Research on Public Engineering Emergency Decision-Making Based on Multi-Granularity Language Information

To effectively deal with fuzzy and uncertain information in public engineering emergencies,an emergency decision-making method based on multi-granularity language information is proposed.Firstly,decision makers select the appropriate language phrase set according to their own situation,give the preference information of the weight of each key indicator,and then transform the multi-granularity language information through consistency.On this basis,the sequential optimization technology of the approximately ideal scheme is introduced to obtain the weight coefficient of each key indicator.Subsequently,the weighted average operator is used to aggregate the preference information of each alternative scheme with the relative importance of decision-makers and the weight of key indicators in sequence,and the comprehensive evaluation value of each scheme is obtained to determine the optimal scheme.Lastly,the effectiveness and practicability of the method are verified by taking the earthwork collapse accident in the construction of a reservoir as an example.

Dynamic analysis of major public health emergency transmission considering the dual-layer coupling of community–resident complex networks

We construct a dual-layer coupled complex network of communities and residents to represent the interconnected risk transmission network between communities and the disease transmission network among residents. It characterizes the process of infectious disease transmission among residents between communities through the SE2IHR model considering two types of infectors. By depicting a more fine-grained social structure and combining further simulation experiments, the study validates the crucial role of various prevention and control measures implemented by communities as primary executors in controlling the epidemic. Research shows that the geographical boundaries of communities and the social interaction patterns of residents have a significant impact on the spread of the epidemic, where early detection, isolation and treatment strategies at community level are essential for controlling the spread of the epidemic. In addition, the study explores the collaborative governance model and institutional advantages of communities and residents in epidemic prevention and control.

Decision-Making Model of Public Service Facility Configuration in Multi-agent Communities and Its Application

The decision.making process of the public service facility configuration in multi.agent community is usually simplistic and static. In order to reflect dynamic changes and interactions of all behavior subjects induding of residents, real estate developers and the government, a decision-making model of public service facility configuration according to the multi-agent theory was made to improve the efficiency of the public service facility configuration in community and the living quality of residents. Taking a community to the cast of Jinhui Port in Fengxian District in Shanghai for example, the model analyzed the decision-makers＇ adaptive behaviors and simulated the decision.making criteria. The results indicate that the decision-making model and criteria can be well of satisfying the purpose of improving validity and rationality of public service facility configuration in large community.

Analysis of TOPSIS techniques based on bipolar complex fuzzy N-soft setting and their applications in decision-making problems

A novel model termed a bipolar complex fuzzy N-soft set(BCFN-SS)is initiated for tackling information that involves positive and negative aspects,the second dimension,and parameterised grading simultaneously.The theory of BCFN-SS is the generalisation of two various theories,that is,bipolar complex fuzzy(BCF)and N-SS.The invented model of BCFN-SS helps decision-makers to cope with the genuine-life dilemmas containing BCF information along with parameterised grading at the same time.Further,various algebraic operations,including the usual type of union,intersection,complements,and a few others types,are invented.Certain primary operational laws for BCFNSS are also invented.Moreover,a technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution(TOPSIS)approach is devised in the setting of BCFN-SS for managing strategic decision-making(DM)dilemmas containing BCFN-SS information.Keeping in mind the usefulness and benefits of the TOPSIS approach,two various types of TOPSIS approaches in the environment of BCFN-SS are devised and then a numerical example for exposing the usefulness of the devised TOPSIS approach is interpreted.To disclose the prominence and benefits of the devised work,the devised approaches with numerous prevailing work are compared.

Simulating the Spreading of Two Competing Public Opinion Information on Complex Network

In this paper, we investigate the regularity of spreading of information and public opinions towards two competing products in complex networks. By building its mathematical model and simulating its evolution process, we have found the statistical regularity for support rates of two different products at a steady stage. The research shows that strength of the public opinion spreading is proportional to the final support rates of a product.

Understanding the Impact of Economic Crisis on the Distribution of Organizational Decision-Making Authority

Understanding the dynamics of decision making in the right way is an important problem for the management of organizations.In today’s business life organizations are becoming more complex,and the environments they are operating in,are becoming increasingly uncertain.The aim of this paper is to contribute to the understanding of the dynamics of managerial decision-making process in complex internal and external environments by sharing the results of an empirical study(Onuk,2009).While taking the levels of the organizational structure as one of the important dimensions of complex internal environment,complex external environment is reflected within the study as economic crisis.Using the survey tool developed by Onuk(2009),the empirical study realized in the Turkish organization of a large global company investigated decision-making process to understand how decision-making authority for different types of decisions,identified as strategic,tactical,and operational level decisions,was distributed throughout the organization levels,and how this distribution was impacted by economic crisis.The results of the study confirmed the following common expectations:(1)Strategic decisions are mostly taken at upper hierarchical levels of the organizational structure;(2)during times of economic crisis strategic decision making is centralized;and(3)during times of economic crisis distribution of decision-making authority is concentrated at upper management levels.

Multidimensional resilience decision-making for complex and substructured systems

Complex systems,such as infrastructure networks,industrial plants and jet engines,are of paramount importance to modern societies.However,these systems are subject to a variety of different threats.Novel research focuses not only on monitoring and improving the robustness and reliability of systems,but also on their recoverability from adverse events.The concept of resilience encompasses precisely these aspects.However,efficient resilience analysis for the modern systems of our societies is becoming more and more challenging.Due to their increasing complexity,system components frequently exhibit significant complexity of their own,requiring them to be modeled as systems,i.e.,subsystems.Therefore,efficient resilience analysis approaches are needed to address this emerging challenge.This work presents an efficient resilience decision-making procedure for complex and substructured systems.A novel methodology is derived by bringing together two methods from the fields of reliability analysis and modern resilience assessment.A resilience decision-making framework and the concept of survival signature are extended and merged,providing an efficient approach for quantifying the resilience of complex,large and substructured systems subject to monetary restrictions.The new approach combines both of the advantageous characteristics of its two original components:A direct comparison between various resilience-enhancing options from a multidimensional search space,leading to an optimal trade-off with respect to the system resilience and a significant reduction of the computational effort due to the separation property of the survival signature,once a subsystem structure has been computed,any possible characterization of the probabilistic part can be validated with no need to recompute the structure.The developed methods are applied to the functional model of a multistage high-speed axial compressor and two substructured systems of increasing complexity,providing accurate results and demonstrating efficiency and general applicability.

