Effects of connected automated vehicle on stability and energy consumption of heterogeneous traffic flow system

With the development of intelligent and interconnected traffic system,a convergence of traffic stream is anticipated in the foreseeable future,where both connected automated vehicle(CAV)and human driven vehicle(HDV)will coexist.In order to examine the effect of CAV on the overall stability and energy consumption of such a heterogeneous traffic system,we first take into account the interrelated perception of distance and speed by CAV to establish a macroscopic dynamic model through utilizing the full velocity difference(FVD)model.Subsequently,adopting the linear stability theory,we propose the linear stability condition for the model through using the small perturbation method,and the validity of the heterogeneous model is verified by comparing with the FVD model.Through nonlinear theoretical analysis,we further derive the KdV-Burgers equation,which captures the propagation characteristics of traffic density waves.Finally,by numerical simulation experiments through utilizing a macroscopic model of heterogeneous traffic flow,the effect of CAV permeability on the stability of density wave in heterogeneous traffic flow and the energy consumption of the traffic system is investigated.Subsequent analysis reveals emergent traffic phenomena.The experimental findings demonstrate that as CAV permeability increases,the ability to dampen the propagation of fluctuations in heterogeneous traffic flow gradually intensifies when giving system perturbation,leading to enhanced stability of the traffic system.Furthermore,higher initial traffic density renders the traffic system more susceptible to congestion,resulting in local clustering effect and stop-and-go traffic phenomenon.Remarkably,the total energy consumption of the heterogeneous traffic system exhibits a gradual decline with CAV permeability increasing.Further evidence has demonstrated the positive influence of CAV on heterogeneous traffic flow.This research contributes to providing theoretical guidance for future CAV applications,aiming to enhance urban road traffic efficiency and alleviate congestion.

Predicting Traffic Flow Using Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolution Networks

Traffic flow prediction plays a key role in the construction of intelligent transportation system.However,due to its complex spatio-temporal dependence and its uncertainty,the research becomes very challenging.Most of the existing studies are based on graph neural networks that model traffic flow graphs and try to use fixed graph structure to deal with the relationship between nodes.However,due to the time-varying spatial correlation of the traffic network,there is no fixed node relationship,and these methods cannot effectively integrate the temporal and spatial features.This paper proposes a novel temporal-spatial dynamic graph convolutional network(TSADGCN).The dynamic time warping algorithm(DTW)is introduced to calculate the similarity of traffic flow sequence among network nodes in the time dimension,and the spatiotemporal graph of traffic flow is constructed to capture the spatiotemporal characteristics and dependencies of traffic flow.By combining graph attention network and time attention network,a spatiotemporal convolution block is constructed to capture spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic data.Experiments on open data sets PEMSD4 and PEMSD8 show that TSADGCN has higher prediction accuracy than well-known traffic flow prediction algorithms.

Multi-scale persistent spatiotemporal transformer for long-term urban traffic flow prediction

Long-term urban traffic flow prediction is an important task in the field of intelligent transportation,as it can help optimize traffic management and improve travel efficiency.To improve prediction accuracy,a crucial issue is how to model spatiotemporal dependency in urban traffic data.In recent years,many studies have adopted spatiotemporal neural networks to extract key information from traffic data.However,most models ignore the semantic spatial similarity between long-distance areas when mining spatial dependency.They also ignore the impact of predicted time steps on the next unpredicted time step for making long-term predictions.Moreover,these models lack a comprehensive data embedding process to represent complex spatiotemporal dependency.This paper proposes a multi-scale persistent spatiotemporal transformer(MSPSTT)model to perform accurate long-term traffic flow prediction in cities.MSPSTT adopts an encoder-decoder structure and incorporates temporal,periodic,and spatial features to fully embed urban traffic data to address these issues.The model consists of a spatiotemporal encoder and a spatiotemporal decoder,which rely on temporal,geospatial,and semantic space multi-head attention modules to dynamically extract temporal,geospatial,and semantic characteristics.The spatiotemporal decoder combines the context information provided by the encoder,integrates the predicted time step information,and is iteratively updated to learn the correlation between different time steps in the broader time range to improve the model’s accuracy for long-term prediction.Experiments on four public transportation datasets demonstrate that MSPSTT outperforms the existing models by up to 9.5%on three common metrics.

