High-precision polar motion prediction is of great significance for deep space exploration and satellite navigation.Polar motion is affected by a variety of excitation factors,and nonlinear prediction methods are more...High-precision polar motion prediction is of great significance for deep space exploration and satellite navigation.Polar motion is affected by a variety of excitation factors,and nonlinear prediction methods are more suitable for polar motion prediction.In order to explore the effect of deep learning in polar motion prediction.This paper proposes a combined model based on empirical wavelet transform(EWT),Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN)and Long Short Term Memory(LSTM).By training and forecasting EOP 20C04 data,the effectiveness of the algorithm is verified,and the performance of two forecasting strategies in deep learning for polar motion prediction is explored.The results indicate that recursive multi-step prediction performs better than direct multi-step prediction for short-term forecasts within 15 days,while direct multi-step prediction is more suitable for medium and long-term forecasts.In the 365 days forecast,the mean absolute error of EWT-CNN-LSTM in the X direction and Y direction is 18.25 mas and 15.78 mas,respectively,which is 23.5% and 16.2% higher than the accuracy of Bulletin A.The results show that the algorithm has a good effect in medium and long term polar motion prediction.展开更多
Based on years of input from the four geodetic techniques （SLR, GPS, VLBI and DORIS）, the strategies of the combination were studied in SHAO to generate a new global terrestrial reference frame as the material reali...Based on years of input from the four geodetic techniques （SLR, GPS, VLBI and DORIS）, the strategies of the combination were studied in SHAO to generate a new global terrestrial reference frame as the material realization of the ITRS defined in IERS Conventions. The main input includes the time series of weekly solutions （or fortnightly for SLR 1983-1993） of observational data for satellite techniques and session-wise normal equations for VLBI. The set of estimated unknowns includes 3- dimensional Cartesian coordinates at the reference epoch 2005.0 of the stations distributed globally and their rates as well as the time series of consistent Earth Orientation Parameters （EOPs） at the same epochs as the input. Besides the final solution, namely SOL-2, generated by using all the inputs before 2015.0 obtained from short-term observation processing, another reference solution, namely SOL- 1, was also computed by using the input before 2009.0 based on the same combination of procedures for the purpose of comparison with ITRF2008 and DTRF2008 and for evaluating the effect of the latest six more years of data on the combined results. The estimated accuracy of the x-component and y-component of the SOL- 1 TRF-origin was better than 0.1 mm at epoch 2005.0 and better than 0.3 mm yr- 1 in time evolution, either compared with ITRF2008 or DTRF2008. However, the z-component of the translation parameters from SOL-1 to ITRF2008 and DTRF2008 were 3.4 mm and -1.0 ram, respectively. It seems that the z-component of the SOL-1 TRF-origin was much closer to the one in DTRF2008 than the one in ITRF2008. The translation parameters from SOL-2 to ITRF2014 were 2.2, -1.8 and 0.9 mm in the x-, y- and z-components respectively with rates smaller than 0.4 mmyr-1. Similarly, the scale factor transformed from SOL-1 to DTRF2008 was much smaller than that to ITRF2008. The scale parameter from SOL-2 to ITRF2014 was -0.31 ppb with a rate lower than 0.01 ppb yr-1. The external precision （WRMS） compared with IERS EOP 08 C04 of the combined EOP series was smaller than 0.06 mas for the polar motions, smaller than 0.01 ms for the UT1-UTC and smaller than 0.02 ms for the LODs. The precision of the EOPs in SOL-2 was slightly higher than that of SOL-1.展开更多
Considered to be extensions of the Hipparcos reference system, PPMX and UCAC3 are two of the most important astrometric catalogs released in current years. Extensive analyses of these two large catalogs have been made...Considered to be extensions of the Hipparcos reference system, PPMX and UCAC3 are two of the most important astrometric catalogs released in current years. Extensive analyses of these two large catalogs have been made in order to determine the local and overall systematic biases. The regional and magnitude dependent differences in stellar position and proper motion are comparable to random errors and are even larger in the northern hemisphere. The global orientation bias vector ε between the two systems is also significant （up to 17 mas）, which shows the overall differences of the PPMX and UCAC3 catalogs and their reference systems. On the other hand, the term for the global rotation vector a; is small （tenths of mas per year）： it is reasonable to believe that the PPMX and UCAC3 reference frames do not rotate with respect to each other. Because of plate dependent and field-to-field errors in the UCAC3 catalog, we suggest that positions and proper motions of UCAC3 stars in the northern hemisphere （δ 〉 -20°） should be used with caution.展开更多
