Seasonal adjustment has been widely used in statistic analyses.Nowadays,the research on seasonal adjustment methods mainly concentrates on X-11,X-12 etc in China,lacking the whole understanding of foreign seasonal adj...Seasonal adjustment has been widely used in statistic analyses.Nowadays,the research on seasonal adjustment methods mainly concentrates on X-11,X-12 etc in China,lacking the whole understanding of foreign seasonal adjustment methods,and the latest progress of seasonal adjustment methods has been less introduced.In this article,various seasonal adjustment methods were introduced,and a comparison of their characteristics and applications was made.It is helpful that statistical organizations can develop appropriate seasonal adjustment methods,concerning different kinds of data.展开更多
景气监测指标选择的好坏成为决定经济景气监测预警体系科学性强弱的一个至关重要的因素。时差相关分析法是进行景气指标筛选的常用方法之一。本文以某直辖市统计部门原始数据为基础,运用社会科学统计软件包SPSS(Statistical Package for...景气监测指标选择的好坏成为决定经济景气监测预警体系科学性强弱的一个至关重要的因素。时差相关分析法是进行景气指标筛选的常用方法之一。本文以某直辖市统计部门原始数据为基础,运用社会科学统计软件包SPSS(Statistical Package for Social Science),对数据用X-11季节调整模型进行季节调整后,采用时差相关分析模型,从众多的经济指标中筛选出主要经济领域有代表性的、具有超前总体经济运行特征的“先行经济指标”。展开更多
文摘Seasonal adjustment has been widely used in statistic analyses.Nowadays,the research on seasonal adjustment methods mainly concentrates on X-11,X-12 etc in China,lacking the whole understanding of foreign seasonal adjustment methods,and the latest progress of seasonal adjustment methods has been less introduced.In this article,various seasonal adjustment methods were introduced,and a comparison of their characteristics and applications was made.It is helpful that statistical organizations can develop appropriate seasonal adjustment methods,concerning different kinds of data.
文摘景气监测指标选择的好坏成为决定经济景气监测预警体系科学性强弱的一个至关重要的因素。时差相关分析法是进行景气指标筛选的常用方法之一。本文以某直辖市统计部门原始数据为基础,运用社会科学统计软件包SPSS(Statistical Package for Social Science),对数据用X-11季节调整模型进行季节调整后,采用时差相关分析模型,从众多的经济指标中筛选出主要经济领域有代表性的、具有超前总体经济运行特征的“先行经济指标”。
