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Changes in snow cover extent in the Central Taurus Mountains from 1981 to 2021 in relation to temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric teleconnections
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作者 Ecmel ERLAT Fulya AYDIN-KANDEMİR 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期49-67,共19页
The snow cover over the Taurus Mountains affects water supply, agriculture, and hydropower generation in the region. In this study, we analyzed the monthly Snow Cover Extent(SCE) from November to April in the Central ... The snow cover over the Taurus Mountains affects water supply, agriculture, and hydropower generation in the region. In this study, we analyzed the monthly Snow Cover Extent(SCE) from November to April in the Central Taurus Mountains(Bolkar, Aladaglar, Tahtali and Binboga Mountains) from 1981 to 2021. Linear trends of snow cover season(November to April) over the last 41 years showed decreases in SCE primarily at lower elevations. The downward trend in SCE was found to be more pronounced and statistically significant for only November and March. SCE in the Central Taurus Mountains has declined about-6.3% per decade for 2500-3000 m in November and about-6.0% per decade for 1000-1500 m and 3000+ m in March over the last 41 years. The loss of SCE has become evident since the 2000s, and the lowest negative anomalies in SCE have been observed in 2014, 2001, and 2007 in the last 41 years, which are consistent with an increase in air temperature and decreased precipitation. SCE was correlated with both mean temperature and precipitation, with temperature having a greater relative importance at all elevated gradients. Results showed that there is a strong linear relationship between SCE and the mean air temperature(r =-0.80) and precipitation(r = 0.44) for all elevated gradients during the snow season. The Arctic Oscillation(AO), the North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO), and the Mediterranean Oscillation(MO) winter indices were used to explain the year-to-year variability in SCE over the Central Taurus Mountains. The results showed that the inter-annual variability observed in the winter SCE on the Central Taurus Mountains was positively correlated with the phases of the winter AO, NAO and MO, especially below 2000 m elevation. 展开更多
关键词 snow cover extent Atmospheric teleconnection Central Taurus Mountains Air temperature and precipitation Geographic Information Systems Türkiye
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Study on Potential and Countermeasures of Artificial Precipitation Enhancement in Fuxin Region 被引量:2
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作者 Sun Baoli Zhang Xu +1 位作者 Sun Ke Cao Mingshu 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2016年第6期13-21,28,共10页
To exploit cloud water resources to increase precipitation on the ground effectively,according to the principles of artificial precipitation enhancement,based on historical data of weather and precipitation from Fuxin... To exploit cloud water resources to increase precipitation on the ground effectively,according to the principles of artificial precipitation enhancement,based on historical data of weather and precipitation from Fuxin National Basic Meteorological Stations from 1981 to 2010,the distribution characteristics of cloud water resources,potential and countermeasures of artificial precipitation enhancement in Fuxin region of Liaoning Province were studied. The results show that the annual average quantity of cloud water resources in the air over Fuxin region over the past 30 years was 285. 6 × 10~8m^3,but the annual average precipitation was only 471.8 mm( amounting to 47.2 ×10~8m^3 of water resources),accounting for only16. 5% of total quantity of cloud water resources in the air; 12 times of artificial precipitation enhancement operation experiments were carried out by using the weather models and technical indicators suitable for artificial precipitation enhancement in Fuxin region,and the artificial precipitation efficiency was 18. 3% on average,5. 2% higher than before,and the annual average precipitation could increase by 2. 5 × 10~8m^3 approximately. All of these have great significance for implementing artificial precipitation enhancement operation scientifically and effectively,maximizing the exploitation of cloud water resources in the air,increasing total quantity of water resources,and mitigating drought in Fuxin region. 展开更多
关键词 artificial precipitation ENHANCEMENT ENHANCEMENT of efficiency WEATHER models Technical INDICATORS Operation experiments Fuxin REGION
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Application of microbially induced carbonate precipitation to form biocemented artificial sandstone 被引量:3
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作者 Charalampos Konstantinou Giovanna Biscontin +1 位作者 Ning-Jun Jiang Kenichi Soga 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第3期579-592,共14页
