Understanding the response of the Earth system to varying concentrations of carbon dioxide(CO_(2))is critical for projecting possible future climate change and for providing insight into mitigation and adaptation stra...Understanding the response of the Earth system to varying concentrations of carbon dioxide(CO_(2))is critical for projecting possible future climate change and for providing insight into mitigation and adaptation strategies in the near future.In this study,we generate a dataset by conducting an experiment involving carbon dioxide removal(CDR)—a potential way to suppress global warming—using the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model version 2.0(CASESM2.0).A preliminary evaluation is provided.The model is integrated from 200–340 years as a 1%yr^(−1) CO_(2) concentration increase experiment,and then to~478 years as a carbon dioxide removal experiment until CO_(2) returns to its original value.Finally,another 80 years is integrated in which CO_(2) is kept constant.Changes in the 2-m temperature,precipitation,sea surface temperature,ocean temperature,Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC),and sea surface height are all analyzed.In the ramp-up period,the global mean 2-m temperature and precipitation both increase while the AMOC weakens.Values of all the above variables change in the opposite direction in the ramp-down period,with a delayed peak relative to the CO_(2) peak.After CO_(2) returns to its original value,the global mean 2-m temperature is still~1 K higher than in the original state,and precipitation is~0.07 mm d^(–1) higher.At the end of the simulation,there is a~0.5°C increase in ocean temperature and a 1 Sv weakening of the AMOC.Our model simulation produces similar results to those of comparable experiments previously reported in the literature.展开更多
Artificial CO_(2)removal from the atmosphere(also referred to as negative CO_(2)emissions)has been proposed as a potential means to counteract anthropogenic climate change.Here we use an Earth system model to examine ...Artificial CO_(2)removal from the atmosphere(also referred to as negative CO_(2)emissions)has been proposed as a potential means to counteract anthropogenic climate change.Here we use an Earth system model to examine the response of ocean acidification to idealized atmospheric CO_(2)removal scenarios.In our simulations,atmospheric CO_(2)is assumed to increase at a rate of 1%per year to four times its pre-industrial value and then decreases to the pre-industrial level at a rate of 0.5%,1%,2%per year,respectively.Our results show that the annual mean state of surface ocean carbonate chemistry fields including hydrogen ion concentration([H^(+)]),pH and aragonite saturation state respond quickly to removal of atmospheric CO_(2).However,the change of seasonal cycle in carbonate chemistry lags behind the decline in atmospheric CO_(2).When CO_(2)returns to the pre-industrial level,over some parts of the ocean,relative to the pre-industrial state,the seasonal amplitude of carbonate chemistry fields is substantially larger.Simulation results also show that changes in deep ocean carbonate chemistry substantially lag behind atmospheric CO_(2)change.When CO_(2)returns to its pre-industrial value,the whole-ocean acidity measured by[H^(+)]is 15%-18%larger than the pre-industrial level,depending on the rate of CO_(2)decrease.Our study demonstrates that even if atmospheric CO_(2)can be lowered in the future as a result of net negative CO_(2)emissions,the recovery of some aspects of ocean acidification would take decades to centuries,which would have important implications for the resilience of marine ecosystems.展开更多
Liquid Air Energy Storage(LAES)is at pilot scale.Air cooling and liquefaction stores energy;reheating revaporises the air at pressure,powering a turbine or engine(Ameel et al.,2013).Liquefaction requires water&CO2...Liquid Air Energy Storage(LAES)is at pilot scale.Air cooling and liquefaction stores energy;reheating revaporises the air at pressure,powering a turbine or engine(Ameel et al.,2013).Liquefaction requires water&CO2 removal,preventing ice fouling.This paper proposes subsequent geological storage of this CO2–offering a novel Carbon Dioxide Removal(CDR)by-product,for the energy storage industry.It additionally assesses the scale constraint and economic opportunity offered by implementing this CDR approach.Similarly,established Compressed Air Energy Storage(CAES)uses air compression and subsequent expansion.CAES could also add CO2 scrubbing and subsequent storage,at extra cost.CAES stores fewer joules per kilogram of air than LAES–potentially scrubbing more CO2 per joule stored.Operational LAES/CAES technologies cannot offer full-scale CDR this century(Stocker et al.,2014),yet they could offer around 4%of projected CO2 disposals for LAES and<25%for current-technology CAES.LAES CDR could reach trillion-dollar scale this century(20 billion USD/year,to first order).A larger,less certain commercial CDR opportunity exists for modified conventional CAES,due to additional equipment requirements.CDR may be commercially critical for LAES/CAES usage growth,and the necessary infrastructure may influence plant scaling and placement.A suggested design for low-pressure CAES theoretically offers global-scale CDR potential within a century(ignoring siting constraints)–but this must be costed against competing CDR and energy storage technologies.展开更多
Carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation modification(SRM)are two classes of proposed climate intervention methods.A thorough understanding of climate system response to these methods calls for a good understanding ...Carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation modification(SRM)are two classes of proposed climate intervention methods.A thorough understanding of climate system response to these methods calls for a good understanding of the carbon cycle response.In this study,we used an Earth system model to examine the response of global climate and carbon cycle to artificial ocean alkalinization(AOA),a method of CO_(2)removal,and reduction in solar irradiance that represents the overall effect of solar radiation modification.In our simulations,AOA is applied uniformly over the global ice-free ocean under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down atmospheric CO_(2)to the level of RCP4.5,and SRM is applied uniformly over the globe under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down global mean surface temperature to the level of RCP4.5.Our simulations show that with the same goal of temperature stabilization,AOA and SRM cause fundamentally different perturbations of the ocean and land carbon cycle.By the end of the 21st century,relative to the simulation of RCP8.5,AOA-induced changes in ocean carbonate chemistry enhances global oceanic CO_(2)uptake by 983 PgC and increases global mean surface ocean pH by 0.42.Meanwhile,AOA reduces land CO_(2)uptake by 79 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO_(2)concentration by 426×10^(−6).By contrast,relative to the simulation of RCP8.5,SRM has a minor effect on the oceanic CO_(2)uptake and ocean acidification.SRM-induced cooling enhances land CO_(2)uptake by 140 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO_(2)concentration by 63×10^(−6).A sudden termination of SRM causes a rate of temperature change that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.A sudden termination of AOA causes a rate of temperature change that is comparable to that of RCP8.5 and a rate of ocean acidification that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.展开更多
A trinomial tree model based on a real options approach was developed to evaluate the investment decisions on carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)retrofitted to the three main types of thermal power plants in ...A trinomial tree model based on a real options approach was developed to evaluate the investment decisions on carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)retrofitted to the three main types of thermal power plants in China under the same power generation and CO2 emissions levels.The plant types included pulverized coal(PC),integrated gasification combined cycle(IGCC),and natural gas combined cycle(NGCC)plants.We take into account a subsidy policy consistent with the 45Q tax credit of the U.S.,as well as uncertainty factors,such as carbon price,technological progress,CO_(2) geological storage paths,oil price,and electricity price.The results showed that the investment benefit of ordinary NGCC power plants is 93.04 million USD.This provides greater economic advantages than the other two plant types as their investment benefit is negative if the captured CO_(2) was used for enhanced water recovery(EWR),even if 45Q subsidies are provided.Compared with NGCC+CCUS power plants,PC+CCUS and IGCC+CCUS power plants have more advantages in terms of economic benefits and emission reduction.The 45Q subsidy policy reduced the critical carbon price,which determines the decision to invest or not,by 30.14 USDt^(-1) for the PC and IGCC power plants and by 15.24 USDt^(-1) for the NGCC power plants.Nevertheless,only when the subsidy reaches at least 71.84 USDt^(-1) and the period limit is canceled can all three types of power plants be motivated to invest in CCUS and used the capture CO_(2) for EWR.Overall,the government should focus on the application of CCUS in coal-fired power plants(in addition to developing gas power generation),especially when CO_(2) is used for enhanced oil recovery(EOR).The government could introduce fiscal policies,such as 45Q or stronger,to stimulate CCUS technology development in China.展开更多
Chemical Looping Combustion is a novel process that generates sequestration-ready CO_(2) from the combustion of woody biomass without requiring a gas separation step and without diluting the CO_(2) with N_(2) from air...Chemical Looping Combustion is a novel process that generates sequestration-ready CO_(2) from the combustion of woody biomass without requiring a gas separation step and without diluting the CO_(2) with N_(2) from air.This is achieved by oxidizing the fuel with lattice oxygen of a metal oxide oxygen carrier.When using cheap and abundant ilmenite ore(FeTiO3)as the oxygen carrier,the rather low reactivity towards volatiles released from the biomass upon devolatilization,as well as detrimental structural changes due to a segregation of Fe and Ti in the material,are of concern.These issues can be addressed by modifying ilmenite with Ca via melt infiltration.In this work,we demonstrate that this modification results in a good distribution of Ca throughout the ilmenite particles that a)prevents detrimental Fe/Ti segregation,b)improves the mechanical stability of the particle compared to materials prepared by solution impregnation and c)improves the reactivity of this material towards hydrogen and wet methane.Moreover,fixed bed experiments showed that the Ca modification not only resulted in increased methane conversion,but also in an increased degree of oxidation of gaseous intermediates CO and H2.We thus conclude that the performance of ilmenite in Chemical Looping processes can be significantly enhanced by Ca modification of ilmenite either prior to use or in-situ during operation of this bed material with Ca-rich fuels such as woody biomass.展开更多
