)]低于试验组(P<0.05)。结论RIPostC治疗可降低AIS患者的炎症反应,对神经功能、认知功能抑郁情绪及颅内血流速度可起到积极的改善效果。
文摘AIM To prospectively investigate the efficacy and safety of clipflap assisted endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD) for gastric tumors.METHODS From May 2015 to October 2016, we enrolled 104 patients with gastric cancer or adenoma scheduled for ESD at Shiga University of Medical Science Hospital. We randomized patients into two subgroups using the minimization method based on location of the tumor(upper, middle or lower third of the stomach), tumor size(< 20 mm or > 20 mm) and ulcer status: ESD using an endoclip(the clip-flap group) and ESD without an endoclip(the conventional group). Therapeutic efficacy(procedure time) and safety(complication: Gastrointestinal bleeding and perforation) were assessed. RESULTS En bloc resection was performed in all patients. Four patients had delayed bleeding(3.8%) and two had perforation(1.9%). No significant differences in en bloc resection rate(conventional group: 100%, clip flap group: 100%), curative endoscopic resection rate(conventional group: 90.9%, clip flap group: 89.8%, P = 0.85), procedure time(conventional group: 70.8 ± 46.2 min, clip flap group: 74.7 ± 53.3 min, P = 0.69), area of resected specimen(conventional group: 884.6 ± 792.1 mm^2, clip flap group: 1006.4 ± 1004.8 mm^2, P = 0.49), delayed bleeding rate(conventional group: 5.5%, clip flap group: 2.0%, P = 0.49), or perforation rate(conventional group: 1.8%, clip flap group: 2.0%, P = 0.93) were found between the two groups. Lessexperienced endoscopists did not show any differences in procedure time between the two groups.CONCLUSION For patients with early-stage gastric tumors, the clipflap method has no advantage in efficacy or safety compared with the conventional method.
文摘In renewal theory, the Inspection Paradox refers to the fact that an interarrival period in a renewal process which contains a fixed inspection time tends to be longer than one for the corresponding uninspected process. We focus on the paradox for Bernoulli trials. Probability distributions and moments for the lengths of the interarrival periods are derived for the inspected process, and we compare them to those for the uninspected case.