Traffic Flow Prediction with Heterogenous Data Using a Hybrid CNN-LSTM Model

Predicting traffic flow is a crucial component of an intelligent transportation system.Precisely monitoring and predicting traffic flow remains a challenging endeavor.However,existingmethods for predicting traffic flow do not incorporate various external factors or consider the spatiotemporal correlation between spatially adjacent nodes,resulting in the loss of essential information and lower forecast performance.On the other hand,the availability of spatiotemporal data is limited.This research offers alternative spatiotemporal data with three specific features as input,vehicle type(5 types),holidays(3 types),and weather(10 conditions).In this study,the proposed model combines the advantages of the capability of convolutional(CNN)layers to extract valuable information and learn the internal representation of time-series data that can be interpreted as an image,as well as the efficiency of long short-term memory(LSTM)layers for identifying short-term and long-term dependencies.Our approach may utilize the heterogeneous spatiotemporal correlation features of the traffic flowdataset to deliver better performance traffic flow prediction than existing deep learning models.The research findings show that adding spatiotemporal feature data increases the forecast’s performance;weather by 25.85%,vehicle type by 23.70%,and holiday by 14.02%.

Traffic flow of connected and automated vehicles at lane drop on two-lane highway: An optimization-based control algorithm versus a heuristic rules-based algorithm

This paper investigates traffic flow of connected and automated vehicles at lane drop on two-lane highway. We evaluate and compare performance of an optimization-based control algorithm(OCA) with that of a heuristic rules-based algorithm(HRA). In the OCA, the average speed of each vehicle is maximized. In the HRA, virtual vehicle and restriction of the command acceleration caused by the virtual vehicle are introduced. It is found that(i) capacity under the HRA(denoted as C_(H)) is smaller than capacity under the OCA;(ii) the travel delay is always smaller under the OCA, but driving is always much more comfortable under the HRA;(iii) when the inflow rate is smaller than C_(H), the HRA outperforms the OCA with respect to the fuel consumption and the monetary cost;(iv) when the inflow rate is larger than C_(H), the HRA initially performs better with respect to the fuel consumption and the monetary cost, but the OCA would become better after certain time. The spatiotemporal pattern and speed profile of traffic flow are presented, which explains the reason underlying the different performance. The study is expected to help for better understanding of the two different types of algorithm.

Inatorial forecasting method considering macro and micro characteristics of chaotic traffic flow

Traffic flow prediction is an effective strategy to assess traffic conditions and alleviate traffic congestion. Influenced by external non-stationary factors and road network structure, traffic flow sequences have macro spatiotemporal characteristics and micro chaotic characteristics. The key to improving the model prediction accuracy is to fully extract the macro and micro characteristics of traffic flow time sequences. However, traditional prediction model by only considers time features of traffic data, ignoring spatial characteristics and nonlinear characteristics of the data itself, resulting in poor model prediction performance. In view of this, this research proposes an intelligent combination prediction model taking into account the macro and micro features of chaotic traffic data. Firstly, to address the problem of time-consuming and inefficient multivariate phase space reconstruction by iterating nodes one by one, an improved multivariate phase space reconstruction method is proposed by filtering global representative nodes to effectively realize the high-dimensional mapping of chaotic traffic flow. Secondly, to address the problem that the traditional combinatorial model is difficult to adequately learn the macro and micro characteristics of chaotic traffic data, a combination of convolutional neural network(CNN) and convolutional long short-term memory(ConvLSTM) is utilized for capturing nonlinear features of traffic flow more comprehensively. Finally,to overcome the challenge that the combined model performance degrades due to subjective empirical determined network parameters, an improved lightweight particle swarm is proposed for improving prediction accuracy by optimizing model hyperparameters. In this paper, two highway datasets collected by the Caltrans Performance Measurement System(PeMS)are taken as the research objects, and the experimental results from multiple perspectives show that the comprehensive performance of the method proposed in this research is superior to those of the prevalent methods.

Kalman Filter-Based CNN-BiLSTM-ATT Model for Traffic Flow Prediction

To accurately predict traffic flow on the highways,this paper proposes a Convolutional Neural Network-Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory-Attention Mechanism(CNN-BiLSTM-Attention)traffic flow prediction model based on Kalman-filtered data processing.Firstly,the original fluctuating data is processed by Kalman filtering,which can reduce the instability of short-term traffic flow prediction due to unexpected accidents.Then the local spatial features of the traffic data during different periods are extracted,dimensionality is reduced through a one-dimensional CNN,and the BiLSTM network is used to analyze the time series information.Finally,the Attention Mechanism assigns feature weights and performs Soft-max regression.The experimental results show that the data processed by Kalman filter is more accurate in predicting the results on the CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model.Compared with the CNN-BiLSTM model,the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)of the Kal-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model is reduced by 17.58 and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)by 12.38,and the accuracy of the improved model is almost free from non-working days.To further verify the model’s applicability,the experiments were re-run using two other sets of fluctuating data,and the experimental results again demonstrated the stability of the model.Therefore,the Kal-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention traffic flow prediction model proposed in this paper is more applicable to a broader range of data and has higher accuracy.

