A novel AE source localization method using clustering detection to eliminate abnormal arrivals

Due to the significant effect of abnormal arrivals on localization accuracy,a novel acoustic emission(AE)source localization method using clustering detection to eliminate abnormal arrivals is proposed in the paper.Firstly,iterative weight estimation is utilized to obtain accurate equation residuals.Secondly,according to the distribution of equation residuals,clustering detection is used to identify and exclude abnormal arrivals.Thirdly,the AE source coordinate is recalculated with remaining normal arrivals.Experimental results of pencil-lead breaks indicate that the proposed method can achieve a better localization result with and without abnormal arrivals.The results of simulation tests further demonstrate that the proposed method possesses higher localization accuracy and robustness under different anomaly ratios and scales;even with abnormal arrivals as high as 30%,the proposed localization method still holds a correct detection rate of 91.85%.

Server Workload in an M/M/1 Queue with Bulk Arrivals and Special Delays

We consider a variant of M/M/1 where customers arrive singly or in pairs. Each single and one member of each pair is called primary;the other member of each pair is called secondary. Each primary joins the queue upon arrival. Each secondary is delayed in a separate area, and joins the queue when “pushed” by the next arriving primary. Thus each secondary joins the queue followed immediately by the next primary. This arrival/delay mechanism appears to be new in queueing theory. Our goal is to obtain the steady-state probability density function (pdf) of the workload, and related quantities of interest. We utilize a typical sample path of the workload process as a physical guide, and simple level crossing theorems, to derive model equations for the steady-state pdf. A potential application is to the processing of electronic signals with error free components and components that require later confirmation before joining the queue. The confirmation is the arrival of the next signal.

Forecasting Annual International Tourist Arrivals in Zambia Using Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing

Tourism is one of the major contributors to foreign exchange earnings to Zambia and world economy. Annual International tourist arrivals in Zambia from 1995 to 2014 are considered in this paper. In this study we evaluated the model performance of Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Holt Winters exponential smoothing (HWES). The error indicators: Mean percentage error (MPE), Mean absolute error (MAE), Mean absolute scaled error (MASE), Root-mean-square error (RMSE) and Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) showed that HWES is an appropriate model with reasonable forecast accuracy. The HWES (α = 1, β = 0.1246865) showed smallest error than those of the ARIMA (0, 1, 2) models. Hence, the HWES (α = 1, β = 0.1246865) can be used to model annual international tourist arrivals in Zambia. Further, forecasting results give a gradual increase in annual international tourist arrivals of about 42% by 2024. Accurate forecasts are key to new investors and Policymakers. The Zambian government should use such forecasts in formulating policies and making strategies that will promote the tourism industry.

Chinese Mainland Remains Top Source of Visitor Arrivals to Singapore

The Singapore Tourism Board announced on February 13 that the Chinese mainland held onto its rank as Singapore’s top visitor arrival source market for a second year.

Exploiting Virtual Elasticity of Production Systems for Respecting OTD-Part 1: Post-Optimality Conditions for Ergodic Order Arrivals in Fixed Capacity Regimes

Respecting the on-time-delivery (OTD) for manufacturing orders is mandatory. This depends, however, on the probability distribution of incoming order rate. The case of non-equal distribution, such as aggregated arrivals, may compromise the observance of on-time supplies for some orders. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the conditions of post-optimality for stochastic order rate governed production systems in order to observe OTD. Instead of a heuristic or a simulative exploration, a Cartesian-based approach is applied to developing the necessary and sufficient mathematical condition to solve the problem statement. The research result demonstrates that increasing speed of throughput reveals a latent capacity, which allows arrival orders above capacity limits to be backlog-buffered and rescheduled for OTD, exploiting the virtual manufacturing elasticity inherent to all production systems to increase OTD reliability of non JIT-based production systems.

On a risk model with Markovian arrivals and tax

A risk model with Markovian arrivals and tax payments is considered.When the insurer is in a profitable situation,the insurer may pay a certain proportion of the premium income as tax payments.First,the Laplace transform of the time to cross a certain level before ruin is discussed.Second,explicit formulas for a generalized Gerber-Shiu function are established in terms of the＇original＇Gerber-Shiu function without tax and the Laplace transform of the first passage time before ruin.Finally,the differential equations satisfied by the expected accumulated discounted tax payments until ruin are derived.An explicit expression for the discounted tax payments is also given.

