Historically,streamer-to-leader transition studies mainly focused on the rod-plane gap and low altitude analysis,with limited attention paid to the sphere-plane gap at high altitude analysis.In this work,sphere-plane ...Historically,streamer-to-leader transition studies mainly focused on the rod-plane gap and low altitude analysis,with limited attention paid to the sphere-plane gap at high altitude analysis.In this work,sphere-plane gap discharge tests were carried out under the gap distance of 5 m at the Qinghai Ultra High Voltage(UHV)test base at an altitude of 2200 m.The experiments measured the physical parameters such as the discharge current,electric field intensity and instantaneous optical power.The duration of the dark period and the critical charge of streamer-toleader transition were obtained at high altitude.Based on radial thermal expansion of the streamer stem,we established a modified streamer-to-leader transition model of the sphere-plane gap discharge at high altitude,and calculated the stem temperature,stem radii and the duration of streamer-to-leader transition.Compared with the measured duration of sphere-plane electrode discharge at an altitude of 2200 m,the error rate of the modified model was 0.94%,while the classical model was 6.97%,demonstrating the effectiveness of the modified model.From the comparisons and analysis,several suggestions are proposed to improve the numerical model for further quantitative investigations of the leader inception.展开更多
Background:High altitude disease(HAD)can reduce combat effectiveness and damage the health of soldiers at high altitudes.The objective of this hypothesis study is to build a four-period prevention model for high altit...Background:High altitude disease(HAD)can reduce combat effectiveness and damage the health of soldiers at high altitudes.The objective of this hypothesis study is to build a four-period prevention model for high altitude disease that can be applied at high altitudes of over 3000 m.Presentation of the hypothesis:We divided the time at high altitude into nine periods,with three stages from the ascent preparation to the descent to the plain,and applied a continuous dynamic and systematic four-period prevention model across the nine periods.Each period of three stages has its own different measures and targets high altitude health care services for the prevention of high altitude disease.A standard four-period prevention model for high altitude disease was constructed for the high altitude health services at the population level.Testing the hypothesis:Our hypothesized HAD prevention model represents a continuous dynamic and systematic four-period prevention model across the nine periods.This hypothesis can be tested from three aspects.The first one is assessment of soldiers’operating efficacies.The second is comparison of the long-term high altitude population health basic data and development and utilization of big data.The third is descent population health status comparative study and historical retrospective study on prevention.Implications:As we know,it is necessary to protect soldiers’health through the ascent and descent.Through the standard four-period model,we can protect soldiers’health by preventing high altitude diseases,screening the susceptible population,securely tracking their location and maintaining soldiers’health statuses;we also maintain their operational capabilities,eliminate their psychological fears and ease their family troubles.展开更多
Background: This study aimed to illustrate the prevalence of CHD by screening children in extremely high-altitudeareas (over 4000 m to even 5000 m above sea level) and explore an aid model for early diagnosis and trea...Background: This study aimed to illustrate the prevalence of CHD by screening children in extremely high-altitudeareas (over 4000 m to even 5000 m above sea level) and explore an aid model for early diagnosis and treatmentfor the Tibetan population. Methods: A total of 2242 students from different schools in Ngamring County,Xigaze City, Tibet from September 2019 to September 2020 were selected for screening. The students were examinedthrough the inquiry of their current medical history and family history, cardiac auscultation and a physicalexamination, in order to screen out the suspected cases of CHD, and then the suspected cases were confirmed bycardiac color ultrasound examinations. After that, positive patients were be transferred to Shandong Province forfree treatment. Results: The prevalence of CHD among children in Ngamring County was 3.70% (83 cases),which is the highest incidence rate ever reported. The most common type of CHD was patent ductus arteriosus(PDA), accounting for 55.42% of the total number of cases screened, followed by atrial septal defect (ASD) andventricular septal defect (VSD), accounting for 28.92% and 12.05%, respectively. The prevalence of CHD in childrenat high altitude was significantly higher than that in children at low altitude. The children with CHD weretransferred to Shandong Province for surgery, the operations were successful and their recoveries went well.Conclusions: The results show that high altitude is closely related to the prevalence of CHD, and the incidencein Ngamring County is much higher than that in previous reports.展开更多