The adoption of the International Celestial Reference System （ICRS）, based on Very Long Baseline Interferometry （VLBI） observations of extragalactic radiosources by the International Astronomical Union （IAU） sin...The adoption of the International Celestial Reference System （ICRS）, based on Very Long Baseline Interferometry （VLBI） observations of extragalactic radiosources by the International Astronomical Union （IAU） since 1998 January 1, opened a new era for astronomy. The ICRS and the corresponding frame, the International Celestial Reference Frame （ICRF）, replaced the Fundamental Catalog （FK5） based on positions and proper motions of bright stars, with the Hipparcos cat- alog being adopted as the primary realization of the ICRS in optical wavelengths. According to its definition, the ICRS is such that the barycentric directions of distant extragalactic objects show no global rotation with respect to these objects; this pro- vides a quasi-inertial reference for measuring the positions and angular motions of the celestial objects. Other resolutions on reference systems were passed by the IAU in 2000 and 2006 and endorsed by the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics （IUGG） in 2003 and 2007, respectively. These especially concern the definition and re- alization of the astronomical reference systems in the framework of general relativity and transformations between them. First, the IAU 2000 resolutions refined the con- cepts and definition of the astronomical reference systems and parameters for Earth＇s rotation, and adopted the IAU 2000 precession-nutation. Then, the IAU 2006 resolutions adopted a new precession model that is consistent with dynamical theories; they also addressed definition, terminology or orientation issues relative to reference systems and time scales that needed to be specified after the adoption of the IAU 2000 resolutions. An additional IUGG 2007 resolution defined the International Terrestrial Reference System （ITRS） so that it strictly complies with the IAU recommendations. Finally, the IAU 2009 resolutions adopted a new system of astronomical constants and an improved realization of the ICRF. These fundamental changes have led to significant improvements in the fields of astrometry, celestial mechanics, geodynam- ics, geodesy, etc. Of special interest are the improvements in the model for variations in Earth＇s rotation, which, in turn, can provide better knowledge of the dynamics of the Earth＇s interior. These have also contributed to a significant improvement in the accuracy of the ephemerides of the solar system bodies as determined from modern measurements, with a large number of scientific applications. This paper recalls the main aspects of the recent IAU resolutions on reference systems as well as their con- sequences on the concepts, definitions, nomenclature and models that are suitable for the definition, realization and transformation of reference frames at a microarcsecond level.展开更多
The currently used Galactic coordinate system（GalC S） is based on the FK5 system at J2000.0, which was transformed from the FK4 system at B1950.0.The limitations and misunderstandings related to this transformed Gal...The currently used Galactic coordinate system（GalC S） is based on the FK5 system at J2000.0, which was transformed from the FK4 system at B1950.0.The limitations and misunderstandings related to this transformed GalC S can be avoided by defining a new GalC S that is directly connected to the International Celestial Reference System（ICRS）. With more data at various wavelengths released by large survey programs, a more appropriate GalC S consistent with features associated with the Milky Way can be established. We try to find the best orientation of the GalC S using data from two all-sky surveys, AKARI and WISE, at six wavelengths between 3.4 μm and 90 μm, and synthesize results obtained at various wavelengths to define an improved GalC S in the framework of the ICRS. The revised GalC S parameters for defining the new GalC S in the ICRS are summarized as：αp= 192.777°, δp= 26.9298°, for the equatorial coordinates of the north Galactic pole and θ = 122.95017° for the position angle of the Galactic center. As one of the Galactic substructures, the Galactic warp exhibits different forms in different GalC Ss that are constructed with various data and methods, which shows the importance of re-defining the GalC S by the relative commission of the International Astronomical Union that can lead to a better understanding of Galactic structure and kinematics.展开更多
Determining an epicenter reference place name (herein after to be referred as "DERPN") is a basic task,but is very important for standardizing the compilation of earthquake catalogues.However,there has been ...Determining an epicenter reference place name (herein after to be referred as "DERPN") is a basic task,but is very important for standardizing the compilation of earthquake catalogues.However,there has been little studies on DERPN.This paper summarizes the development and issues surrounding DERPN and puts forward principles and methods of DERPN.展开更多
