A predictive score for retinopathy of prematurity by using clinical risk factors and serum insulin-like growth factor-1 levels

AIM：To detect the impact of insulin-like growth factor-1（IGF-1）and other risk factors for the early prediction of retinopathy of prematurity（ROP）and to establish a scoring system for ROP prediction by using clinical criteria and serum IGF-1 levels.METHODS：The study was conducted with 127 preterm infants.IGF-1 levels in the 1st day of life,1st,2nd,3rd and4th week of life was analyzed.The score was established after logistic regression analysis,considering the impact of each variable on the occurrences of any stage ROP.A validation cohort containing 107 preterm infants was included in the study and the predictive ability of ROP score was calculated.RESULTS：Birth weights（BW）,gestational weeks（GW）and the prevalence of breast milk consumption were lower,respiratory distress syndrome（RDS）,bronchopulmonarydysplasia（BPD）and necrotizing enterocolitis（NEC）were more frequent,the duration of mechanical ventilation and oxygen supplementation was longer in patients with ROP（P〈0.05）.Initial serum IGF-1 levels tended to be lower in newborns who developed ROP.Logistic regression analysis revealed that low BW（〈1250 g）,presence of intraventricular hemorrhage（IVH）and formula feeding increased the risk of ROP.Afterwards,the scoring system was validated on 107 infants.The negative predictive values of a score less than 4 were 84.3%,74.7%and 79.8%while positive predictive values were 76.3%,65.5%and71.6%respectively.CONCLUSION：In addition to BW〈1250 g and IVH,formula consumption was detected as a risk factor for the development of ROP.Breastfeeding is important for prevention of ROP in preterm infants.

Integrating polygenic and clinical risks to improve stroke risk stratification in prospective Chinese cohorts

The utility of the polygenic risk score(PRS)to identify individuals at higher risk of stroke beyond clinical risk remains unclear,and we clarified this using Chinese population-based prospective cohorts.Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the 10-year risk,and Fine and Gray’s models were used for hazard ratios(HRs),their 95%confidence intervals(CIs),and the lifetime risk according to PRS and clinical risk categories.A total of 41,006 individuals aged 30–75 years with a mean follow-up of 9.0 years were included.Comparing the top versus bottom 5%of the PRS,the HR was 3.01(95%CI 2.03–4.45)in the total population,and similar findings were observed within clinical risk strata.Marked gradients in the 10-year and lifetime risk across PRS categories were also found within clinical risk categories.Notably,among individuals with intermediate clinical risk,the 10-year risk for those in the top 5%of the PRS(7.3%,95%CI 7.1%–7.5%)reached the threshold of high clinical risk(≥7.0%)for initiating preventive treatment,and this effect of the PRS on refining risk stratification was evident for ischemic stroke.Even among those in the top 10%and 20%of the PRS,the 10-year risk would also exceed this level when aged≥50 and≥60 years,respectively.Overall,the combination of the PRS with the clinical risk score improved the risk stratification within clinical risk strata and distinguished actual high-risk individuals with intermediate clinical risk.

A clinical analysis of risk factor with lymph node metastatic recurrence in patients with N0 esophageal cancer after Ivor-Lewis Esophagectomy

Objective To investigate the risk factors with lymph node metastatic recurrence in patients with N0 esophageal cancer after Ivor-Lewis Esophagectomy. Methods The subjects were 82 patients with pN0 esophagea cancer who underwent Ivor-Lewis esophagectomy from January 2001 to January 2005. By using RT-PCR,VEGF C mRNA was detected in tumor issues,and Mucin (MUC1) mRNA was detected in lymph nodes. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the survival

Macrometastasis at selective lymph node biopsy:A practical goingfor-the-one clinical scoring system to personalize decision making

BACKGROUND Axillary sentinel lymph node biopsy(SLNB)is standard treatment for patients with clinically and pathological negative lymph nodes.However,the role of completion axillary lymph node dissection(cALND)following positive sentinel lymph node biopsy(SLNB)is debated.AIM To identify a subgroup of women with high axillary tumor burden undergoing SLNB in whom cALND can be safely omitted in order to reduce the risk of longterm complications and create a Preoperative Clinical Risk Index(PCRI)that helps us in our clinical practice to optimize the selection of these patients.METHODS Patients with positive SLNB who underwent a cALND were included in this study.Univariate and multivariate analysis of prognostic and predictive factors were used to create a PCRI for safely omitting cALND.RESULTS From May 2007 to April 2014,we performed 1140 SLN biopsies,of which 125 were positive for tumor and justified to practice a posterior cALND.Pathologic findings at SLNB were micrometastases(mic)in 29 cases(23.4%)and macrometastasis(MAC)in 95 cases(76.6%).On univariate analysis of the 95 patients with MAC,statistically significant factors included:age,grade,phenotype,histology,lymphovascular invasion,lymph-node tumor size,and number of positive SLN.On multivariate analysis,only lymph-node tumor size(≤20 mm)and number of positive SLN(>1)retained significance.A numerical tool was created giving each of the parameters a value to predict preoperatively which patients would not benefit from cALND.Patients with a PCRI≤15 has low probability(<10%)of having additional lymph node involvement,a PRCI between 15-17.6 has a probability of 43%,and the probability increases to 69%in patients with a PCRI>17.6.CONCLUSION The PCRI seems to be a useful tool to prospectively estimate the risk of nodal involvement after positive SLN and to identify those patients who could omit cALND.Further prospective studies are necessary to validate PCRI clinical generalization.

