The quantitative analysis of damage position of concrete beam is established.The method of damage position free of models used in this paper is based on the variations of strain mode and test of even change point.The ...The quantitative analysis of damage position of concrete beam is established.The method of damage position free of models used in this paper is based on the variations of strain mode and test of even change point.The discrete model and the position criterion are presented.Numerical example is conducted,the result demonstrates that the method of damage position is correct and effective.展开更多
Climate change and Land Use/Cover Change(LUCC) have been identified as two primary factors affecting watershed hydrological regime. This study analyzed the trends of streamflow, precipitation, air temperature and po...Climate change and Land Use/Cover Change(LUCC) have been identified as two primary factors affecting watershed hydrological regime. This study analyzed the trends of streamflow, precipitation, air temperature and potential evapotranspiration(PET) from 1962 to 2008 in the Jihe watershed in northwestern Loess Plateau of China using the Mann-Kendall test. The streamflow responses to climate change and LUCC were quantified independently by the elasticity method. The results show that the streamflow presented a dramatic decline with a turning point occurred in 1971, while the precipitation and PET did not change significantly. The results also show that the temperature rose markedly especially since 1990 s with an approximate increase of 1.74°C over the entire research period(1962–2008). Using land use transition matrix, we found that slope cropland was significantly converted to terrace between 1970 s and 1990 s and that forest cover increased relatively significantly because of the Grain for Green Project after 2000. The streamflow reduction was predominantly caused by LUCC and its contribution reached up to 90.2%, while the contribution of climate change to streamflow decline was only 9.8%. Although the analytical results between the elasticity method and linear regression model were not satisfactorily consistent, they both indicated that LUCC(human activity) was the major factor causing streamflow decline in the Jihe watershed from 1962 to 2008.展开更多
Chang’e 5 probe has entered its critical phase of AIT.Units,except the lander,are undergoing thermal test.The flight model of Chang’e 5 is composed of an orbiter,a return capsule,a lander and an ascent unit.The ther...Chang’e 5 probe has entered its critical phase of AIT.Units,except the lander,are undergoing thermal test.The flight model of Chang’e 5 is composed of an orbiter,a return capsule,a lander and an ascent unit.The thermal tests on the ascent unit,the lander-as-展开更多
Aground firing test of the Chang'e 3 lander was conducted recently to check the mechanical performance of the spacecraft. The test was vital before the propulsion system test of the Chang'e 3 lander and was al...Aground firing test of the Chang'e 3 lander was conducted recently to check the mechanical performance of the spacecraft. The test was vital before the propulsion system test of the Chang'e 3 lander and was also a very important precondition to verify whether the propulsion system design could meet the requirements for in-orbit operation.展开更多
Based on the monthly precipitation data from 43 stations in North China from 1979 to 2008,the variation characteristics of precipitation in North China in recent 30 years were analyzed by means of empirical orthogonal...Based on the monthly precipitation data from 43 stations in North China from 1979 to 2008,the variation characteristics of precipitation in North China in recent 30 years were analyzed by means of empirical orthogonal function(EOF)decomposition,Morlet wavelet transform and Mann-Kendall test.The results showed that the spatial distribution of annual and seasonal precipitation was basically identical in North China,while the annual and summer precipitation from the middle of 1980s to the middle of 1990s were obviously more than these in other periods,and there was great annual variation in spring precipitation in 1990s,while autumn precipitation was higher from 1980s to 1990s and then went down after the beginning of 21st century,which was opposite to winter precipitation,namely there was more winter precipitation from 1980s to 1990s and fewer winter precipitation after the beginning of 21st century.In addition,the annual and summer precipitation changed abruptly in 1997,and there was no obvious change in spring precipitation and autumn precipitation,while winter precipitation had an abrupt change in 2000.Meanwhile,wavelet analysis revealed that the variation period of annual and seasonal precipitation was 3-4 years.展开更多
The relationship between North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO) and Aksu River Runoff (ARR) was investigated by using the wavelet transform (WT), cross wavelet transform (CWT), correlation and linear trend analyses...The relationship between North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO) and Aksu River Runoff (ARR) was investigated by using the wavelet transform (WT), cross wavelet transform (CWT), correlation and linear trend analyses, and abrupt change test. The main results are as follows the interannual/decadal variation and period analyses of ARR and NAO reveal that the both were close correlated each other; the CWT indicates that the correlation was good between ARR and NAO at all periods in the 1990s, because the significant correlation areas mainly concentrated in the 1990s; the variations in the trend strength of ARR and NAO were consistent; the abrupt change of NAO was also temporally consistent with that of ARR, which exerted impact on the Aksu River Basin (ARB) climate and then the ARR through atmospheric circulation variation.展开更多