In order to investigate the benefit of multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) technique applying to the high altitude platform(HAP), a 2×2 MIMO statistical model, which can accurately describe the channel between H...In order to investigate the benefit of multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) technique applying to the high altitude platform(HAP), a 2×2 MIMO statistical model, which can accurately describe the channel between HAP and high-speed train, is presented. And dual polarization diversity is particularly considered. Based on first-order three-state Markov chain, the single-input single-output(SISO) channel, a subset of the MIMO channel is first established. The ray tracing approach applied to the digital relief model(DRM) which covers the railway between Xi'an and Zhengzhou is used to obtain the state probability vector and matrix of the state transition probability. The proposed model considers both Doppler shift and temporal correlation, and the polarization correlation and spatial correlation statistical properties of large-scale fading and smallscale fading are analyzed. Moreover, useful numerical results on the MIMO HAP channel outage capacity are provided based on which, significant capacity gains with respect to the conventional SISO case are illustrated. Such statistical channel model can be applied to the future wireless communication system between HAP and high-speed train.展开更多
Objective To investigate the effects of simple hypobaric hypoxia on parameters of hematology and blood rheology in order to establish a rat model of simulated high altitude polycythemia(HAPC) for the study of pathophy...Objective To investigate the effects of simple hypobaric hypoxia on parameters of hematology and blood rheology in order to establish a rat model of simulated high altitude polycythemia(HAPC) for the study of pathophysiologic mechanisms and medical prevention and treatment of HAPC.Methods Fortyeight male Wistar rats were randomly divided into three normal control groups and three hypoxia model groups.Normal control group rats were bred in normoxia conditions,and hypoxia group rats were subjected to hypoxic exposure for 8 hours per day at simulated 5 500 m high altitude in a hypobaric chamber.After hypoxic exposure for 2,4,12 weeks,one group of normal control and hypoxia model rats were killed and blood was collected,respectively.Then parameters of erythrocyte and blood rheology were examined.Results Mucous membrane of hypoxia model rats showed obviously cyanosis after 2 weeks hypoxic exposure.Hemoglobin concentration of hypoxia model rats were beyond 210 g/L after 2 weeks,4 weeks and 12 weeks hypoxia exposure and significantly increased than that of normal control rats respectively.Besides,RBC counts,hematocrit,whole blood viscosity,erythrocyte aggregation index of hypoxia model rats were all notably higher than those of normal control rats respectively.Conclusion A rat model of high altitude polycythemia can be rapidly established by hypobaric hypoxia exposure at simulated 5 500 m high altitude for 8 hours daily.展开更多
Due to the severe restrictions of natural conditions and ecological environment,high-altitude mountainous areas usually become the " hard bones" in the battle against poverty. Xueshan Township,Luquan Yi and ...Due to the severe restrictions of natural conditions and ecological environment,high-altitude mountainous areas usually become the " hard bones" in the battle against poverty. Xueshan Township,Luquan Yi and Miao Autonomous County of Yunnan Province,located in the alpine valley of Jinsha River,is a major township with wide and deep poverty,and the incidence of poverty is up to 45. 00%. In recent years,Xueshan Township has insisted on the battle against poverty,made effort to develop the Codonopsis pilosula industry,and successfully developed a road to poverty alleviation through C. pilosula industry,and formed a unique industrial poverty alleviation model by the end of 2018,the incidence of poverty dropped to 0. 74%. Based on field survey and interview,this paper analyzes and summarizes the specific practices,main results,practical experience and promotion and application measures of the poverty alleviation model of C. pilosula planting industry in Xueshan Township,in the hope of providing certain reference for the targeted poverty alleviation in similar areas in Yunnan Province and other provinces of China.展开更多
