Effective monitoring of the structural health of combined coal-rock under complex geological conditions by pressure stimulated currents(PSCs)has great potential for the understanding of dynamic disasters in undergroun...Effective monitoring of the structural health of combined coal-rock under complex geological conditions by pressure stimulated currents(PSCs)has great potential for the understanding of dynamic disasters in underground engineering.To reveal the effect of this way,the uniaxial compression experiments with PSC monitoring were conducted on three types of coal-rock combination samples with different strength combinations.The mechanism explanation of PSCs are investigated by resistivity test,atomic force microscopy(AFM)and computed tomography(CT)methods,and a PSC flow model based on progressive failure process is proposed.The influence of strength combinations on PSCs in the progressive failure process are emphasized.The results show the PSC responses between rock part,coal part and the two components are different,which are affected by multi-scale fracture characteristics and electrical properties.As the rock strength decreases,the progressive failure process changes obviously with the influence range of interface constraint effect decreasing,resulting in the different responses of PSC strength and direction in different parts to fracture behaviors.The PSC flow model is initially validated by the relationship between the accumulated charges of different parts.The results are expected to provide a new reference and method for mining design and roadway quality assessment.展开更多
The deformation and failure of coal and rock is energy-driving results according to thermodynamics.It is important to study the strain energy characteristics of coal-rock composite samples to better understand the def...The deformation and failure of coal and rock is energy-driving results according to thermodynamics.It is important to study the strain energy characteristics of coal-rock composite samples to better understand the deformation and failure mechanism of of coal-rock composite structures.In this research,laboratory tests and numerical simulation of uniaxial compressions of coal-rock composite samples were carried out with five different loading rates.The test results show that strength,deformation,acoustic emission(AE)and energy evolution of coal-rock composite sample all have obvious loading rate effects.The uniaxial compressive strength and elastic modulus increase with the increase of loading rate.And with the increase of loading rate,the AE energy at the peak strength of coal-rock composites increases first,then decreases,and then increases.With the increase of loading rate,the AE cumulative count first decreases and then increases.And the total absorption energy and dissipation energy of coal-rock composite samples show non-linear increasing trends,while release elastic strain energy increases first and then decreases.The laboratory experiments conducted on coal-rock composite samples were simulated numerically using the particle flow code(PFC).With careful selection of suitable material constitutive models for coal and rock,and accurate estimation and calibration of mechanical parameters of coal-rock composite sample,it was possible to obtain a good agreement between the laboratory experimental and numerical results.This research can provide references for understanding failure of underground coalrock composite structure by using energy related measuring methods.展开更多
A set of universal loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) primers targeting the flo gene was designed to detect Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (B. burgdorferi s.I.) in human samples. The sensitivity of LAM...A set of universal loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) primers targeting the flo gene was designed to detect Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (B. burgdorferi s.I.) in human samples. The sensitivity of LAMP was 20 copies/reaction, and the assay did not detect false positives among 11 other related bacteria. A positive LAMP result was obtained for 9 of the 24 confirmed cases and for 12 of 94 suspected cases. The positive rate of LAMP was the same as that of nested PCR. The LAMP is a useful diagnostic method that can be developed for rapid detection of B. burgdorferi s.I. in human sera. Combination of the LAMP and nested PCR was more sensitive for detecting B. burgdorferi s.I. in human serum samples.展开更多
