[Objective] The research aimed to study the distribution characteristics of high temperature damage and its influence on the rice yield in the area along Huaihe River.[Method] The meteorological data of 10 stations in...[Objective] The research aimed to study the distribution characteristics of high temperature damage and its influence on the rice yield in the area along Huaihe River.[Method] The meteorological data of 10 stations in the area along Huaihe River during 1965-2009 and the yield data of Anhui single-season middle rice during 1967-2006 were selected.The occurrence characteristic of summer high temperature weather and the intensity of high temperature damage in the area along Huaihe River were analyzed.Based on the previous high temperature damage index of rice,Changfeng County where was the typical rice planting zone in the area along Huaihe River was as the representation,and the yield damage loss rate risk of high temperature damage in Changfeng was analyzed by combining with the historical yield data.[Result] The high temperature weather in the area along Huaihe River frequently happened.The high temperature damage presented 'N' shape trend from west to east.The occurrence frequency of high temperature weather in Huainan and Bengbu where were in the middle area along Huaihe River was more and was less in Huoqiu and Shouxian where were near the south mountain area of Anhui.The occurrence time mainly focused from the middle and last dekads of July to the first dekad of August after the plum rain.At this time,it was the booting,heading and flowering periods of single-season middle rice,and the influence on the rice yield was obvious.The damage loss rate of single-season middle rice yield in Changfeng County along Huaihe River continued to increase as the increasing of high temperature damage duration.But the occurrence probability decreased.The intensity grade of high temperature damage disaster loss rate which happened frequently concentrated mainly in levels I and II.The longer the high temperature damage duration in the reproductive growth stage of rice was,the bigger the damage loss rate was.But the corresponding occurrence probability was small,and vice versa.[Conclusion] The research provided the reference for assessing the high temperature disaster risk.展开更多
基于2000-2020年土地利用类型数据,采用景观指数、景观动态度、地理探测器等方法,分析沿黄城市泰安市蓝绿空间时空演变特征及其驱动因素。结果表明,1)近20 a泰安市蓝绿空间规模整体呈减少趋势,动态度为-0.41%,面积减少131.24 km 2,但呈...基于2000-2020年土地利用类型数据,采用景观指数、景观动态度、地理探测器等方法,分析沿黄城市泰安市蓝绿空间时空演变特征及其驱动因素。结果表明,1)近20 a泰安市蓝绿空间规模整体呈减少趋势,动态度为-0.41%,面积减少131.24 km 2,但呈现明显的阶段性特征,前10 a变化剧烈,动态度为-0.82%,后10 a动态度仅为0.005%。2)2000-2020年,蓝绿空间景观格局指数发生了显著变化,且各指数在前10 a的变化程度更大;类型水平上,绿色空间和蓝色空间的景观形状整体趋于规则、均有连片发展趋势,但绿色空间的景观形状更复杂、分布离散度更大;景观水平上,蓝绿空间破碎度呈减弱趋势,但景观连通性下降、景观异质性增强。3)地理探测分析表明,社会经济因素是蓝绿空间分异的主导因子,生产总值、人口密度、第一与第二产业产值等社会经济因素对蓝绿空间变化的解释力显著大于高程等自然因素。研究认为城镇化进程中需要加强对国土空间的科学管控,应加强泰安市蓝绿空间的完整性、连通性保护。该研究为泰安市蓝绿空间优化与管理、区域可持续发展提供一定参考。展开更多
基金Supported by Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) Science Research Special Item (GYHY201106027)National Science and Technology Support Plan (2011BAD16B06) .
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the distribution characteristics of high temperature damage and its influence on the rice yield in the area along Huaihe River.[Method] The meteorological data of 10 stations in the area along Huaihe River during 1965-2009 and the yield data of Anhui single-season middle rice during 1967-2006 were selected.The occurrence characteristic of summer high temperature weather and the intensity of high temperature damage in the area along Huaihe River were analyzed.Based on the previous high temperature damage index of rice,Changfeng County where was the typical rice planting zone in the area along Huaihe River was as the representation,and the yield damage loss rate risk of high temperature damage in Changfeng was analyzed by combining with the historical yield data.[Result] The high temperature weather in the area along Huaihe River frequently happened.The high temperature damage presented 'N' shape trend from west to east.The occurrence frequency of high temperature weather in Huainan and Bengbu where were in the middle area along Huaihe River was more and was less in Huoqiu and Shouxian where were near the south mountain area of Anhui.The occurrence time mainly focused from the middle and last dekads of July to the first dekad of August after the plum rain.At this time,it was the booting,heading and flowering periods of single-season middle rice,and the influence on the rice yield was obvious.The damage loss rate of single-season middle rice yield in Changfeng County along Huaihe River continued to increase as the increasing of high temperature damage duration.But the occurrence probability decreased.The intensity grade of high temperature damage disaster loss rate which happened frequently concentrated mainly in levels I and II.The longer the high temperature damage duration in the reproductive growth stage of rice was,the bigger the damage loss rate was.But the corresponding occurrence probability was small,and vice versa.[Conclusion] The research provided the reference for assessing the high temperature disaster risk.