Based on the observation data of the average temperature and precipitation of 8 national meteorological stations in the northwest region of Liaoning Province from April to October during 1961-2015,methods such as line...Based on the observation data of the average temperature and precipitation of 8 national meteorological stations in the northwest region of Liaoning Province from April to October during 1961-2015,methods such as linear trend estimation,moving average,standard deviation and Mann-Kendall test are used to analyze the characteristics of average temperature and precipitation during the crop growing season in northwestern Liaoning.The results show that the average temperature during the crop growing season in the study area showed an upward trend,and the climate tendency rate was 0.193 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The largest contribution rate to temperature increase was in September,with a climate tendency rate of 0.27 ℃/10 a;the smallest contribution rate to the temperature increase was in July,with a climate tendency rate of 0.10 ℃/10 a.The warming trend was the most obvious in the second base year,with a climate tendency rate of 0.413 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The temperature was the lowest in the 1970s and the highest in the 2010s.The warming trend changed suddenly in 1996,and the sudden change reached a significant level of α = 0.05 after 2002.Precipitation was generally decreased,and the climate tendency rate was -7.68 mm/10 a.The decrease in precipitation was the most in July,and the climate tendency rate was -12.08 mm/10 a.The average temperature in the four base years failed to pass the correlation significance test.Among them,it showed an increasing trend in the second and third base year and a decreasing trend in the first and fourth base year.Rainfall was the highest in the 1960s and the lowest in the 1980s.After the abrupt change in 2002,precipitation decreased significantly.The research results provide reference for effective utilization of climate resources,rational adjustment of agricultural planting structure,and improvement of ecological environment quality.展开更多
In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for an autocorrelation change in discretely observed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by Levy processes. For a test, we propose a class of test statistics construct...In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for an autocorrelation change in discretely observed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by Levy processes. For a test, we propose a class of test statistics constructed by an iterated cumulative sums of squares of the difference between two adjacent observations. It is shown that each of the test statistics weakly converges to the supremum of the square of a Brownian bridge. The test statistics are evaluated by some empirical results.展开更多
文摘The quantitative analysis of damage position of concrete beam is established.The method of damage position free of models used in this paper is based on the variations of strain mode and test of even change point.The discrete model and the position criterion are presented.Numerical example is conducted,the result demonstrates that the method of damage position is correct and effective.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41501025, 51609083, 41401038, 51509089)the 2016 Key Scientific Research Projects for Universities of Henan Province (16A170014)
文摘Climate change and Land Use/Cover Change(LUCC) have been identified as two primary factors affecting watershed hydrological regime. This study analyzed the trends of streamflow, precipitation, air temperature and potential evapotranspiration(PET) from 1962 to 2008 in the Jihe watershed in northwestern Loess Plateau of China using the Mann-Kendall test. The streamflow responses to climate change and LUCC were quantified independently by the elasticity method. The results show that the streamflow presented a dramatic decline with a turning point occurred in 1971, while the precipitation and PET did not change significantly. The results also show that the temperature rose markedly especially since 1990 s with an approximate increase of 1.74°C over the entire research period(1962–2008). Using land use transition matrix, we found that slope cropland was significantly converted to terrace between 1970 s and 1990 s and that forest cover increased relatively significantly because of the Grain for Green Project after 2000. The streamflow reduction was predominantly caused by LUCC and its contribution reached up to 90.2%, while the contribution of climate change to streamflow decline was only 9.8%. Although the analytical results between the elasticity method and linear regression model were not satisfactorily consistent, they both indicated that LUCC(human activity) was the major factor causing streamflow decline in the Jihe watershed from 1962 to 2008.
