Performance Optimization of Torque Converters Based on Modified 1D Flow Model

A methodology for performance optimization of torque converters is put forward based on the one-dimensional (1D) flow model. It is found that the inaccuracy of 1D flow model for predicting hydraulic performance at the low speed ratio is mainly caused by the separation phenomenon at the stator cascade which is induced by large flow impinging at the pressure side of the stator blades. A semi-empirical separation model is presented and incorporated to the original 1D flow model. It is illustrated that the improved model is able to predict the circumferential velocity components accurately, which can be applied to performance optimization. Then, the Pareto front is obtained by using the genetic algorithm (GA) in order to inspect the coupled relationship among stalling impeller torque capacity, stalling torque ratio and efficiency. The efficiency is maximized on the premise that a target stalling impeller torque capacity and torque ratio are achieved. Finally, the optimized result is verified by the computational fluid dynamics(CFD) simulation, which indicates that the maximal efficiency is increased by 0.96%.

Simulating Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm to Estimate Likelihood Function of ARMA（1, 1） Model

This paper present a simulation study of an evolutionary algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization PSO algorithm to optimize likelihood function of ARMA（1, 1） model, where maximizing likelihood function is equivalent to maximizing its logarithm, so the objective function ＇obj.fun＇ is maximizing log-likelihood function. Monte Carlo method adapted for implementing and designing the experiments of this simulation. This study including a comparison among three versions of PSO algorithm “Constriction coefficient CCPSO, Inertia weight IWPSO, and Fully Informed FIPSO”, the experiments designed by setting different values of model parameters al, bs sample size n, moreover the parameters of PSO algorithms. MSE used as test statistic to measure the efficiency PSO to estimate model. The results show the ability of PSO to estimate ARMA＇ s parameters, and the minimum values of MSE getting for COPSO.

A New Searching Strategy for the Lost Plane Based on RBF Neural Network Model and Global Optimization Model

In this paper, we construct two models for the searching task for a lost plane. Model 1 determines the searching area. We predict the trajectory of floats generated after the disintegration of the plane by using RBF neural network model, and then determine the searching area according to the trajectory. With the pass of time, the searching area will also be constantly moving along the trajectory. Model 2 develops a maritime search plan to achieve the purpose of completing the search in the shortest time. We optimize the searching time and transform the problem into the 0-1 knapsack problem. Solving this problem by improved genetic algorithm, we can get the shortest searching time and the best choice for the search power.

Study on the Prediction of Rice Blast Based on the Unbiased GM (1,1) Model

To create a new prediction model, the unbiased GM （1,1） model is optimized by the five-point slide method in this paper. Then, based on the occurrence areas of dce blast in Enshi District during 1995 -2004, the new model and unbiased GM （1, 1 ） model are applied to predict the occurrence areas of rice blast during 2005 -2010. Predicting outcomes show that the prediction accuracy of five-point unbiased sliding optimized GM （1, 1 ） model is higher than the unbiased GM （1,1） model. Finally, combined with the prediction results, the author provides some suggestion for Enshi District in the prevention and control of rice blast in 2010.

Combined model based on optimized multi-variable grey model and multiple linear regression

The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to eliminate the random fluctuations or errors of the observational data of all variables, and the combined prediction model together with the multiple linear regression is established in order to improve the simulation and prediction accuracy of the combined model. Finally, a combined model of the MGM（1,2） with optimized background value and the binary linear regression is constructed by an example. The results show that the model has good effects for simulation and prediction.

Optimizing Control of Bio-dissimilation Process of Glycerol to 1,3-Propanedlol

An iterative optimization strategy is proposed and applied to the steady state optimizing control of the bio-dissimilation process of glycerol to 1,3-propanediol in the presence of model-plant mismatch and input constraints. The scheme is based on the Augmented Integrated System Optimization and Parameter Estimation （AI- SOPE） technique, but a linearization of some performance function in the modified model-based optimization problem of AISOPE is introduced to overcome the difficulty of determining an appropriate penalty parameter. When carrying out the iterative optimization, the penalty coefficient is set to a larger value at the current iteration than at the previous iteration, which can promote the evolution rate of the iterative optimization. Simulation studies illustrate the potential ofthe approach presented for the optimizing control of the bioTdissimilation process of glycerol to 1,3-propanediol. The effects of measurement noise, measured and unmeasured disturbances on the proposed algorithm are also investigated.