Biochar is a material derived from biomass pyrolysis that is used in urban applications.The environmental impacts of new biochar products have however not been assessed.Here,the life cycle assessments of 5 biochar pro...Biochar is a material derived from biomass pyrolysis that is used in urban applications.The environmental impacts of new biochar products have however not been assessed.Here,the life cycle assessments of 5 biochar products(tree planting,green roofs,landscaping soil,charcrete,and biofilm carrier)were performed for 7 biochar supply-chains in 2 energy contexts.The biochar products were benchmarked against reference products and oxidative use of biochar for steel production.Biochar demand was then estimated,using dynamic material flow analysis,for a new city district in Uppsala,Sweden.In a decarbonised energy system and with high biochar stability,all biochar products showed better climate performance than the reference products,and most applications outperformed biomass use for decarbonising steel production.The climate benefits of using biochar ranged from−1.4 to−0.11 tonne CO_(2)-eq tonne−1 biochar in a decarbonised energy system.In other environmental impact categories,biochar products had either higher or lower impacts than the reference products,depending on biochar supply chain and material substituted,with trade-offs between sectors and impact categories.However,several use-phase effects of biochar were not included in the assessment due to knowledge limitations.In Uppsala’s new district,estimated biochar demand was around 1700 m^(3)year^(−1)during the 25 years of construction.By 2100,23%of this biochar accumulated in landfill,raising questions about end-of-life management of biochar-containing products.Overall,in a post-fossil economy,biochar can be a carbon dioxide removal technology with benefits,but biochar applications must be designed to maximise co-benefits.展开更多
基金jointly supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2022YFC3105000)the Youth Innovation Promotion Association of CAS (2022074)+3 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 42005123, 42275173 and 41706028)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFE0106500)the 7th Youth Talent Support Project of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Association for Science and TechnologyNational Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project ‘‘Earth System Science Numerical Simulator Facility’’(EarthLab) for supporting the simulations in this study
文摘Understanding the response of the Earth system to varying concentrations of carbon dioxide(CO_(2))is critical for projecting possible future climate change and for providing insight into mitigation and adaptation strategies in the near future.In this study,we generate a dataset by conducting an experiment involving carbon dioxide removal(CDR)—a potential way to suppress global warming—using the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model version 2.0(CASESM2.0).A preliminary evaluation is provided.The model is integrated from 200–340 years as a 1%yr^(−1) CO_(2) concentration increase experiment,and then to~478 years as a carbon dioxide removal experiment until CO_(2) returns to its original value.Finally,another 80 years is integrated in which CO_(2) is kept constant.Changes in the 2-m temperature,precipitation,sea surface temperature,ocean temperature,Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC),and sea surface height are all analyzed.In the ramp-up period,the global mean 2-m temperature and precipitation both increase while the AMOC weakens.Values of all the above variables change in the opposite direction in the ramp-down period,with a delayed peak relative to the CO_(2) peak.After CO_(2) returns to its original value,the global mean 2-m temperature is still~1 K higher than in the original state,and precipitation is~0.07 mm d^(–1) higher.At the end of the simulation,there is a~0.5°C increase in ocean temperature and a 1 Sv weakening of the AMOC.Our model simulation produces similar results to those of comparable experiments previously reported in the literature.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41975103,42275179,22022611,and 42005027)the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(No.LQ20D050003)。
文摘Artificial CO_(2)removal from the atmosphere(also referred to as negative CO_(2)emissions)has been proposed as a potential means to counteract anthropogenic climate change.Here we use an Earth system model to examine the response of ocean acidification to idealized atmospheric CO_(2)removal scenarios.In our simulations,atmospheric CO_(2)is assumed to increase at a rate of 1%per year to four times its pre-industrial value and then decreases to the pre-industrial level at a rate of 0.5%,1%,2%per year,respectively.Our results show that the annual mean state of surface ocean carbonate chemistry fields including hydrogen ion concentration([H^(+)]),pH and aragonite saturation state respond quickly to removal of atmospheric CO_(2).However,the change of seasonal cycle in carbonate chemistry lags behind the decline in atmospheric CO_(2).When CO_(2)returns to the pre-industrial level,over some parts of the ocean,relative to the pre-industrial state,the seasonal amplitude of carbonate chemistry fields is substantially larger.Simulation results also show that changes in deep ocean carbonate chemistry substantially lag behind atmospheric CO_(2)change.When CO_(2)returns to its pre-industrial value,the whole-ocean acidity measured by[H^(+)]is 15%-18%larger than the pre-industrial level,depending on the rate of CO_(2)decrease.Our study demonstrates that even if atmospheric CO_(2)can be lowered in the future as a result of net negative CO_(2)emissions,the recovery of some aspects of ocean acidification would take decades to centuries,which would have important implications for the resilience of marine ecosystems.
