Sensitivity of the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG(GAMILI.I.0)Climate Simulations to Cloud Droplet Effective Radius and Liquid Water Path

This paper documents a study to examine the sensitivity to cloud droplet effective radius and liquid water path and the alleviation the energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere and at the surface in the latest version of the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics （LASG）, Institute of Atmospheric Physics （IAP） （GAMIL1.1.0）. Considerable negative biases in all flux components, and thus an energy imbalance, are found in GAMIL1.1.0. In order to alleviate the energy imbalance, two modifications, namely an increase in cloud droplet effective radius and a decrease in cloud liquid water path, have been made to the cloud properties used in GAMIL. With the increased cloud droplet effective radius, the single scattering albedo of clouds is reduced, and thus the reflection of solar radiation into space by clouds is reduced and the net solar radiation flux at the top of the atmosphere is increased. With the reduced cloud optical depth, the net surface shortwave radiation flux is increased, causing a net warming over the land surface. This results in an increase in both sensible and latent heat fluxes over the land regions, which is largely balanced by the increased terrestrial radiation fluxes. Consequently, the energy balance at the top of atmosphere and at the surface is achieved with energy flux components consistent with available satellite observations.

Analysis of the Relationship between the Cloud Water Path and Precipitation Intensity of Mature Typhoons in the Northwest Pacific Ocean

The relationship between precipitation intensity and cloud water in typhoon systems remains unclear.This study combined time-and space-synchronized precipitation and spectral data obtained by the Precipitation Radar(PR)as well as the Visible and Infrared Scanner(VIRS)onboard the TRMM satellite,to overcome the limitations of precipitation properties and cloud parameters not being synchronized in previous studies.A merged dataset of near-surface rain rate(RR)and corresponding cloud water path(CWP)was established and used to analyze the potential correlation between cloud microphysical properties and precipitation,to deepen our understanding of the evolution of cloud to rain.In addition,25 collocated satellite overpasses of mature typhoon cases in the Northwest Pacific Ocean from 1998 to 2012 were obtained,and the relationships between the CWP and RR of 144515 pixels were analyzed in detail.The results show that the CWP and RR of mature typhoon systems with different precipitation types,precipitation cloud phases,and vertical depths of precipitation can be fitted by a notable sigmoid function,which may be useful for estimating CWP and parameterizing precipitation in models.Furthermore,the relationship was applied and tested with an independent sample to show that RR is a significant indicator of CWP.

An assessment of Arctic cloud water paths in atmospheric reanalyses

The role of Arctic clouds in the recent rapid Arctic warming has attracted much attention.However,Arctic cloud water paths(CWPs)from reanalysis datasets have not been well evaluated.This study evaluated the CWPs as well as LWPs(cloud liquid water paths)and IWPs(cloud ice water paths)from five reanalysis datasets(MERRA-2,MERRA,ERA-Interim,JRA-55,and ERA5)against the COSP(Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project Observations Simulator Package)output for MODIS from the MERRA-2 CSP(COSP satellite simulator)collection(defined as M2Modis in short).Averaged over 1980-2015 and over the Arctic region(north of 60°N),the mean CWPs of these five datasets range from 49.5 g/m^(2)(MERRA)to 82.7 g/m^(2)(ERA-Interim),much smaller than that from M2Modis(140.0 g/m^(2)).However,the spatial distributions of CWPs,show similar patterns among these reanalyses,with relatively small values over Greenland and large values over the North Atlantic.Consistent with M2Modis,these reanalyses show larger LWPs than IWPs,except for ERA-Interim.However,MERRA-2 and MERRA underestimate the ratio of IWPs to CWPs over the entire Arctic,while ERA-Interim and JRA-55 overestimate this ratio.ERA5 shows the best performance in terms of the ratio of IWPs to CWPs.All datasets exhibit larger CWPs and LWPs in summer than in winter.For M2Modis,IWPs hold seasonal variation similar with LWPs over the land but opposite over the ocean.Following the Arctic warming,the trends in LWPs and IWPs during 1980~2015 show that LWPs increase and IWPs decrease across all datasets,although not statistically significant.Correlation analysis suggests that all datasets have similar interannual variability.The study further found that the inclusion of re-evaporation processes increases the humidity in the atmosphere over the land and that a more realistic liquid/ice phase can be obtained by independently treating the liquid and ice water contents.