An Algorithm of 0-1 Knapsack Problem Based on Economic Model

In order to optimize the knapsack problem further, this paper proposes an innovative model based on dynamic expectation efficiency, and establishes a new optimization algorithm of 0-1 knapsack problem after analysis and research. Through analyzing the study of 30 groups of 0-1 knapsack problem from discrete coefficient of the data, we can find that dynamic expectation model can solve the following two types of knapsack problem. Compared to artificial glowworm swam algorithm, the convergence speed of this algorithm is ten times as fast as that of artificial glowworm swam algorithm, and the storage space of this algorithm is one quarter that of artificial glowworm swam algorithm. To sum up, it can be widely used in practical problems.

“N+1”模式下粮油行业供应链优化研究

随着全球经济的快速发展和市场竞争的加剧,粮油行业供应链管理面临着越来越大的挑战。传统的供应链管理模式已经不能满足日益增长的市场需求和消费者个性化需求。本文以“N+1”模式为基础,探讨了粮油行业供应链优化的相关问题,并提出了一些创新性的解决方案,以期为行业的可持续发展和提高供应链效率提供理论支持和实践指导。

职业本科院校推进1+X证书制度的改革成效和优化策略研究——以建筑信息模型职业技能等级证书为例

自2019年国家启动1+X证书制度试点工作以来,职业院校成为试点的关键场所。文章通过对职业本科院校质量年度报告的分析,提炼建筑信息模型职业技能等级证书的改革成效。同时,参照国家政策相关文件,提出职业本科院校应推进国家学分银行建设、建立健全投入机制、“政、培、校”协同管理的优化策略,为院校建筑信息模型证书的发展提供参考方向。

优化背景值的GM(1,1)

为了提高模型的拟合精度,提出了一种新的改进GM(1,1)模型.从优化GM(1,1)模型背景值的定义出发,推导出利用原始数据生成的背景值公式,将其与经过优化的初始条件结合,构造出改进的GM(1,1)模型.此模型将在很大程度上消除由于背景值的选取所产生的误差.对该模型进行数据模拟,通过与原模型中数据的比较、分析,验证出新的优化模型具有更好的模拟精度,说明该模型的有效性,可以将其应用于对其它数据的拟合预测.

背景值和初始条件同时优化的GM(1,1)模型

GM(1,1)模型是有偏差的灰指数模型,其精度取决于背景值的构造形式和初始条件的选取。已有的研究文献均是从一个侧面单独改进GM(1,1)模型,单独采用优化背景值方法或优化初始条件方法可以在一定程度上提高模型精度,因为两种改进方法完全独立。这里提出一种同时优化背景值和初始条件的新GM(1,1)模型,通过模拟数据的比较表明,新优化GM(1,1)模型有更高的精度。

灰色DNGM(1,1)预测模型及其优化

传统的灰色GM(1,1)预测模型是针对近似齐次指数序列建立的预测模型。为了拓广灰色预测模型的适用范围,建立了近似非齐次指数序列的灰色DNGM(1,1)预测模型。研究了这种灰色预测模型的性质,证明了这种模型都具有线性不变性,也能够完全拟合非齐次指数序列。考虑到初值条件对灰色模型的影响,对该模型进行了参数优化。数据仿真和实例分析表明,灰色DNGM(1,1)预测模型具有较高的预测精度。

优化GM(1,N)模型在交通噪声预测中的应用和精度分析

背景值是影响GM(1,N)模型模拟精度和预测精度的重要因素。传统灰色系统多因素GM(1,N)模型对背景值采用梯形法求积,误差较大。为了提高GM(1,N)模型的精度,基于数值分析中的逼近思想,采用数值积分中的Newton-Cores公式和Gauss-Legendre公式对背景值进行修正求积。理论分析表明该方法能够有效地提高模型的预测精度。然后将经过优化的GM(1,N)模型应用到城市道路交通噪声的预测上,模型预测值的平均误差从2.913%降低到了1.108%。应用实例表明优化后的GM(1,N)模型精度比原始GM(1,1)模型精度有较大提高,验证了该优化方法的实用性和有效性,且该方法为提高模型的预测精度提供了新的途径。

