This article aims to explore the mutual benefits and potential of agricultural trade between China and Mongolia,analyzing the current situation of agricultural resources,trade history,and policy environment of the two...This article aims to explore the mutual benefits and potential of agricultural trade between China and Mongolia,analyzing the current situation of agricultural resources,trade history,and policy environment of the two countries.The study finds that China-Mongolia agricultural trade shows significant economic complementarity.Trade activities not only promote economic growth in both countries but also deepen social and cultural exchanges.However,technical standards,political risks,and logistics costs remain major challenges facing trade cooperation.By strengthening policy coordination,investing in agricultural technology and infrastructure,and expanding the variety and markets of trade,the potential for cooperation in China-Mongolia agricultural trade can be further enhanced.These measures will help improve the efficiency and benefits of bilateral trade,achieving a win-win development.展开更多
The proposal of"Belt and Road Initiative"has brought greater opportunities for the development of China's agricultural trade,but in recent years,China's agricultural trade deficit has shown a trend o...The proposal of"Belt and Road Initiative"has brought greater opportunities for the development of China's agricultural trade,but in recent years,China's agricultural trade deficit has shown a trend of gradually expanding.Based on the data of seven years from 2012 to 2018,this paper empirically analyzes the agricultural trade effect of China's economic growth.It is concluded that the consumption effect of agricultural trade in China's economic growth is anti-trade biased,the production effect and comprehensive effect of agricultural trade are pro-trade biased,and China's terms of trade of agricultural products tend to improve.This paper puts forward some relevant suggestions from the aspects of export structure,production mode,agricultural product processing,logistics mode,e-commerce system,inspection and quarantine and so on.展开更多
The China—U.S.Agricultural CooperationAgreement is a prelude to China’s accessionto the World Trade Organization(WTO).The basic framework is built,though someDarts are still to be discussed.From a macro prospective,...The China—U.S.Agricultural CooperationAgreement is a prelude to China’s accessionto the World Trade Organization(WTO).The basic framework is built,though someDarts are still to be discussed.From a macro prospective,the exportVolume of U.S.agricultural products to Chinawill increase,and vise versa.But the sharein the total trade Volume is dropping.Firstly,no matter how flexible展开更多
China's trade deficit in agricultural products dropped to US$ 490 million in the first five months, down 67.2% from the same period last year as export growth 'outpaced imports, according to figures from the Ministr...China's trade deficit in agricultural products dropped to US$ 490 million in the first five months, down 67.2% from the same period last year as export growth 'outpaced imports, according to figures from the Ministry of Agriculture.展开更多
This study aims to examine the impact of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) on China's international agricultural trade and its regional agricultural development, using the Global Trade Analysis Project model ...This study aims to examine the impact of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) on China's international agricultural trade and its regional agricultural development, using the Global Trade Analysis Project model and the China Agricultural Decision Support System. Our analysis showed that: (i) CAFTA will improve resource allocation efficiencies for both China and ASEAN and will promote bilateral agricultural trade and, hence, will have positive effects on the economic development of both sides; (ii) CAFTA will accelerate China's export of the agricultural commodities in which it has comparative advantages, such as vegetables, wheat and horticultural products, but at the same time bring about a large increase in imports of commodities such as vegetable oil and sugar; and (iii) CAFTA will have significantly varying impacts on China's regional agricultural development because of large differences in the agricultural production structure in each region. Our results indicate that agriculture in the northern, northeastern and eastern regions of China will benefit from CAFTA, whereas agriculture development in southern China will suffer. Those regional specific impacts are quite different from the effects brought by multilateral free trade treaties, such as those of the WTO, which usually have positive effects on south China but negative impacts on the northern and western parts of China.展开更多