EnKF Assimilation of Satellite-retrieved Cloud Water Path to Improve Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Forecast

Tropical cyclone(TC) rainfall forecast has remained a challenge. To create initial conditions with high quality for simulation, the present study implemented a data assimilation scheme based on the EnKF method to ingest the satellite-retrieved cloud water path(C_(w)) and tested it in WRF. The scheme uses the vertical integration of forecasted cloud water content to transform control variables to the observation space, and creates the correlations between C_(w) and control variables in the flow-dependent background error covariance based on all the ensemble members, so that the observed cloud information can affect the background temperature and humidity. For two typhoons in 2018(Yagi and Rumiba), assimilating C_(w) significantly increases the simulated rainfalls and TC intensities. In terms of the average equitable threat score of daily moderate to heavy rainfall(5-120 mm), the improvements are over 130%, and the dry biases are cut by about 30%. Such improvements are traced down to the fact that C_(w) assimilation increases the moisture content, especially that further away from the TC center, which provides more precipitable water for the rainfall,strengthens the TC and broadens the TC size via latent heat release and internal wind field adjustment.

Climatic Features of Cloud Water Distribution and Cycle over China

Analyses of cloud water path （CWP） data over China available from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project （ISCCP） are performed for the period 1984-2004. Combined with GPCP precipitation data, cloud water cycle index （CWCI） is also calculated. The climatic distributions of CWP are found to be dependent on large-scale circulation, topographical features, water vapor transport and similar distribution features which are found in CWCI except in the Sichuan Basin. Influenced by the Asia monsoon, CWP over China exhibits very large seasonal variations in different regions. The seasonal cycles of CWCI in different regions are consistent and the largest CWCI occurs in July. The long-term trends of CWP and CWCI are investigated, too. Increasing trends of CWP are found during the period with the largest increase found in winter. The decreasing trends of CWCI dominate most regions of China. The differences in long-term trends between CWP and CWCI suggest that CWP only can influence the variation of CWCI to a certain extent and that other factors need to be involved in cloud water cycle researches. This phenomenon reveals the complexity of the hydrological cycle related to cloud water.

Analysis of Ice Water Path Retrieval Errors Over Tropical Ocean

Retrieval of multi-layered cloud properties, especially ice water path （IWP）, is one of the most perplexing problems in satellite cloud remote sensing. This paper develops a method for improving the IWP retrievals for ice-over-water overlapped cloud systems using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission （TRMM） Microwave Imager （TMI） and Visible and Infrared Scanner （VIRS） data. A combined microwave, visible and infrared algorithm is used to identify overlapped clouds and estimate IWP separately from liquid water path. The retrieval error of IWP is then evaluated by comparing the IWP to that retrieved from single-layer ice clouds surrounding the observed overlapping systems. The major IWP retrieval errors of overlapped clouds are primarily controlled by the errors in estimating the visible optical depth. Optical depths are overestimated by about 10-40% due to the influence of the underlying cloud. For the ice-over-warm-water cloud systems （cloud water temperature Tw 〉 273 K）, the globally averaged IWP retrieval error is about 10%. This cloud type accounts for about 15% of all high-cloud overlapping cases. Ice-over-super-cooled water clouds are the predominant overlapped cloud system, accounting for 55% of the cases. Their global averaged error is -17.2%. The largest IWP retrieval error results when ice clouds occur over extremely super-cooled water clouds （Tw ≤ 255 K）. Overall, roughly 33% of the VIRS IWP retrievals are overestimated due to the effects of the liquid water clouds beneath the cirrus clouds. To improve the accuracy of the IWP retrievals, correction models are developed and applied to all three types of overlapped clouds. The preliminary results indicate that the correction models reduce part of the retrieval error.