Target Localization Based on Angle of Arrivals

Mobile location using angle of arrival （AOA） measurements has received considerable attention. This paper presents an approximation of maximum likelihood estimator （MLE） for localizing a source based on AOA measurements. By introducing an intermediate variable, the nonlinear equations relating AOA estimates can be transformed into a set of equations which are linear in the unknown parameters. It is an approximate realization of the MLE. Simulations show that the proposed algorithm outperforms the previous contribution.

Equilibrium Arrivals to Preemptive Queueing System with Fixed and Random Population Size

A single-server queueing system with preemptive access is considered.Each customer has one attempt to enter the system at its working interval[0,T].As soon as the customer request enters the system,the server immediately starts the service.But when the next request arrives in the system,the previous one leaves the system even he has not finished his service yet.We study a non-cooperative game in which the customers wish to maximize their probability of obtaining service within a certain period of time.We characterize the Nash equilibrium and the price of anarchy,which is defined as the ratio between the optimal and equilibrium social utility.Two models are considered.In the first model the number of players is fixed,while in the second it is random and obeys the Poisson distribution.We demonstrate that there exists a unique symmetric equilibrium for both models.Finally,we calculate the price of anarchy for both models and show that the price of anarchy is not monotone with respect to the number of customers.

《动物研究:体内实验报告》即ARRIVE 2.0指南的解释和阐述(五)

提高生物医学研究结果的可重复性是一项重大挑战,研究人员透明且准确地报告其研究过程有利于读者对该研究结果的可靠性进行评估,进而重复该实验或在该成果的基础上进一步探索。ARRIVE 2.0指南是英国国家3Rs中心(NC3Rs)于2019年组织发布的一份适用于任何与活体动物研究报告相关的指导性清单,用以提高动物体内实验设计、实验实施和实验报告的规范性,以及动物实验结果的可靠性、可重复性和临床转化率。ARRIVE 2.0指南的使用不仅可以丰富动物实验研究报告的细节,确保动物实验结果信息被充分评估和利用,还可以使读者准确且清晰地了解作者所表述的内容,促进基础研究评审过程的透明化和完整性。本文是在国际期刊遵循ARRIVE 2.0指南的最佳实践基础上,对2020年发表于PLoS Biology期刊上的ARRIVE 2.0指南完整解读版(https://arriveguidelines.org)第五部分包括“推荐11条”里的第6~11条:“动物照护和监测”、“解析/科学阐释”、“可推广性/转化”、“研究方案注册”、“数据获取”和“利益冲突声明”等内容进行了编译、解释和阐述,以期促进国内研究人员充分理解并使用ARRIVE 2.0指南,提高实验动物研究及报告的规范性,助推我国实验动物科技与比较医学研究的高质量发展。

Acoustic mode waves and individual arrivals excited by a dipole source in fluid-filled boreholes

An approach of separating individual wave arrivals for a dipole logging is presented. The branch points are treated as a type of logarithm and the Riemann surface structure of the multivalued function is studied, that is, the displacement potential within the borehole. Based on the theoretical analysis, the complex poles contributing to the wave field on various Riemann sheets are investigated in detail for the case of a fast formation. It is shown that poles on Riemann sheet (0,0) are real and form branches of modes with dispersion. Mathematically, it is demonstrated that the flexural mode has no cutoff frequency, which is different from the traditional point of view. Poles on other relevant Riemann sheets are complex and form many branches on the complex frequency-wavenumber plane. Further investigation on the pole and branch cut contributions indicates that the vertical branch cut integration method has limitations in separating wave arrivals. By properly taking into account the complex poles on various Riemann sheets together with branch cut integrations, wave arrivals are separated from the full wave-forms effectively for both the fast and slow formation models. Specially, there are complex poles on Riemann sheet (0,-1) in the vicinity of the compressional branch cut for a slow formation with a large Poisson's ratio, which have small imaginary parts and contribute a lot to the p-wave arrival.

