Goal oriented( GO) methodology is a kind of success oriented system reliability analysis method and has been used widely.The repairable system with dual input closed-loop feedback link( DICLFL) considering shutdown co...Goal oriented( GO) methodology is a kind of success oriented system reliability analysis method and has been used widely.The repairable system with dual input closed-loop feedback link( DICLFL) considering shutdown correlation didn't make reliability analysis accurately based on existing GO methodology. So, a reliability analysis method used to deal with DICLFL considering shutdown correlation is provided based on GO methodology.Firstly, a new operator, which is used to describe DICLFL considering shutdown correlation,whose number is 1,is created and named as Type 9C operator. And then,the formulas of type 9C operator are derived based on Markov process theory. Finally,the new method presented in this paper is adopted to conduct the reliability analysis of an electro-hydraulic servo speed control system. The analysis result is compared with those of Monte Carlo simulation and fault tree analysis( FTA). The comparison results show that this new reliability analysis method based on GO methodology is feasible and meaningful for reliability analysis of repairable systems with DICLFL considering shutdown correlation.Meantime,it will be useful for more other applications.展开更多
Earthquake engineers have made a lot of efforts to derive a comprehensive set of closed form expressions for performance evaluation of frames, which are already presented in guidelines such as SAC/FEMA. These analytic...Earthquake engineers have made a lot of efforts to derive a comprehensive set of closed form expressions for performance evaluation of frames, which are already presented in guidelines such as SAC/FEMA. These analytical expressions have been developed to estimate the annual probability of exceeding a limit state. In the process of such seismic assessments, some essential assumptions are adopted to simplify the process. One of these fundamental assumptions declares that drift demand at any seismic intensity level follows a lognormal distribution around its median. To investigate the validity of this assumption, this paper describes a case study of the types of errors that could be produced by using the sample median as the central tendency. Based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimation method as well as other statistical evidence, this paper proposes the use of the sample geometric mean instead of the sample median for the central tendency. Further, the results of seismic reliability evaluations of 4 sample frames are compared based on utilizing both the geometric mean and the sample median. In this process, both first and second order power law fits of the hazard curve are implemented to compare the effects of hazard estimation and the selection of the central tendency on the final results. It is observed in the application example that the sample geometric mean could lead to more accurate results.展开更多
This paper outlines the significance of enhancing the instantaneous protection reliability of low voltage circuit breakers and describes their main failure modes. The instantaneous failure mechanism of low voltage cir...This paper outlines the significance of enhancing the instantaneous protection reliability of low voltage circuit breakers and describes their main failure modes. The instantaneous failure mechanism of low voltage circuit breakers was analyzed so that measures to improve instantaneous protection reliability can be determined. Furthermore, the theory of the instantaneous characteristics calibration device for low voltage circuit breakers and the method of eliminating the non-periodic component of test current are given in detail. Finally, the test results are presented.展开更多
In this article,mathematical modeling for the evaluation of reliability is studied using two methods.One of the methods,is developed based on possibility theory.The performance of the reliability of the system is of p...In this article,mathematical modeling for the evaluation of reliability is studied using two methods.One of the methods,is developed based on possibility theory.The performance of the reliability of the system is of prime concern.In view of this,the outcomes for the failure are required to evaluate with utmost care.In possibility theory,the reliability information data determined from decision-making experts are subjective.The samemethod is also related to the survival possibilities as against the survival probabilities.The other method is the one that is developed using the concept of approximation of closed interval including the piecewise quadratic fuzzy numbers.In this method,a decision-making expert is not sure of his/her estimates of the reliability parameters.Numerical experiments are performed to illustrate the efficiency of the suggested methods in this research.In the end,the paper is concluded with some future research directions to be explored for the proposed approach.展开更多
基金Technical Basis Projects of China's MIIT(Nos.ZQ092012B003,2012090003)
文摘Goal oriented( GO) methodology is a kind of success oriented system reliability analysis method and has been used widely.The repairable system with dual input closed-loop feedback link( DICLFL) considering shutdown correlation didn't make reliability analysis accurately based on existing GO methodology. So, a reliability analysis method used to deal with DICLFL considering shutdown correlation is provided based on GO methodology.Firstly, a new operator, which is used to describe DICLFL considering shutdown correlation,whose number is 1,is created and named as Type 9C operator. And then,the formulas of type 9C operator are derived based on Markov process theory. Finally,the new method presented in this paper is adopted to conduct the reliability analysis of an electro-hydraulic servo speed control system. The analysis result is compared with those of Monte Carlo simulation and fault tree analysis( FTA). The comparison results show that this new reliability analysis method based on GO methodology is feasible and meaningful for reliability analysis of repairable systems with DICLFL considering shutdown correlation.Meantime,it will be useful for more other applications.
文摘Earthquake engineers have made a lot of efforts to derive a comprehensive set of closed form expressions for performance evaluation of frames, which are already presented in guidelines such as SAC/FEMA. These analytical expressions have been developed to estimate the annual probability of exceeding a limit state. In the process of such seismic assessments, some essential assumptions are adopted to simplify the process. One of these fundamental assumptions declares that drift demand at any seismic intensity level follows a lognormal distribution around its median. To investigate the validity of this assumption, this paper describes a case study of the types of errors that could be produced by using the sample median as the central tendency. Based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimation method as well as other statistical evidence, this paper proposes the use of the sample geometric mean instead of the sample median for the central tendency. Further, the results of seismic reliability evaluations of 4 sample frames are compared based on utilizing both the geometric mean and the sample median. In this process, both first and second order power law fits of the hazard curve are implemented to compare the effects of hazard estimation and the selection of the central tendency on the final results. It is observed in the application example that the sample geometric mean could lead to more accurate results.
基金Project (No. 043804411) supported by the Tianjin Natural ScienceFoundation, China
文摘This paper outlines the significance of enhancing the instantaneous protection reliability of low voltage circuit breakers and describes their main failure modes. The instantaneous failure mechanism of low voltage circuit breakers was analyzed so that measures to improve instantaneous protection reliability can be determined. Furthermore, the theory of the instantaneous characteristics calibration device for low voltage circuit breakers and the method of eliminating the non-periodic component of test current are given in detail. Finally, the test results are presented.
文摘In this article,mathematical modeling for the evaluation of reliability is studied using two methods.One of the methods,is developed based on possibility theory.The performance of the reliability of the system is of prime concern.In view of this,the outcomes for the failure are required to evaluate with utmost care.In possibility theory,the reliability information data determined from decision-making experts are subjective.The samemethod is also related to the survival possibilities as against the survival probabilities.The other method is the one that is developed using the concept of approximation of closed interval including the piecewise quadratic fuzzy numbers.In this method,a decision-making expert is not sure of his/her estimates of the reliability parameters.Numerical experiments are performed to illustrate the efficiency of the suggested methods in this research.In the end,the paper is concluded with some future research directions to be explored for the proposed approach.
