A Numerical Research on the Influences of the Diurnal Variation of Solar Radiation on the Medium-Range Weather Processes

In this paper, we use a spectral model for the medium-range numerical weather forecast to discuss the impact of the diurnal variation of solar radiation on the medium-range weather processes. Under the tests of two typical winter and summer cases, we find that the influences of the diurnal variation of solar radiation on summer weather are really important, especially on its rainfall, surface heat transport and 500 hPa height field. On winter weather, however, the influences are very weak.

Analysis of Rainfall Weather Process in Most of China from 3-6 October, 2021

Heavy rain is a common abnormal weather in China, which is prone to major natural disasters such as floods. By using China National Climate Center’s DERF2.0 (the second-generation product of monthly dynamic extended ensemble prediction) models and NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) data, and using synoptic and dynamic methods and other research methods, the rainfall weather process in most of China from October 3-6, 2021 is analyzed. The results show that: 1) this process had a long duration, large cumulative rainfall and strong extreme. 2) The warm and wet flow and the cold air intersected in the central and western regions of China and Northeast China, which resulted in a regional rainstorm process within ten days. 3) There was a low-level jet moving from Guizhou and Hunan to the south of Northeast China, bringing a lot of water vapor. To sum up, the rainfall process of this round has a certain relationship with the adjustment of atmospheric circulation.

Analysis on the Heavy Snow Weather Process in Benxi Area

[Objective] The aim was to study the formation and development of a heavy snow in Benxi area. [Method] Based on conventional meteorological data, the formation and development of a heavy snow in Benxi area from December 4th to 5th in 2009 were analyzed from the aspects of weather situation evolution and physical quantity field feature. [Result] The heavy snow was caused by upper trough and North China cyclone. In this process, there was upper level divergence and lower level convergence over Benxi area, and it was warm at low attitude and cold at high attitude; southwest jet at low attitude transported water vapor from Bohai Sea to eastern Liaoning, which provided good water vapor condition for snow, but it didn’t reach heavy snow due to inadequate ascending force. The development of Ural Mountains high ridge played an important role in the snow process and the strengthened high ridge moving northward was beneficial to the southward movement of cold air and deepening of upper trough. Analysis on physical quantity field could provide reference for predicting beginning and ending time and strength of heavy snow. [Conclusion] The study could provide basis for the forecast of heavy snow.

The Effects of Terrain Slope and Orientation on Different Weather Processes in China under Different Model Resolutions

Currently, short horizontal surface wave radiation at the ground surface （GSW） is calculated under the assumption of a This method of estimating the GSW may lead to considerable errors when the model resolution becomes higher and the model terrain becomes steeper. In this paper, to improve the short wave solar radiation simulations, a terrain slope and orientation parameterization has been implemented into the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model GRAPES （Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System）. The effects of the terrain slope and orientation on different short range weather processes in China under different model resolutions are simulated and discussed. In the simulations, topography height is taken from NCEP （National Centers for Environmental Prediction） with a resolution of 1 km, and the slope and orientation of terrain are calculated using different staggering schemes and under different weather conditions. The results show that when the model resolution is low （30 and 60 km） and the slope of terrain is not large, the influence of the slope and orientation of terrain on the GSW is not evident; otherwise, however, it is not negligible. Under high model resolutions （3 and 6 km）, the increase （decrease） of simulated precipitation corresponds to the decrease （increase） of the GSW induced by the slope effect, and the variations of precipitation are usually ranged between -5 and 5 ram. Under the high resolution, the surface temperature and heat fluxes are strongly correlated to each other and the high correlation exists mostly in the complex terrain regions. The changes of the GSW, precipitation, surface temperature, and heat fluxes induced by the effects of the terrain slope and orientation are more obvious in mountainous regions, due to the alternations in the atmospheric circulation. It is found as well that under the weather condition of less cloud and less precipitation, the effects of the terrain slope and orientation can be more realistically seen. Therefore, the terrain slope and orientation can usually be neglected in numerical models when the horizontal model resolution is low and the slopes are moderate, but should be taken into account when the model resolution becomes high and the terrain is steep and undulating.

