Fuzzy stochastic damage mechanics(FSDM) based on fuzzy auto-adaptive control theory

In order to fully interpret and describe damage mechanics, the origin and development of fuzzy stochastic damage mechanics were introduced based on the analysis of the harmony of damage, probability, and fuzzy membership in the interval of [0,1]. In a complete normed linear space, it was proven that a generalized damage field can be simulated through β probability distribution. Three kinds of fuzzy behaviors of damage variables were formulated and explained through analysis of the generalized uncertainty of damage variables and the establishment of a fuzzy functional expression. Corresponding fuzzy mapping distributions, namely, the half-depressed distribution, swing distribution, and combined swing distribution, which can simulate varying fuzzy evolution in diverse stochastic damage situations, were set up. Furthermore, through demonstration of the generalized probabilistic characteristics of damage variables, the cumulative distribution function and probability density function of fuzzy stochastic damage variables, which show β probability distribution, were modified according to the expansion principle. The three-dimensional fuzzy stochastic damage mechanical behaviors of the Longtan rolled-concrete dam were examined with the self-developed fuzzy stochastic damage finite element program. The statistical correlation and non-normality of random field parameters were considered comprehensively in the fuzzy stochastic damage model described in this paper. The results show that an initial damage field based on the comprehensive statistical evaluation helps to avoid many difficulties in the establishment of experiments and numerical algorithms for damage mechanics analysis.

MULTI-HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURE AND JUMP OF TEMPERATUREFOR THE GLOBE, CHINA AND YUNNAN OVER THE PAST 100 YEARS

An analysis has been conducted of the multi-hierarchical structure and jump of temperature variation for the globe, China and Yunnan Province over the past 100 years using an auto-adaptive, multi-resolution data filter set up in You, Lin and Deng (1997). The result is shown below in three aspects. (l1 The variation of global temperature in this period is marked by warming on a large scale and can be divided into three stages of being cold (prior to 1919), warm (between 1920 and 1978) and warmer (since 1 979). Well-defined jumps are with the variation in correspondence with the hierarchical evolution on such scale, occurring in 1920 and 1979 when there is the most substantial jump towards warming. For the evolution on smaller scales, however, the variation has shown more of alternations of cold and warm temperatures. The preceding hierarchical structure and warming jump are added with new ones. (2) The trend in which temperature varies is much the same for China and the Yunnan Province, but it is not consistent with that globally, the largest difference being that a weak period of cold temperature in 1955 - 1978 across the globe was suspended in 1979 when it jumped to a significant warming,while a period of very cold temperature in 1955 - 1986 in China and Yunnan was not followed by warming in similar extent until 1987. (3) Though there are consistent hierarchical structure and jumping features throughout the year in Yunnan, significant changes with season are also present and the most striking difference is that temperature tends to vary consistently with China in winter and spring but with the globe in summer and fall.

SUBTROPICAL HIGH, LATENT HEATING BY CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATION WITH DISSIPATION AND MAINTENANCE OF SOUTH CHINA SEA TYPHOONS

Numerical modeling and experiments are conducted for the South China Sea typhoons Helen (1995) and Willie (1996) with an auto-adaptive mesh model. It is shown that durating the stage of dissipation the typhoons are mainly related with the subtropical high rather than the topography. The high is sensitive to the intensity change of the typhoon so that the former weakens as the latter strengthens and vice versa. Maintaining the typhoon as a main factor, the release of latent heat is in reversed proportion with the subtropical high in terms of the intensity. It is found that the storm tends to be maintained if it moves close to the westerly trough after landfall.

QL-CBR Hybrid Approach for Adapting Context-Aware Services

A context-aware service in a smart environment aims to supply services according to user situational information,which changes dynamically.Most existing context-aware systems provide context-aware services based on supervised algorithms.Reinforcement algorithms are another type of machine-learning algorithm that have been shown to be useful in dynamic environments through trialand-error interactions.They also have the ability to build excellent self-adaptive systems.In this study,we aim to incorporate reinforcement algorithms(Q-learning)into a context-aware system to provide relevant services based on a user’s dynamic context.To accelerate the convergence of reinforcement learning(RL)algorithms and provide the correct services in real situations,we propose a combination of the Q-learning and case-based reasoning(CBR)algorithms.We then analyze how the incorporation of CBR enables Q-learning to become more effi-cient and adapt to changing environments by continuously producing suitable services.Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach compared to the traditional CBR approach.

Model of a Context-Aware Middleware for Mobile Workers

With the development of Internet of things and Web of things, computing becomes more pervasive, invisible and present everywhere. In fact, in our environment, we are surrounded by multiple devices that deliver (web) services which meet the needs of the users. However, the mobility of these devices as the users has important repercussions that challenge software design of these applications because the variability of the environment cannot be anticipated at the design time. Thus, it will be interesting to dynamically discover the environment and adapt the application during its execution to the new contextual conditions. We therefore, propose a model of a context-aware middleware that can address this issue through a monitoring service which is capable of reasoning and observation channels capable of calculating the context during the runtime. The monitoring service evaluates the pre-defined X-Query predicates in the context manager and uses Prolog to deduce the services needed to respond back. An independent observation channel for each different predicate is then dynamically generated by the monitoring service depending on the current state of the environment. Each channel sends its result directly to the context manager which consequently calculates the context based on all the predicates’ results while preserving the reactivity of the self-adaptive system.

A PREDICTION OF UT SERIES WITH AUTOADAPTIVE AUTO-REGRESSIVE MODEL

The prediction of UT can be separated into two parts, i.e. the prediction of a definitivecomponent and that of a random component. In this paper, the first part is carried out withlinear fitting extrapolation and periodic fitting extrapolation of NEOS UT1-UTC series ofone-day interval with a span of two years, and the second part with an RLS recursive proce-dure of auto-adaptive AR modeling. The combination of the two predicted values gives asatisfying result that the prediction precision reaches 0″.0038 with a lead time of 60 days.