We demonstrate experimentally fabrication of CO2 laser written long-period fiber gratings （LPFGs） in single-mode fiber （SMF） under tension. New transmission dips can be generated due to the frozen-in stress in the...We demonstrate experimentally fabrication of CO2 laser written long-period fiber gratings （LPFGs） in single-mode fiber （SMF） under tension. New transmission dips can be generated due to the frozen-in stress in the fiber under tension. Dynamics analysis of laser writing process is performed to study the mechanism of the grating inscription. Experimental results show that the wavelength shift of new generated resonance dips can shift towards the longer or shorter wavelength with the increase of laser scanning cycles for gratings with different pitches.展开更多
Wind power forecasting is of great significance to the safety, reliability and stability of power grid. In this study, the GARCH type models are employed to explore the asymmetric features of wind power time series an...Wind power forecasting is of great significance to the safety, reliability and stability of power grid. In this study, the GARCH type models are employed to explore the asymmetric features of wind power time series and improved forecasting precision. Benchmark Symmetric Curve (BSC) and Asymmetric Curve Index (ACI) are proposed as new asymmetric volatility analytical tool, and several generalized applications are presented. In the case study, the utility of the GARCH-type models in depicting time-varying volatility of wind power time series is demonstrated with the asymmetry effect, verified by the asymmetric parameter estimation. With benefit of the enhanced News Impact Curve (NIC) analysis, the responses in volatility to the magnitude and the sign of shocks are emphasized. The results are all confirmed to be consistent despite varied model specifications. The case study verifies that the models considering the asymmetric effect of volatility benefit the wind power forecasting performance.展开更多
基金Project supported by the Shanghai Pujiang Program (Grant No.09PJ1404600)the New Century Excellent Talents in University, Ministry of Education of China (Grant No.NCET-10-0082)+1 种基金the Shanghai Shuguang Program (Grant No.08SG40)the Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (Grant No.S30108)
文摘We demonstrate experimentally fabrication of CO2 laser written long-period fiber gratings （LPFGs） in single-mode fiber （SMF） under tension. New transmission dips can be generated due to the frozen-in stress in the fiber under tension. Dynamics analysis of laser writing process is performed to study the mechanism of the grating inscription. Experimental results show that the wavelength shift of new generated resonance dips can shift towards the longer or shorter wavelength with the increase of laser scanning cycles for gratings with different pitches.
基金funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China (51577025).
文摘Wind power forecasting is of great significance to the safety, reliability and stability of power grid. In this study, the GARCH type models are employed to explore the asymmetric features of wind power time series and improved forecasting precision. Benchmark Symmetric Curve (BSC) and Asymmetric Curve Index (ACI) are proposed as new asymmetric volatility analytical tool, and several generalized applications are presented. In the case study, the utility of the GARCH-type models in depicting time-varying volatility of wind power time series is demonstrated with the asymmetry effect, verified by the asymmetric parameter estimation. With benefit of the enhanced News Impact Curve (NIC) analysis, the responses in volatility to the magnitude and the sign of shocks are emphasized. The results are all confirmed to be consistent despite varied model specifications. The case study verifies that the models considering the asymmetric effect of volatility benefit the wind power forecasting performance.