It is difficult to collect and characterise well-preserved samples of weakly-cemented granular rocks as conventional sampling techniques often result in destruction of the cementation.An alternative approach is to pre... It is difficult to collect and characterise well-preserved samples of weakly-cemented granular rocks as conventional sampling techniques often result in destruction of the cementation.An alternative approach is to prepare synthetic geomaterials to match required specifications.This paper introduces microbially induced carbonate precipitation(MICP)as a method to reliably deliver artificiallycemented specimens with customised properties,closely resembling those of soft carbonate sandstones.The specimens are generated from materials with two highly different particle size distributions(PSDs)to access a range of achievable combinations of strengths and porosities.The MICP parameters are kept constant across all samples to obtain similar calcium carbonate characteristics(size of individual crystals,type,etc.),while injected volume is varied to achieve different cementation levels.Although uniform cementation of very coarse sands has been considered very difficult to achieve,the results show that both the fine and coarse sand specimens present high degrees of uniformity and a good degree of repeatability.The unconfined compressive strengths(UCSs)(less than 3000 kPa)and porosities(0.25e0.4)of the artificial specimens fall in the same range of values reported for natural rocks.The strength gainwas greater in the fine sand than that in the coarse sand,as the void size in the latter was significantly larger compared to the calcium carbonate crystals’size,resulting in precipitation on less effective locations,away from contacts between particles.The strengths and porosities obtained for the two sands in this work fall within ranges reported in the literature for natural soft rocks,demonstrating theMICP technique is able to achieve realistic properties and may be used to produce a full range of properties by varying the grain sizes,and possibly the width of PSD. 展开更多
关键词 Granular rocks Biocementation Microbially induced carbonate precipitation (MICP) Grain size UNIFORMITY Efficiency artificial rock
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Forecasting Monsoon Precipitation Using Artificial Neural Networks
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作者 曹鸿兴 魏凤英 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2001年第5期950-958,共9页
This paper explores the application of Artificial Intelligent (AI) techniques for climate forecast. It presents a study on modelling the monsoon precipitation forecast by means of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Us... This paper explores the application of Artificial Intelligent (AI) techniques for climate forecast. It presents a study on modelling the monsoon precipitation forecast by means of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Using the historical data of the total amount of summer rainfall over the Delta Area of Yangtze River in China, three ANNs models have been developed to forecast the monsoon precipitation in the corresponding area one year, five-year, and ten-year forward respectively. Performances of the models have been validated using a 'new' data set that has not been exposed to the models during the processes of model development and test. The experiment results are promising, indicating that the proposed ANNs models have good quality in terms of the accuracy, stability and generalisation ability. 展开更多
关键词 forecasting monsoon precipitation artificial intelligent technique artificial neural networks
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Simulation of the Ultrasonic Precipitation Process of Nano-hydroxyapatite by an Artificial Neural Network
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作者 曹丽云 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 SCIE EI CAS 2005年第B12期135-137,共3页
The ultrasonic precipitation technique for preparing hydroxyapatite nanoparticles is a complex process that was strongly influenced by temperature, reaction time and ultrasonic power. The use of a modified artificial ... The ultrasonic precipitation technique for preparing hydroxyapatite nanoparticles is a complex process that was strongly influenced by temperature, reaction time and ultrasonic power. The use of a modified artificial neural network (ANN) was proposed to model the non-linear relationship between ultrasonic precipitation parameters and the hydroxyapatite content. The improved model for processing dataset and selecting its topology was developed using the Levenberg-Marquardt training algorithm and was trained with comprehensive dataset of hydroxyapatite nanoparticles collected from experimental data. A basic repository on the domain knowledge of ultrasonic precipitation process for the preparation of hydroxyapatite is established via sufficient data mining by the network. With the help of the repository stored in the trained network, the influence of preparation temperature, preparation time and ultrasonic sonicating power on the hydroxyapatite content can be analyzed and predicted. The results show that the ANN system is effective and successful in analyzing the influence of ultrasonic precipitation parameters on the preparation of hydroxyapatite nanoparticles. 展开更多