The changes of one region’s trade barriers will affect other regions’trade volume.These spatial correlations caused by explanatory variables also constitute another part of“the multilateral resistance”,which tend ...The changes of one region’s trade barriers will affect other regions’trade volume.These spatial correlations caused by explanatory variables also constitute another part of“the multilateral resistance”,which tend to be ignored in traditional gravity equations.This paper takes this inconsistency between theoretical basis and empirical analysis as the breakthrough point of research.A multilateral gravity model is built,which has the feature of generalized spatial correlation.Then,frontier techniques of spatial econometrics are used to construct an empirical equation,and to conduct an empirical analysis,which scientifically estimate the magnitudes of bilateral direct impacts and the magnitudes of spatial spillovers on multilateral neighbors.The decomposition of the effects that provides reference for the directional operations of trade policy shows as follows:The negative factors that have significant spatial spillover effects would bring about multilateral resistance on China-Africa agricultural trade,which are caused by relatively poor social and economic conditions,corruption,and ethnic conflicts in some African countries.Energy production may cause crowding-out effects on agriculture of neighboring regions.In addition,the conflicts between African countries would hinder the development of agricultural trade between China and African countries not only because they have negative direct impacts on China-African agricultural trade but also because they have significant spatial spillover effects.When China promotes China-Africa agricultural trade by means of investment or aid,China should pay close attention to some direct or indirect impacts on the stable development of the China-African agricultural trade,which are caused by factors such as the developments of non-agricultural industries,peace,cultural consensus and efficient government.展开更多
The rapid economic growth of China and some African countries provides tremendous opportunity for the agricultural trade.Both China and African countries have made great efforts in achieving win-win cooperation betwee...The rapid economic growth of China and some African countries provides tremendous opportunity for the agricultural trade.Both China and African countries have made great efforts in achieving win-win cooperation between the two economies.This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of impacts of various factors on bilateral agricultural trade between China and Africa.The fixed effect Gravity model is adopted in the study to assess the impacts of different factors on Sino-African bilateral agricultural trade,based on the various data sets covering 1992-2010.The economic growth and rising agricultural production are found to be the two key factors to drive Sino-African future bilateral agricultural trade.Therefore,the focus should be put on the long-run effects of investment in promoting bilateral agricultural trade.Moreover,the agricultural cooperation should be enhanced to improve the agricultural production and fully use the comparative advantages in both sides.展开更多
This paper reviewed and analyzed the current situations and influencing factors of the bilateral agricultural product trade development in China-ASEAN Free Trade Area(CAFTA),which has important practical significance ...This paper reviewed and analyzed the current situations and influencing factors of the bilateral agricultural product trade development in China-ASEAN Free Trade Area(CAFTA),which has important practical significance for promoting the in-depth development of the free trade area and has guiding significance for precise policy implementation.Based on the status of import and export trade of agricultural products in CAFTA from 2013 to 2017,it constructed a trade gravity model.With the aid of Stata 14.0 software,it explored major factors influencing the development of bilateral agricultural trade from the total amount of agricultural products import and export and Commodity Indexes for the Standard International Trade Classification,Revision 3(SITC Rev.3)agricultural product classification data.The empirical regression results show that the GDP of ASEAN countries,the ratio of agricultural added value to GDP,and the per capita gross national income(GNI)measured based on the purchasing power parity(PPP)exchange rate have the greatest impact on agricultural product trade in CAFTA in the context of"the Belt and Road"(B&D).Based on empirical research,it came up with recommendations including adjusting the import and export structure of agricultural products,enhancing product competitive advantages,and implementing diversified markets.展开更多
With the change and development of modern international new situation, some of the more traditional tariff barriers declining, green barriers to trade with their own unique and distinct era characteristic become the m...With the change and development of modern international new situation, some of the more traditional tariff barriers declining, green barriers to trade with their own unique and distinct era characteristic become the mainstream of the development of international trade today. Along with the Western Europe in some developed countries protect their existing markets, with the name of environmental protection and green trade protection measures, construction of the green trade barriers, so in practice to a certain extent seriously hindered the of some agricultural products sales and foreign trade credits. In this paper, starting from the factors and characteristics of green barrier produces, analyzes the causes of the green trade barrier of positivity and negativity, and contact our country agricultural product export and the present situation of the green trade barrier causes, analysis the reason of the thwarted by the green trade barrier, the feasibility of the agricultural development status in China, and puts forward some operable countermeasures, in order to adapt to the new situation of the development of foreign trade of agricultural products in China and good circulation.展开更多