Short Term Traffic Flow Prediction Using Hybrid Deep Learning

Traffic flow prediction in urban areas is essential in the IntelligentTransportation System (ITS). Short Term Traffic Flow (STTF) predictionimpacts traffic flow series, where an estimation of the number of vehicleswill appear during the next instance of time per hour. Precise STTF iscritical in Intelligent Transportation System. Various extinct systems aim forshort-term traffic forecasts, ensuring a good precision outcome which was asignificant task over the past few years. The main objective of this paper is topropose a new model to predict STTF for every hour of a day. In this paper,we have proposed a novel hybrid algorithm utilizing Principal ComponentAnalysis (PCA), Stacked Auto-Encoder (SAE), Long Short Term Memory(LSTM), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) named PALKNN. Firstly, PCAremoves unwanted information from the dataset and selects essential features.Secondly, SAE is used to reduce the dimension of input data using onehotencoding so the model can be trained with better speed. Thirdly, LSTMtakes the input from SAE, where the data is sorted in ascending orderbased on the important features and generates the derived value. Finally,KNN Regressor takes information from LSTM to predict traffic flow. Theforecasting performance of the PALKNN model is investigated with OpenRoad Traffic Statistics dataset, Great Britain, UK. This paper enhanced thetraffic flow prediction for every hour of a day with a minimal error value.An extensive experimental analysis was performed on the benchmark dataset.The evaluated results indicate the significant improvement of the proposedPALKNN model over the recent approaches such as KNN, SARIMA, LogisticRegression, RNN, and LSTM in terms of root mean square error (RMSE)of 2.07%, mean square error (MSE) of 4.1%, and mean absolute error (MAE)of 2.04%.

Flow Direction Level Traffic Flow Prediction Based on a GCN-LSTM Combined Model

Traffic flow prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems and is of great significance in the applications of traffic control and urban planning.Due to the complexity of road traffic flow data,traffic flow prediction has been one of the challenging tasks to fully exploit the spatiotemporal characteristics of roads to improve prediction accuracy.In this study,a combined flow direction level traffic flow prediction graph convolutional network(GCN)and long short-term memory(LSTM)model based on spatiotemporal characteristics is proposed.First,a GCN model is employed to capture the topological structure of the data graph and extract the spatial features of road networks.Additionally,due to the capability to handle long-term dependencies,the longterm memory is used to predict the time series of traffic flow and extract the time features.The proposed model is evaluated using real-world data,which are obtained from the intersection of Liuquan Road and Zhongrun Avenue in the Zibo High-Tech Zone of China.The results show that the developed combined GCNLSTM flow direction level traffic flow prediction model can perform better than the single models of the LSTM model and GCN model,and the combined ARIMA-LSTM model in traffic flow has a strong spatiotemporal correlation.

MEEMD-DBA-based short term traffic flow prediction

Aiming at the problem that ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD)method can not completely neutralize the added noise in the decomposition process,which leads to poor reconstruction of decomposition results and low accuracy of traffic flow prediction,a traffic flow prediction model based on modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition(MEEMD),double-layer bidirectional long-short term memory(DBiLSTM)and attention mechanism is proposed.Firstly,the intrinsic mode functions(IMFs)and residual components(Res)are obtained by using MEEMD algorithm to decompose the original traffic data and separate the noise in the data.Secondly,the IMFs and Res are put into the DBiLSTM network for training.Finally,the attention mechanism is used to enhance the extraction of data features,then the obtained results are reconstructed and added.The experimental results show that in different scenarios,the MEEMD-DBiLSTM-attention(MEEMD-DBA)model can reduce the data reconstruction error effectively and improve the accuracy of the short-term traffic flow prediction.

Urban Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Spatio-Temporal Convolution Networks

Urban traffic flow prediction plays an important role in traffic flow control and urban safety risk prevention and control. Timely and accurate traffic flow prediction can provide guidance for traffic, relieve urban traffic travel pressure and reduce the frequency of accidents. Due to the randomness and fast changing speed of urban dynamic traffic data flow, most of the existing prediction methods lack the ability to model the dynamic temporal and spatial correlation of traffic data, so they cannot produce satisfactory prediction results. A spatio-temporal convolution network (ST-CNN) is proposed to solve the traffic flow prediction problem. The model consists of two parts: 1) a convolution block used to extract spatial features;2) a block of time used to characterize time. Data has been fully mined through two modules to output the prediction results of spatio-temporal characteristics, and at the same time, skip connection (direct connection) has been made between the two modules to avoid the problem of gradient explosion. The experimental results on two data sets show that ST-CNN is better than the baseline model.