关键词 HYDROXYAPATITE ultrasonic precipitation artificial neural network levenberg-Marquard algorithm
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Shallow Discussion about the Application of L-band Sounding Seconds Data in the Artificial Precipitation
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作者 TIAN Guang-yuan, ZHANG Peng-liang Weather Modification Office in Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110016, China 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2011年第4期57-59,64,共4页
[Objective] The research aimed to discuss shallowly the application of L-band sounding seconds data in the artificial precipitation. [Method] The characteristics, getting manner and displaying method of L-band soundin... [Objective] The research aimed to discuss shallowly the application of L-band sounding seconds data in the artificial precipitation. [Method] The characteristics, getting manner and displaying method of L-band sounding seconds data were introduced briefly. Moreover, its application prospect in the artificial precipitation operation was analyzed initially. We aimed to improve its application rate in the artificial precipitation operation. [Result] L-band sounding seconds data had the great improvement in the time-space resolution and the space positioning accuracy aspects when compared with the previous sounding data, and the precision reached the second level. It could provide the high-precision data basis for the assimilation of artificial precipitation numerical model initial field, and improve the numerical model. Moreover, the sounding product could provide the accurate scientific basis for the selection of artificial precipitation operation tool, the determination of operation height and range, and guide the artificial precipitation operation, and improve the operation efficiency. [Conclusion] The research provided the analysis and reference basis for the command of artificial precipitation operation. 展开更多
关键词 L-BAND Sounding data Seconds data artificial precipitation China
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The Summer Snow Cover Anomaly over the Tibetan Plateau and Its Association with Simultaneous Precipitation over the Mei-yu–Baiu region 被引量:15
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作者 LIU Ge WU Renguang +1 位作者 ZHANG Yuanzhi NAN Sulan 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第4期755-764,共10页
The summer snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and their effects on climate variability are often overlooked,possibly due to the fact that some datasets cannot properly capture summer snow cover over high t... The summer snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and their effects on climate variability are often overlooked,possibly due to the fact that some datasets cannot properly capture summer snow cover over high terrain.The satellite-derived Equal-Area Scalable Earth grid (EASE-grid) dataset shows that snow still exists in summer in the western part and along the southem flank of the TP.Analysis demonstrates that the summer snow cover area proportion (SCAP) over the TP has a significant positive correlation with simultaneous precipitation over the mei-yu-baiu (MB) region on the interannual time scale.The close relationship between the summer SCAP and summer precipitation over the MB region could not be simply considered as a simultaneous response to the Silk Road pattern and the SST anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean and tropical central-eastern Pacific.The SCAP anomaly has an independent effect and may directly modulate the land surface heating and,consequently,vertical motion over the western TP,and concurrently induce anomalous vertical motion over the North Indian Ocean via a meridional vertical circulation.Through a zonal vertical circulation over the tropics and a Kelvin wave-type response,anomalous vertical motion over the North Indian Ocean may result in an anomalous high over the western North Pacific and modulate the convective activity in the western Pacific warm pool,which stimulates the East Asia-Pacific (EAP) pattern and eventually affects summer precipitation over the MB region. 展开更多
关键词 snow cover Tibetan Plateau MEI-YU baiu precipitation
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Persistence of Snow Cover Anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau and the Implications for Forecasting Summer Precipitation over the Meiyu-Baiu Region 被引量:7
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作者 LIU Ge WU Ren-Guang ZHANG Yuan-Zhi 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2014年第2期115-119,共5页