青藏高原东侧九龙夏季非降水云的观测特征

青藏高原东侧九龙地区是西南涡多发区,利用该地区新型探测设备开展云探测,有助于增强对西南涡多发区云特征的认识。利用2018—2019年6—8月九龙站地基微波辐射计资料,分析了该地区夏季非降水云的出现率、液态水路径及过冷水路径的观测特征。结果表明:九龙夏季非降水云出现率月均值在67%~82%之间,以低云和中云为主,高云较少;低云出现率表现为白天低、夜间高,而中云和高云则相反;云出现率的垂直分布表现为单峰形态,在约2km高度存在云出现率峰值8.1%;受大气热力层结日变化影响,云出现率的单峰垂直分布呈现日夜差异。另外,九龙夏季非降水云的液态水路径均值为0.433kg·m^(-2),其中低云、中云、高云的液态水路径均值分别为0.665、0.240、0.102kg·m^(-2);低云的液态水路径日变化特征与其出现率相似,而中云和高云的液态水路径日变化特征不明显。此外,九龙夏季非降水云中冷云的过冷水路径均值为0.154kg·m^(-2),其中低云、中云、高云的过冷水路径均值分别为0.065、0.166、0.102kg·m^(-2);总体上过冷水路径在液态水路径中的占比约为34.3%~38.8%,过冷水路径占比随云的高度而增大,这使得中云和高云的过冷水路径日变化与其液态水路径相似。与同纬度华中地区相比,九龙夏季非降水云具有明显不同的特征,这与两地之间的大气水汽特征差异密切相关。

利用CloudSat和MODIS数据研究气溶胶对层积云的影响

利用CloudSat的云雷达数据研究了太平洋东部副热带地区的层积云微物理特性。结果显示,CloudSat反演的云滴数浓度在垂直方向变化很小。结合CloudSat的云雷达数据和MODIS的气溶胶数据,研究了气溶胶对层积云的微物理特性和液态水路径的影响。结果表明:对于相同的液态水路径,气溶胶增加可以使得云滴的尺度减小,但总体上对云滴尺度的影响并不显著;由于云中液态水路径本身变化极大,导致气溶胶对液态水路径的影响很难和云中液态水路径本身的变化分离开。此外还发现:CloudSat反演的层积云液态水路径比MODIS反演的液态水路径偏高;层积云内液态水路径的不均一性比环境气溶胶光学厚度的不均一性大。

An Evidence of Aerosol Indirect Effect on Stratus Clouds from the Integrated Ground-Based Measurements at the ARM Shouxian Site

The aerosol effect on clouds was explored using remote sensing of aerosol and cloud data at Shouxian, China. Non-precipitation, ice-free, and overcast clouds were firstly chosen by a combination of sky images from the Total Sky Imager (TSI), cloud base heights from the Ceilometer, and vertical temperature profiles from the Balloon-Borne Sounding System (BBSS). Six cases were chosen in summer, and seven in autumn. The averaged cloud effective radii (re), cloud optical depth (COD), aerosol total light scattering coefficient (σ), and liquid water path (LWP) are, respectivey, 6.47 μm, 35.4, 595.9 mm-1, 0.19 mm in summer, and 6.07 μm, 96.0, 471.7 mm-1, 0.37 mm in autumn. The correlation coefficient between re and σ was found to change from negative to positive value as LWP increases.

