A strong (weak) East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is usually concurrent with the tripole pattern of North Atlantic SST anomalies on the interannual timescale during summer, which has positive (negative) SST anoma...A strong (weak) East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is usually concurrent with the tripole pattern of North Atlantic SST anomalies on the interannual timescale during summer, which has positive (negative) SST anomalies in the northwestern North Atlantic and negative (positive) SST anomalies in the subpolar and tropical ocean. The mechanisms responsible for this linkage are diagnosed in the present study. It is shown that a barotropie wave-train pattern occurring over the Atlantic-Eurasia region likely acts as a link between the EASM and the SST tripole during summer. This wave-train pattern is concurrent with geopotential height anomalies over the Ural Mountains, which has a substantial effect on the EASM. Diagnosis based on observations and linear dynamical model results reveals that the mechanism for maintaining the wave-train pattern involves both the anomalous diabatic heating and synoptic eddy-vorticity forcing. Since the North Atlantic SST tripole is closely coupled with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the relationships between these two factors and the EASM are also examined. It is found that the connection of the EASM with the summer SST tripole is sensitive to the meridional location of the tripole, which is characterized by large seasonal variations due to the north-south movement of the activity centers of the NAO. The SST tripole that has a strong relationship with the EASM appears to be closely coupled with the NAO in the previous spring rather than in the simultaneous summer.展开更多
An unusually warm East Asia in spring 2018,when exceptionally high surface air temperatures were recorded in large areas of Asia,such as northern China,southern China,and Japan,was investigated based on the ERA-Interi...An unusually warm East Asia in spring 2018,when exceptionally high surface air temperatures were recorded in large areas of Asia,such as northern China,southern China,and Japan,was investigated based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis.The East Asian warming anomalies were primarily attributed to a tripole mode of North Atlantic SST anomalies,which could have triggered anomalous Rossby wave trains over the North Atlantic and Eurasia through modulating the North Atlantic baroclinic instability.Atlantic-forced Rossby waves tend to propagate eastward and induce anomalously high pressure and anticyclonic activity over East Asia,leading to a northward displacement of the Pacific subtropical high.As a result,descending motion,reduced precipitation,and increased surface solar radiation due to less cloud cover appear over East Asia,accompanied by remarkably warm advection from the ocean to southern China,northern China,and Japan.The transportation of anomalously warm advection and the feedbacks between soil moisture and surface temperature were both favorable for the recordbreaking warmth in East Asia during spring 2018.The seasonal‘memory’of the North Atlantic tripole SST mode from the previous winter to the following spring may provide useful implications for the seasonal prediction of East Asian weather and climate.展开更多
Monthly precipitation over north China in August(NCAP)is the second highest in the year,and it is important to understand its driving mechanisms to facilitate reliable forecasting.The NCAP displays a significant decad...Monthly precipitation over north China in August(NCAP)is the second highest in the year,and it is important to understand its driving mechanisms to facilitate reliable forecasting.The NCAP displays a significant decadal variability of a cycle about 10-year and negatively correlates with the July north-east North Atlantic Tripole(NAT)over the decadal timescales.This study shows that the Eurasian decadal teleconnection(EAT)acts as a bridge that links the July NAT with NCAP decadal variability.This coupled ocean–atmosphere bridge(COAB)mechanism,through which the July NAT influences the decadal variability of NCAP,can be summarized as follows.The cumulative effect of the NAT drives the EAT to adjust atmospheric circulation over north China and the surrounding regions,and so regulates precipitation in north China by influencing local water vapor transport.When the July NAT is in a negative(positive)phase,the EAT pattern has a positive(negative)pattern,which promotes(weakens)the transmission of water vapor from the sea in the south-east to north China,thus increasing(decreasing)NCAP over decadal timescales.The decadal NCAP model established based on the July NAT can effectively predict the NCAP decadal variability,illustrating that the July NAT can be implicated as a predictor of the NCAP decadal variability.展开更多