The present reported study investigated the persistence of snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) from the preceding seasons to summer and the relationship between the previous snow cover anomaly and summer preci... The present reported study investigated the persistence of snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) from the preceding seasons to summer and the relationship between the previous snow cover anomaly and summer precipitation over East Asia. The results showed that, relative to other snow indices, such as the station observational snow depth(SOSD) index and the snow water equivalent(SWE) index, the snow cover area proportion(SCAP) index calculated from the SWE and the percentage of visible snow of the Equal-Area Scalable Earth Grids(EASE-grids) dataset has a higher persistence in interannual anomalies, particularly from May to summer. As such, the May SCAP index is significantly related to summer precipitation over the Meiyu-Baiu region. The persistence of the SCAP index can partly explain the season-delayed effect of snow cover over the TP on summer rainfall over the Meiyu-Baiu region besides the contribution of the soil moisture bridge. The preceding SST anomaly in the tropical Indian Ocean and ENSO can persist through the summer and affect the summer precipitation over the Meiyu-Baiu region. However, the May SCAP index is mostly independent of the simultaneous SSTs in the tropical Indian Ocean and the preceding ENSO and may affect the summer precipitation over the Meiyu-Baiu region independent of the effects of the SST anomalies. Therefore, the May SCAP over the TP could be regarded as an important supplementary factor in the forecasting of summer precipitation over the Meiyu-Baiu region. 展开更多
关键词 雪盖子 西藏的高原 MEIYU 降水 预报
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Precipitation Cycles Relative to Storm Tracks, ENSO and PDO, and Drought—Continental Interior Central Western USA
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作者 Alan L. Mayo 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2023年第3期335-358,共24页
Seventy-two years of central western United States precipitation data have been analyzed for storms originating 1000 to 3000 km away from four ocean moisture sources: Arctic, North Pacific, South Pacific, and Gulfs of... Seventy-two years of central western United States precipitation data have been analyzed for storms originating 1000 to 3000 km away from four ocean moisture sources: Arctic, North Pacific, South Pacific, and Gulfs of California and Mexico. Precipitation trends were evaluated relative to precipitation phase, precipitation flux, storm track trajectory, and the sea surface temperature (SST) indices Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO. The lack of correlation between SST indices with precipitation flux was evaluated. The relationships of meteorological, hydrological and snow droughts were evaluated relative to each other, to the climate change-induced temporal shifts in the timing of mountain snowpack decay, and the timing when North Pacific storm tracks shift from crossing to circumventing the Sierra Nevada Range. 展开更多
关键词 precipitation Cycle Meteoric Drought Hydrologic Drought snow Drought Climate Change
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Characteristics of abrupt changes of snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer in the Tibetan Plateau and their impacts on summer precipitation in China 被引量:1
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作者 Rong Gao HaiLing Zhong +1 位作者 WenJie Dong ZhiGang Wei 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2011年第1期24-30,共7页
In this paper, a variation series of snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer from 1965 to 2004 on the Tibetan Plateau has been established by using the observation data from meteorological stations. The sliding T-te... In this paper, a variation series of snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer from 1965 to 2004 on the Tibetan Plateau has been established by using the observation data from meteorological stations. The sliding T-test, M-K test and B-G algorithm are used to verify abrupt changes of snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer in the Tibetan plateau. The results show that the snow cover has not undergone an abrupt change, but the seasonal freeze-thaw layer obviously witnessed a rapid degradation in 1987, with the frozen soil depth being reduced by about 15 cm. It is also found that when there ~s less snow in the plateau region, precipitation in South China and Southwest China increases. But when the frozen soil is deep, precipitation in most of China apparently decreases. Both snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer on the plateau can be used to predict the summer precipitation in China. However, if the impacts of snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer are used at the same time, the predictability of summer precipitation can be significantly improved. The significant correlation zone of snow is located in middle reaches of the Yangtze River covering the Hexi Corridor and northeastern Inner Mongolia, and the seasonal freeze-thaw layer exists in Mt. Nanling, northern Shannxi and northwestern part of North China. The significant correlation zone of simultaneous impacts of snow cover and seasonal freeze-thaw layer is larger than that of either snow cover or seasonal freeze-thaw layer. There are three significant correlation zones extending from north to south: the north zone spreads from Mr. Daxinganling to the Hexi Corridor, crossing northern Mt. Taihang and northern Shannxi; the central zone covers middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River; and the south zone extends from Mt. Wuyi to Yunnan and Guizhou Plateau through Mt. Nanling. 展开更多