CHARACTERISTICS OF TURBULENCE SPECTRA IN DIFFERENT WEATHER PROCESSES UNDER UNSTABLE CONDITIONS

In this paper,the data chosen from measurements by supersonic anemometers in Tongxian County of Beijing in 1990 are used to study characteristics of turbulence spectra in precipitation weather.Some turbulence parameters such as turbulence intensity,heat and momentum fluxes,friction velocity,M-O length and stability parameter are calculated and their dependence on turbulence spectra in different stability conditions are analyzed.Some encouraging results are obtained and compared with others' results.

A NUMERICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF THE QINGHAIXIZANG PLATEAU ON THE MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER PROCESSES OF THE SUMMER MONSOON RAIN IN EAST ASIA

By employing the T42L9 spectral model introduced flom ECMWF and utilizing the FGGE-III_b data covering the period from 14 June to 19 June 1979,the effects of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau on the medium- range weather processes of the rain during the onset period of the summer monsoon in Eastern Asia in 1979 were studied numerically.According to the initial field of 12GMT 14 June 1979,five-day numerical experiments with or without the orographic effects were carried out respectively.The results show that the Plateau can influence the precipitation significantly during the summer monsoon season.Although the summer monsoon is the result of the seasonal variations of the global circulation and the heating difference between land and sea,it is influenced evidently by the Plateau in medium-range processes.There are very complex interactions between the mountain and diabatic heating effects so that both of them should be considered correctly in the general circulation models in order to describe the nature of the atmosphere reliably.

Detrital Mode and Geochemistry of the Shurijeh Formation (Late Jurassic-Early Cretaceous) in the Central and Western Parts of the Intracontinental Kopet-Dagh Basin, NE Iran: Implications for Provenance, Tectonic Setting and Weathering Processes

Petrographical and geochemical methods were combined to investigate the provenance, geodynamic and weathering history of the Shurijeh sandstones, Kopet-Dagh Basin. The point-counting method and XRF technique are used for modal and geochemical analyses. Based on petrographical examinations, it seems that the Shurijeh sandstones are mainly deposited in the craton interior and recycled orogen belts. In addition to petrographical investigation, geochemical analyses （major oxides and trace elements） of Late Jurassic-Early Cretaceous rocks reveal that the sedimentation processes are performed in a passive continental margin. Such interpretation is supported with geodynamic and paleogeographical studies of the Kopeh-Dagh basin during this time. The geochemical investigations suggested that the composition of probable source rocks mostly was acidic-intermediate with minor mafic igneous rocks. Based on the above, Paleo-Tethys remnants and their collision-related granitoids, in the south and west of Mashhad, may have been the source area for these rocks. CIA values, which range from 63.8 to 94.9 in samples, are suggesting a moderate to relatively high degree of alteration （weathering） in the source area. Therefore, petrographical and paleogeographical studies of siliciclastic rocks can be used for the provenance, tectonic setting and paleoweathering studies in the source area.

Weathering Processes on Martian Craters: Implications on Recurring Slope Lineae and the Location of Liquid Water

Recent attention has been put into recurring slope lineae (RSL), after the discovery that water is present in them. It is assumed that RSL are due to flowing water. However, even though that might be the case, the general characteristics of RSL as well as their seasonal and spatial distribution in Mars, and their occurrence within craters, suggest that RSL correspond to the weathering of frozen aquifers, which coincides with slope stability processes occurring in impact craters and scree slopes from Earth. In this study, we associated RSL with similar weathering processes occurring on impact craters and hydrogeological processes occurring on Earth (including ice, water, and wind erosion and natural aquifer recharge processes). We were able to create a conceptual model on how RSL develop, why are they found mostly in mid latitudes around craters, why are they present in more frequency in one side of crates in high latitudes, and why are there more RSL in the Martian southern hemisphere. Considering the whole hydrogeological processes occurring in craters that experience RSL, we were able to predict where large quantities of liquid water are most likely to be present in the red planet.