文摘Liquid Air Energy Storage(LAES)is at pilot scale.Air cooling and liquefaction stores energy;reheating revaporises the air at pressure,powering a turbine or engine(Ameel et al.,2013).Liquefaction requires water&CO2 removal,preventing ice fouling.This paper proposes subsequent geological storage of this CO2–offering a novel Carbon Dioxide Removal(CDR)by-product,for the energy storage industry.It additionally assesses the scale constraint and economic opportunity offered by implementing this CDR approach.Similarly,established Compressed Air Energy Storage(CAES)uses air compression and subsequent expansion.CAES could also add CO2 scrubbing and subsequent storage,at extra cost.CAES stores fewer joules per kilogram of air than LAES–potentially scrubbing more CO2 per joule stored.Operational LAES/CAES technologies cannot offer full-scale CDR this century(Stocker et al.,2014),yet they could offer around 4%of projected CO2 disposals for LAES and<25%for current-technology CAES.LAES CDR could reach trillion-dollar scale this century(20 billion USD/year,to first order).A larger,less certain commercial CDR opportunity exists for modified conventional CAES,due to additional equipment requirements.CDR may be commercially critical for LAES/CAES usage growth,and the necessary infrastructure may influence plant scaling and placement.A suggested design for low-pressure CAES theoretically offers global-scale CDR potential within a century(ignoring siting constraints)–but this must be costed against competing CDR and energy storage technologies.
基金Long Cao and Xiao-Yu Jin are supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41975103,42275179)。
文摘Carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation modification(SRM)are two classes of proposed climate intervention methods.A thorough understanding of climate system response to these methods calls for a good understanding of the carbon cycle response.In this study,we used an Earth system model to examine the response of global climate and carbon cycle to artificial ocean alkalinization(AOA),a method of CO_(2)removal,and reduction in solar irradiance that represents the overall effect of solar radiation modification.In our simulations,AOA is applied uniformly over the global ice-free ocean under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down atmospheric CO_(2)to the level of RCP4.5,and SRM is applied uniformly over the globe under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down global mean surface temperature to the level of RCP4.5.Our simulations show that with the same goal of temperature stabilization,AOA and SRM cause fundamentally different perturbations of the ocean and land carbon cycle.By the end of the 21st century,relative to the simulation of RCP8.5,AOA-induced changes in ocean carbonate chemistry enhances global oceanic CO_(2)uptake by 983 PgC and increases global mean surface ocean pH by 0.42.Meanwhile,AOA reduces land CO_(2)uptake by 79 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO_(2)concentration by 426×10^(−6).By contrast,relative to the simulation of RCP8.5,SRM has a minor effect on the oceanic CO_(2)uptake and ocean acidification.SRM-induced cooling enhances land CO_(2)uptake by 140 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO_(2)concentration by 63×10^(−6).A sudden termination of SRM causes a rate of temperature change that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.A sudden termination of AOA causes a rate of temperature change that is comparable to that of RCP8.5 and a rate of ocean acidification that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.
基金the financial support of National Natural Science Foundation of China(71874193,71503249,71203008,71904014)the Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research(CBA2018-02MY-Fan)+2 种基金Huo Yingdong Education Foundation(171072)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Nos.2020YJSNY01,2020SKNY01)the Open Research Project of State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining(China University of Mining and Technology,SKLCRSM19KFA14).