基于ARMA(1,1)需求的多级供应链牛鞭效应仿真

在市场需求信息为ARMA(1,1)平稳可逆时间序列模型的前提下,首次建立了多级供应链各级成员以均方误差优化预测技术预测市场需求,以订货点法来确定订货量时多级供应链牛鞭效应理论及仿真模型,并利用仿真模型对多级供应链的整体牛鞭效应及其影响因素进行了详细的分析,研究表明供应链牛鞭效应和相关系数ρ与滑动平均系数θ之间的相互关系有关。

基于双向差分建模的优化GM(1,1)模型及其在中长期电力负荷预测中的应用

针对电力负荷预测,论述了一种基于双向差分计算的GM(1,1)建模方法,采用向前差分与向后差分建模的拟合误差平方和最小的原则进行参数估计。为了进一步提高GM(1,1)模型的拟合及预测精度,利用拟合值和原始值误差平方和最小的原则对预测模型的初始值进行了优化,摆脱了原有模型的初始值必经过历史数据中的某一点的束缚。以太原地区电力负荷和重庆地区的农村用电量为例,采用了几种典型GM(1,1)模型进行了拟合和预测对比分析,结果表明所提出的优化GM(1,1)模型的拟合、预测精度更高,适应性更强。

系统优化的GM(1,1)模型在大坝位移预测中的应用

针对传统灰色GM(1,1)模型的缺陷,以陈村大坝为例,根据最小二乘原理提出了以GM(1,1)的一次累加生成建模序列所有分量的拟合误差平方和最小为约束条件,求得新灰色GM(1,1)预测模型的最优初始值,改进了原GM(1,1)模型的背景值及灰度值,并与传统GM(1,1)模型做了比较。数值仿真结果表明,新模型精度较高,预测效果较理想。

一种内涵式参数辨识的GM(1,1)新模型

针对普通GM(1,1)模型应用于非平缓变化序列预测时误差较大甚至失效的缺陷,提出了一种内涵式参数辨识的GM(1,1)新模型。推导了模型边值、背景值权重系数、发展系数以及灰作用量与预测值之间的非线性内涵表达式,并采用粒子群算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)对内涵式参数进行辨识,建立了PSOGM(1,1)预测新模型。典型算例表明,PSOGM(1,1)模型收敛速度快,较普通GM(1,1)模型具有更高的预测精度,可应用于平缓变化及非平缓变化序列预测。

扩展GM(1,M)模型混沌优化及其在边坡监测中的应用

基于GM(1,1)与常规GM(1,M)模型缺陷的分析,给出了扩展GM(1,M)模型(E-GM)及其响应递推式,进而指出了背景值生成因子的双重约束特性。扩展模型采用最新历史数据作为响应值初始条件,并提出以模型精度与法矩阵病态程度为准则引入混沌优化方法搜索最佳生成因子。工程实例计算表明,扩展模型预测精度及可靠性优于GM(1,1)及常规GM(1,M)模型。

含误差校正的粒子群优化GM(1,2)短期电价预测方法

在对电力市场现货电价的变动规律综合分析的基础上,提出了一种含预测误差校正的粒子群优化GM(1,2)短期电价预测方法。该方法对采用滑动平均法处理后的电价序列建立基于粒子群优化灰色背景值的GM(1,2)模型,利用时间序列分析的ARMA方法对灰色残差序列建立ARMA预测模型,并用ARMA模型的预测值修正GM(1,2)模型的预测结果。对PJM电力市场历史数据的算例分析表明,相对于传统GM(1,2)模型,该方法能够更加准确地反映电价的变化规律,具有较高的预测精度,可满足电力市场参与者制订竞价策略的需要。

基于M/M/1的无线mesh网络网关分析模型

根据排队论M/M/1模型的特性以及无线mesh网络中顾客请求服务的生成特点,构建了基于M/M/1模型的无线mesh网络网关队列模型,该模型将请求服务中原来的无序状态集转变为有序状态集,在网关节点前进行排队,网关作为单一的服务台服务于整个集合;利用数学方法对模型进行求解,即推导出网络系统的关键参量和目标分析函数。通过验证实验,该模型可以求得网络中非饱和资源分配状态下的一些关键参量值。理论分析和实验结果都说明了新模型是合理、有效的。