Real-time arrival picking of rock microfracture signals based on convolutional-recurrent neural network and its engineering application

Accurately picking P-and S-wave arrivals of microseismic(MS)signals in real-time directly influences the early warning of rock mass failure.A common contradiction between accuracy and computation exists in the current arrival picking methods.Thus,a real-time arrival picking method of MS signals is constructed based on a convolutional-recurrent neural network(CRNN).This method fully utilizes the advantages of convolutional layers and gated recurrent units(GRU)in extracting short-and long-term features,in order to create a precise and lightweight arrival picking structure.Then,the synthetic signals with field noises are used to evaluate the hyperparameters of the CRNN model and obtain an optimal CRNN model.The actual operation on various devices indicates that compared with the U-Net method,the CRNN method achieves faster arrival picking with less performance consumption.An application of large underground caverns in the Yebatan hydropower station(YBT)project shows that compared with the short-term average/long-term average(STA/LTA),Akaike information criterion(AIC)and U-Net methods,the CRNN method has the highest accuracy within four sampling points,which is 87.44%for P-wave and 91.29%for S-wave,respectively.The sum of mean absolute errors(MAESUM)of the CRNN method is 4.22 sampling points,which is lower than that of the other methods.Among the four methods,the MS sources location calculated based on the CRNN method shows the best consistency with the actual failure,which occurs at the junction of the shaft and the second gallery.Thus,the proposed method can pick up P-and S-arrival accurately and rapidly,providing a reference for rock failure analysis and evaluation in engineering applications.

Three-Dimensional Sound Source Location Algorithm for Subsea Leakage Using Hydrophone

Leakages from subsea oil and gas equipment cause substantial economic losses and damage to marine ecosystem,so it is essential to locate the source of the leak.However,due to the complexity and variability of the marine environment,the signals collected by hydrophone contain a variety of noises,which makes it challenging to extract useful signals for localization.To solve this problem,a hydrophone denoising algorithm is proposed based on variational modal decomposition(VMD)with grey wolf optimization.First,the average envelope entropy is used as the fitness function of the grey wolf optimizer to find the optimal solution for the parameters K andα.Afterward,the VMD algorithm decomposes the original signal parameters to obtain the intrinsic mode functions(IMFs).Subsequently,the number of interrelationships between each IMF and the original signal was calculated,the threshold value was set,and the noise signal was removed to calculate the time difference using the valid signal obtained by reconstruction.Finally,the arrival time difference is used to locate the origin of the leak.The localization accuracy of the method in finding leaks is investigated experimentally by constructing a simulated leak test rig,and the effectiveness and feasibility of the method are verified.

Underdetermined direction of arrival estimation with nonuniform linear motion sampling based on a small unmanned aerial vehicle platform

Uniform linear array(ULA)radars are widely used in the collision-avoidance radar systems of small unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs).In practice,a ULA's multi-target direction of arrival(DOA)estimation performance suffers from significant performance degradation owing to the limited number of physical elements.To improve the underdetermined DOA estimation performance of a ULA radar mounted on a small UAV platform,we propose a nonuniform linear motion sampling underdetermined DOA estimation method.Using the motion of the UAV platform,the echo signal is sampled at different positions.Then,according to the concept of difference co-array,a virtual ULA with multiple array elements and a large aperture is synthesized to increase the degrees of freedom(DOFs).Through position analysis of the original and motion arrays,we propose a nonuniform linear motion sampling method based on ULA for determining the optimal DOFs.Under the condition of no increase in the aperture of the physical array,the proposed method obtains a high DOF with fewer sampling runs and greatly improves the underdetermined DOA estimation performance of ULA.The results of numerical simulations conducted herein verify the superior performance of the proposed method.