There are great differences in the distribution characteristics of shock waves produced by ammunition explosions at different altitudes.At present,there are many studies on plain explosion shock waves,but there are fe...There are great differences in the distribution characteristics of shock waves produced by ammunition explosions at different altitudes.At present,there are many studies on plain explosion shock waves,but there are few studies on the distribution characteristics of plateau explosion shock waves,and there is still a lack of complete analysis and evaluation methods.This paper compares and analyzes shock wave overpressure data at different altitudes,obtains the attenuation effect of different altitudes on the shock wave propagation process and proposes a calculation formula for shock wave overpressure considering the effect of altitude.The data analysis results show that at the same TNT equivalent and the same distance from the measuring point,the shock wave overpressure at high altitude is lower than that at low altitude.With the increase in the explosion center distance of the measuring point,the peak attenuation rate of the shock wave overpressure at high altitudes is smaller than that at low altitudes,and the peak attenuation rate of the shock wave overpressure at high altitudes gradually intensifies with increasing proportional distance.The average error between the shock wave overpressure and measured shock wave overpressure in a high-altitude environment obtained by using the above calculation formula is 11.1389%.Therefore,this method can effectively predict explosion shock wave overpressure in plateau environments and provides an effective calculation method for practical engineering tests.展开更多
A high altitude platform station (HAPS) based communications scenario for providing Intemet access and broadband multimedia services to the passengers on board of a high speed train (traveling up to 300km/h) is pr...A high altitude platform station (HAPS) based communications scenario for providing Intemet access and broadband multimedia services to the passengers on board of a high speed train (traveling up to 300km/h) is proposed. Regarding the addressed scenario, when the propagation link between HAPS and train is blocked by obstacles, a three-dimensional (3-D) geometrical single cylinder spatial-temporal channel model is presented, in which closed form, mathematically tractable space-time correlation functions are obtained. It shows that the correlation functions determined by the 3-D model are of significant difference with those of the conventional 2-D model. Based on the analysis model, the paper derives a realized simulation model using sum-of-sinusoids approach, and applies method of equal areas (MEA) and modified method of equal areas (MMEA) to determine the model parameters. The fitting performance of the simulation model with the analysis one is evaluated by two means-square error (MSE) performance criteria. Finally, numerical simulation results verify the mathematical analysis conclusion, when N ≥21, simulation model has an excellent fitness with the analysis one.展开更多
针对半球共形阵体制下进行低空风切变检测时会受到强地杂波信号的干扰,导致风切变信号难以检测的问题,提出了一种基于空时自回归的直接数据域算法(Space-Time Autoregressive Direct Data Domain,D3AR)的低空风切变风速估计方法。该方...针对半球共形阵体制下进行低空风切变检测时会受到强地杂波信号的干扰,导致风切变信号难以检测的问题,提出了一种基于空时自回归的直接数据域算法(Space-Time Autoregressive Direct Data Domain,D3AR)的低空风切变风速估计方法。该方法首先将待检测距离单元的数据从空域、时域以及空时域进行信号对消处理;然后将处理后的数据矩阵描述为空时自回归(Autoregression,AR)模型并估计模型参数;再通过构造与杂波子空间正交的空间来实现对杂波的抑制,最后通过提取待检测单元的最大多普勒频率来估计风场速度。根据仿真结果显示,该方法有效地实现了地杂波抑制,并且能够精确估计风速。展开更多
目的筛选康北高原慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重患者发生静脉血栓栓塞症风险的预测因素,建立AECOPD发生VTE风险的联合预测模型并分析其预测效能。方法选择2018年1月-2022年9月因慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重在甘孜县人民医院住院治疗的患者71例...目的筛选康北高原慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重患者发生静脉血栓栓塞症风险的预测因素,建立AECOPD发生VTE风险的联合预测模型并分析其预测效能。方法选择2018年1月-2022年9月因慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重在甘孜县人民医院住院治疗的患者71例,根据是否发生VTE分为血栓组35例,对照组36例。收集患者的基本资料和检查、检验资料等相关参数数据,选出两组之间具有显著差异的指标。将上述单因素分析中有显著差异的指标纳入多因素分析,筛选出AECOPD发生VTE风险的独立影响因素,并构建预测模型。利用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线评价各独立因素及预测模型的应用价值,计算曲线下面积及其敏感度与特异度,分析其预测效能,霍斯默-莱梅肖检验评价拟合度。结果单因素分析显示血栓组PPS评分、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、D-二聚体、降钙素原(PCT)均高于对照组(均P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析显示PPS评分、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、D-二聚体为AECOPD发生VTE的独立预测因素。三者联合构建的预测模型曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为0.944(95%CI:0.893~0.996),灵敏度、特异度均明显优于各单一指标(灵敏度为94.3%、特异度为83.3%),霍斯默-莱梅肖检验拟合度好(χ^(2)=11.915,P=0.155)。结论PPS评分、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、D-二聚体可能是预测康北高原AECOPD发生VTE的因素,且三者联合构建的预测模型对VTE风险预测具有很好效能,可为预测AECOPD发生VTE的风险提供参考。展开更多
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Scientific Funds for Young Scientists)(No.52007064)。