This paper analyzes the characteristics of the destination distribution of trips and proposes a stratified sampling strategy for travel mode choice.The stratified sampling strategy can reduce the size of the alternati...This paper analyzes the characteristics of the destination distribution of trips and proposes a stratified sampling strategy for travel mode choice.The stratified sampling strategy can reduce the size of the alternative set;thus,the computation burden of simulation is decreased.Using the stratified sampling strategy,a combined choice model of the trip mode and destination is developed based on the Bayesian theory.Simulations are carried out to verify the proposed model.The results show that the combined choice model of the trip mode and destination can efficiently simulate travelers' choice behaviors.Furthermore,the forecasting accuracy of the combined choice model is higher than the one of the gravity model.Therefore,the proposed model is a powerful tool with which to analyze travelers' behaviors in selecting the trip mode.展开更多
The drum shearer and high pressure water jet combined cutting system is an effective technology to cut hard coal-rock, but one problem of the technology is the choice of pick and nozzle location parameters. In order t...The drum shearer and high pressure water jet combined cutting system is an effective technology to cut hard coal-rock, but one problem of the technology is the choice of pick and nozzle location parameters. In order to solve the problem, the process and mechanism of combined cutting arc studied and mining seepage catastrophe theory is used to construct the mathematic and physical model of combined cutting hard coal-rock. Based on the model and detailed analysis of combined cutting mechanism, the single pick and nozzle combined cutting test-bed is built to test the main pick and nozzle location parameters of drum shearer and water jet combined cutting system. Test results show that the best vertical distance between the pick-tip and nozzle center point is the sum of cutting thickness and proper target distance in the Y axial direction; the best horizontal distance is the length between pick-tip point and coal-rock surface bursting crack point in the X axial direction. The best incident angle of water jet should be the same as the bursting crack line's angle in theory, but considering other important factors comprehensively, it is more reasonable when the incident angle of water jet is 90°.展开更多
Ultrasonic pulse velocity (UPV) and rebound hammer (RH) tests are often used for assessing the quality of concrete and estimation of its compressive strength. Several parameters influence this property of concrete as ...Ultrasonic pulse velocity (UPV) and rebound hammer (RH) tests are often used for assessing the quality of concrete and estimation of its compressive strength. Several parameters influence this property of concrete as the type and size of aggregates, cement content, the implementation of concrete, etc. To account for these factors, both of the two tests are combined and their measurements are calibrated with the results of mechanical tests on cylindrical specimens cast on site and on cores taken from the existing structure in work progress at the new-city Massinissa El-Khroub Constantine in Algeria. In this study;the two tests cited above have been used to determine the concrete quality by applying regression analysis models between compressive strength of in situ concrete on existing structure and the nondestructive tests values, the combined method is used, equations are derived using statistical analysis (simple and multiple regression) to estimate compressive strength of concrete on site and the reliability of the technique for prediction of the strength is discussed for this case study.展开更多
选取典型芦苇湿地基于芦苇叶片实测高光谱数据和叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,LAI),在原始光谱的基础上进行了平滑(R)、一阶微分(FD)、倒数(RT)、对数(LT)、倒数一阶微分(RTFD)、对数一阶微分(LTFD)等六种光谱变换,利用竞争性自适应重加...选取典型芦苇湿地基于芦苇叶片实测高光谱数据和叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,LAI),在原始光谱的基础上进行了平滑(R)、一阶微分(FD)、倒数(RT)、对数(LT)、倒数一阶微分(RTFD)、对数一阶微分(LTFD)等六种光谱变换,利用竞争性自适应重加权算法(CARS)对不同变换下芦苇LAI特征光谱波段予以筛选,进而用筛选的特征波段采用逐波段组合法(BCI)构建芦苇LAI敏感光谱指数,利用随机森林(RF)、极端梯度提升(XGBoost)以及支持向量机(SVM)回归算法,构建芦苇LAI的高光谱估算模型。结果表明,采用CARS算法筛选不同变换光谱的特征波段构建模型,发现经过FD变换(R^(2)=0.417,RMSE=0.905)的模型效果最优。在CARS基础上使用筛选过后的特征波段构建植被指数进行建模比较,模型效果最好的是XGBoost(R^(2)=0.620,RMSE=0.826)。展开更多