Constructing and maintaining a stable terrestrial reference frame （TRF） is one of the key objectives of fundamental astronomy and geodesy. The datum realization for all the global TRF versions, such as ITRF2014 and ...Constructing and maintaining a stable terrestrial reference frame （TRF） is one of the key objectives of fundamental astronomy and geodesy. The datum realization for all the global TRF versions, such as ITRF2014 and its predecessor ITRF2008, assumes linear time evolution for transformation parameters and then imposes some conditions on these Helmert transformation parameters. In this paper, we investigate a new approach, which is based on weekly estimation of station positions and Helmert transformation parameters from a combination of the solutions of four space-geodetic techniques, i.e., Satellite Laser Ranging （SLR）, Very Long Baseline Interferometry （VLBI）, Global Positioning System （GPS） and Doppler Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite （DORIS）. For this study, an interval of one week is chosen because the arc length of the SLR solutions is seven days. The major advantage of this weekly estimated reference frame is that both the non-linear station motions and the non-linear origin motion are implicitly taken into account. In order to study the non-linear behavior of station motions and physical parameters, ITRF2008 is used as a reference. As for datum definition of weekly reference frame, on one hand SLR is the unique technique to realize the origin and determine the scale together with VLBI, and on the other hand the orientation is realized via no net rotation with respect to ITRF2005 on a subset of core stations. Given the fact that without enough collocations an inter-technique combined TRF could not exist, the selection and relative weight of local ties surveyed at co-location sites are critical issues. To get stable results, we first assume that, if there were no events such as equipment changes between the measurement epoch of the local tie and that of the space- geodetic solution, the relative position between the two co-located stations should be invariant and this local tie could be used for computing the inter-technique combined reference flame in those weeks during the stable period of this tie. The resulting time series of both station positions and transformation parameters are studied in detail and are compared with ITRF2008. The residual station positions in the weekly combined reference frame are usually in the range of two millimeters without any periodic characteristic, but the residual station positions, when subtracting the regularized station position in ITRF2008, may reach a magnitude of a few centimeters and seem to have a significant annual signal. The physical parameter series between the weekly reference frame and ITRF2008 also show the obvious existence of an annual signal and reach a magnitude of one centimeter for origin motion and two parts per billion （ppb） for scale.展开更多
由于观测、参考架、模型、时间尺度精度的不断提高和完善,国际天球参考系(ICRS)被引入使用, IAU 2000年大会决定从2003年起采用新的天球中介极(CIP)、新的天球中介原点(CIO)、新的岁差-章动模型和新的UT1定义等,并定义了新的中介的运动...由于观测、参考架、模型、时间尺度精度的不断提高和完善,国际天球参考系(ICRS)被引入使用, IAU 2000年大会决定从2003年起采用新的天球中介极(CIP)、新的天球中介原点(CIO)、新的岁差-章动模型和新的UT1定义等,并定义了新的中介的运动参考架,由此给天体测量学带来很大的影响,天体测量学的内容和实践发生了许多重要的变化。据此,对天体测量学的术语、概念和定义的变化作了描述,并讨论了变化的原因和对天体测量学的影响。新的一套天体测量理论和方法正在变更之中,我们应及时跟上这个领域的发展步伐。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)under grant No.42304044the Natural Science Foundation of Henan,China under grant No.222300420385。
文摘High-precision polar motion prediction is of great significance for deep space exploration and satellite navigation.Polar motion is affected by a variety of excitation factors,and nonlinear prediction methods are more suitable for polar motion prediction.In order to explore the effect of deep learning in polar motion prediction.This paper proposes a combined model based on empirical wavelet transform(EWT),Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN)and Long Short Term Memory(LSTM).By training and forecasting EOP 20C04 data,the effectiveness of the algorithm is verified,and the performance of two forecasting strategies in deep learning for polar motion prediction is explored.The results indicate that recursive multi-step prediction performs better than direct multi-step prediction for short-term forecasts within 15 days,while direct multi-step prediction is more suitable for medium and long-term forecasts.In the 365 days forecast,the mean absolute error of EWT-CNN-LSTM in the X direction and Y direction is 18.25 mas and 15.78 mas,respectively,which is 23.5% and 16.2% higher than the accuracy of Bulletin A.The results show that the algorithm has a good effect in medium and long term polar motion prediction.