文摘Historically,streamer-to-leader transition studies mainly focused on the rod-plane gap and low altitude analysis,with limited attention paid to the sphere-plane gap at high altitude analysis.In this work,sphere-plane gap discharge tests were carried out under the gap distance of 5 m at the Qinghai Ultra High Voltage(UHV)test base at an altitude of 2200 m.The experiments measured the physical parameters such as the discharge current,electric field intensity and instantaneous optical power.The duration of the dark period and the critical charge of streamer-toleader transition were obtained at high altitude.Based on radial thermal expansion of the streamer stem,we established a modified streamer-to-leader transition model of the sphere-plane gap discharge at high altitude,and calculated the stem temperature,stem radii and the duration of streamer-to-leader transition.Compared with the measured duration of sphere-plane electrode discharge at an altitude of 2200 m,the error rate of the modified model was 0.94%,while the classical model was 6.97%,demonstrating the effectiveness of the modified model.From the comparisons and analysis,several suggestions are proposed to improve the numerical model for further quantitative investigations of the leader inception.
基金supported by the National Basic Research and Development Program of China(973 Program)(2012CB518201)the“13th Five-Year Plan”Medical Science Development Foundation of PLA(AWS14C007)the Basic Scientific Personnel Training Foundation of China(J1310001).
文摘Background:High altitude disease(HAD)can reduce combat effectiveness and damage the health of soldiers at high altitudes.The objective of this hypothesis study is to build a four-period prevention model for high altitude disease that can be applied at high altitudes of over 3000 m.Presentation of the hypothesis:We divided the time at high altitude into nine periods,with three stages from the ascent preparation to the descent to the plain,and applied a continuous dynamic and systematic four-period prevention model across the nine periods.Each period of three stages has its own different measures and targets high altitude health care services for the prevention of high altitude disease.A standard four-period prevention model for high altitude disease was constructed for the high altitude health services at the population level.Testing the hypothesis:Our hypothesized HAD prevention model represents a continuous dynamic and systematic four-period prevention model across the nine periods.This hypothesis can be tested from three aspects.The first one is assessment of soldiers’operating efficacies.The second is comparison of the long-term high altitude population health basic data and development and utilization of big data.The third is descent population health status comparative study and historical retrospective study on prevention.Implications:As we know,it is necessary to protect soldiers’health through the ascent and descent.Through the standard four-period model,we can protect soldiers’health by preventing high altitude diseases,screening the susceptible population,securely tracking their location and maintaining soldiers’health statuses;we also maintain their operational capabilities,eliminate their psychological fears and ease their family troubles.
文摘Background: This study aimed to illustrate the prevalence of CHD by screening children in extremely high-altitudeareas (over 4000 m to even 5000 m above sea level) and explore an aid model for early diagnosis and treatmentfor the Tibetan population. Methods: A total of 2242 students from different schools in Ngamring County,Xigaze City, Tibet from September 2019 to September 2020 were selected for screening. The students were examinedthrough the inquiry of their current medical history and family history, cardiac auscultation and a physicalexamination, in order to screen out the suspected cases of CHD, and then the suspected cases were confirmed bycardiac color ultrasound examinations. After that, positive patients were be transferred to Shandong Province forfree treatment. Results: The prevalence of CHD among children in Ngamring County was 3.70% (83 cases),which is the highest incidence rate ever reported. The most common type of CHD was patent ductus arteriosus(PDA), accounting for 55.42% of the total number of cases screened, followed by atrial septal defect (ASD) andventricular septal defect (VSD), accounting for 28.92% and 12.05%, respectively. The prevalence of CHD in childrenat high altitude was significantly higher than that in children at low altitude. The children with CHD weretransferred to Shandong Province for surgery, the operations were successful and their recoveries went well.Conclusions: The results show that high altitude is closely related to the prevalence of CHD, and the incidencein Ngamring County is much higher than that in previous reports.