Setting off from Lhasa we followed Lhasa River,passing through Chushur County,then,driving along the banks of the Yarlung Tsangpo River,we finally arrived at Nyemo Bridge.Next we headed northward and into a long valle...Setting off from Lhasa we followed Lhasa River,passing through Chushur County,then,driving along the banks of the Yarlung Tsangpo River,we finally arrived at Nyemo Bridge.Next we headed northward and into a long valley.Finally,we reached Nyemo County.Although it was not a big county,it looked much more prosperous than Palgon County.A large government office building greeted us in a main street offering shops,both big and small,as well as restaurants-which also caught our eye.Nevertheless,the wandering la...展开更多
Agricultural sector is a major source of employment and export earnings for Pakistan. Exports of Pakistan are highly concentrated in agricultural products including cotton, rice, sugar and fruit. This study analyzed c...Agricultural sector is a major source of employment and export earnings for Pakistan. Exports of Pakistan are highly concentrated in agricultural products including cotton, rice, sugar and fruit. This study analyzed comparative and competitive advantages of the main agricultural products of Pakistan, i.e. cotton, rice and tangerines. Consumption patterns of top exporting countries in each category were also analyzed. Results revealed that Pakistan had strong competitiveness for export of these commodities. Strong potential for growth in the agricultural sector of Pakistan was found and it could be optimized to raise export earnings and meet the objectives of the strategic trade policy framework (STPF) 2015-2018 of Pakistan.展开更多
At the present time, world agriculture is influenced by a set of new technologies grouped under the generic name of precision agriculture (PA). Based on a study of the cotton sector, this article examines the effect...At the present time, world agriculture is influenced by a set of new technologies grouped under the generic name of precision agriculture (PA). Based on a study of the cotton sector, this article examines the effects of adopting PA with regard to international trade. We examine whether PA can contribute to the further destabilization of the terms of trade between countries in Central and West Africa (CWA) and Northern countries. We show that PA can be used by Northern countries at the expense of CWA, since it is used to implement strategic commercial policies based on subsidies. These policies are made more credible by the fact that international authorities cannot easily condemn them.展开更多
In August 2012 a bloody strike broke out at the Marikana platinum mine, close to Rustenburg in the Northwest Province. The strike, involving 3,000 African miners, became violent and police opened fire and killed 34 pe...In August 2012 a bloody strike broke out at the Marikana platinum mine, close to Rustenburg in the Northwest Province. The strike, involving 3,000 African miners, became violent and police opened fire and killed 34 people. The issue of minimum wages and union recognition, inter alia, were underlying causes of this strike. The much televised Marikana strike had a knock-on effect and a few months later a widespread strike broke out among workers in the agricultural sector of the Western Cape. Large-scale destruction of property and crop damage took place on farms reaching levels of militancy never previously encountered in this sector. As in the case of the Marikana strike the root causes of the strike action in the Western Cape seemed to be the question of minimum wages, and, to a lesser extent, union recognition and other social issues involving political undertones. This article explores the socio-economic causes of the strike and its ramifications for labour and agriculture in the province.展开更多
This paper analyzes the characteristics of BRICS's agricultural trading in four ways: export market competition, revealed comparative advantage, trade specialization index, and export similarity index. It shows that...This paper analyzes the characteristics of BRICS's agricultural trading in four ways: export market competition, revealed comparative advantage, trade specialization index, and export similarity index. It shows that BRICS countries export different agricultural goods in the same market, so they do not have real competition in agricultural trading markets. BRICS countries have a comparative advantage in different products; especially Brazil with having total different RCA products. In BRICS countries, China and Brazil are the closest trading partners. Compared with other BRICS countries, China and India have a higher similarity in agricultural trading.展开更多
This paper uses an agricultural trade policy simulation model to quantitatively evaluate the effects of Blue Box policy reform on agricultural production and trade, and further provides specific proposals regarding Ch...This paper uses an agricultural trade policy simulation model to quantitatively evaluate the effects of Blue Box policy reform on agricultural production and trade, and further provides specific proposals regarding China ' s reform position. The results indicate that, if the reform could achieve a reduction in distorting supports in more developed countries, China' s total agricultural production would increase, accompanied by a decrease in agricultural imports and a slight increase in exports. In terms of social welfare, producers would gain significantly, consumers would lose and government would not suffer greatly, which is in accordance with current agricultural policies in China. As a core member of G20, China should approve a subsidy level as low as possible required by Blue Box to achieve "substantial reductions in trade-distorting domestic supports".展开更多