文摘Chang’e 5 probe has entered its critical phase of AIT.Units,except the lander,are undergoing thermal test.The flight model of Chang’e 5 is composed of an orbiter,a return capsule,a lander and an ascent unit.The thermal tests on the ascent unit,the lander-as-
文摘Aground firing test of the Chang'e 3 lander was conducted recently to check the mechanical performance of the spacecraft. The test was vital before the propulsion system test of the Chang'e 3 lander and was also a very important precondition to verify whether the propulsion system design could meet the requirements for in-orbit operation.
基金Supported by National Key Technology R&D Program(2007BAC-29B02)
文摘Based on the monthly precipitation data from 43 stations in North China from 1979 to 2008,the variation characteristics of precipitation in North China in recent 30 years were analyzed by means of empirical orthogonal function(EOF)decomposition,Morlet wavelet transform and Mann-Kendall test.The results showed that the spatial distribution of annual and seasonal precipitation was basically identical in North China,while the annual and summer precipitation from the middle of 1980s to the middle of 1990s were obviously more than these in other periods,and there was great annual variation in spring precipitation in 1990s,while autumn precipitation was higher from 1980s to 1990s and then went down after the beginning of 21st century,which was opposite to winter precipitation,namely there was more winter precipitation from 1980s to 1990s and fewer winter precipitation after the beginning of 21st century.In addition,the annual and summer precipitation changed abruptly in 1997,and there was no obvious change in spring precipitation and autumn precipitation,while winter precipitation had an abrupt change in 2000.Meanwhile,wavelet analysis revealed that the variation period of annual and seasonal precipitation was 3-4 years.
基金Special Fund for Social Public Good Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology,No.2004DIB3J118No.2005DIB6J113+1 种基金GYHY (QX) 2007-6-8Desert Meteorological Fund,No.2007011
文摘The relationship between North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO) and Aksu River Runoff (ARR) was investigated by using the wavelet transform (WT), cross wavelet transform (CWT), correlation and linear trend analyses, and abrupt change test. The main results are as follows the interannual/decadal variation and period analyses of ARR and NAO reveal that the both were close correlated each other; the CWT indicates that the correlation was good between ARR and NAO at all periods in the 1990s, because the significant correlation areas mainly concentrated in the 1990s; the variations in the trend strength of ARR and NAO were consistent; the abrupt change of NAO was also temporally consistent with that of ARR, which exerted impact on the Aksu River Basin (ARB) climate and then the ARR through atmospheric circulation variation.
基金Supported by Agriculture Research and Achievement Industrialization Project from Department of Science and Technology of Liaoning Province(2014210003)Special Project for Scientific Research on Social Development Program in Fuxin City,Liaoning Province(20151305)。
文摘Based on the observation data of the average temperature and precipitation of 8 national meteorological stations in the northwest region of Liaoning Province from April to October during 1961-2015,methods such as linear trend estimation,moving average,standard deviation and Mann-Kendall test are used to analyze the characteristics of average temperature and precipitation during the crop growing season in northwestern Liaoning.The results show that the average temperature during the crop growing season in the study area showed an upward trend,and the climate tendency rate was 0.193 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The largest contribution rate to temperature increase was in September,with a climate tendency rate of 0.27 ℃/10 a;the smallest contribution rate to the temperature increase was in July,with a climate tendency rate of 0.10 ℃/10 a.The warming trend was the most obvious in the second base year,with a climate tendency rate of 0.413 ℃/10 a( P < 0.01).The temperature was the lowest in the 1970s and the highest in the 2010s.The warming trend changed suddenly in 1996,and the sudden change reached a significant level of α = 0.05 after 2002.Precipitation was generally decreased,and the climate tendency rate was -7.68 mm/10 a.The decrease in precipitation was the most in July,and the climate tendency rate was -12.08 mm/10 a.The average temperature in the four base years failed to pass the correlation significance test.Among them,it showed an increasing trend in the second and third base year and a decreasing trend in the first and fourth base year.Rainfall was the highest in the 1960s and the lowest in the 1980s.After the abrupt change in 2002,precipitation decreased significantly.The research results provide reference for effective utilization of climate resources,rational adjustment of agricultural planting structure,and improvement of ecological environment quality.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.10901100 and 11071045)
文摘In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for an autocorrelation change in discretely observed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by Levy processes. For a test, we propose a class of test statistics constructed by an iterated cumulative sums of squares of the difference between two adjacent observations. It is shown that each of the test statistics weakly converges to the supremum of the square of a Brownian bridge. The test statistics are evaluated by some empirical results.