基金sponsored by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.91538104,No.91438205)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.2011M500664)
文摘In order to investigate the benefit of multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) technique applying to the high altitude platform(HAP), a 2×2 MIMO statistical model, which can accurately describe the channel between HAP and high-speed train, is presented. And dual polarization diversity is particularly considered. Based on first-order three-state Markov chain, the single-input single-output(SISO) channel, a subset of the MIMO channel is first established. The ray tracing approach applied to the digital relief model(DRM) which covers the railway between Xi'an and Zhengzhou is used to obtain the state probability vector and matrix of the state transition probability. The proposed model considers both Doppler shift and temporal correlation, and the polarization correlation and spatial correlation statistical properties of large-scale fading and smallscale fading are analyzed. Moreover, useful numerical results on the MIMO HAP channel outage capacity are provided based on which, significant capacity gains with respect to the conventional SISO case are illustrated. Such statistical channel model can be applied to the future wireless communication system between HAP and high-speed train.
基金supported by grants from National New Drug Research and Development of Key Project (2011ZXJ09105-05B)the National Natural Science Foundation(81171870,81471812)
文摘Objective To investigate the effects of simple hypobaric hypoxia on parameters of hematology and blood rheology in order to establish a rat model of simulated high altitude polycythemia(HAPC) for the study of pathophysiologic mechanisms and medical prevention and treatment of HAPC.Methods Fortyeight male Wistar rats were randomly divided into three normal control groups and three hypoxia model groups.Normal control group rats were bred in normoxia conditions,and hypoxia group rats were subjected to hypoxic exposure for 8 hours per day at simulated 5 500 m high altitude in a hypobaric chamber.After hypoxic exposure for 2,4,12 weeks,one group of normal control and hypoxia model rats were killed and blood was collected,respectively.Then parameters of erythrocyte and blood rheology were examined.Results Mucous membrane of hypoxia model rats showed obviously cyanosis after 2 weeks hypoxic exposure.Hemoglobin concentration of hypoxia model rats were beyond 210 g/L after 2 weeks,4 weeks and 12 weeks hypoxia exposure and significantly increased than that of normal control rats respectively.Besides,RBC counts,hematocrit,whole blood viscosity,erythrocyte aggregation index of hypoxia model rats were all notably higher than those of normal control rats respectively.Conclusion A rat model of high altitude polycythemia can be rapidly established by hypobaric hypoxia exposure at simulated 5 500 m high altitude for 8 hours daily.
基金Commissioned Project of Office of Rural Work Leading Group of Kunming Municipal Committee of the Communist Party of China "Study on the Poverty Alleviation Model of Kunming City in the Context of World Poverty Reduction"Construction Project of Party Branch Secretary’s Studio of "Double Leader" Teachers in Colleges and Universities of the Ministry of Education of China
文摘Due to the severe restrictions of natural conditions and ecological environment,high-altitude mountainous areas usually become the " hard bones" in the battle against poverty. Xueshan Township,Luquan Yi and Miao Autonomous County of Yunnan Province,located in the alpine valley of Jinsha River,is a major township with wide and deep poverty,and the incidence of poverty is up to 45. 00%. In recent years,Xueshan Township has insisted on the battle against poverty,made effort to develop the Codonopsis pilosula industry,and successfully developed a road to poverty alleviation through C. pilosula industry,and formed a unique industrial poverty alleviation model by the end of 2018,the incidence of poverty dropped to 0. 74%. Based on field survey and interview,this paper analyzes and summarizes the specific practices,main results,practical experience and promotion and application measures of the poverty alleviation model of C. pilosula planting industry in Xueshan Township,in the hope of providing certain reference for the targeted poverty alleviation in similar areas in Yunnan Province and other provinces of China.
