State-Based Determinants of Inward FDI Stock in the U.S. Economy

This paper has empirical character and investigates locational determinants of the inward foreign direct investment （FDI） stock among 50 states of the United States. The analysis uses annual data for the period from 1997 to 2007. The study identifies several state-specific determinants of FDI and investigates the changes in their importance during the study period. Our results show that among the major determinants, the real per capita income, real per capita expenditure on education, FDI related employment, plus real research and development expenditure are found to have a significant positive impact on inward FDI. There is also evidence that manufacturing density and unionization exert a small positive impact on inward FDI. In addition, per capita state taxes, the share of scientists and engineers in the workforce, real capital expenditure, and unemployment rate exert a negative impact on FDI.

外商在华直接投资与中美贸易平衡问题

文章研究发现:(1)中国对外商品出口、从外商品进口分别与外商在华直接投资之间没有稳定的协整关系,但是存在有外商在华直接投资变动到中国对外贸易(出口、进口)发展变动的单向因果关系。(2)在95%置信水平下中国对美商品出口、对美贸易顺差分别与外商在华直接投资之间存在有双向影响关系,这与依据美国统计的月度数据计量的结论是相一致的。(3)外商在华投资企业和中资企业共同生产和出口美国必需的劳动密集型、资本密集和技术成熟型产品。美中贸易逆差属于互补性商品贸易逆差,已超越中美两国贸易范围,很大程度上是由外商在华直接投资包括美国在华直接投资所产生的贸易逆差转移和贸易替代效应造成的。

中国对非直接投资及对非洲经济的影响

中国对非直接投资总体上呈上升趋势,呈现出投资覆盖面广,但国家层面集中度高,而且个体波动性大的特点。非洲国家间经济发展差异性非常显著。由于基础设施严重不足、产业结构单一、工业化阻滞、投资环境差等原因,非洲国家经济发展的阻力大。中国对非直接投资可以有效克服这些阻碍,促进非洲经济增长及工业化进程。