Staircase choice is one of the most critical factors leading to the difference in pedestrian flow and evacuation routes in buildings with multiple staircases.Neither the shortest path to the building exit nor the loca...Staircase choice is one of the most critical factors leading to the difference in pedestrian flow and evacuation routes in buildings with multiple staircases.Neither the shortest path to the building exit nor the locally quickest path to the nearest staircase can represent the natural mode of evacuation path choices for an authentic evac-uation simulation.Thus,a prediction-based approach is established to predict and simulate evacuation choices,which helps to address three key issues:(1)extracting evacuation data through a controlled experiment;(2)establishing a Logit model for staircase choice prediction based on experimental data;(3)developing a prediction-based cellular automaton model.The proposed approach has achieved the coupling between choice prediction and evacuation simulation.A comparison with Pathfinder software is conducted to reveal the supe-riority of the prediction-based CA model for simulating staircase choice.展开更多
基金Support from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China(MC-201620-H01-04)is gratefully acknowledged.
文摘Staircase choice is one of the most critical factors leading to the difference in pedestrian flow and evacuation routes in buildings with multiple staircases.Neither the shortest path to the building exit nor the locally quickest path to the nearest staircase can represent the natural mode of evacuation path choices for an authentic evac-uation simulation.Thus,a prediction-based approach is established to predict and simulate evacuation choices,which helps to address three key issues:(1)extracting evacuation data through a controlled experiment;(2)establishing a Logit model for staircase choice prediction based on experimental data;(3)developing a prediction-based cellular automaton model.The proposed approach has achieved the coupling between choice prediction and evacuation simulation.A comparison with Pathfinder software is conducted to reveal the supe-riority of the prediction-based CA model for simulating staircase choice.