Tackling the problems of underground water storage in collieries in arid regions requires knowledge of the effect of water intrusion and loading rate on the mechanical properties of and crack development in coal–rock...Tackling the problems of underground water storage in collieries in arid regions requires knowledge of the effect of water intrusion and loading rate on the mechanical properties of and crack development in coal–rock combinations. Fifty-four coal–rock combinations were prepared and split equally into groups containing different moisture contents(dry, natural moisture and saturated) to conduct acoustic emission testing under uniaxial compression with loading rates ranging from 0.1 mm/min to 0.6 mm/min. The results show that the peak stress and strength-softening modulus, elastic modulus, strain-softening modulus, and post-peak modulus partly decrease with increasing moisture content and loading rate. In contrast, peak strain increases with increasing moisture content and fluctuates with rising loading rate. More significantly, the relationship between stiffness and stress, combined with accumulated counts of acoustic emission, can be used to precisely predict all phases of crack propagation. This is helpful in studying the impact of moisture content and loading rate on crack propagation and accurately calculating mechanical properties. We also determined that the stress thresholds of crack closure, crack initiation, and crack damage do not vary with changes of moisture content and loading rate, constituting 15.22%, 32.20%, and 80.98% of peak stress, respectively. These outcomes assist in developing approaches to water storage in coal mines, determining the necessary width of waterproof coal–rock pillars, and methods of supporting water-enriched roadways, while also advances understanding the mechanical properties of coal–rock combinations and laws of crack propagation.展开更多
The prediction process often runs with small samples and under-sufficient information.To target this problem,we propose a performance comparison study that combines prediction and optimization algorithms based on expe...The prediction process often runs with small samples and under-sufficient information.To target this problem,we propose a performance comparison study that combines prediction and optimization algorithms based on experimental data analysis.Through a large number of prediction and optimization experiments,the accuracy and stability of the prediction method and the correction ability of the optimization method are studied.First,five traditional single-item prediction methods are used to process small samples with under-sufficient information,and the standard deviation method is used to assign weights on the five methods for combined forecasting.The accuracy of the prediction results is ranked.The mean and variance of the rankings reflect the accuracy and stability of the prediction method.Second,the error elimination prediction optimization method is proposed.To make,the prediction results are corrected by error elimination optimization method(EEOM),Markov optimization and two-layer optimization separately to obtain more accurate prediction results.The degree improvement and decline are used to reflect the correction ability of the optimization method.The results show that the accuracy and stability of combined prediction are the best in the prediction methods,and the correction ability of error elimination optimization is the best in the optimization methods.The combination of the two methods can well solve the problem of prediction with small samples and under-sufficient information.Finally,the accuracy of the combination of the combined prediction and the error elimination optimization is verified by predicting the number of unsafe events in civil aviation in a certain year.展开更多