离子吸附型稀土矿床的诱导成矿学研究

诱导成矿学的核心理念是针对低品位矿石、尾矿和具有成矿潜力岩石中的关键金属资源,通过人工干预手段诱导目标金属元素活化和富集,在有限的时间尺度内形成具有经济价值的可利用资源。离子吸附型稀土矿床是全球稀土资源的主要来源之一,近年来为全球提供了80%以上的中、重稀土资源供给。该类矿床的形成主要受控于内生稀土初始富集和表生风化淋积成矿两个过程,而后者对于成矿极为关键。由于我国华南地区具有适宜形成离子吸附型稀土矿床的气候条件、大量出露的花岗质岩石及风化壳,因此对该地区开展人工诱导成矿技术研发将具有重要应用前景。通过分析离子吸附型稀土矿床形成的控制因素,预计可选择具有成矿潜力的花岗岩、含稀土风化壳和低品位矿床作为主要诱导成矿对象。通过调控地形地貌、生态、水文和风化壳物理化学条件等加速风化进程,促进稀土元素释放,引导稀土元素定向迁移,并在指定位置进行沉淀成矿,形成具有经济价值的富集稀土的矿体。特别是在该过程中可控制轻重稀土元素的分异,促使其形成富集重稀土的矿体,为解决全球重稀土资源紧缺和保障重稀土资源持续供给提供有效实施方案。因此,对离子吸附型矿床开展诱导成矿学研究具有重要的理论意义和应用价值,可作为诱导成矿学的重点研究方向之一。

数值预报中气象卫星资料同化前处理技术进展

在数值天气预报变分同化中,利用同化前处理将卫星资料完成有效信息优选、资料拼接和稀疏化、初级通道选择、下边界参数耦合等处理,实现卫星资料同化对数值天气预报业务的正贡献,是决定海量卫星资料同化效率、质量和效果的重要环节。针对多种格式的卫星资料,中国气象局研发标准格式的高时效卫星资料拼接等技术,有效减小整轨卫星资料时间滞后对数值天气预报业务的负面影响。对于风云气象卫星资料,将云和降水检测、资料质量分析等处理置于同化前处理中,实现多光谱资料融合的同化预质量控制,保证了风云卫星微波温度探测资料和红外高光谱资料的同化正贡献。利用统一资料格式对预处理卫星资料进行再处理,拓展针对卫星成像和主动探测资料的处理,将卫星资料同化的部分质量控制功能置于卫星资料同化前处理中,是风云卫星资料同化前处理技术发展的重要趋势。

地面自动气象站数据流式处理设计与实现

针对观测密度和频次日益增加的海量地面自动气象站数据,在气象大数据云平台(天擎)中设计了基于Storm的实时流式处理,利用大规模并行处理的优势提高地面自动气象站数据的处理时效。在流式处理中,设计处理拓扑直接解码标准格式的数据消息;消息确认采用手工确认的方式,将数据解码组件锚定数据接入组件,实现每条数据的可靠处理;数据解码时进行字节校验和时间检查等,过滤异常数据;应用批量加定时的发送策略,解决海量监控信息发送气象综合业务实时监控系统(天镜)的问题;集群部署时保留部分剩余资源,有效应对单节点异常。应用效果表明:国家气象站小时数据的服务时效由全国综合气象信息共享系统(CIMISS)的175 s提高至天擎的78 s,约6×10^(4)个区域气象站小时数据的服务时效由CIMISS的5 min提高至天警的2 min,实况分析系统将数据源切换至天擎后,相同时间检索可获取的站点数量较CIMISS增加1倍。2021年12月基于Storm的流式处理与天擎一同在国省业务化运行,实现了长期稳定运行,为MICAPS4、SWAN2.0、实况分析系统等用户提供高效稳定的地面自动气象站数据。