关键词 Tibetan Plateau snow cover seasonal freeze-thaw layer precipitation
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Assessing the Impacts of Initial Snow Conditions over the Tibetan Plateau on China Precipitation Prediction Using a Global Climate Model 被引量:1
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作者 CHEN Hong 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2014年第2期81-86,共6页
Two ensemble experiments were conducted using a general atmospheric circulation model. These experiments were used to investigate the impacts of initial snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) on China precipitati... Two ensemble experiments were conducted using a general atmospheric circulation model. These experiments were used to investigate the impacts of initial snow anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) on China precipitation prediction. In one of the experiments, the initial snow conditions over the TP were climatological values; while in the other experiment, the initial snow anomalies were snow depth estimates derived from the passive microwave remote-sensing data. In the current study, the difference between these two experiments was assessed to evaluate the impact of initial snow anomalies over the TP on simulated precipitation. The results indicated that the model simulation for precipitation over eastern China had certain improvements while applying a more realistic initial snow anomaly, especially for spring precipitation over Northeast China and North China and for summer precipitation over North China and Southeast China. The results suggest that seasonal prediction could be enhanced by using more realistic initial snow conditions over TP, and microwave remote-sensing snow data could be used to initialize climate models and improve the simulation of eastern China precipitation during spring and summer. Further analyses showed that higher snow anomalies over TP cooled the surface, resulting in lower near- surface air temperature over the TP in spring and summer. The surface cooling over TP weakened the Asian summer monsoon and brought more precipitation in South China in spring and more precipitation to Southeast China during summer. 展开更多
关键词 西藏的高原 起始的雪异例 预兆的技巧 降水
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An Artificial Neural Network-Based Snow Cover Predictive Modeling in the Higher Himalayas 被引量:1
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作者 Bhogendra MISHRA Nitin K.TRIPATHI Muk S.BABEL 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第4期825-837,共13页
With trends indicating increase in temperature and decrease in winter precipitation, a significant negative trend in snow-covered areas has been identified in the last decade in the Himalayas. This requires a quantita... With trends indicating increase in temperature and decrease in winter precipitation, a significant negative trend in snow-covered areas has been identified in the last decade in the Himalayas. This requires a quantitative analysis of the snow cover in the higher Himalayas. In this study, a nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model, an artificial neural network(ANN), was deployed to predict the snow cover in the Kaligandaki river basin for the next 30 years. Observed climatic data, and snow covered area was used to train and test the model that captures the gross features of snow under the current climate scenario. The range of the likely effects of climate change on seasonal snow was assessed in the Himalayas using downscaled temperature and precipitation change projection from- HadCM3, a global circulation model to project future climate scenario, under the A1 B emission scenario, which describes a future world of very rapid economic growth with balance use between fossil and non-fossil energy sources. The results show that there is a reduction of 9% to 46% of snow cover in different elevation zones during the considered time period, i.e., 2011 to 2040. The 4700 m to 5200 m elevation zone is the most affected area and the area higher than 5200 m is the least affected. Overall, however, it is clear from the analysis that seasonal snow in the Kaligandaki basin is likely to be subject to substantial changes due to the impact of climate change. 展开更多
关键词 喜马拉雅山 人工神经网络 预测模型 积雪 非线性自回归模型 基础 全球大气环流 覆盖面积
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Retrieval Snow Depth by Artificial Neural Network Methodology from Integrated AMSR-E and In-situ Data——A Case Study in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau 被引量:1
