The North Korea nuclear challenge,urgent on the US foreign policy agenda since Donald Trump took office,has prompted unilateral,bilateral and multilateral moves to address rising tension on the peninsula.The underlyin...The North Korea nuclear challenge,urgent on the US foreign policy agenda since Donald Trump took office,has prompted unilateral,bilateral and multilateral moves to address rising tension on the peninsula.The underlying logic of US policy,which in November placed the DPRK back on the list of state sponsors of terrorism,promotes negotiation by imposing Maximum Pressure and by enlisting China's support.Possibly,North Korea will return to negotiations with its nuclear and missile development suspended temporarily.Other possibilities are a stalemate with North Korea joining the ranks of countries with credible nuclear deterrent,or an emerging crisis that escalates to military or other conflict.The lingering uncertainty is central to northeast Asia security.展开更多
This article analyses the US-Turkish relationship in the Middle East.Washington and Ankara’s policies have clashed in Syria,Iran,Israel,Egypt,the GCC states and Iraq.The two NATO members strongly disagree over milita...This article analyses the US-Turkish relationship in the Middle East.Washington and Ankara’s policies have clashed in Syria,Iran,Israel,Egypt,the GCC states and Iraq.The two NATO members strongly disagree over military sales,the extradition of Fetullah Gulen,the leader of the Hizmet movement accused of fomenting the 2016 coup attempt who is ensconced in Pennsylvania,and their ideological visions often diverge with President Erdogan’s affinity for the Muslim Brotherhood.Through the use of realist and constructivist theories the article examines the decisions of Presidents Erdogan,George W.Bush,Barack Obama and Donald Trump as they have impacted US-Turkish relations in the Middle East.The realist lens raises issues of changing systems and questions of balancing,while the constructivist lens is employed to examine the weighty ideational and identity issues prevailing in the region.The article concludes by applying the theoretical analysis to policy solutions.展开更多
The relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel have become increasingly public after the Trump administration took office in the US.Particularly,Saudi Arabia either holds inconsistent,ambiguous attitudes or gives short...The relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel have become increasingly public after the Trump administration took office in the US.Particularly,Saudi Arabia either holds inconsistent,ambiguous attitudes or gives short shrift to sensitive issues such as Jerusalem issue and the‘Deal of the Century.’Moreover,Saudi Arabia and Israel have been interacting with each other frequently in a public and official way,which further embodies this change in their relationship.The relationship between Saudi Arabia and Israel has a long history,and it has experienced four development stages:mutual isolation,secret contact,open contact,and intimate contact.The changes in the current Saudi-Israeli relations have realistic interests,open interaction,and practical cooperation.The changes in the Saudi-Israeli relations have taken place under the combined effect of the realistic logic of the common political and security dilemma,the transformation of their respective diplomatic strategies and the complementary economic advantages of both sides,as well as the overall environmental changes in the Middle East,the overall fragmentation of the Arab world,and the ups and downs of the US Middle East policy.Saudi Arabia and Israel have formed an anti-Iranian quasialliance,which has certain actual or potential impacts.In the long run,although the changes in the Saudi-Israeli relations are conducive to bilateral cooperation and development in diverse fields,they bring no advantage to the overall stability of the Arab world,and the contradictions within the Arab world will further deepen,which,for example,is represented by a breakthrough in diplomatic relations between Israel and the UAE,Bahrain,Sudan,and Morocco.Besides,geostrategic competition in the Middle East will become more intense and will not contribute to the Middle East peace process.展开更多
文摘The North Korea nuclear challenge,urgent on the US foreign policy agenda since Donald Trump took office,has prompted unilateral,bilateral and multilateral moves to address rising tension on the peninsula.The underlying logic of US policy,which in November placed the DPRK back on the list of state sponsors of terrorism,promotes negotiation by imposing Maximum Pressure and by enlisting China's support.Possibly,North Korea will return to negotiations with its nuclear and missile development suspended temporarily.Other possibilities are a stalemate with North Korea joining the ranks of countries with credible nuclear deterrent,or an emerging crisis that escalates to military or other conflict.The lingering uncertainty is central to northeast Asia security.
文摘This article analyses the US-Turkish relationship in the Middle East.Washington and Ankara’s policies have clashed in Syria,Iran,Israel,Egypt,the GCC states and Iraq.The two NATO members strongly disagree over military sales,the extradition of Fetullah Gulen,the leader of the Hizmet movement accused of fomenting the 2016 coup attempt who is ensconced in Pennsylvania,and their ideological visions often diverge with President Erdogan’s affinity for the Muslim Brotherhood.Through the use of realist and constructivist theories the article examines the decisions of Presidents Erdogan,George W.Bush,Barack Obama and Donald Trump as they have impacted US-Turkish relations in the Middle East.The realist lens raises issues of changing systems and questions of balancing,while the constructivist lens is employed to examine the weighty ideational and identity issues prevailing in the region.The article concludes by applying the theoretical analysis to policy solutions.
基金This essay is sponsored by the program‘Evolution of Middle East Politics and Momentous Changes Unseen in A Century’(Shanghai International Studies University).
文摘The relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel have become increasingly public after the Trump administration took office in the US.Particularly,Saudi Arabia either holds inconsistent,ambiguous attitudes or gives short shrift to sensitive issues such as Jerusalem issue and the‘Deal of the Century.’Moreover,Saudi Arabia and Israel have been interacting with each other frequently in a public and official way,which further embodies this change in their relationship.The relationship between Saudi Arabia and Israel has a long history,and it has experienced four development stages:mutual isolation,secret contact,open contact,and intimate contact.The changes in the current Saudi-Israeli relations have realistic interests,open interaction,and practical cooperation.The changes in the Saudi-Israeli relations have taken place under the combined effect of the realistic logic of the common political and security dilemma,the transformation of their respective diplomatic strategies and the complementary economic advantages of both sides,as well as the overall environmental changes in the Middle East,the overall fragmentation of the Arab world,and the ups and downs of the US Middle East policy.Saudi Arabia and Israel have formed an anti-Iranian quasialliance,which has certain actual or potential impacts.In the long run,although the changes in the Saudi-Israeli relations are conducive to bilateral cooperation and development in diverse fields,they bring no advantage to the overall stability of the Arab world,and the contradictions within the Arab world will further deepen,which,for example,is represented by a breakthrough in diplomatic relations between Israel and the UAE,Bahrain,Sudan,and Morocco.Besides,geostrategic competition in the Middle East will become more intense and will not contribute to the Middle East peace process.