CONVECTIVE-STRATIFORM RAINFALL PARTITION BY RADIANCE-DERIVED CLOUD CONTENT:A MODELING STUDY

A new scheme that separates convective-stratiform rainfall is developed using threshold values of liquid water path(LWP) and ice water path(IWP).These cloud contents can be predicted with radiances at the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit(AMSU) channels(23.8,31.4,89,and 150 GHz) through linear regression models.The scheme is demonstrated by an analysis of a two-dimensional cloud resolving model simulation that is imposed by a forcing derived from the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment(TOGA COARE).The rainfall is considered convective if associated LWP is larger than 1.91 mm or IWP is larger than1.70 mm.Otherwise,the rainfall is stratiform.The analysis of surface rainfall budget demonstrates that this new scheme is physically meaningful.

RegCM4.6两种积云参数化方案在东亚模拟结果的评估

新一代区域气候模式RegCM4.6引进了Mix积云参数化方案,可以将之前版本中的Emanuel和Grell方案结合在一起,以弥补单个参数化方案的不足。利用2016年MODIS(Moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer)数据对RegCM4.6中Mix和Emanuel积云参数化方案模拟的东亚云量(Cloud fraction,CF)、冰水柱含量(Ice water path,IWP)和液水柱含量(Liquid water path,LWP)进行初步评估,计算了相关系数(r)、平均绝对误差(Mean absolute error,MAE)、平均偏差(Mean bias error,MBE)和均方根误差(Root mean square error,RMSE),以便为相关研究选取积云参数化方案提供参考依据。结果表明:(1)模拟的CF的MBE大致以胡焕庸线为界,西北部为轻微高估,东南部通常为低估。2种方案在夏季的模拟效果最好,冬季最差。Mix方案的MAE、MBE和RMSE的绝对值在四季普遍小于Emanuel方案。(2)模式明显低估了东亚的IWP,除夏季外,2种方案模拟的IWP与MODIS的都呈显著负相关,表明模式难以准确模拟出云中冰晶相关的物理过程。(3)2种方案模拟的LWP在青藏高原和东部海域均为低估,在中国南部、中部和北部为高估,但Mix方案的偏差更接近于0。冬季,2种方案的评估参数相近,其他季节Mix方案的MAE、MBE和RMSE的绝对值均小于Emanuel方案,其中MAE相差21~39 g·m-2。因此,Mix方案更适用于在东亚进行云水资源方面的模拟研究。

中国非季风区与季风区云水资源及降水效率的差异特征

利用2000-2016年国际卫星云气候学计划月平均云资料与全球降水气候学项目的月降水资料,对比分析中国非季风区和季风区云水资源和降水量的时空分布特征及变化趋势;利用同时期欧洲中期天气预报中心ERA 5水汽输送通量再分析资料分析上述区域水汽输送路径和水汽总量的年际变化特征.结果表明,在空间分布方面,中国空中云水资源含量和降水空间分布基本呈现南多北少的分布特征,高值区常沿高大山脉分布.在年内变化方面,总云量、低云量、云水路径和降水量均具有明显的季节变化特征,除低云量外均在6月出现明显峰值.在年际变化方面,非季风区总云量呈现减少趋势,季风区总云量呈现增加趋势,平均每10 a增加5%,两区域云水路径和降水量均呈现增长的趋势,季风区云水路径和降水量平均增加0.3 g/(m^(2)·a)和0.01 mm/d;非季风区平均增加0.22 g/(m^(2)·a)和0.009 mm/d.低云量呈现减小趋势,非季风区平均每10 a降低0.86%,季风区平均每10 a降低0.46%.近年来经西北和东北地区向内陆输送的水汽通量增加明显,在新疆北部和东北地区出现水汽通量增长的高值区,是中国近年来降水增加的主要原因.