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作者 CAO Yungang YANG Xiuchun ZHU Xiaohua 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第4期356-360,共5页
On the basis of artificial neural network (ANN) model, this paper presents an algorithm for inversing snow depth with use of AMSR-E (Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System (EOS)) dataset, i.e., ... On the basis of artificial neural network (ANN) model, this paper presents an algorithm for inversing snow depth with use of AMSR-E (Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System (EOS)) dataset, i.e., brightness temperature at 18.7 and 36.5GHz in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau during the snow season of 2002-2003. In order to overcome the overfitting problem in ANN modeling, this methodology adopts a Bayesian regularization approach. The experiments are performed to compare the results obtained from the ANN-based algorithm with those obtained from other existing algorithms, i.e., Chang algorithm, spectral polarization difference (SPD) algorithm, and temperature gradient (TG) algorithm. The experimental results show that the presented algorithm has the highest accuracy in estimating snow depth. In addition, the effects of the noises in datasets on model fitting can be decreased due to adopting the Bayesian regularization approach. 展开更多
关键词 人工神经网络 贝叶斯规则 青藏高原 积雪厚度 温度
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Distribution of winter-spring snow over the Tibetan Plateau and its relationship with summer precipitationin Yangtze River
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作者 ZhuoGa TaoChen +2 位作者 LaBa PuBuCiRen BaSang 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2017年第1期20-28,共9页
The distribution of winter-spring snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and its relationship with summer precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley (MLYRV) during 2003-2013 have been ... The distribution of winter-spring snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and its relationship with summer precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley (MLYRV) during 2003-2013 have been investigated with the moderate-resolution imaging spectrometer (MODIS) Terra data (MOD10A2) and precipitation observations. Results show that snow cover percentage (SCP) remains approximately 20% in winter and spring then tails off to below 5% with warmer temperature and snow melt in summer. The lower and highest percentages present a declining tendency while the middle SCP exhibits an opposite variation. The maximum value appears from the middle of October to March and the minimum emerges from July to August. The annual and winter-spring SCPs present a decreasing tendency. Snow cover is mainly situated in the periphery of the plateau and mountainous regions, and less snow in the interior of the plateau, basin and valley areas in view of snow cover frequency (SCF) over the TP. Whatever annual or winter-spring snow cover, they all have remarkable declining tendency during 2003-2013, and annual snow cover presents a decreasing trend in the interior of the TP and increasing trend in the periphery of the TP. Hie multi-year averaged eight-day SCP is negatively related to mean precipitation in the MLYRV. Spring SCP is negatively related to summer precipitation while winter SCP is positively related to summer precipitation in most parts of the MLYRV. Hence, the influence of winter snow cover on precipitation is much more significant than that in spring on the basis of correlation analysis. The oscillation of SCF from southeast to northwest over the TP corresponds well to the beginning,development and cessation of the rain belt in eastern China. 展开更多
关键词 winter-spring snow cover Tibetan Plateau RELATIONSHIP summer precipitation Yangtze River Valley MODIS Reprojection Tool
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Impacts of snow cover and frozen soil in the Tibetan Plateau on summer precipitation in China
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作者 Rong Gao HaiLing Zhong +1 位作者 WenJie Dong ZhiGang Wei 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2011年第6期491-497,共7页
This paper presents an analysis of the mechanisms and impacts of snow cover and frozen soil in the Tibetan Plateau on the sum- mer precipitation in China, using RegCM3 version 3.1 model simulations. Comparisons of sim... This paper presents an analysis of the mechanisms and impacts of snow cover and frozen soil in the Tibetan Plateau on the sum- mer precipitation in China, using RegCM3 version 3.1 model simulations. Comparisons of simulations vs. observations show that RegCM3 well captures these impacts. Results indicate that in a more-snow year with deep frozen soil there will be more precipita- tion in the Yangtze River Basin and central Northwest China, western Inner Mongolia, and Xinjiang, but less precipitation in Northeast China, North China, South China, and most of Southwest China. In a less-snow year with deep frozen soil, however, there will be more precipitation in Northeast China, North