In contrast to previous studies that have tended to focus on the influence of the total Arctic sea-ice cover on the East Asian summer tripole rainfall pattern, the present study identifies the Barents Sea as the key r...In contrast to previous studies that have tended to focus on the influence of the total Arctic sea-ice cover on the East Asian summer tripole rainfall pattern, the present study identifies the Barents Sea as the key region where the June sea-ice variability exerts the most significant impacts on the East Asian August tripole rainfall pattern, and explores the teleconnection mechanisms involved. The results reveal that a reduction in June sea ice excites anomalous upward air motion due to strong near-surface thermal forcing, which further triggers a meridional overturning wave-like pattern extending to midlatitudes.Anomalous downward motion therefore forms over the Caspian Sea, which in turn induces zonally oriented overturning circulation along the subtropical jet stream, exhibiting the east–west Rossby wave train known as the Silk Road pattern. It is suggested that the Bonin high, a subtropical anticyclone predominant near South Korea, shows a significant anomaly due to the eastward extension of the Silk Road pattern to East Asia. As a possible descending branch of the Hadley cell, the Bonin high anomaly ultimately triggers a meridional overturning, establishing the Pacific–Japan pattern. This in turn induces an anomalous anticyclone and cyclone pair over East Asia, and a tripole vertical convection anomaly meridionally oriented over East Asia. Consequently, a tripole rainfall anomaly pattern is observed over East Asia. Results from numerical experiments using version 5 of the Community Atmosphere Model support the interpretation of this chain of events.展开更多
This study examined the impact of the preceding boreal summer(June–August) North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO) on early autumn(September) rainfall over Central China(RCC). The results show that a significant positive cor...This study examined the impact of the preceding boreal summer(June–August) North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO) on early autumn(September) rainfall over Central China(RCC). The results show that a significant positive correlation exists between the preceding summer NAO and the early autumn RCC on the interannual timescale. In order to understand the physical mechanism between them, the role of ocean was investigated. It was found that the strong summer NAO can induce a tripole sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA) in the North Atlantic; this SSTA pattern can persist until early autumn. The diagnostic analysis showed that the tripole SSTA pattern excites a downstream Atlantic-Eurasian(AEA) teleconnection, which contributes to an increase in RCC. The circulation anomalies related to SSTA caused by the weak NAO are opposite, so the RCC is less than normal. The results imply that the preceding summer NAO may be regarded as a forecast factor for the early autumn RCC.展开更多
基金jointly supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2010CB950404, 2013CB430203, 2010CB950501 and 2012CB955901)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41205058)+1 种基金the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2012M510634)the National Science and Technology Support Program of China (Grant No. 2009BAC51B05)
文摘A strong (weak) East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is usually concurrent with the tripole pattern of North Atlantic SST anomalies on the interannual timescale during summer, which has positive (negative) SST anomalies in the northwestern North Atlantic and negative (positive) SST anomalies in the subpolar and tropical ocean. The mechanisms responsible for this linkage are diagnosed in the present study. It is shown that a barotropie wave-train pattern occurring over the Atlantic-Eurasia region likely acts as a link between the EASM and the SST tripole during summer. This wave-train pattern is concurrent with geopotential height anomalies over the Ural Mountains, which has a substantial effect on the EASM. Diagnosis based on observations and linear dynamical model results reveals that the mechanism for maintaining the wave-train pattern involves both the anomalous diabatic heating and synoptic eddy-vorticity forcing. Since the North Atlantic SST tripole is closely coupled with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the relationships between these two factors and the EASM are also examined. It is found that the connection of the EASM with the summer SST tripole is sensitive to the meridional location of the tripole, which is characterized by large seasonal variations due to the north-south movement of the activity centers of the NAO. The SST tripole that has a strong relationship with the EASM appears to be closely coupled with the NAO in the previous spring rather than in the simultaneous summer.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China [grant number2016YFA0602703]the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers 41661144019,41690123,41690120,and91637208]+1 种基金the CMA Guangzhou Joint Research Center for Atmospheric Sciencesthe Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change
文摘An unusually warm East Asia in spring 2018,when exceptionally high surface air temperatures were recorded in large areas of Asia,such as northern China,southern China,and Japan,was investigated based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis.The East Asian warming anomalies were primarily attributed to a tripole mode of North Atlantic SST anomalies,which could have triggered anomalous Rossby wave trains over the North Atlantic and Eurasia through modulating the North Atlantic baroclinic instability.Atlantic-forced Rossby waves tend to propagate eastward and induce anomalously high pressure and anticyclonic activity over East Asia,leading to a northward displacement of the Pacific subtropical high.As a result,descending motion,reduced precipitation,and increased surface solar radiation due to less cloud cover appear over East Asia,accompanied by remarkably warm advection from the ocean to southern China,northern China,and Japan.The transportation of anomalously warm advection and the feedbacks between soil moisture and surface temperature were both favorable for the recordbreaking warmth in East Asia during spring 2018.The seasonal‘memory’of the North Atlantic tripole SST mode from the previous winter to the following spring may provide useful implications for the seasonal prediction of East Asian weather and climate.