Effects of Adaptive Random Deceleration on Traffic Flow

Based on the Nagel-Schreckenberg model, an improved cellular automaton traffic flow model is proposed, in which the random deceleration probability of each vehicle is no longer fixed, but is adaptively adjusted according to the local traffic density in its vision and its current velocity. The numerical simulation results show that the maximum traffic capacity of the improved model under the same parameters is greater than that of the Nagel-Schreckenberg model, and is closer to the measured data. In addition, the traffic flow and vehicle velocity under different meteorological conditions are simulated by using the improved model, and the synchronized flow phenomenon consistent with the actual traffic is reproduced. Meanwhile, the results show that under the same parameters, when the traffic density is equal to 0.3, the traffic flow of the improved model increases by about 11% compared with the original model, and when the traffic density increases to 0.6, the traffic flow increases by about 27%. .

Numerical Simulation of Diffusion Type Traffic Flow Model Using Second-Order Lax-Wendroff Scheme Based on Exponential Velocity Density Function

In order to control traffic congestion, many mathematical models have been used for several decades. In this paper, we study diffusion-type traffic flow model based on exponential velocity density relation, which provides a non-linear second-order parabolic partial differential equation. The analytical solution of the diffusion-type traffic flow model is very complicated to approximate the initial density of the Cauchy problem as a function of x from given data and it may cause a huge error. For the complexity of the analytical solution, the numerical solution is performed by implementing an explicit upwind, explicitly centered, and second-order Lax-Wendroff scheme for the numerical solution. From the comparison of relative error among these three schemes, it is observed that Lax-Wendroff scheme gives less error than the explicit upwind and explicit centered difference scheme. The numerical, analytical analysis and comparative result discussion bring out the fact that the Lax-Wendroff scheme with exponential velocity-density relation of diffusion type traffic flow model is suitable for the congested area and shows a better fit in traffic-congested regions.

Overview of machine learning-based traffic flow prediction

Traffic flow prediction is an important component of intelligent transportation systems.Recently,unprecedented data availability and rapid development of machine learning techniques have led to tremendous progress in this field.This article first introduces the research on traffic flow prediction and the challenges it currently faces.It then proposes a classification method for literature,discussing and analyzing existing research on using machine learning methods to address traffic flow prediction from the perspectives of the prediction preparation process and the construction of prediction models.The article also summarizes innovative modules in these models.Finally,we provide improvement strategies for current baseline models and discuss the challenges and research directions in the field of traffic flow prediction in the future.

Prediction of elevator traffic flow based on SVM and phase space reconstruction

To make elevator group control system better follow the change of elevator traffic flow (ETF) in order to adjust the control strategy,the prediction method of support vector machine (SVM) in combination with phase space reconstruction has been proposed for ETF.Firstly,the phase space reconstruction for elevator traffic flow time series (ETFTS) is processed.Secondly,the small data set method is applied to calculate the largest Lyapunov exponent to judge the chaotic property of ETF.Then prediction model of ETFTS based on SVM is founded.Finally,the method is applied to predict the time series for the incoming and outgoing passenger flow respectively using ETF data collected in some building.Meanwhile,it is compared with RBF neural network model.Simulation results show that the trend of factual traffic flow is better followed by predictive traffic flow.SVM algorithm has much better prediction performance.The fitting and prediction of ETF with better effect are realized.

Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction Based on LSTM-XGBoost Combination Model

According to the time series characteristics of the trajectory history data,we predicted and analyzed the traffic flow.This paper proposed a LSTMXGBoost model based urban road short-term traffic flow prediction in order to analyze and solve the problems of periodicity,stationary and abnormality of time series.It can improve the traffic flow prediction effect,achieve efficient traffic guidance and traffic control.The model combined the characteristics of LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory)network and XGBoost(Extreme Gradient Boosting)algorithms.First,we used the LSTM model that increases dropout layer to train the data set after preprocessing.Second,we replaced the full connection layer with the XGBoost model.Finally,we depended on the model training to strengthen the data association,avoided the overfitting phenomenon of the fully connected layer,and enhanced the generalization ability of the prediction model.We used the Kears based on TensorFlow to build the LSTM-XGBoost model.Using speed data samples of multiple road sections in Shenzhen to complete the model verification,we achieved the comparison of the prediction effects of the model.The results show that the combined prediction model used in this paper can not only improve the accuracy of prediction,but also improve the practicability,real-time and scalability of the model.