China, and southern South China, but less precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin and in northern South China. Such differences may be attributed to different combination patterns of melting snow and thawing frozen soil on the Plateau, which may change soil moisture as well as cause differences in energy absorption in the phase change processes of snow cover and frozen soil. These factors may produce more surface sensible heat in more-snow years when the fi'ozen soil is deep than when the frozen soil is shallow. The higher surface sensible heat may lead to a stronger updraft over the Plateau, eventually contributing to a stronger South Asia High and West Pacific Subtropical High. Due to different values of the wind fields at 850 hPa, a convergence zone will form over the Yangtze River Basin, which may produce more summer pre- cipitation in the basin area but less precipitation in North China and South China. However, because soil moisture depends on ice content, in less-snow years with deep frozen soil, the soil moisture will be higher. The combination of higher frozen soil moisture with latent heat absorption in the phase change process may generate less surface sensible heat and consequently a weaker updraft motion over the Plateau. As a result, both the South Asia High and the West Pacific Subtropical High will be weaker, hence caus- ing more summer precipitation in northern China but less in southem China. 展开更多
关键词 Tibetan Plateau snow cover fi'ozen soil summer precipitation
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A Dipole Pattern of Summer Precipitation over Mid-high Latitude Asia and Related Snow Cover Anomalies in the Preceding Spring
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作者 HAN Jin-Ping LIU Ge XIN Yu-Fei 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2014年第4期364-368,共5页
A dipole pattern of summer precipitation over the mid-high latitudes of Asia, which is characterized by opposing summer precipitation variations between the Mongolian and Northeast China(MNC) region and the West Siber... A dipole pattern of summer precipitation over the mid-high latitudes of Asia, which is characterized by opposing summer precipitation variations between the Mongolian and Northeast China(MNC) region and the West Siberian Plain(WSP), is found to be clear and stable on both interdecadal and interannual scales during 1981–2011. Spring snow cover anomalies over a small region within the WSP and the Heilongjiang River(HR) region are closely related to the variation of this dipole mode during the subsequent summer, and they can therefore be considered as forecasting factors. Our statistical results imply a potential process explaining the relationship between the spring snow anomalies and the summer rainfall dipole. Corresponding to the snow anomalies, Rossby waves propagate along a path from the WSP region, via the Mongolian Plateau, to the Stanovoy Range during summer. At the same time, Rossby-wave energy divergences and convergences along this path maintain and reinforce an anomalous cyclone and anticyclone pairing over the Asian continent, which is significantly linked to opposite summer precipitation anomalies between the MNC and WSP regions. Numerical experiments are needed to further confirm the above conjecture and demonstrate the detailed physical mechanisms linking the spring snow cover anomalies and summer precipitation dipole. 展开更多
关键词 夏季降水异常 中高纬度地区 雪盖异常 偶极子 ROSSBY波 积雪异常 蒙古高原 亚洲大陆
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Evaluation of spatiotemporal variability of temperature and precipitation over the Karakoram Highway region during the cold season by a Regional Climate Model 被引量:4
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作者 YANG Tao LI Qian +3 位作者 CHEN Xi YIN Gang LI Lan-hai Philippe De MAEYER 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第9期2108-2122,共15页
Precipitation and temperature are two important factors associated to snow hazards which block the transport infrastructure and cause loss of life and properties in the cold season.The in-situ observations are limited... Precipitation and temperature are two important factors associated to snow hazards which block the transport infrastructure and cause loss of life and properties in the cold season.The in-situ observations are limited in the alpine with complex topographic characteristics,while coarse satellite rainfall estimates,reanalysis rain datasets,and gridded in-situ rain gauge datasets obscure the understanding of the precipitation patterns in hazardprone areas.Considering the Karakoram Highway(KKH)region as a study area,a double nestedWeather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model with the high resolution of a 10-km horizontal grid was performed to investigate the spatial and temporal patterns of temperature and precipitation covering the Karakoram Highway region during the cold season.The results of WRF were compared with the in-situ observations and Multi-Source WeightedEnsemble Precipitation(MSWEP)datasets.The results demonstrated that the WRF