文摘A trinomial tree model based on a real options approach was developed to evaluate the investment decisions on carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)retrofitted to the three main types of thermal power plants in China under the same power generation and CO2 emissions levels.The plant types included pulverized coal(PC),integrated gasification combined cycle(IGCC),and natural gas combined cycle(NGCC)plants.We take into account a subsidy policy consistent with the 45Q tax credit of the U.S.,as well as uncertainty factors,such as carbon price,technological progress,CO_(2) geological storage paths,oil price,and electricity price.The results showed that the investment benefit of ordinary NGCC power plants is 93.04 million USD.This provides greater economic advantages than the other two plant types as their investment benefit is negative if the captured CO_(2) was used for enhanced water recovery(EWR),even if 45Q subsidies are provided.Compared with NGCC+CCUS power plants,PC+CCUS and IGCC+CCUS power plants have more advantages in terms of economic benefits and emission reduction.The 45Q subsidy policy reduced the critical carbon price,which determines the decision to invest or not,by 30.14 USDt^(-1) for the PC and IGCC power plants and by 15.24 USDt^(-1) for the NGCC power plants.Nevertheless,only when the subsidy reaches at least 71.84 USDt^(-1) and the period limit is canceled can all three types of power plants be motivated to invest in CCUS and used the capture CO_(2) for EWR.Overall,the government should focus on the application of CCUS in coal-fired power plants(in addition to developing gas power generation),especially when CO_(2) is used for enhanced oil recovery(EOR).The government could introduce fiscal policies,such as 45Q or stronger,to stimulate CCUS technology development in China.
基金This work was supported by the New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization(NEDO,Japan)for the project on technological development for zero-emission coal power generation.
文摘Chemical Looping Combustion is a novel process that generates sequestration-ready CO_(2) from the combustion of woody biomass without requiring a gas separation step and without diluting the CO_(2) with N_(2) from air.This is achieved by oxidizing the fuel with lattice oxygen of a metal oxide oxygen carrier.When using cheap and abundant ilmenite ore(FeTiO3)as the oxygen carrier,the rather low reactivity towards volatiles released from the biomass upon devolatilization,as well as detrimental structural changes due to a segregation of Fe and Ti in the material,are of concern.These issues can be addressed by modifying ilmenite with Ca via melt infiltration.In this work,we demonstrate that this modification results in a good distribution of Ca throughout the ilmenite particles that a)prevents detrimental Fe/Ti segregation,b)improves the mechanical stability of the particle compared to materials prepared by solution impregnation and c)improves the reactivity of this material towards hydrogen and wet methane.Moreover,fixed bed experiments showed that the Ca modification not only resulted in increased methane conversion,but also in an increased degree of oxidation of gaseous intermediates CO and H2.We thus conclude that the performance of ilmenite in Chemical Looping processes can be significantly enhanced by Ca modification of ilmenite either prior to use or in-situ during operation of this bed material with Ca-rich fuels such as woody biomass.
基金Sweden's innovation agency(VINNOVA)under grant number 2016-03392.
文摘Biochar is a material derived from biomass pyrolysis that is used in urban applications.The environmental impacts of new biochar products have however not been assessed.Here,the life cycle assessments of 5 biochar products(tree planting,green roofs,landscaping soil,charcrete,and biofilm carrier)were performed for 7 biochar supply-chains in 2 energy contexts.The biochar products were benchmarked against reference products and oxidative use of biochar for steel production.Biochar demand was then estimated,using dynamic material flow analysis,for a new city district in Uppsala,Sweden.In a decarbonised energy system and with high biochar stability,all biochar products showed better climate performance than the reference products,and most applications outperformed biomass use for decarbonising steel production.The climate benefits of using biochar ranged from−1.4 to−0.11 tonne CO_(2)-eq tonne−1 biochar in a decarbonised energy system.In other environmental impact categories,biochar products had either higher or lower impacts than the reference products,depending on biochar supply chain and material substituted,with trade-offs between sectors and impact categories.However,several use-phase effects of biochar were not included in the assessment due to knowledge limitations.In Uppsala’s new district,estimated biochar demand was around 1700 m^(3)year^(−1)during the 25 years of construction.By 2100,23%of this biochar accumulated in landfill,raising questions about end-of-life management of biochar-containing products.Overall,in a post-fossil economy,biochar can be a carbon dioxide removal technology with benefits,but biochar applications must be designed to maximise co-benefits.