考虑极端天气冲击过程的风电机组竞争失效可靠性评估

针对风电机组的运行可靠性易受极端天气影响的问题,提出了一种考虑极端天气冲击过程的风电机组竞争失效可靠性评估方法。同时考虑风电机组自然退化、极端天气冲击导致的瞬时退化以及极端天气持续过程产生的加速退化,构建极端天气下的风电机组综合退化模型;考虑风电机组退化过程对其耐冲击性能的影响,建立风电机组竞争失效可靠度模型以评估风电机组可靠性;基于我国北方某风电场工程数据和极端天气历史数据评估了某2 MW风电机组的可靠性并进行了参数灵敏度分析。结果显示,到第5年时,仅考虑自然退化的方法评估风电机组可靠度为0.84,而考虑极端天气冲击过程的方法评估风电机组可靠度为0.178,后者更加符合工程实际。通过模型参数的灵敏度分析发现,运行时间超过3年后,退化失效开始逐渐影响风电机组的可靠性。

中国极端天气气候研究——“地球系统与全球变化”重点专项项目简介及最新进展

全球变暖背景下,极端天气气候事件频发,并表现出群发性、持续性、复合性等特点,不可预测性增加;持续性强降水、极端低温、复合型极端高温干旱、群发性热浪和台风等极端天气气候事件对我国经济社会和可持续发展影响巨大。然而,上述极端天气气候事件的新特征、关键过程和机理尚不完全清楚,重大极端事件的预报预测水平亟待提升。文章首先简要介绍“地球系统与全球变化”重点专项项目“中国极端天气气候事件的形成机理及其预测和归因”的基本情况。项目拟在分析全球变化背景下对我国造成重大影响的极端天气气候事件新特征的基础上,深入研究多尺度海-陆-气耦合过程影响极端天气气候事件的机理,挖掘极端天气气候事件次季节-季节预测的前兆信号;发展动力与物理统计相结合的极端事件预测新方法,研制针对中国极端事件的新一代高分辨率数值预报与检测归因系统。文章重点总结了自2022年12月项目立项至今取得的最新研究成果和进展。

山脉隆升驱动硅酸盐风化机制研究进展

山脉隆升与气候变化的关系是近几十年来的研究热点。自20世纪80年代著名的“构造抬升驱动气候变冷”假说在提出以来,山脉隆升通过硅酸盐风化驱动百万年尺度气候变化的观点已深入人心。尽管许多大陆风化记录已经建立,但它们往往存在多解性,难以直接验证该假说。这激发了大量从现代过程角度验证该假说的研究,但部分研究发现山地流域的风化不受物理剥蚀过程控制,因此不太可能响应构造活动而发生变化,与“构造抬升驱动气候变冷”假说的核心观点相矛盾。文章综述了山脉隆升驱动硅酸盐风化机制研究的相关进展并分析了这一矛盾产生的原因,探讨了异地风化作为解决该矛盾的新风化机制的可能性,并初步展望了异地风化研究领域的机遇和挑战。

基于KA-SRCN-pSTAP的低空风切变风速估计方法

针对由于独立同分布(IID)样本严重不足,导致极化空时自适应(pSTAP)处理性能下降,进而导致低空风切变风速估计不准确的问题,本文提出了一种基于知识辅助的稀疏表示杂波零陷极化空时自适应(KA-SRCN-pSTAP)的低空风切变风速估计方法。该方法首先利用杂波脊的先验知识辅助构造极化空时稀疏字典,然后利用极化空时稀疏字典,通过SRCN算法挑选原子并对到杂波线性子空间补空间上的投影矩阵进行估计,从而得到pSTAP权矢量,最后构造pSTAP滤波器对地杂波进行抑制,准确估计低空风切变风速。该方法仅使用少量IID样本,将SRCN算法与极化-空时域相结合,完成对风切变风速的有效估计。仿真实验结果证明该方法可以有效实现少样本情况下的风速准确估计。

云南某风化磷矿浮选试验研究

针对云南某风化矿开发利用的问题,经过系统性工艺研究,开发出了一套适用于风化矿的擦洗-浮选联合工艺流程。通过该工艺处理后,将风化矿从P_(2)O_(5)、MgO、SiO_(2)的质量分数从23.52%、1.0%、26.0%,提升到精矿的28.07%、0.85%、19.89%,满足了下游化工企业的生产要求,为其开发利用提供了技术依据。

