Analysis on activation laws caused by coal mining in fault footwall and its criterion

The system research aimed at activation laws caused by coal mining in fault footwall based on the rock strata me- chanics theory in this paper. According to the three-belt characteristics of overlying strata above mined-out area, the fault acti- vation effect was divided into the following three periods： the initial activation, the excessive activation and the ultimate activation. Corresponding activation criterion was also deduced by the mechanics theory. Results of engineering example and numerical analysis show that the activation criterion can reflect the activation laws of fault caused by coal mining.

The middle-long term prediction of the February 3,1996 Lijiang earthquake(M_S=7) by the "criterion of activity in quiescence

Earthquake activities in history are characterized by active and quiet periods. In the quiet period, the place where earthquake M_≥6 occurred means more elastic energy store and speedy energy accumulation there. When an active period of big earthquake activity appeared in wide region, in the place where earthquake (M_≥6) occurred in the past quiet period, the big earthquake with magnitude of 7 or more often occur there. We call the above-mentioned judgement for predicting big earthquake the 'criterion of activity in quiescence'. The criterion is relatively effective for predicting location of big earthquake. In general, error of predicting epicenter is no more than 100 km. According to the criterion, we made successfully a middle-term prediction on the 1996 Lijiang earthquake in Yunnan Province, the error of predicted location is about 50 km. Besides, the 1994 Taiwan strait earthquake (M_s=7.3), the 1995 Yunnan-Myanmar boundary earthquake (M_s=7.2) and the Mani earthquake (M_s=7.9) in north Tibet are accordant with the retrospective predictions by the 'criterion of activity in quiescence'. The windows of 'activity in quiescence' identified statistically by us are 1940-1945, 1958-1961 and 1979-1986. Using the 'criterion of activity in quiescence' to predict big earthquake in the mainland of China,the earthquake defined by 'activity in quiescence' has magnitude of 6 or more; For the Himalayas seismic belt, the Pacific seismic belt and the north-west boundary seismic belt of Xinjiang, the earthquake defined by 'activity in quiescence' has magnitude of 7, which is corresponding to earthquake with magnitude of much more than 7 in future. For the regions where there are not tectonically and historically a possibility of occurring big earthquake (M_s=7), the criterion of activity in quiescence is not effective.

Study on the onset temperature of a standing-wave thermoacoustic engine based on circuit network theory

Onset mechanism is one of the most fundamental issues in thermoacoustic field.However,the onset conditions and the phenomena happening in the onset process have not been well explained theoretically.In this paper,a novel model based on the circuit network analogy is proposed to predict the onset temperature of a standing-wave thermoacoustic engine.The activity and instability criteria are proposed to be the onset criteria in the model.The influences of the porosity of the heat exchanger and the stack,and the length of the resonant tube on the onset temperature are analyzed.The calculated results are in agreement with the experimental results,which indicates that the activity and instability criteria can be used to predict the onset conditions of a thermoacoustic engine.