Slow and Intraseasonal Modes of the Boreal Winter Atmospheric Circulation Simulated by CMIP5 Models

Abstract The authors evaluate the performance of models from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5)in simulating the historical(1951-2000)modes of interannual variability in the seasonal mean Northern Hemisphere(NH)500 hPa geopotential height during winter(December-January-February,DJF).The analysis is done by using a variance decomposition method,which is suitable for studying patterns of interannual variability arising from intraseasonal variability and slow variability(time scales of a season or longer).Overall,compared with reanalysis data,the spatial structure and variance of the leading modes in the intraseasonal component are generally well reproduced by the CMIP5 models,with few clear differences between the models.However,there are systematic discrepancies among the models in their reproduction of the leading modes in the slow component.These modes include the dominant slow patterns,which can be seen as features of the Pacific-North American pattern,the North Atlantic Oscillation/Arctic Oscillation,and the Western Pacific pattern.An overall score is calculated to quantify how well models reproduce the three leading slow modes of variability.Ten models that reproduce the slow modes of variability relatively well are identified.

Arctic summertime anticyclonic circulation mode and its influence on substantial sea ice depletion:a review

The summertime anticyclonic circulation mode(SACM)is related to recent substantial loss of sea ice in the Arctic.This review outlines the potential causes of the SACM and considers its influence on sea ice depletion.Local triggers(i.e.,sea ice loss and sea surface temperature(SST)variation)and spatiotemporal teleconnections(i.e.,extratropical cyclone intrusion,tropical and mid-latitude SST anomalies,and winter atmospheric circulation preconditions)are discussed.The influence of the SACM on the dramatic loss of sea ice is emphasized through inspection of relevant dynamic(i.e.,Ekman drift and export)and thermodynamic(i.e.,moisture content,cloudiness,and associated changes in radiation)mechanisms.Moreover,the motivation for investigation of the underlying physical mechanisms of the SACM in response to the recent substantial sea ice depletionis also clarified through an attempt to better understand the shifting ice-atmosphere interaction in the Arctic during summer.Therecord low extent of sea ice in September 2012 could be reset in the near future if the SACM-like scenario continues to exist during summer in the Arctic troposphere.

Diversity of the Coupling Wheels in the East Asian Summer Monsoon on the Interannual Time Scale: Challenge of Summer Rainfall Forecasting in China

Two types of three-dimensional circulation of the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM) act as the coupling wheels determining the seasonal rainfall anomalies in China during 1979–2015. The first coupling mode features the interaction between the Mongolian cyclone over North Asia and the South Asian high(SAH) anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau at 200 hPa. The second mode presents the coupling between the anomalous low-level western Pacific anticyclone and upperlevel SAH via the meridional flow over Southeast Asia. These two modes are responsible for the summer rainfall anomalies over China in 24 and 7 out of 37 years, respectively. However, the dominant SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific, the Indian Ocean, and the North Atlantic Ocean fail to account for the first coupling wheel's interannual variability, illustrating the challenges in forecasting summer rainfall over China.

Simulation of mass balance behavior in a large-scale circulating fluidized bed reactor

We determine using a compound model the influence of the mass of granular matter on the behavior of a supercritical circulating fluidized bed （CFB） reactor. Population balance enables a stationary-regime modeling of the mass flow of granular matter inside a CFB unit in a large-scale. The simulation includes some important dynamic processes of gas-particle flows in fluidized bed such as attrition, fragmenta- tion, elutriation, and fuel combustion. Numerical calculations with full boiler loading were performed of operational parameters such as furnace temperature, furnace pressure, feeding materials mass flows, and excess air ratio. Furthermore, three bed inventory masses were adopted as experimental variables in the simulation model of mass balance. This approach enables a sensitivity study of mass flows of granular matter inside a CFB facility. Some computational results from this population balance model obtained for a supercritical CFB reactor are presented that show consistency with the operational data for large-scale CFB units.