Most countries along the route of the"Belt and Road"initiative are faced with a shortage of water resources.However,successful implementation of the initiative depends on water availability to support econom...Most countries along the route of the"Belt and Road"initiative are faced with a shortage of water resources.However,successful implementation of the initiative depends on water availability to support economic and social development.We designed a water resources carrying capacity evaluation index system,assigned grades and weights to each evaluation index and calculated a water resources carrying index for the 65 countries along the route.We used virtual water theory to analyze China's net virtual water import from key bulk agricultural products through international trade.For more than half of the countries along the route,their water resources will be unable to support the economic development that will be necessary for fulfilling the goals of the Initiative.As a country with insufficient water resources carrying capacity,China is a net virtual water importer in the virtual water trade.This virtual water trade can improve China's water resources support capacity,and ensure China's water and food security for the future.展开更多
文摘This article aims to explore the mutual benefits and potential of agricultural trade between China and Mongolia,analyzing the current situation of agricultural resources,trade history,and policy environment of the two countries.The study finds that China-Mongolia agricultural trade shows significant economic complementarity.Trade activities not only promote economic growth in both countries but also deepen social and cultural exchanges.However,technical standards,political risks,and logistics costs remain major challenges facing trade cooperation.By strengthening policy coordination,investing in agricultural technology and infrastructure,and expanding the variety and markets of trade,the potential for cooperation in China-Mongolia agricultural trade can be further enhanced.These measures will help improve the efficiency and benefits of bilateral trade,achieving a win-win development.
文摘The proposal of"Belt and Road Initiative"has brought greater opportunities for the development of China's agricultural trade,but in recent years,China's agricultural trade deficit has shown a trend of gradually expanding.Based on the data of seven years from 2012 to 2018,this paper empirically analyzes the agricultural trade effect of China's economic growth.It is concluded that the consumption effect of agricultural trade in China's economic growth is anti-trade biased,the production effect and comprehensive effect of agricultural trade are pro-trade biased,and China's terms of trade of agricultural products tend to improve.This paper puts forward some relevant suggestions from the aspects of export structure,production mode,agricultural product processing,logistics mode,e-commerce system,inspection and quarantine and so on.
文摘The China—U.S.Agricultural CooperationAgreement is a prelude to China’s accessionto the World Trade Organization(WTO).The basic framework is built,though someDarts are still to be discussed.From a macro prospective,the exportVolume of U.S.agricultural products to Chinawill increase,and vise versa.But the sharein the total trade Volume is dropping.Firstly,no matter how flexible
文摘China's trade deficit in agricultural products dropped to US$ 490 million in the first five months, down 67.2% from the same period last year as export growth 'outpaced imports, according to figures from the Ministry of Agriculture.
基金the financial support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(70603036)the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(KSCX2-YW-N-039)
文摘This study aims to examine the impact of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) on China's international agricultural trade and its regional agricultural development, using the Global Trade Analysis Project model and the China Agricultural Decision Support System. Our analysis showed that: (i) CAFTA will improve resource allocation efficiencies for both China and ASEAN and will promote bilateral agricultural trade and, hence, will have positive effects on the economic development of both sides; (ii) CAFTA will accelerate China's export of the agricultural commodities in which it has comparative advantages, such as vegetables, wheat and horticultural products, but at the same time bring about a large increase in imports of commodities such as vegetable oil and sugar; and (iii) CAFTA will have significantly varying impacts on China's regional agricultural development because of large differences in the agricultural production structure in each region. Our results indicate that agriculture in the northern, northeastern and eastern regions of China will benefit from CAFTA, whereas agriculture development in southern China will suffer. Those regional specific impacts are quite different from the effects brought by multilateral free trade treaties, such as those of the WTO, which usually have positive effects on south China but negative impacts on the northern and western parts of China.