钾同位素示踪地表过程:进展与挑战

地表化学风化过程影响着不同时间尺度大气CO_(2)浓度和全球气候变化,因此有效示踪地表风化是表生过程研究的重要科学问题之一。钾(K)元素无化合价变化,主要赋存于硅酸盐岩中,在表生地质过程中其同位素通常会发生显著分馏,因此K同位素体系具有示踪地表过程的巨大潜力。然而,K同位素研究尚在起步阶段,其分馏机制及其控制因素等尚不清楚。本文从K的分布、主要储库的K同位素组成,以及K同位素在风化过程中的分馏行为等方面,系统总结了K同位素示踪地表过程的主要研究进展,提出了大小流域相结合、多同位素体系联用,并量化人类活动对K同位素分馏产生的影响,以此来减少K同位素示踪地表过程的不确定性的建议。

Diagnostic Analysis on a Regional Rainstorm Weather in North-central Henan Province

[Objective] The research aimed to analyze a regional rainstorm weather process in north-central Henan Province. [Method] Based on the conventional meteorological observation data and the rainfall data of Henan Meteorological Station, the diagnostic analysis of atmospheric thermodynamics and dynamics on a rainstorm weather process in north-central Henan Province on July 19, 2010 was carried out. The characteristics of physical quantity field and the evolution of weather situation in north-central Henan Province when the rainstorm happened were studied. [Result] Western Pacific subtropical high strengthened to extend westward. The dynamic uplifting of low vortex at the middle and low layers, the strong water vapor transportation of southwest low-level jet caused the regional rainstorm weather process in north-central Henan Province. The diagnostic results of physical quantity showed that the deep, thick wet layer and the sustained water vapor convergence provided the abundant water vapor for rainstorm generation. The positive vorticity advection center developed and spread from northwest to southeast, which was favorable for the development of vertical movement. The structure maintenance of positive vorticity at the middle and low layers, negative vorticity at the middle and high levels provided the power condition for the regional rainstorm generation. The pumping effect of convergence at the middle and low layers, divergence at the high layer was favorable for the strengthening of vertical ascending motion at the low layer. The uplifting effect of dew point front at the middle and low layers triggered the release of unstable energy. The confrontation of warm and cold air was one of the important reasons for the regional rainstorm. TBB characteristic analysis showed that TBB was from -60 to -50 ℃ in north-central Henan Province in the whole strong precipitation time, and the moving speed was equivalent to that of southwest vortex. The low-value belt of TBB corresponded with the rainstorm occurrence zone in Henan, and the minimum-value center of TBB was basically consistent with the strongest center of precipitation. [Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for the short-term forecast of rainstorm.

Analysis of a Cold Wave Process in Jiujiang and Its Numerical Model Forecast

The cold wave weather process in Jiujiang in the early spring of February 2020 was analyzed.The results show that the establishment of blocking high near Lake Baikal and the rapid southward of cold air after accumulation resulted in the cold wave weather accompanied by strong cooling,hale and rain(snow)weather in Jiujiang.Before the cold wave broke out,the ground warmed up significantly,which was also one of thermal conditions for this cold wave weather.Water vapor conditions were abundant at middle and low levels;at 850 hPa,temperature dropped by 12-14℃during February 14-15,and-4℃isotherm appeared in the southern part of central Jiangxi,which is a favorable condition for rain(snow)in most areas of Jiujiang.

2023年3月29日贵南地区暴雪天气过程分析

文章利用MICAPS常规观测资料、卫星云图资料及C波段雷达资料对青海省海南州贵南地区2023年3月29日暴雪天气过程进行分析,结果表明:500 hPa高空短波槽及切变线是此次暴雪天气过程高空的主要影响系统;低空及地面较好的水汽条件、不稳定层结和触发机制相互配合,构成了贵南地区出现极端性降雪天气有利的气象因子;十分充沛的局地水汽条件是此次极端降雪天气发生的主要原因之一;贵南地区中小尺度的气旋式辐合系统提供了较好的辐合抬升条件,这是此次暴雪天气过程局地性强和降水强度大的另一个原因。分析结果可为今后类似暴雪天气过程预报提供参考依据。