A Novel CCA-NMF Whitening Method for Practical Machine Learning Based Underwater Direction of Arrival Estimation

Underwater direction of arrival(DOA)estimation has always been a very challenging theoretical and practical problem.Due to the serious non-stationary,non-linear,and non-Gaussian characteristics,machine learning based DOA estimation methods trained on simulated Gaussian noised array data cannot be directly applied to actual underwater DOA estimation tasks.In order to deal with this problem,environmental data with no target echoes can be employed to analyze the non-Gaussian components.Then,the obtained information about non-Gaussian components can be used to whiten the array data.Based on these considerations,a novel practical sonar array whitening method was proposed.Specifically,based on a weak assumption that the non-Gaussian components in adjacent patches with and without target echoes are almost the same,canonical cor-relation analysis(CCA)and non-negative matrix factorization(NMF)techniques are employed for whitening the array data.With the whitened array data,machine learning based DOA estimation models trained on simulated Gaussian noised datasets can be used to perform underwater DOA estimation tasks.Experimental results illustrated that,using actual underwater datasets for testing with known machine learning based DOA estimation models,accurate and robust DOA estimation performance can be achieved by using the proposed whitening method in different underwater con-ditions.

How is the Power of the Baidu Index for Forecasting Hotel Guest Arrivals?–A Case Study of Guilin

The prediction of the Baidu index for tourism demand has been increasingly focused on by scholars.However,few studies have evaluated the predictive power of the Baidu index for hotel guest arrivals in fine granularity at the micro level.Taking Guilin as a case study,we use the OLS regression method to quantitatively investigate the forecasting power of the Baidu index for daily hotel guest arrivals and to comprehensively evaluate the performance of the forecasting model and to optimize the forecasting model by deeply mining the hidden characteristics of tourism flow in a special case study.The contributions of this papermainly have threefold:first,to the best of our knowledge,based on the actual full-example of daily hotel guest check-in data in fine granularity,we evaluated the predictive power of the Baidu index by comparison of 5 forecasting models for the first time.Second,we proposed two metrics for forecasting:the trend forecasting index and the forecasting stability index.Finally,we introduce a kind of punishment strategy to optimize forecasting models based on the potential pattern of research objects.

Learning to detect subway arrivals for passengers on a train

The use of traditional positioning technologies, such as GPS and wireless local positioning, rely on un- derlying infrastructure. However, in a subway environment, such positioning systems are not available for the position- ing tasks, such as the detection of the train arrivals for the passengers in the train. An alternative approach is to exploit the contextual information available in the mobile devices of subway riders to detect train arrivals. To this end, we pro- pose to exploit multiple contextual features extracted from the mobile devices of subway riders to precisely detecting train arrivals. Following this line, we first investigate poten- tial contextual features which may be effective to detect train arrivals according to the observations from 3D accelerome- ters and GSM radio. Furthermore, we propose to explore the maximum entropy （MaxEnt） model for training a train ar- rival detector by learning the correlation between contextual features and train arrivals. Finally, we perform extensive ex- periments on several real-world data sets collected from two major subway lines in the Beijing subway system. Experi- mental results validate both the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approach.

《动物研究:体内实验报告》即ARRIVE 2.0指南的解释与阐述(三)

提高生物医学研究结果的可重复性是一项重大挑战,研究人员透明且准确地报告其研究过程有利于读者对该研究结果的可靠性进行评估,进而重复该实验或在该成果的基础上进一步探索。ARRIVE 2.0指南是英国国家3Rs中心(NC3Rs)于2019年组织发布的一份适用于任何与活体动物研究报告相关的指导性清单,用以提高动物体内实验设计、实验实施和实验报告的规范性,以及动物实验结果的可靠性、可重复性和临床转化率。ARRIVE 2.0指南的使用不仅可以丰富动物实验研究报告的细节,确保动物实验结果信息被充分评估和利用,还可以使读者准确且清晰地了解作者所表述的内容,促进基础研究评审过程的透明化和完整性。目前,ARRIVE 2.0指南已经被国际生物医学期刊广泛采纳。本文是在国际期刊遵循ARRIVE 2.0指南的最佳实践基础上,对2020年发表于PLoS Biology期刊上的ARRIVE 2.0指南完整解读版(原文请见https://arriveguidelines.org)进行中文编译(第三部分包括“关键10条”里的第8~10条:“实验动物”、“实验步骤”和“结果”部分),以期促进国内研究人员充分理解并使用ARRIVE 2.0指南,提高实验动物研究及报告的规范性,助推我国实验动物科技与比较医学研究的高质量发展。