文摘The changes of one region’s trade barriers will affect other regions’trade volume.These spatial correlations caused by explanatory variables also constitute another part of“the multilateral resistance”,which tend to be ignored in traditional gravity equations.This paper takes this inconsistency between theoretical basis and empirical analysis as the breakthrough point of research.A multilateral gravity model is built,which has the feature of generalized spatial correlation.Then,frontier techniques of spatial econometrics are used to construct an empirical equation,and to conduct an empirical analysis,which scientifically estimate the magnitudes of bilateral direct impacts and the magnitudes of spatial spillovers on multilateral neighbors.The decomposition of the effects that provides reference for the directional operations of trade policy shows as follows:The negative factors that have significant spatial spillover effects would bring about multilateral resistance on China-Africa agricultural trade,which are caused by relatively poor social and economic conditions,corruption,and ethnic conflicts in some African countries.Energy production may cause crowding-out effects on agriculture of neighboring regions.In addition,the conflicts between African countries would hinder the development of agricultural trade between China and African countries not only because they have negative direct impacts on China-African agricultural trade but also because they have significant spatial spillover effects.When China promotes China-Africa agricultural trade by means of investment or aid,China should pay close attention to some direct or indirect impacts on the stable development of the China-African agricultural trade,which are caused by factors such as the developments of non-agricultural industries,peace,cultural consensus and efficient government.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.70873116)Chinese Academy of Science(Grant No.KZZD-EW-08-04).
文摘The rapid economic growth of China and some African countries provides tremendous opportunity for the agricultural trade.Both China and African countries have made great efforts in achieving win-win cooperation between the two economies.This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of impacts of various factors on bilateral agricultural trade between China and Africa.The fixed effect Gravity model is adopted in the study to assess the impacts of different factors on Sino-African bilateral agricultural trade,based on the various data sets covering 1992-2010.The economic growth and rising agricultural production are found to be the two key factors to drive Sino-African future bilateral agricultural trade.Therefore,the focus should be put on the long-run effects of investment in promoting bilateral agricultural trade.Moreover,the agricultural cooperation should be enhanced to improve the agricultural production and fully use the comparative advantages in both sides.
文摘This paper reviewed and analyzed the current situations and influencing factors of the bilateral agricultural product trade development in China-ASEAN Free Trade Area(CAFTA),which has important practical significance for promoting the in-depth development of the free trade area and has guiding significance for precise policy implementation.Based on the status of import and export trade of agricultural products in CAFTA from 2013 to 2017,it constructed a trade gravity model.With the aid of Stata 14.0 software,it explored major factors influencing the development of bilateral agricultural trade from the total amount of agricultural products import and export and Commodity Indexes for the Standard International Trade Classification,Revision 3(SITC Rev.3)agricultural product classification data.The empirical regression results show that the GDP of ASEAN countries,the ratio of agricultural added value to GDP,and the per capita gross national income(GNI)measured based on the purchasing power parity(PPP)exchange rate have the greatest impact on agricultural product trade in CAFTA in the context of"the Belt and Road"(B&D).Based on empirical research,it came up with recommendations including adjusting the import and export structure of agricultural products,enhancing product competitive advantages,and implementing diversified markets.
文摘With the change and development of modern international new situation, some of the more traditional tariff barriers declining, green barriers to trade with their own unique and distinct era characteristic become the mainstream of the development of international trade today. Along with the Western Europe in some developed countries protect their existing markets, with the name of environmental protection and green trade protection measures, construction of the green trade barriers, so in practice to a certain extent seriously hindered the of some agricultural products sales and foreign trade credits. In this paper, starting from the factors and characteristics of green barrier produces, analyzes the causes of the green trade barrier of positivity and negativity, and contact our country agricultural product export and the present situation of the green trade barrier causes, analysis the reason of the thwarted by the green trade barrier, the feasibility of the agricultural development status in China, and puts forward some operable countermeasures, in order to adapt to the new situation of the development of foreign trade of agricultural products in China and good circulation.
文摘Setting off from Lhasa we followed Lhasa River,passing through Chushur County,then,driving along the banks of the Yarlung Tsangpo River,we finally arrived at Nyemo Bridge.Next we headed northward and into a long valley.Finally,we reached Nyemo County.Although it was not a big county,it looked much more prosperous than Palgon County.A large government office building greeted us in a main street offering shops,both big and small,as well as restaurants-which also caught our eye.Nevertheless,the wandering la...