Traffic flow prediction based on BILSTM model and data denoising scheme

Accurate prediction of road traffic flow is a significant part in the intelligent transportation systems.Accurate prediction can alleviate traffic congestion,and reduce environmental pollution.For the management department,it can make effective use of road resources.For individuals,it can help people plan their own travel paths,avoid congestion,and save time.Owing to complex factors on the road,such as damage to the detector and disturbances from environment,the measured traffic volume can contain noise.Reducing the influence of noise on traffic flow prediction is a piece of very important work.Therefore,in this paper we propose a combination algorithm of denoising and BILSTM to effectively improve the performance of traffic flow prediction.At the same time,three denoising algorithms are compared to find the best combination mode.In this paper,the wavelet(WL) denoising scheme,the empirical mode decomposition(EMD) denoising scheme,and the ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD) denoising scheme are all introduced to suppress outliers in traffic flow data.In addition,we combine the denoising schemes with bidirectional long short-term memory(BILSTM)network to predict the traffic flow.The data in this paper are cited from performance measurement system(PeMS).We choose three kinds of road data(mainline,off ramp,on ramp) to predict traffic flow.The results for mainline show that data denoising can improve prediction accuracy.Moreover,prediction accuracy of BILSTM+EEMD scheme is the highest in the three methods(BILSTM+WL,BILSTM+EMD,BILSTM+EEMD).The results for off ramp and on ramp show the same performance as the results for mainline.It is indicated that this model is suitable for different road sections and long-term prediction.

A Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Layer K-Nearest Neighbor Non-Parametric Regression Algorithm

Short-term traffic flow is one of the core technologies to realize traffic flow guidance. In this article, in view of the characteristics that the traffic flow changes repeatedly, a short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on a three-layer K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression algorithm is proposed. Specifically, two screening layers based on shape similarity were introduced in K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression method, and the forecasting results were output using the weighted averaging on the reciprocal values of the shape similarity distances and the most-similar-point distance adjustment method. According to the experimental results, the proposed algorithm has improved the predictive ability of the traditional K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression method, and greatly enhanced the accuracy and real-time performance of short-term traffic flow forecasting.

Traffic Flow Statistics Method Based on Deep Learning and Multi-Feature Fusion

Traffic flow statistics have become a particularly important part of intelligent transportation.To solve the problems of low real-time robustness and accuracy in traffic flow statistics.In the DeepSort tracking algorithm,the Kalman filter(KF),which is only suitable for linear problems,is replaced by the extended Kalman filter(EKF),which can effectively solve nonlinear problems and integrate the Histogram of Oriented Gradient(HOG)of the target.The multi-target tracking framework was constructed with YOLO V5 target detection algorithm.An efficient and longrunning Traffic Flow Statistical framework(TFSF)is established based on the tracking framework.Virtual lines are set up to record the movement direction of vehicles to more accurate and detailed statistics of traffic flow.In order to verify the robustness and accuracy of the traffic flow statistical framework,the traffic flow in different scenes of actual road conditions was collected for verification.The experimental validation shows that the accuracy of the traffic statistics framework reaches more than 93%,and the running speed under the detection data set in this paper is 32.7FPS,which can meet the real-time requirements and has a particular significance for the development of intelligent transportation.

GACNet: A Generative Adversarial Capsule Network for Regional Epitaxial Traffic Flow Prediction

With continuous urbanization,cities are undergoing a sharp expansion within the regional space.Due to the high cost,the prediction of regional traffic flow is more difficult to extend to entire urban areas.To address this challenging problem,we present a new deep learning architecture for regional epitaxial traffic flow prediction called GACNet,which predicts traffic flow of surrounding areas based on inflow and outflow information in central area.The method is data-driven,and the spatial relationship of traffic flow is characterized by dynamically transforming traffic information into images through a two-dimensional matrix.We introduce adversarial training to improve performance of prediction and enhance the robustness.The generator mainly consists of two parts:abstract traffic feature extraction in the central region and traffic prediction in the extended region.In particular,the feature extraction part captures nonlinear spatial dependence using gated convolution,and replaces the maximum pooling operation with dynamic routing,finally aggregates multidimensional information in capsule form.The effectiveness of the method is evaluated using traffic flow datasets for two real traffic networks:Beijing and New York.Experiments on highly challenging datasets show that our method performs well for this task.