基金supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(2015FY310200)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2016YFB0501405)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11173048 and 11403076)the State Key Laboratory of Aerospace Dynamics and the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China(CMONOC)
文摘Based on years of input from the four geodetic techniques （SLR, GPS, VLBI and DORIS）, the strategies of the combination were studied in SHAO to generate a new global terrestrial reference frame as the material realization of the ITRS defined in IERS Conventions. The main input includes the time series of weekly solutions （or fortnightly for SLR 1983-1993） of observational data for satellite techniques and session-wise normal equations for VLBI. The set of estimated unknowns includes 3- dimensional Cartesian coordinates at the reference epoch 2005.0 of the stations distributed globally and their rates as well as the time series of consistent Earth Orientation Parameters （EOPs） at the same epochs as the input. Besides the final solution, namely SOL-2, generated by using all the inputs before 2015.0 obtained from short-term observation processing, another reference solution, namely SOL- 1, was also computed by using the input before 2009.0 based on the same combination of procedures for the purpose of comparison with ITRF2008 and DTRF2008 and for evaluating the effect of the latest six more years of data on the combined results. The estimated accuracy of the x-component and y-component of the SOL- 1 TRF-origin was better than 0.1 mm at epoch 2005.0 and better than 0.3 mm yr- 1 in time evolution, either compared with ITRF2008 or DTRF2008. However, the z-component of the translation parameters from SOL-1 to ITRF2008 and DTRF2008 were 3.4 mm and -1.0 ram, respectively. It seems that the z-component of the SOL-1 TRF-origin was much closer to the one in DTRF2008 than the one in ITRF2008. The translation parameters from SOL-2 to ITRF2014 were 2.2, -1.8 and 0.9 mm in the x-, y- and z-components respectively with rates smaller than 0.4 mmyr-1. Similarly, the scale factor transformed from SOL-1 to DTRF2008 was much smaller than that to ITRF2008. The scale parameter from SOL-2 to ITRF2014 was -0.31 ppb with a rate lower than 0.01 ppb yr-1. The external precision （WRMS） compared with IERS EOP 08 C04 of the combined EOP series was smaller than 0.06 mas for the polar motions, smaller than 0.01 ms for the UT1-UTC and smaller than 0.02 ms for the LODs. The precision of the EOPs in SOL-2 was slightly higher than that of SOL-1.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No. 10973009)This research makes use of data products UCAC3 (U.S. Naval Observatory)
文摘Considered to be extensions of the Hipparcos reference system, PPMX and UCAC3 are two of the most important astrometric catalogs released in current years. Extensive analyses of these two large catalogs have been made in order to determine the local and overall systematic biases. The regional and magnitude dependent differences in stellar position and proper motion are comparable to random errors and are even larger in the northern hemisphere. The global orientation bias vector ε between the two systems is also significant （up to 17 mas）, which shows the overall differences of the PPMX and UCAC3 catalogs and their reference systems. On the other hand, the term for the global rotation vector a; is small （tenths of mas per year）： it is reasonable to believe that the PPMX and UCAC3 reference frames do not rotate with respect to each other. Because of plate dependent and field-to-field errors in the UCAC3 catalog, we suggest that positions and proper motions of UCAC3 stars in the northern hemisphere （δ 〉 -20°） should be used with caution.
文摘The adoption of the International Celestial Reference System （ICRS）, based on Very Long Baseline Interferometry （VLBI） observations of extragalactic radiosources by the International Astronomical Union （IAU） since 1998 January 1, opened a new era for astronomy. The ICRS and the corresponding frame, the International Celestial Reference Frame （ICRF）, replaced the Fundamental Catalog （FK5） based on positions and proper motions of bright stars, with the Hipparcos cat- alog being adopted as the primary realization of the ICRS in optical wavelengths. According to its definition, the ICRS is such that the barycentric directions of distant extragalactic objects show no global rotation with respect to these objects; this pro- vides a quasi-inertial reference for measuring the positions and angular motions of the celestial objects. Other resolutions on reference systems were passed by the IAU in 2000 and 2006 and endorsed by the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics （IUGG） in 2003 and 2007, respectively. These especially concern the definition and re- alization of the astronomical reference systems in the framework of general relativity and transformations between them. First, the IAU 2000 resolutions refined the con- cepts and definition of the astronomical reference systems and parameters for Earth＇s rotation, and adopted the IAU 2000 precession-nutation. Then, the IAU 2006 resolutions adopted a new precession model that is consistent with dynamical theories; they also addressed definition, terminology or orientation issues relative to reference systems and time scales that needed to be specified after the adoption of the IAU 2000 resolutions. An additional IUGG 2007 resolution defined the International Terrestrial Reference System （ITRS） so that it strictly complies with the IAU recommendations. Finally, the IAU 2009 resolutions adopted a new system of astronomical constants and an improved realization of the ICRF. These fundamental changes have led to significant improvements in the fields of astrometry, celestial mechanics, geodynam- ics, geodesy, etc. Of special interest are the improvements in the model for variations in Earth＇s rotation, which, in turn, can provide better knowledge of the dynamics of the Earth＇s interior. These have also contributed to a significant improvement in the accuracy of the ephemerides of the solar system bodies as determined from modern measurements, with a large number of scientific applications. This paper recalls the main aspects of the recent IAU resolutions on reference systems as well as their con- sequences on the concepts, definitions, nomenclature and models that are suitable for the definition, realization and transformation of reference frames at a microarcsecond level.