Clinical Variants, Rates of Post-Operative Recurrence and Malignant Transformation of Sino-Nasal Inverted Papilloma

Background: Inverted Papilloma (IP) is the most common benign neoplasms arising from the mucosal lining of the of the Sino-Nasal tract with single or multifocal attachment sites. The high propensity to recur, local aggressive behavior and possibility of malignant transformation attract considerable interest. Objective: To assess the factors affecting Sino-nasal IP, malignant transformation rate, and post-operative recurrence rate. Methods: A retrospective study was carried out on all cases diagnosed as Sino-Nasal Papilloma between January 2010 and December 2020 at Salmaniya Medical Complex, Bahrain. Data gathered from medical records were analyzed using SPSS. A total of 49 Sino-Nasal Papilloma cases were recorded of which 37 were IP. Factors affecting Sino-Nasal IPs are presented. Results: Sino-Nasal IP was recorded in 37 cases, composed of 28 males and 9 females with first presentation average age of 45.86 years. These involved 20 cases in the left side, 14 in the right side and 3 were bilateral. Recurrence in males and females was found to be 35.7% and 33%, respectively, with an average of 12.6 months. The symptoms include nasal blockage (97.3%), epistaxis and postnasal drip (13.5% each), headache (8.1%) and hyposmia and rhinorrhea (5.4%, each). The main recurrence was at stage T2 (60.5%), while in smokers (26.7%) and non-smokers (50%). Malignant transformation occurred in one patient only (2.6%). Conclusion: IP is the most common type of SNP with male predominance. The recurrence rate is high with an average of a year and the malignant transformation occurred in 2.6 % of the cases.

Clinical analysis and risk stratification of ventricular septal rupture following acute myocardial infarction

Background Ventricular septal rupture （VSR） remains an infrequent but devastating complication of acute myocardial infarction （AMI）. The best time to undergo surgical repair is controversial and there is currently no risk stratification for patients with VSR to guide treatment. The purpose of this study was to review the clinical outcomes of 70 patients with VSR, to analyze the short-term prognosis factors of VSR following AMI, and to make a risk stratification for patients with VSR.

Analysis of clinical characteristics and risk factors for 92 cases of nosocomially acquired candidemia

Objective To investigate the clinical features and prognostic factors of nosocomially acquired candidemia.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted for hospitalized patients with nosocomial candidemia between January 2012 and December 2014 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University.The univariate

Impact of Residual SYNTAX Score and Its Derived Indexes on Clinical Outcomes after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention：Data from a Large Single Center

Background： Residual SYNTAX score （rSS） and its derived indexes including SYNTAX revascularization index （SRI） and clinical rSS had been developed to quantify and describe the extent of incomplete revascularization. This study was conducted to explore the utility of the three scores among real-world patients alter percutaneous coronary intervention （PCI）. Methods： From January 2013 to December 2013, patients underwent PCI treatment at Fuwai Hospital were included. Tile primary endpoints were all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. The secondary endpoints were myocardial infarction, revascularization, stroke, and stent thrombosis. Kaptan-Meier methodology was used to determine the outcomes. Cox multivariable regression was to test the associations between scores and all-cause mortality. Results： A total of 10,344 patients were finally analyzed in this study. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that greater residual coronary lesions quantified by rSS and its derived indexes were associated with increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events. However, atier multivariate analysis, only clinical rSS was an independent predictor of 2-year all-cause death （hazard ratio： 1.02, 95% confidence interval： 1.01-1.03, P 〈 0.01）. By receiver operating characteristic （ROC） curve analysis, clinical rSS had superior predictability of 2-year all-cause death than rSS and SRI （area under ROC curve [AUC]： 0.50 vs. 0.56 vs. 0.56, all P 〈 0.01 ）, whereas rSS was superior in predicting repeat revascularization than clinical rSS and SRI （AUC： 0.62 vs. 0.61 vs. 0.61： all P 〈 0.01）. When comparing the predictive capability of rSS 〉8 with SRI 〈70%, their predictabilities were not significantly different.

Usefulness of the CONUT index upon hospital admission as a potential prognostic indicator of COVID-19 health outcomes

Background:In-hospital mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)is high.Simple prognostic indices are needed to identify patients at high-risk of COVID-19 health outcomes.We aimed to determine the usefulness of the CONtrolling NUTritional status(CONUT)index as a potential prognostic indicator of mortality in COVID-19 patients upon hospital admission.Methods:Our study design is of a retrospective observational study in a large cohort of COVID-19 patients.In addition to descriptive statistics,a Kaplan-Meier mortality analysis and a Cox regression were performed,as well as receiver operating curve(ROC).Results:From February 5,2020 to January 21,2021,there was a total of 2969 admissions for COVID-19 at our hospital,corresponding to 2844 patients.Overall,baseline(within 4 days of admission)CONUT index could be scored for 1627(57.2%)patients.Patients’age was 67.3±16.5 years and 44.9%were women.The CONUT severity distribution was:194(11.9%)normal(0-1);769(47.2%)light(2-4);585(35.9%)moderate(5-8);and 79(4.9%)severe(9-12).Mortality of 30 days after admission was 3.1%in patients with normal risk CONUT,9.0%light,22.7%moderate,and 40.5%in those with severe CONUT(P<0.05).An increased risk of death associated with a greater baseline CONUT stage was sustained in a multivariable Cox regression model(P<0.05).An increasing baseline CONUT stage was associated with a longer duration of admission,a greater requirement for the use of non-invasive and invasive mechanical ventilation,and other clinical outcomes(all P<0.05).The ROC of CONUT for mortality had an area under the curve(AUC)and 95%confidence interval of 0.711(0.676-0746).Conclusion:The CONUT index upon admission is potentially a reliable and independent prognostic indicator of mortality and length of hospitalization in COVID-19 patients.