Understanding and modeling individuals’behaviors during epidemics is crucial for effective epidemic control.However,existing research ignores the impact of users’irrationality on decision-making in the epidemic.Mean...Understanding and modeling individuals’behaviors during epidemics is crucial for effective epidemic control.However,existing research ignores the impact of users’irrationality on decision-making in the epidemic.Meanwhile,existing disease control methods often assume users’full compliance with measures like mandatory isolation,which does not align with the actual situation.To address these issues,this paper proposes a prospect theorybased framework to model users’decision-making process in epidemics and analyzes how irrationality affects individuals’behaviors and epidemic dynamics.According to the analysis results,irrationality tends to prompt conservative behaviors when the infection risk is low but encourages risk-seeking behaviors when the risk is high.Then,this paper proposes a behavior inducement algorithm to guide individuals’behaviors and control the spread of disease.Simulations and real user tests validate our analysis,and simulation results show that the proposed behavior inducement algorithm can effectively guide individuals’behavior.展开更多
The paper discusses several wide-spread misunderstandings of Kuhn's theory of scientific development, most prominently the ascription that he conceives of scientific development as irrational. The core of this ascrip...The paper discusses several wide-spread misunderstandings of Kuhn's theory of scientific development, most prominently the ascription that he conceives of scientific development as irrational. The core of this ascription is an assessment of incommensurability as implying the lack of any rational possibility of theory comparison. This is supposed to be due to Gestalt switches and a quasi-religious element of conversion in theory change. Accordingly, scientific revolutions cannot be a serious matter for philosophical analysis; they furthermore foreclose any scientific progress. It is shown that such images of Kuhn's theory rest on deep misunderstandings that are partly due to Kuhn's writing style.展开更多
It is generally believed that Edgar Allan Poe’s detective stories feature the ratiocination of C.Auguste Dupin,a detective Poe has created.However,this paper aims to demonstrate that there is actually an undercurrent...It is generally believed that Edgar Allan Poe’s detective stories feature the ratiocination of C.Auguste Dupin,a detective Poe has created.However,this paper aims to demonstrate that there is actually an undercurrent of irrationality in Poe’s detective stories.First of all,ratiocination,by definition,refers to inference,or deductive rules.It is also a type of the Enlightenment thinking that is closely related to reason or rationality.In detective fiction,it is the detective’s ability to analyze the clues and reason out the truth.It is true that Dupin’s ratiocination predominates in Poe’s detective stories.However,a closer look will reveal that Dupin’s ratiocinative processes in these stories are in fact blended with his speculation or imagination,namely,elements of irrationality.That is,beneath Dupin’s seemly seamless ratiocinative model is indeed an undercurrent of irrationality.To find out the origin of this undercurrent,we have to research the historical background of Poe’s detective stories.In the era of Poe’s detective stories,the Enlightenment is the dominant thinking,while there is also a resistant force developing at the same time,Gothicism.The Enlightenment puts a premium on reason;in contrast,Gothicism is often equated with irrationality,whose manifestations include horror or imagination.Poe,who is deemed as the“romantic ironist”,is a writer who is uniquely capable of making two statements with opposite meanings simultaneously.So as he indicates that ratiocination will lead to the truth in his detective stories,he may as well implies that imagination or speculation will also fulfill the same purpose.In addition,Poe excels in absorbing contraries;thus,he infuses both rationality and irrationality into his detective stories.For Poe,the latter has to be subdued by the former.As a consequence,the former plays a pivotal role in Poe’s detective stories,while the latter ends up as an undercurrent.展开更多
文摘Understanding and modeling individuals’behaviors during epidemics is crucial for effective epidemic control.However,existing research ignores the impact of users’irrationality on decision-making in the epidemic.Meanwhile,existing disease control methods often assume users’full compliance with measures like mandatory isolation,which does not align with the actual situation.To address these issues,this paper proposes a prospect theorybased framework to model users’decision-making process in epidemics and analyzes how irrationality affects individuals’behaviors and epidemic dynamics.According to the analysis results,irrationality tends to prompt conservative behaviors when the infection risk is low but encourages risk-seeking behaviors when the risk is high.Then,this paper proposes a behavior inducement algorithm to guide individuals’behaviors and control the spread of disease.Simulations and real user tests validate our analysis,and simulation results show that the proposed behavior inducement algorithm can effectively guide individuals’behavior.
文摘The paper discusses several wide-spread misunderstandings of Kuhn's theory of scientific development, most prominently the ascription that he conceives of scientific development as irrational. The core of this ascription is an assessment of incommensurability as implying the lack of any rational possibility of theory comparison. This is supposed to be due to Gestalt switches and a quasi-religious element of conversion in theory change. Accordingly, scientific revolutions cannot be a serious matter for philosophical analysis; they furthermore foreclose any scientific progress. It is shown that such images of Kuhn's theory rest on deep misunderstandings that are partly due to Kuhn's writing style.
基金This paper is adapted from my Ph.D.dissertation,“Say the unsaid,repair the fractures-On the narrative ruptures in Edgar Allan Poe’s detective stories”.Here,in addition to thanking the anonymous reviewer for his or her opinions on this paper,I would like to express my deepest appreciation for my Ph.D.dissertation advisors,Professor Frank W.Stevenson,and Professor Eva Yin-I Chen.And I must also be thankful to Professor Chin-Yuan Hu,Professor Yi Ping Liang,and Professor Brian D.Phillips,all three of whom participated in my oral defenses and proofread my Ph.D.dissertation.
文摘It is generally believed that Edgar Allan Poe’s detective stories feature the ratiocination of C.Auguste Dupin,a detective Poe has created.However,this paper aims to demonstrate that there is actually an undercurrent of irrationality in Poe’s detective stories.First of all,ratiocination,by definition,refers to inference,or deductive rules.It is also a type of the Enlightenment thinking that is closely related to reason or rationality.In detective fiction,it is the detective’s ability to analyze the clues and reason out the truth.It is true that Dupin’s ratiocination predominates in Poe’s detective stories.However,a closer look will reveal that Dupin’s ratiocinative processes in these stories are in fact blended with his speculation or imagination,namely,elements of irrationality.That is,beneath Dupin’s seemly seamless ratiocinative model is indeed an undercurrent of irrationality.To find out the origin of this undercurrent,we have to research the historical background of Poe’s detective stories.In the era of Poe’s detective stories,the Enlightenment is the dominant thinking,while there is also a resistant force developing at the same time,Gothicism.The Enlightenment puts a premium on reason;in contrast,Gothicism is often equated with irrationality,whose manifestations include horror or imagination.Poe,who is deemed as the“romantic ironist”,is a writer who is uniquely capable of making two statements with opposite meanings simultaneously.So as he indicates that ratiocination will lead to the truth in his detective stories,he may as well implies that imagination or speculation will also fulfill the same purpose.In addition,Poe excels in absorbing contraries;thus,he infuses both rationality and irrationality into his detective stories.For Poe,the latter has to be subdued by the former.As a consequence,the former plays a pivotal role in Poe’s detective stories,while the latter ends up as an undercurrent.