藏东南墨脱地区云中过冷水的毫米波雷达观测

云中过冷水识别对于人工影响天气及预防飞机积冰具有重要意义,但过冷水的识别一直是气象探测中的难点,毫米波雷达是连续探测云结构和物理特征的有效工具。利用布设在藏东南水汽通道入口处墨脱地区的Ka波段毫米波云雷达基数据,结合微波辐射计温度资料,采用基于模糊逻辑法、阈值法进行过冷水识别,识别出的粒子相态包含冰、雪、过冷水及混合态。并利用同址的微波辐射计的液态水路径(liquid water paths,LWP)对墨脱云雷达观测的两个层积云过程的过冷水识别效果进行了分析和初步验证。结果表明:模糊逻辑法和阈值法识别的过冷水基本合理,但模糊逻辑法可以识别更多的过冷水,从定量分析来看,模糊逻辑法相对于阈值法识别的LWP更接近于微波辐射计。藏东南墨脱地区层积云中过冷水的微物理参数与其他地区较为一致,有效半径主要位于7~15μm,液态水含量(liquid water content,LWC)主要分布在0.01~0.3 g/m^(3),但墨脱地区过冷水的分布比其他地区更为丰富,往往云顶、云底及云中同时存在过冷水。

Retrieval of Liquid Water Path Inside Nonprecipitating Clouds Using TMI Measurements

Quantitative estimates of liquid water path （LWP） in clouds using satellite measurements are critical to understanding of cloud properties and the assessment of global climate change. In this paper, the relationship between microwave brightness temperature （TB） and LWP in the nonprecipitating clouds is studied by using satellite microwave measurements from the TRMM Microwave Imager （TMI） onboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission （TRMM）, together with a radiative transfer model for microwave radiance calculations. Radiative transfer modeling shows that the sensitivity is higher at both 37.0- and 85.5-GHz horizontal polarization channels for the LWP retrievals. Also, the differences between the retrieved values responding to TBs of various channels and the theoretical values are displayed by the model. Based upon above simulations, with taking into account the factor of resolution and retrieval bias for a single,channel, a nonprecipitating cloud LWP in the summer subtropical marine environment retrieval algorithm is formulated by the combination of the two TMI horizontal polarization channels, 37.0 and 85.5 GHz. Moreover,by using TMI measurements （1Bll）, this algorithm is applied to retrieving respectively LWPs for clear sky, nonprecipitating clouds, and typhoon precipitating clouds. In the clear sky case, the LWP cl^anges from -1 to 1 g m-2, and its mean value is about 10^-5 g m^-2. It indicates that, using this combination retrieval algorithm, there are no obvious systemic deviations when the LWP is low enough. The LWP values varying from 0 to 1000 g m^-2 in nonprecipitating clouds are reasonable, and its distribution pattern is very similar to the detected results in the visible channel of Visible and Infrared Scanner （VIRS） on the TRMM. In typhoon precipitating clouds, there is much more proportion of high LWP in the mature phase than the early stage. When surface rainfall rate is lower than 5 mm h^-1, the LWP increases with increasing rainfall rate.

中国西北地区近20年云水路径时空分布特征

利用国际卫星云计划D2资料集1990 2009年20年云水路径资料,分析了西北地区云水路径的时空分布特征,结果表明:西北地区云水路径总体上为上升趋势,时空分布特点明显;就20年变化情况看,昆仑山阿尔金山、祁连山云水路径增加,天山、阿尔泰山地区减少明显,具体变化情况随季节变化而变化;西北地区云水路径一致性变化特征中,包含"东正西负"的东西向变化差异和"北正南负"的反相位的特征;西北地区云水路径存在多重尺度嵌套现象,具有明显的4,7年周期,4年短周期与大气环流振荡准周期对应较好.

西北地区空中云水资源的时空分布特征

利用1983年7月至1998年12月国际卫星云气候计划ISCCP D2的月平均云资料,对西北地区空中云水资源的时空分布特征进行了系统的研究.结果表明:三个不同区域的月平均总云量、 光学厚度和云水路径的区域平均值分别在52.5%～58.3%,2.6～6.6和 44.9～77.6 g·m-2之间;西北地区空中云水资源多年平均分布有其沿地形分布的特点,总云量、中云量、总光学厚度和总云水路径的高值区均在天山、昆仑山、祁连山一带,而低值中心一般分布在塔里木盆地-内蒙古西部戈壁沙漠-黄土高原西北部一带.此外,祁连山、青海所在的高原气候区云水资源近年呈上升趋势,特别是总光学厚度和总云水路径15年来呈明显上升趋势,分别约上升了0.8和16.4 g·m-2.

