Through systematically summarizing the observational data of earth resistivity during 26 years from nearly a hundred stations in China, the author found that the pattern of the earth resistivity (ρs) tendency variati...Through systematically summarizing the observational data of earth resistivity during 26 years from nearly a hundred stations in China, the author found that the pattern of the earth resistivity (ρs) tendency variations,based on monthly average data, could be divided into five types, three types of which were defined as anomalous variation, which have different qualitative and quantitative characteristics and different relations with earthquakes as well.The first type of tendency variation called “funnel” is related to strong earthquakes, the Second type called “scoop” has good corresponding relation with moderate earthquakes, and the third type called “tilt” has no relation with earthquakes. Preliminary discussions about the relations between the three types of ρs tendency variation patterns and earthquakes are made in this paper, according to the experimental results of pressed rocks. It is concluded that the different patterns of ρs tendency variation actually reflect the different stress conditions of underground soil-rock layers: the “funnel” type reflects high stress status, the “scoop” type shows moderate stress condition and the “tilt” type is related to stress relief. All of such knowledges mentioned above are very useful in making accurate medium-term earthquake prediction.展开更多
Based on daily maximum and minimum temperature observed by the China Mete- orological Administration at 115 meteorological stations in the Yangtze River Basin from 1962 to 2011, the methods of linear regression, princ...Based on daily maximum and minimum temperature observed by the China Mete- orological Administration at 115 meteorological stations in the Yangtze River Basin from 1962 to 2011, the methods of linear regression, principal component analysis and correlation analysis are employed to investigate the temporal variability and spatial distribution of tem- perature extremes. Sixteen indices of extreme temperature are selected. The results are as follows： （1） The occurrence of cold days, cold nights, ice days, frost days and cold spell du- ration indicator has significantly decreased by -0.84, -2.78, -0.48, -3.29 and -0.67 days per decade, respectively. While the occurrence of warm days, warm nights, summer days, tropi- cal nights, warm spell duration indicator and growing season length shows statistically sig- nificant increasing trends at rates of 2.24, 2.86, 2.93, 1.80, 0.83 and 2.30 days per decade, respectively. The tendency rate of the coldest day, coldest night, warmest day, warmest night and diurnal temperature range is 0.33, 0.47, 0.16, 0.19 and -0.07~C per decade, respectively （2） The magnitudes of changes in cold indices （cold nights, coldest day and coldest night） are obviously greater than those of warm indices （warm nights, warmest day and warmest night）. The change ranges of night indices （warm nights and cold nights） are larger than those of day indices （warm days and cold days）, which indicates that the change of day and night tem- perature is asymmetrical. （3） Spatially, the regionally averaged values of cold indices in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Basin are larger than those in the middle and lower reaches. However, the regionally averaged values of most warm indices （except warm spell duration indicator） and growing season length in the middle and lower reaches are larger than those in the upper reaches. （4） The extreme temperature indices are well correlated with each other except diurnal temperature range.展开更多
文摘Through systematically summarizing the observational data of earth resistivity during 26 years from nearly a hundred stations in China, the author found that the pattern of the earth resistivity (ρs) tendency variations,based on monthly average data, could be divided into five types, three types of which were defined as anomalous variation, which have different qualitative and quantitative characteristics and different relations with earthquakes as well.The first type of tendency variation called “funnel” is related to strong earthquakes, the Second type called “scoop” has good corresponding relation with moderate earthquakes, and the third type called “tilt” has no relation with earthquakes. Preliminary discussions about the relations between the three types of ρs tendency variation patterns and earthquakes are made in this paper, according to the experimental results of pressed rocks. It is concluded that the different patterns of ρs tendency variation actually reflect the different stress conditions of underground soil-rock layers: the “funnel” type reflects high stress status, the “scoop” type shows moderate stress condition and the “tilt” type is related to stress relief. All of such knowledges mentioned above are very useful in making accurate medium-term earthquake prediction.
基金l National Basic Research Program of China （973 Program）, No.2013CBA01801 National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41161012, No.41240001 Basic Scientific Research Foundation in University of Gansu Province
文摘Based on daily maximum and minimum temperature observed by the China Mete- orological Administration at 115 meteorological stations in the Yangtze River Basin from 1962 to 2011, the methods of linear regression, principal component analysis and correlation analysis are employed to investigate the temporal variability and spatial distribution of tem- perature extremes. Sixteen indices of extreme temperature are selected. The results are as follows： （1） The occurrence of cold days, cold nights, ice days, frost days and cold spell du- ration indicator has significantly decreased by -0.84, -2.78, -0.48, -3.29 and -0.67 days per decade, respectively. While the occurrence of warm days, warm nights, summer days, tropi- cal nights, warm spell duration indicator and growing season length shows statistically sig- nificant increasing trends at rates of 2.24, 2.86, 2.93, 1.80, 0.83 and 2.30 days per decade, respectively. The tendency rate of the coldest day, coldest night, warmest day, warmest night and diurnal temperature range is 0.33, 0.47, 0.16, 0.19 and -0.07~C per decade, respectively （2） The magnitudes of changes in cold indices （cold nights, coldest day and coldest night） are obviously greater than those of warm indices （warm nights, warmest day and warmest night）. The change ranges of night indices （warm nights and cold nights） are larger than those of day indices （warm days and cold days）, which indicates that the change of day and night tem- perature is asymmetrical. （3） Spatially, the regionally averaged values of cold indices in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Basin are larger than those in the middle and lower reaches. However, the regionally averaged values of most warm indices （except warm spell duration indicator） and growing season length in the middle and lower reaches are larger than those in the upper reaches. （4） The extreme temperature indices are well correlated with each other except diurnal temperature range.