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The currently used Galactic coordinate system（GalC S） is based on the FK5 system at J2000.0, which was transformed from the FK4 system at B1950.0.The limitations and misunderstandings related to this transformed GalC S can be avoided by defining a new GalC S that is directly connected to the International Celestial Reference System（ICRS）. With more data at various wavelengths released by large survey programs, a more appropriate GalC S consistent with features associated with the Milky Way can be established. We try to find the best orientation of the GalC S using data from two all-sky surveys, AKARI and WISE, at six wavelengths between 3.4 μm and 90 μm, and synthesize results obtained at various wavelengths to define an improved GalC S in the framework of the ICRS. The revised GalC S parameters for defining the new GalC S in the ICRS are summarized as：αp= 192.777°, δp= 26.9298°, for the equatorial coordinates of the north Galactic pole and θ = 122.95017° for the position angle of the Galactic center. As one of the Galactic substructures, the Galactic warp exhibits different forms in different GalC Ss that are constructed with various data and methods, which shows the importance of re-defining the GalC S by the relative commission of the International Astronomical Union that can lead to a better understanding of Galactic structure and kinematics.
基金sponsored by the Special Earthquake Scientific Research Program(0270812),CEAthe Basic Scientific Funds for Institute(020904)
文摘Determining an epicenter reference place name (herein after to be referred as "DERPN") is a basic task,but is very important for standardizing the compilation of earthquake catalogues.However,there has been little studies on DERPN.This paper summarizes the development and issues surrounding DERPN and puts forward principles and methods of DERPN.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11773058 and 11373058)
文摘Constructing and maintaining a stable terrestrial reference frame （TRF） is one of the key objectives of fundamental astronomy and geodesy. The datum realization for all the global TRF versions, such as ITRF2014 and its predecessor ITRF2008, assumes linear time evolution for transformation parameters and then imposes some conditions on these Helmert transformation parameters. In this paper, we investigate a new approach, which is based on weekly estimation of station positions and Helmert transformation parameters from a combination of the solutions of four space-geodetic techniques, i.e., Satellite Laser Ranging （SLR）, Very Long Baseline Interferometry （VLBI）, Global Positioning System （GPS） and Doppler Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite （DORIS）. For this study, an interval of one week is chosen because the arc length of the SLR solutions is seven days. The major advantage of this weekly estimated reference frame is that both the non-linear station motions and the non-linear origin motion are implicitly taken into account. In order to study the non-linear behavior of station motions and physical parameters, ITRF2008 is used as a reference. As for datum definition of weekly reference frame, on one hand SLR is the unique technique to realize the origin and determine the scale together with VLBI, and on the other hand the orientation is realized via no net rotation with respect to ITRF2005 on a subset of core stations. Given the fact that without enough collocations an inter-technique combined TRF could not exist, the selection and relative weight of local ties surveyed at co-location sites are critical issues. To get stable results, we first assume that, if there were no events such as equipment changes between the measurement epoch of the local tie and that of the space- geodetic solution, the relative position between the two co-located stations should be invariant and this local tie could be used for computing the inter-technique combined reference flame in those weeks during the stable period of this tie. The resulting time series of both station positions and transformation parameters are studied in detail and are compared with ITRF2008. The residual station positions in the weekly combined reference frame are usually in the range of two millimeters without any periodic characteristic, but the residual station positions, when subtracting the regularized station position in ITRF2008, may reach a magnitude of a few centimeters and seem to have a significant annual signal. The physical parameter series between the weekly reference frame and ITRF2008 also show the obvious existence of an annual signal and reach a magnitude of one centimeter for origin motion and two parts per billion （ppb） for scale.
文摘由于观测、参考架、模型、时间尺度精度的不断提高和完善,国际天球参考系(ICRS)被引入使用, IAU 2000年大会决定从2003年起采用新的天球中介极(CIP)、新的天球中介原点(CIO)、新的岁差-章动模型和新的UT1定义等,并定义了新的中介的运动参考架,由此给天体测量学带来很大的影响,天体测量学的内容和实践发生了许多重要的变化。据此,对天体测量学的术语、概念和定义的变化作了描述,并讨论了变化的原因和对天体测量学的影响。新的一套天体测量理论和方法正在变更之中,我们应及时跟上这个领域的发展步伐。