不同环境因子组合和负样本选取策略对崩岗易发性评价结果存在较多不确定性。为探究其对评价结果的影响,该研究以江西省兴国县花岗岩区为例,利用地理探测器探测17个环境因子的统计量q值,根据累计q值百分比大小依次选择4、7、10和17个环...不同环境因子组合和负样本选取策略对崩岗易发性评价结果存在较多不确定性。为探究其对评价结果的影响,该研究以江西省兴国县花岗岩区为例,利用地理探测器探测17个环境因子的统计量q值,根据累计q值百分比大小依次选择4、7、10和17个环境因子进行组合;利用单随机欠采样、频率比法及改进频率比法等负样本选取策略构建与正样本等量的负样本数据集;采用随机森林模型进行易发性评价,并对评价结果进行对比分析。结果表明:1)3种负样本选取策略下的模型精度随着因子数量的增加先下降再上升,考虑4个环境因子的模型AUC(area under curve)值分别为0.729、0.909和0.909,较最优环境因子组合仅相差0.020~0.038,说明考虑主控环境因子,即可得到较为理想的精度;2)通过频率比法选取的负样本数据集更具合理性;3)研究区内高和极高易发区主要分布在兴国县西南部,而极低易发区主要分布在兴国县北部及东部,这与实际情况较吻合。该研究通过探究不同环境因子组合和负样本选取策略对崩岗易发性评价的影响,可为花岗岩区崩岗的防灾减灾提供科学依据。展开更多
Assessment of imprecise time-variant reliability in engineering is a critical task when accounting for both the variability of structural properties and loads over time and the presence of uncertainties involved in th...Assessment of imprecise time-variant reliability in engineering is a critical task when accounting for both the variability of structural properties and loads over time and the presence of uncertainties involved in the ambiguity of parameters simultaneously.To estimate the Imprecise Time-variant Failure Probability Function(ITFPF)and derive the imprecise reliability results as a byproduct,Adaptive Combination Augmented Line Sampling(ACALS)is proposed.It consists of three integrated features:Augmented Line Sampling(ALS),adaptive strategy,and the optimal combination.ALS is adopted as an efficient analysis tool to obtain the failure probability function w.r.t.imprecise parameters.Then,the adaptive strategy iteratively applies ALS while considering both imprecise parameters and time simultaneously.Finally,the optimal combination algorithm collects all result components in an optimal manner to minimize the Coefficient of Variance(C.o.V.)of the ITFPF estimate.Overall,the proposed ACALS method outperforms the original ALS method by efficiently estimating the ITFPF while guaranteeing a minimal C.o.V.Thus,the proposed approach can serve as an effective tool for imprecise time-variant reliability analysis in real engineering applications.Several examples are presented to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in addressing the challenges of estimating the ITFPF.展开更多
Actor-Critic是一种强化学习方法,通过与环境在线试错交互收集样本来学习策略,是求解序贯感知决策问题的有效手段.但是,这种在线交互的主动学习范式在一些复杂真实环境中收集样本时会带来成本和安全问题离线强化学习作为一种基于数据驱...Actor-Critic是一种强化学习方法,通过与环境在线试错交互收集样本来学习策略,是求解序贯感知决策问题的有效手段.但是,这种在线交互的主动学习范式在一些复杂真实环境中收集样本时会带来成本和安全问题离线强化学习作为一种基于数据驱动的强化学习范式,强调从静态样本数据集中学习策略,与环境无探索交互,为机器人、自动驾驶、健康护理等真实世界部署应用提供了可行的解决方案,是近年来的研究热点.目前,离线强化学习方法存在学习策略和行为策略之间的分布偏移挑战,针对这个挑战,通常采用策略约束或值函数正则化来限制访问数据集分布之外(Out-Of-Distribution,OOD)的动作,从而导致学习性能过于保守,阻碍了值函数网络的泛化和学习策略的性能提升.为此,本文利用不确定性估计和OOD采样来平衡值函数学习的泛化性和保守性,提出一种基于不确定性估计的离线确定型Actor-Critic方法(Offline Deterministic Actor-Critic based on UncertaintyEstimation,ODACUE).首先,针对确定型策略,给出一种Q值函数的不确定性估计算子定义,理论证明了该算子学到的Q值函数是最优Q值函数的一种悲观估计.然后,将不确定性估计算子应用于确定型Actor-Critic框架中,通过对不确定性估计算子进行凸组合构造Critic学习的目标函数.最后,D4RL基准数据集任务上的实验结果表明:相较于对比算法,ODACUE在11个不同质量等级数据集任务中的总体性能提升最低达9.56%,最高达64.92%.此外,参数分析和消融实验进一步验证了ODACUE的稳定性和泛化能力.展开更多
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China(No.2022YFC3004705)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52074280,52227901 and 52204249)National Natural Science Foundation of China Youth Fund(No.52104230).
文摘Effective monitoring of the structural health of combined coal-rock under complex geological conditions by pressure stimulated currents(PSCs)has great potential for the understanding of dynamic disasters in underground engineering.To reveal the effect of this way,the uniaxial compression experiments with PSC monitoring were conducted on three types of coal-rock combination samples with different strength combinations.The mechanism explanation of PSCs are investigated by resistivity test,atomic force microscopy(AFM)and computed tomography(CT)methods,and a PSC flow model based on progressive failure process is proposed.The influence of strength combinations on PSCs in the progressive failure process are emphasized.The results show the PSC responses between rock part,coal part and the two components are different,which are affected by multi-scale fracture characteristics and electrical properties.As the rock strength decreases,the progressive failure process changes obviously with the influence range of interface constraint effect decreasing,resulting in the different responses of PSC strength and direction in different parts to fracture behaviors.The PSC flow model is initially validated by the relationship between the accumulated charges of different parts.The results are expected to provide a new reference and method for mining design and roadway quality assessment.
