Dynamic load-altering attack detection based on adaptive fading Kalman filter in power systems

This paper presents an effective and feasible method for detecting dynamic load-altering attacks(D-LAAs)in a smart grid.First,a smart grid discrete system model is established in view of D-LAAs.Second,an adaptive fading Kalman filter(AFKF)is designed for estimating the state of the smart grid.The AFKF can completely filter out the Gaussian noise of the power system,and obtain a more accurate state change curve(including consideration of the attack).A Euclidean distance ratio detection algorithm based on the AFKF is proposed for detecting D-LAAs.Amplifying imperceptible D-LAAs through the new Euclidean distance ratio improves the D-LAA detection sensitivity,especially for very weak D-LAA attacks.Finally,the feasibility and effectiveness of the Euclidean distance ratio detection algorithm are verified based on simulations.

Adaptive Maneuvering Frequency Method of Current Statistical Model

Current statistical model(CSM) has a good performance in maneuvering target tracking. However, the fixed maneuvering frequency will deteriorate the tracking results, such as a serious dynamic delay, a slowly converging speedy and a limited precision when using Kalman filter(KF) algorithm. In this study, a new current statistical model and a new Kalman filter are proposed to improve the performance of maneuvering target tracking. The new model which employs innovation dominated subjection function to adaptively adjust maneuvering frequency has a better performance in step maneuvering target tracking, while a fluctuant phenomenon appears. As far as this problem is concerned, a new adaptive fading Kalman filter is proposed as well. In the new Kalman filter, the prediction values are amended in time by setting judgment and amendment rules,so that tracking precision and fluctuant phenomenon of the new current statistical model are improved. The results of simulation indicate the effectiveness of the new algorithm and the practical guiding significance.

River channel flood forecasting method of coupling wavelet neural network with autoregressive model

Based on analyzing the limitations of the commonly used back-propagation neural network （BPNN）, a wavelet neural network （WNN） is adopted as the nonlinear river channel flood forecasting method replacing the BPNN. The WNN has the characteristics of fast convergence and improved capability of nonlinear approximation. For the purpose of adapting the timevarying characteristics of flood routing, the WNN is coupled with an AR real-time correction model. The AR model is utilized to calculate the forecast error. The coefficients of the AR real-time correction model are dynamically updated by an adaptive fading factor recursive least square（RLS） method. The application of the flood forecasting method in the cross section of Xijiang River at Gaoyao shows its effectiveness.