文摘There are great differences in the distribution characteristics of shock waves produced by ammunition explosions at different altitudes.At present,there are many studies on plain explosion shock waves,but there are few studies on the distribution characteristics of plateau explosion shock waves,and there is still a lack of complete analysis and evaluation methods.This paper compares and analyzes shock wave overpressure data at different altitudes,obtains the attenuation effect of different altitudes on the shock wave propagation process and proposes a calculation formula for shock wave overpressure considering the effect of altitude.The data analysis results show that at the same TNT equivalent and the same distance from the measuring point,the shock wave overpressure at high altitude is lower than that at low altitude.With the increase in the explosion center distance of the measuring point,the peak attenuation rate of the shock wave overpressure at high altitudes is smaller than that at low altitudes,and the peak attenuation rate of the shock wave overpressure at high altitudes gradually intensifies with increasing proportional distance.The average error between the shock wave overpressure and measured shock wave overpressure in a high-altitude environment obtained by using the above calculation formula is 11.1389%.Therefore,this method can effectively predict explosion shock wave overpressure in plateau environments and provides an effective calculation method for practical engineering tests.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 60532030).
文摘A high altitude platform station (HAPS) based communications scenario for providing Intemet access and broadband multimedia services to the passengers on board of a high speed train (traveling up to 300km/h) is proposed. Regarding the addressed scenario, when the propagation link between HAPS and train is blocked by obstacles, a three-dimensional (3-D) geometrical single cylinder spatial-temporal channel model is presented, in which closed form, mathematically tractable space-time correlation functions are obtained. It shows that the correlation functions determined by the 3-D model are of significant difference with those of the conventional 2-D model. Based on the analysis model, the paper derives a realized simulation model using sum-of-sinusoids approach, and applies method of equal areas (MEA) and modified method of equal areas (MMEA) to determine the model parameters. The fitting performance of the simulation model with the analysis one is evaluated by two means-square error (MSE) performance criteria. Finally, numerical simulation results verify the mathematical analysis conclusion, when N ≥21, simulation model has an excellent fitness with the analysis one.
文摘针对半球共形阵体制下进行低空风切变检测时会受到强地杂波信号的干扰,导致风切变信号难以检测的问题,提出了一种基于空时自回归的直接数据域算法(Space-Time Autoregressive Direct Data Domain,D3AR)的低空风切变风速估计方法。该方法首先将待检测距离单元的数据从空域、时域以及空时域进行信号对消处理;然后将处理后的数据矩阵描述为空时自回归(Autoregression,AR)模型并估计模型参数;再通过构造与杂波子空间正交的空间来实现对杂波的抑制,最后通过提取待检测单元的最大多普勒频率来估计风场速度。根据仿真结果显示,该方法有效地实现了地杂波抑制,并且能够精确估计风速。
文摘目的筛选康北高原慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重患者发生静脉血栓栓塞症风险的预测因素,建立AECOPD发生VTE风险的联合预测模型并分析其预测效能。方法选择2018年1月-2022年9月因慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重在甘孜县人民医院住院治疗的患者71例,根据是否发生VTE分为血栓组35例,对照组36例。收集患者的基本资料和检查、检验资料等相关参数数据,选出两组之间具有显著差异的指标。将上述单因素分析中有显著差异的指标纳入多因素分析,筛选出AECOPD发生VTE风险的独立影响因素,并构建预测模型。利用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线评价各独立因素及预测模型的应用价值,计算曲线下面积及其敏感度与特异度,分析其预测效能,霍斯默-莱梅肖检验评价拟合度。结果单因素分析显示血栓组PPS评分、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、D-二聚体、降钙素原(PCT)均高于对照组(均P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析显示PPS评分、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、D-二聚体为AECOPD发生VTE的独立预测因素。三者联合构建的预测模型曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为0.944(95%CI:0.893~0.996),灵敏度、特异度均明显优于各单一指标(灵敏度为94.3%、特异度为83.3%),霍斯默-莱梅肖检验拟合度好(χ^(2)=11.915,P=0.155)。结论PPS评分、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、D-二聚体可能是预测康北高原AECOPD发生VTE的因素,且三者联合构建的预测模型对VTE风险预测具有很好效能,可为预测AECOPD发生VTE的风险提供参考。