文摘Agricultural sector is a major source of employment and export earnings for Pakistan. Exports of Pakistan are highly concentrated in agricultural products including cotton, rice, sugar and fruit. This study analyzed comparative and competitive advantages of the main agricultural products of Pakistan, i.e. cotton, rice and tangerines. Consumption patterns of top exporting countries in each category were also analyzed. Results revealed that Pakistan had strong competitiveness for export of these commodities. Strong potential for growth in the agricultural sector of Pakistan was found and it could be optimized to raise export earnings and meet the objectives of the strategic trade policy framework (STPF) 2015-2018 of Pakistan.
文摘At the present time, world agriculture is influenced by a set of new technologies grouped under the generic name of precision agriculture (PA). Based on a study of the cotton sector, this article examines the effects of adopting PA with regard to international trade. We examine whether PA can contribute to the further destabilization of the terms of trade between countries in Central and West Africa (CWA) and Northern countries. We show that PA can be used by Northern countries at the expense of CWA, since it is used to implement strategic commercial policies based on subsidies. These policies are made more credible by the fact that international authorities cannot easily condemn them.
文摘In August 2012 a bloody strike broke out at the Marikana platinum mine, close to Rustenburg in the Northwest Province. The strike, involving 3,000 African miners, became violent and police opened fire and killed 34 people. The issue of minimum wages and union recognition, inter alia, were underlying causes of this strike. The much televised Marikana strike had a knock-on effect and a few months later a widespread strike broke out among workers in the agricultural sector of the Western Cape. Large-scale destruction of property and crop damage took place on farms reaching levels of militancy never previously encountered in this sector. As in the case of the Marikana strike the root causes of the strike action in the Western Cape seemed to be the question of minimum wages, and, to a lesser extent, union recognition and other social issues involving political undertones. This article explores the socio-economic causes of the strike and its ramifications for labour and agriculture in the province.
文摘This paper analyzes the characteristics of BRICS's agricultural trading in four ways: export market competition, revealed comparative advantage, trade specialization index, and export similarity index. It shows that BRICS countries export different agricultural goods in the same market, so they do not have real competition in agricultural trading markets. BRICS countries have a comparative advantage in different products; especially Brazil with having total different RCA products. In BRICS countries, China and Brazil are the closest trading partners. Compared with other BRICS countries, China and India have a higher similarity in agricultural trading.
基金Small Farmer Adapting to Global Market,Sino-Canada Agricultural Development program (No.3261)
文摘This paper uses an agricultural trade policy simulation model to quantitatively evaluate the effects of Blue Box policy reform on agricultural production and trade, and further provides specific proposals regarding China ' s reform position. The results indicate that, if the reform could achieve a reduction in distorting supports in more developed countries, China' s total agricultural production would increase, accompanied by a decrease in agricultural imports and a slight increase in exports. In terms of social welfare, producers would gain significantly, consumers would lose and government would not suffer greatly, which is in accordance with current agricultural policies in China. As a core member of G20, China should approve a subsidy level as low as possible required by Blue Box to achieve "substantial reductions in trade-distorting domestic supports".
基金The Tibetan Scientific-Technology Project(Z2016C01G01/04)The National Natural Science Foundation of China(41571496)The National Key Research and Development Programme(2016YFC0503403)
文摘Most countries along the route of the"Belt and Road"initiative are faced with a shortage of water resources.However,successful implementation of the initiative depends on water availability to support economic and social development.We designed a water resources carrying capacity evaluation index system,assigned grades and weights to each evaluation index and calculated a water resources carrying index for the 65 countries along the route.We used virtual water theory to analyze China's net virtual water import from key bulk agricultural products through international trade.For more than half of the countries along the route,their water resources will be unable to support the economic development that will be necessary for fulfilling the goals of the Initiative.As a country with insufficient water resources carrying capacity,China is a net virtual water importer in the virtual water trade.This virtual water trade can improve China's water resources support capacity,and ensure China's water and food security for the future.