基金Projects(51774196,51804181,51874190)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2019GSF111020)supported by the Key R&D Program of Shandong Province,ChinaProject(201908370205)supported by the China Scholarship Council。
文摘The deformation and failure of coal and rock is energy-driving results according to thermodynamics.It is important to study the strain energy characteristics of coal-rock composite samples to better understand the deformation and failure mechanism of of coal-rock composite structures.In this research,laboratory tests and numerical simulation of uniaxial compressions of coal-rock composite samples were carried out with five different loading rates.The test results show that strength,deformation,acoustic emission(AE)and energy evolution of coal-rock composite sample all have obvious loading rate effects.The uniaxial compressive strength and elastic modulus increase with the increase of loading rate.And with the increase of loading rate,the AE energy at the peak strength of coal-rock composites increases first,then decreases,and then increases.With the increase of loading rate,the AE cumulative count first decreases and then increases.And the total absorption energy and dissipation energy of coal-rock composite samples show non-linear increasing trends,while release elastic strain energy increases first and then decreases.The laboratory experiments conducted on coal-rock composite samples were simulated numerically using the particle flow code(PFC).With careful selection of suitable material constitutive models for coal and rock,and accurate estimation and calibration of mechanical parameters of coal-rock composite sample,it was possible to obtain a good agreement between the laboratory experimental and numerical results.This research can provide references for understanding failure of underground coalrock composite structure by using energy related measuring methods.
基金funded by the National Key Science and Technology Projects of China(2012ZX10004219 and 2013ZX10004001)
文摘A set of universal loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) primers targeting the flo gene was designed to detect Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (B. burgdorferi s.I.) in human samples. The sensitivity of LAMP was 20 copies/reaction, and the assay did not detect false positives among 11 other related bacteria. A positive LAMP result was obtained for 9 of the 24 confirmed cases and for 12 of 94 suspected cases. The positive rate of LAMP was the same as that of nested PCR. The LAMP is a useful diagnostic method that can be developed for rapid detection of B. burgdorferi s.I. in human sera. Combination of the LAMP and nested PCR was more sensitive for detecting B. burgdorferi s.I. in human serum samples.
文摘This paper analyzes the characteristics of the destination distribution of trips and proposes a stratified sampling strategy for travel mode choice.The stratified sampling strategy can reduce the size of the alternative set;thus,the computation burden of simulation is decreased.Using the stratified sampling strategy,a combined choice model of the trip mode and destination is developed based on the Bayesian theory.Simulations are carried out to verify the proposed model.The results show that the combined choice model of the trip mode and destination can efficiently simulate travelers' choice behaviors.Furthermore,the forecasting accuracy of the combined choice model is higher than the one of the gravity model.Therefore,the proposed model is a powerful tool with which to analyze travelers' behaviors in selecting the trip mode.
基金Project(2012AA062104) supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of ChinaProject(201104583) supported by the Postdoctoral Special Funded Projects,China
文摘The drum shearer and high pressure water jet combined cutting system is an effective technology to cut hard coal-rock, but one problem of the technology is the choice of pick and nozzle location parameters. In order to solve the problem, the process and mechanism of combined cutting arc studied and mining seepage catastrophe theory is used to construct the mathematic and physical model of combined cutting hard coal-rock. Based on the model and detailed analysis of combined cutting mechanism, the single pick and nozzle combined cutting test-bed is built to test the main pick and nozzle location parameters of drum shearer and water jet combined cutting system. Test results show that the best vertical distance between the pick-tip and nozzle center point is the sum of cutting thickness and proper target distance in the Y axial direction; the best horizontal distance is the length between pick-tip point and coal-rock surface bursting crack point in the X axial direction. The best incident angle of water jet should be the same as the bursting crack line's angle in theory, but considering other important factors comprehensively, it is more reasonable when the incident angle of water jet is 90°.
文摘Ultrasonic pulse velocity (UPV) and rebound hammer (RH) tests are often used for assessing the quality of concrete and estimation of its compressive strength. Several parameters influence this property of concrete as the type and size of aggregates, cement content, the implementation of concrete, etc. To account for these factors, both of the two tests are combined and their measurements are calibrated with the results of mechanical tests on cylindrical specimens cast on site and on cores taken from the existing structure in work progress at the new-city Massinissa El-Khroub Constantine in Algeria. In this study;the two tests cited above have been used to determine the concrete quality by applying regression analysis models between compressive strength of in situ concrete on existing structure and the nondestructive tests values, the combined method is used, equations are derived using statistical analysis (simple and multiple regression) to estimate compressive strength of concrete on site and the reliability of the technique for prediction of the strength is discussed for this case study.