基金supported by the Innovation and development project of China Meteorological Administration(No.CXFZ2021J030).
文摘Monthly precipitation over north China in August(NCAP)is the second highest in the year,and it is important to understand its driving mechanisms to facilitate reliable forecasting.The NCAP displays a significant decadal variability of a cycle about 10-year and negatively correlates with the July north-east North Atlantic Tripole(NAT)over the decadal timescales.This study shows that the Eurasian decadal teleconnection(EAT)acts as a bridge that links the July NAT with NCAP decadal variability.This coupled ocean–atmosphere bridge(COAB)mechanism,through which the July NAT influences the decadal variability of NCAP,can be summarized as follows.The cumulative effect of the NAT drives the EAT to adjust atmospheric circulation over north China and the surrounding regions,and so regulates precipitation in north China by influencing local water vapor transport.When the July NAT is in a negative(positive)phase,the EAT pattern has a positive(negative)pattern,which promotes(weakens)the transmission of water vapor from the sea in the south-east to north China,thus increasing(decreasing)NCAP over decadal timescales.The decadal NCAP model established based on the July NAT can effectively predict the NCAP decadal variability,illustrating that the July NAT can be implicated as a predictor of the NCAP decadal variability.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2016YFA0600703)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41605059,41505073 and 41375083)+1 种基金the Young Talent Support Program of the China Association for Science and Technology(Grant No.2016QNRC001)the Research Council of Norway SNOWGLACE(244166/E10)project
文摘In contrast to previous studies that have tended to focus on the influence of the total Arctic sea-ice cover on the East Asian summer tripole rainfall pattern, the present study identifies the Barents Sea as the key region where the June sea-ice variability exerts the most significant impacts on the East Asian August tripole rainfall pattern, and explores the teleconnection mechanisms involved. The results reveal that a reduction in June sea ice excites anomalous upward air motion due to strong near-surface thermal forcing, which further triggers a meridional overturning wave-like pattern extending to midlatitudes.Anomalous downward motion therefore forms over the Caspian Sea, which in turn induces zonally oriented overturning circulation along the subtropical jet stream, exhibiting the east–west Rossby wave train known as the Silk Road pattern. It is suggested that the Bonin high, a subtropical anticyclone predominant near South Korea, shows a significant anomaly due to the eastward extension of the Silk Road pattern to East Asia. As a possible descending branch of the Hadley cell, the Bonin high anomaly ultimately triggers a meridional overturning, establishing the Pacific–Japan pattern. This in turn induces an anomalous anticyclone and cyclone pair over East Asia, and a tripole vertical convection anomaly meridionally oriented over East Asia. Consequently, a tripole rainfall anomaly pattern is observed over East Asia. Results from numerical experiments using version 5 of the Community Atmosphere Model support the interpretation of this chain of events.
基金supported jointly by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 program,Grant No.2013CB340203)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(Grant Nos.41290255 and 41205046)
文摘This study examined the impact of the preceding boreal summer(June–August) North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO) on early autumn(September) rainfall over Central China(RCC). The results show that a significant positive correlation exists between the preceding summer NAO and the early autumn RCC on the interannual timescale. In order to understand the physical mechanism between them, the role of ocean was investigated. It was found that the strong summer NAO can induce a tripole sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA) in the North Atlantic; this SSTA pattern can persist until early autumn. The diagnostic analysis showed that the tripole SSTA pattern excites a downstream Atlantic-Eurasian(AEA) teleconnection, which contributes to an increase in RCC. The circulation anomalies related to SSTA caused by the weak NAO are opposite, so the RCC is less than normal. The results imply that the preceding summer NAO may be regarded as a forecast factor for the early autumn RCC.