《动物研究:体内实验报告》即ARRIVE 2.0指南的解释和阐述(四)

提高生物医学研究结果的可重复性是一项重大挑战,研究人员透明且准确地报告其研究过程有利于读者对该研究结果的可靠性进行评估,进而重复该实验或在该成果的基础上进一步探索。ARRIVE 2.0指南是英国国家3Rs中心(NC3Rs)于2019年组织发布的一份适用于任何与活体动物研究报告相关的指导性清单,用以提高动物体内实验设计、实验实施和实验报告的规范性,以及动物实验结果的可靠性、可重复性和临床转化率。ARRIVE 2.0指南的使用不仅可以丰富动物实验研究报告的细节,确保动物实验结果信息被充分评估和利用,还可以使读者准确且清晰地了解作者所表述的内容,促进基础研究评审过程的透明化和完整性。本文是在国际期刊遵循ARRIVE 2.0指南的最佳实践基础上,对2020年发表于PLoS Biology期刊上的ARRIVE 2.0指南完整解读版(https://arriveguidelines.org)第四部分包括“推荐11条”里的第1~5条:“摘要”、“研究背景”、“研究目标”、“伦理声明”和“饲养场所和饲养”等内容进行了编译、解释和阐述,以期促进国内研究人员充分理解并使用ARRIVE 2.0指南,提高实验动物研究及报告的规范性,助推我国实验动物科技与比较医学研究的高质量发展。

动物实验研究报告的国际指南ARRIVE 2.0介绍及期刊实施计划

动物实验在生物医药科学研究过程中发挥着重要作用,是基础医学向临床医学转化的必要途径。动物实验研究及报告的规范性决定了研究结果的可靠性和可重复性,也是其研究成果能够向临床试验转化应用的关键。针对如何更加规范地设计、实施动物实验,撰写动物实验报告,以及发表相关学术论文,《实验动物与比较医学》期刊从2023年起推出“比较医学研究及报告规范”专栏,重点推介并解读实验动物与比较医学相关的国际通用规范,如ARRIVE 2.0等。本文对动物实验研究报告的国际指南ARRIVE 2.0的制定和使用、基本内容和优先级别,以及国际生物医学期刊实施ARRIVE 2.0指南的计划方案进行了重点介绍,并说明《实验动物与比较医学》期刊遵循ARRIVE 2.0指南的目前情况及未来计划。动物实验医学研究及报告遵循ARRIVE 2.0指南等国际规范是助推我国实验动物科学与生物医药学高质量发展的重要动力之一,也是落实3R原则和提高实验动物福利强有力的一种手段,广大科研工作者和期刊工作者均应该高度重视并积极践行。

《动物研究:体内实验报告》即ARRIVE 2.0指南的解释和阐述(二)

提高生物医学研究结果的可重复性是一项重大挑战,研究人员透明且准确地报告其研究过程有利于读者评估该研究结果的可靠性,进而重复该实验或在该成果的基础上进一步探索。ARRIVE 2.0指南是英国国家3Rs中心(NC3Rs)于2019年组织发布的一份适用于任何与活体动物研究报告相关的指导性清单,用以提高动物体内实验设计、实验实施和实验报告的规范性,以及动物实验结果的可靠性、可重复性和临床转化率。ARRIVE 2.0指南的使用不仅可以丰富动物实验研究报告的细节,确保动物实验结果信息被充分评估和利用,还可以使读者准确且清晰地了解作者所表述的内容,促进基础研究评审过程的透明化和完整性。目前,ARRIVE 2.0指南已经被国际生物医学期刊广泛采纳。本文是在国际期刊遵循ARRIVE 2.0指南的最佳实践基础上,对2020年发表于PLoS Biology期刊上的ARRIVE 2.0指南完整解读版(原文请见https://arriveguidelines.org)进行中文编译(第二部分包括“关键10条”里的第4~7条:“随机化”、“盲法”、“结果测量”和“统计方法”等部分),以期促进国内研究人员充分理解并使用ARRIVE 2.0指南,提高实验动物研究及报告的规范性,助推我国实验动物科技与比较医学研究的高质量发展。