文摘选取典型芦苇湿地基于芦苇叶片实测高光谱数据和叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,LAI),在原始光谱的基础上进行了平滑(R)、一阶微分(FD)、倒数(RT)、对数(LT)、倒数一阶微分(RTFD)、对数一阶微分(LTFD)等六种光谱变换,利用竞争性自适应重加权算法(CARS)对不同变换下芦苇LAI特征光谱波段予以筛选,进而用筛选的特征波段采用逐波段组合法(BCI)构建芦苇LAI敏感光谱指数,利用随机森林(RF)、极端梯度提升(XGBoost)以及支持向量机(SVM)回归算法,构建芦苇LAI的高光谱估算模型。结果表明,采用CARS算法筛选不同变换光谱的特征波段构建模型,发现经过FD变换(R^(2)=0.417,RMSE=0.905)的模型效果最优。在CARS基础上使用筛选过后的特征波段构建植被指数进行建模比较,模型效果最好的是XGBoost(R^(2)=0.620,RMSE=0.826)。
基金Project(2014QNB31)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,ChinaProjects(51674248)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject supported by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD),China
文摘Tackling the problems of underground water storage in collieries in arid regions requires knowledge of the effect of water intrusion and loading rate on the mechanical properties of and crack development in coal–rock combinations. Fifty-four coal–rock combinations were prepared and split equally into groups containing different moisture contents(dry, natural moisture and saturated) to conduct acoustic emission testing under uniaxial compression with loading rates ranging from 0.1 mm/min to 0.6 mm/min. The results show that the peak stress and strength-softening modulus, elastic modulus, strain-softening modulus, and post-peak modulus partly decrease with increasing moisture content and loading rate. In contrast, peak strain increases with increasing moisture content and fluctuates with rising loading rate. More significantly, the relationship between stiffness and stress, combined with accumulated counts of acoustic emission, can be used to precisely predict all phases of crack propagation. This is helpful in studying the impact of moisture content and loading rate on crack propagation and accurately calculating mechanical properties. We also determined that the stress thresholds of crack closure, crack initiation, and crack damage do not vary with changes of moisture content and loading rate, constituting 15.22%, 32.20%, and 80.98% of peak stress, respectively. These outcomes assist in developing approaches to water storage in coal mines, determining the necessary width of waterproof coal–rock pillars, and methods of supporting water-enriched roadways, while also advances understanding the mechanical properties of coal–rock combinations and laws of crack propagation.
基金This work was supported by the Scientific Research Projects of Tianjin Educational Committee(No.2020KJ029)。
文摘The prediction process often runs with small samples and under-sufficient information.To target this problem,we propose a performance comparison study that combines prediction and optimization algorithms based on experimental data analysis.Through a large number of prediction and optimization experiments,the accuracy and stability of the prediction method and the correction ability of the optimization method are studied.First,five traditional single-item prediction methods are used to process small samples with under-sufficient information,and the standard deviation method is used to assign weights on the five methods for combined forecasting.The accuracy of the prediction results is ranked.The mean and variance of the rankings reflect the accuracy and stability of the prediction method.Second,the error elimination prediction optimization method is proposed.To make,the prediction results are corrected by error elimination optimization method(EEOM),Markov optimization and two-layer optimization separately to obtain more accurate prediction results.The degree improvement and decline are used to reflect the correction ability of the optimization method.The results show that the accuracy and stability of combined prediction are the best in the prediction methods,and the correction ability of error elimination optimization is the best in the optimization methods.The combination of the two methods can well solve the problem of prediction with small samples and under-sufficient information.Finally,the accuracy of the combination of the combined prediction and the error elimination optimization is verified by predicting the number of unsafe events in civil aviation in a certain year.