model well reproduced the observed monthly temperature(R=0.96,mean bias=-3.92°C)and precipitation(R=0.57,mean bias=8.69 mm).The WRF model delineated the essential features of precipitation variability and extremes,although it overestimatedthe wet day frequency and underestimated the precipitation intensity.Two rain bands were exhibited in a northwest-to-southeast direction over the study area.High wet day frequency was found in January,February,and March in the section between Hunza and Khunjerab.In addition,the areas with extreme values are mainly located in the Dasu-Islamabad section in February,March,and April.The WRF model has the potential to compensate for the spatial and temporal gaps of the observational networks and to provide more accurate predictions on the meteorological variables for avoiding common coldweather hazards in the ungauged and high altitude areas at a regional scale. 展开更多
关键词 Karakoram Highway WRF model precipitation Temperature snow hazards
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Liquid-Solid Partitioning of Precipitation along an Altitude Gradient and Its Statistical Properties: An Italian Case Study
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作者 Francesco Avanzi Carlo De Michele Antonio Ghezzi 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2014年第1期71-82,共12页
Climate change is a living topic when dealing with modern natural sciences. The increase in the average air temperature, as measured in the last decades, is considered as the most relevant effect of climate change on ... Climate change is a living topic when dealing with modern natural sciences. The increase in the average air temperature, as measured in the last decades, is considered as the most relevant effect of climate change on the Earth system. Since the air temperature has a key role in determining the partitioning between liquid and solid precipitation events at a site, important changes in rainfall dynamics are expected, especially in mountainous areas. Thus, an important issue for modern hydrology is to determine how climate change would affect the liquid-solid partitioning of precipitation and its statistical properties. The main aim here is to determine, via statistical analysis and goodness-of-fit tests, whether the duration of precipitation events under the different forms (namely solid, liquid and mixed) may be characterized by the same probability distribution. Similar issue is tested for the volume of precipitation. For this aim, our study pays attention to hourly data collected along an altitude gradient identified through six automatic weather stations in Trentino region, northeast Italy. To distinguish the different types of events from observed heated pluviometers’ data, a partitioning procedure has been used and validated, through some disdrometer data. Sample data of duration and volume, relatively to solid, liquid and mixed events, are extracted, and univariate and bivariate statistics are calculated. Then, the two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is used to test if the data distinguished by different types of precipitation can be considered extracted from the same distribution. The results showed that in most cases, durations, as well as volumes of the different types of events, cannot be considered equally distributed. This consideration is particularly clear at high elevations. 展开更多
关键词 Climate Change Statistical Inference precipitation Events Partitioning snow Mountainous HYDROLOGY
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2022年“2.13”冀中大雪过程多源气象资料分析
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作者 马鸿青 董疆南 +2 位作者 徐义国 于雷 王亚婷 《天津科技》 2024年第2期91-95,共5页
利用常规观测资料、era5再分析资料、风廓线雷达产品、地基GPS/MET大气可降水量(precipitable water vapor,PWV)等,对2022年2月13日冀中大雪过程进行了详细分析。①降雪发生之前的36 h内PWV呈增长态势,0~12 h上升最快,12~36 h呈缓慢上... 利用常规观测资料、era5再分析资料、风廓线雷达产品、地基GPS/MET大气可降水量(precipitable water vapor,PWV)等,对2022年2月13日冀中大雪过程进行了详细分析。①降雪发生之前的36 h内PWV呈增长态势,0~12 h上升最快,12~36 h呈缓慢上升趋势。②降水量和PWV呈一定正相关关系,降雪期间PWV变化平稳,随着PWV出现连续下降,降水结束。③风廓线雷达的水平风向风速演变对降雪的预报有一定指示意义:3000 m突然出现20 m/s的西南低空急流,随着20 m/s的西南低空急流向下延伸至2500 m高度,降雪增强。④降雪之前,0.5 m/s及以上的正速度首先出现在1500 m以上,当2000 m以下突然出现1.0 m/s以上的正速度后,0~3 h内降雪发生。⑤1000 m以下垂直速度增加到1.5 m/s及以上时,降雪增强。⑥降雪期间C_(n)^(2)(大气折射率结构常数)一直稳定在-180~-165 dB,C_(n)^(2)值小于-180 dB时,最大探测高度降至3500 m以下,整层垂直速度小于0.5 m/s,预示降雪结束。 展开更多
关键词 风廓线雷达 大气可降水量 大雪 低空急流
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后冬奥时期河北省冰雪运动数字化融合推广策略及实施路径 被引量:1
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作者 程富 王月宝 +1 位作者 赵智岗 段少楼 《河北体育学院学报》 2024年第2期82-90,共9页
后冬奥时代,数字化融合推广手段将在推动冰雪运动产业持续健康发展中扮演更重要的角色。数字化融合推广具有拓宽参与边界、丰富文化内涵、提升用户体验、优化资源配置等多维价值。为适应冰雪运动发展需要,构建了基于数据智能化、内容丰... 后冬奥时代,数字化融合推广手段将在推动冰雪运动产业持续健康发展中扮演更重要的角色。数字化融合推广具有拓宽参与边界、丰富文化内涵、提升用户体验、优化资源配置等多维价值。为适应冰雪运动发展需要,构建了基于数据智能化、内容丰富化、体验沉浸化、合作网络化的数字化融合推广体系。其中,基于大数据与人工智能技术的算法推广策略,要开展数据驱动的个性化精准营销,构建全面的数据监测与反馈机制;基于多平台渠道的内容推广策略,要以各擅所长的分平台传播为基础,以优势互补的联动式传播为核心,以突出文化的内涵式传播为重点。对基于扩展现实技术的体验推广策略和基于冰雪资源网络的合作推广策略分别进行阐述。最后,为确保策略的有效实施,还需完善法律法规与政策、强化市场资源配置功能、构建多元社会支持网络、加强专业人才队伍建设。 展开更多
关键词 后冬奥 河北省 冰雪运动 数字化融合 推广 人工智能
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