西北地区不同类型云的时空分布及其与降水的关系

利用1983年7月～2001年9月国际卫星云气候计划ISCCP D2的月平均资料,对西北不同区域不同类型云的云量和云水路径的时空分布及其与降水的关系进行了研究.结果表明:高原气候区是各种云出现最多的地区,特别是积状云的云量明显高于其他两区,但这些云的云水路径值低;西北地区大多数云云量的高值区出现在天山山区、北疆地区、陕西东南部和青藏高原的部分地区.高云和部分中云云量空间分布特征与降水有着较好的一致性:沿着天山-昆仑山-祁连山一带以及陕南和/或陇南地区是高值区,低值区在塔里木盆地-内蒙古西部戈壁沙漠-黄土高原西北部一带;绝大多数云类春夏季节云量维持较高,秋冬季节云量较少.云水路径值较大的层状云类的云量多寡与降水多寡相一致;积状云类和层积云类云量多少与降水没有一定的关系,在降水偏少时,这类云的云量大多与降水正常时相近,有些云的云量甚至比降水偏多时还要多.

中国西北地区云的分布及其变化趋势

利用1983年7月—2001年9月ISCCP D2云的月平均资料,针对西北地区15种不同类型云的分布特征进行了分析,给出了中、低云量之和以及高云量在3个气候子区的多年变化趋势,初步探讨了其形成机制。结果表明:水层云、冰层云、水雨层云、冰雨层云和深对流云的光学厚度和云水路径值最大;水层云主要出现在天山山区、北疆地区和陕西南部,冰层云主要出现在北疆地区,水雨层云、冰雨层云和深对流云以及水高层云、冰高层云、卷层云的云量高值区在天山—昆仑山—祁连山一带以及陕南和/或陇南地区,因此上述地区也是有利于人工增水作业的地区。近20年中,高云量在3个气候区都呈明显下降趋势,中、低云量之和则呈上升趋势。西北地区云与地气系统之间可能存在这样一个过程:地面气温的升高,促使地面蒸发加剧,从而导致中、低云量增多而使降水增多,同时高云云量减少。

新疆山区低层云水资源时空分布特征

采用云与地球辐射能量系统(CERES)2003～2007年的CERESSSFAquaMODIS云资料,选取新疆阿尔泰山、天山和昆仑山三大山区,通过考察云量和云液态水柱含量分析了低层云水资源的多年空间分布和季节变化特征。结果表明,三大山区多年平均的云量年平均区域值在24.4%～27.5%之间,云液态水柱含量在51～56.3g/m2之间。三大山区低层云量和云液态水柱含量有明显的季节变化特征。综合云量和云水柱含量来看,春季是三大山区低层云量资源最丰富的季节,冬季是三大山区低层云中的含水量最丰富的季节。

中国地区空中云水资源气候分布特征及变化趋势

利用1984-2004年国际卫星云气候学计划（ISCCP）的云水路径（CWP）资料,分析了中国地区空中云水资源的分布特征、变化趋势以及与大气环流和湿度场的关系。研究发现,中国地区CWP的分布与大气环流、地形特征和大气湿度分布及水汽传输密切相关,中国地区CWP存在明显的季节变化,6月全国平均CWP最高,10月最低,不同地区季节变化差异明显。从变化趋势看,中国地区CWP以增加为主,青藏高原东部、内蒙古东部地区以及西北东部地区CWP的增加趋势较强。全国范围内,冬季和秋季CWP增加较大,春季和夏季增加较小。这些变化主要与大气环流变化导致的抬升运动的增强以及大气湿度（水汽）增加有关。中国地区空中云水资源在全球变暖的背景下表现出增加的趋势,符合气温增加导致水循环增强的观点。