文摘不同环境因子组合和负样本选取策略对崩岗易发性评价结果存在较多不确定性。为探究其对评价结果的影响,该研究以江西省兴国县花岗岩区为例,利用地理探测器探测17个环境因子的统计量q值,根据累计q值百分比大小依次选择4、7、10和17个环境因子进行组合;利用单随机欠采样、频率比法及改进频率比法等负样本选取策略构建与正样本等量的负样本数据集;采用随机森林模型进行易发性评价,并对评价结果进行对比分析。结果表明:1)3种负样本选取策略下的模型精度随着因子数量的增加先下降再上升,考虑4个环境因子的模型AUC(area under curve)值分别为0.729、0.909和0.909,较最优环境因子组合仅相差0.020~0.038,说明考虑主控环境因子,即可得到较为理想的精度;2)通过频率比法选取的负样本数据集更具合理性;3)研究区内高和极高易发区主要分布在兴国县西南部,而极低易发区主要分布在兴国县北部及东部,这与实际情况较吻合。该研究通过探究不同环境因子组合和负样本选取策略对崩岗易发性评价的影响,可为花岗岩区崩岗的防灾减灾提供科学依据。
基金The Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(Nos.20170968002,20230003068002)The National Major Science and Technology Projects of China(Nos.J2019-II-0022-0043,J2019-VII-0013-0153).
文摘Assessment of imprecise time-variant reliability in engineering is a critical task when accounting for both the variability of structural properties and loads over time and the presence of uncertainties involved in the ambiguity of parameters simultaneously.To estimate the Imprecise Time-variant Failure Probability Function(ITFPF)and derive the imprecise reliability results as a byproduct,Adaptive Combination Augmented Line Sampling(ACALS)is proposed.It consists of three integrated features:Augmented Line Sampling(ALS),adaptive strategy,and the optimal combination.ALS is adopted as an efficient analysis tool to obtain the failure probability function w.r.t.imprecise parameters.Then,the adaptive strategy iteratively applies ALS while considering both imprecise parameters and time simultaneously.Finally,the optimal combination algorithm collects all result components in an optimal manner to minimize the Coefficient of Variance(C.o.V.)of the ITFPF estimate.Overall,the proposed ACALS method outperforms the original ALS method by efficiently estimating the ITFPF while guaranteeing a minimal C.o.V.Thus,the proposed approach can serve as an effective tool for imprecise time-variant reliability analysis in real engineering applications.Several examples are presented to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in addressing the challenges of estimating the ITFPF.
文摘Actor-Critic是一种强化学习方法,通过与环境在线试错交互收集样本来学习策略,是求解序贯感知决策问题的有效手段.但是,这种在线交互的主动学习范式在一些复杂真实环境中收集样本时会带来成本和安全问题离线强化学习作为一种基于数据驱动的强化学习范式,强调从静态样本数据集中学习策略,与环境无探索交互,为机器人、自动驾驶、健康护理等真实世界部署应用提供了可行的解决方案,是近年来的研究热点.目前,离线强化学习方法存在学习策略和行为策略之间的分布偏移挑战,针对这个挑战,通常采用策略约束或值函数正则化来限制访问数据集分布之外(Out-Of-Distribution,OOD)的动作,从而导致学习性能过于保守,阻碍了值函数网络的泛化和学习策略的性能提升.为此,本文利用不确定性估计和OOD采样来平衡值函数学习的泛化性和保守性,提出一种基于不确定性估计的离线确定型Actor-Critic方法(Offline Deterministic Actor-Critic based on UncertaintyEstimation,ODACUE).首先,针对确定型策略,给出一种Q值函数的不确定性估计算子定义,理论证明了该算子学到的Q值函数是最优Q值函数的一种悲观估计.然后,将不确定性估计算子应用于确定型Actor-Critic框架中,通过对不确定性估计算子进行凸组合构造Critic学习的目标函数.最后,D4RL基准数据集任务上的实验结果表明:相较于对比算法,ODACUE在11个不同质量等级数据集任务中的总体性能提升最低达9.56%,最高达64.92%.此外,参数分析和消融实验进一步验证了ODACUE的稳定性和泛化能力.