Two-Layer Coupled Network Model for Topic Derivation in Public Opinion Propagation

In view of the fact that news can generate derivative topics when it spreads through micro-blogs,a two-layer coupled SEIR public opinion propagation model is proposed in this paper.The model divides the process of public opinion propagation into two layers:the original topic layer and the derived topic layer.Messages are transmitted separately by the SEIR model in the two topic layers,which are independent and interactive.The influence of the topic derivation rate on the propagation trend is established by solving for the equilibrium point and propagation threshold.Further,we establish the relationship between the original topic and the derived topic by simulation.This paper uses the Baidu index to demonstrate the correctness of the model.The relationship between the derived topic and the original topic is verified by adjusting the parameters by the control variable method.The results show that the proposed model is consistent with the propagation of actual public opinion.

Policy Research in a Complex Context

Today’s world is characterized by uncertainty and complexity. While examining the importance of research in such a context, the paper attempts to outline a first definition of the role and potential of policy research. The policy process itself has become increasingly complex and non linear, as has its relationship with research. Consequently, policy researchers’ contributions to policymakers may not have a direct, punctual and immediate influence on single issues, but rather a more pervasive, interactive, deliberative effect. Focusing on the theoretical definition of the risk, uncertainty and complexity of the policy process today, the paper outlines some questions and puts forward possible answers which offer a starting point for further analysis. It explores a new role for policy research and underlines the opportunities offered by argumentative, deliberative and multidisciplinary approaches which can positively impact democracy.

Dombi-Normalized Weighted Bonferroni Mean Operators with Novel Multiple-Valued Complex Neutrosophic Uncertain Linguistic Sets and Their Application in Decision Making

Although fuzzy set concepts have evolved,neutrosophic sets are attractingmore attention due to the greater power of the structure of neutrosophic sets.The ability to account for components that are true,false or neither true nor false is useful in the resolution of real-life problems.However,simultaneous variations render neutrosophic sets unsuitable in specific circumstances.To enable the management of these sorts of issues,we combine the principle of multi-valued neutrosophic uncertain linguistic sets and complex fuzzy sets to develop the principle of multivalued complex neutrosophic uncertain linguistic sets.Multi-valued complex neutrosophic uncertain linguistic sets can contain grades of truth,abstinence,and falsity,and uncertain linguistic terms,which are expressed as complex numbers whose real and imaginary parts are limited to the unit interval.Some important Dombi laws are elaborated along with Bonferroni mean operators,which offer a flexible general structure with modifiable factors.Bonferroni means aggregation operators perform a significant role in conveying the magnitude level of options and characteristics.To determine relationships among any number of attributes,we develop multi-valued complex neutrosophic uncertain linguistic Dombi-normalized weighted Bonferroni mean operators and discuss their important properties with some special cases.By using these laws,we can deploy themulti-attribute decisionmaking(MADM)technique using the novel principle of multi-valued complex neutrosophic uncertain linguistic sets.To determine the power and flexibility of the elaborated approach,we resolve some numerical examples based on the proposed operator.Finally,the work is validated with the help of comparative analysis,a discussion of its advantages,and geometric expressions of the elaborated theories.

Aggregation operators and CRITIC-VIKOR method for confidence complex q-rung orthopair normal fuzzy information and their applications

Supply chain management is an essential part of an organisation's sustainable programme.Understanding the concentration of natural environment,public,and economic influence and feasibility of your suppliers and purchasers is becoming progressively familiar as all industries are moving towards a massive sustainable potential.To handle such sort of developments in supply chain management the involvement of fuzzy settings and their generalisations is playing an important role.Keeping in mind this role,the aim of this study is to analyse the role and involvement of complex q-rung orthopair normal fuzzy(CQRONF)information in supply chain management.The major impact of this theory is to analyse the notion of confidence CQRONF weighted averaging,confidence CQRONF ordered weighted averaging,confidence CQRONF hybrid averaging,confidence CQRONF weighted geometric,confidence CQRONF ordered weighted geometric,confidence CQRONF hybrid geometric operators and try to diagnose various properties and results.Furthermore,with the help of the CRITIC and VIKOR models,we diagnosed the novel theory of the CQRONF-CRITIC-VIKOR model to check the sensitivity analysis of the initiated method.Moreover,in the availability of diagnosed operators,we constructed a multi-attribute decision-making tool for finding a beneficial sustainable supplier to handle complex dilemmas.Finally,the initiated operator's efficiency is proved by comparative analysis.

Selecting suitable key supplier for core components during smart complex equipment central-private enterprises collaborative development process:from two different forms of evaluation information and matching perspective

With the development of central-private enterprises integration,selecting suitable key suppliers are able to provide core components for smart complex equipment.We consider selecting suitable key suppliers from matching perspective,for it not only satisfies natural development of smart complex equipment,it is also a good implementation of equipment project in central-private enterprises integration context.In in this paper,we carry out two parts of research,one is evaluation attributes based on comprehensive analysis,and the other is matching process between key suppliers and core components based on the matching attribute.In practical analysis process,we employ comprehensive evaluated analysis methods to acquire relevant attributes for the matching process that follows.In the analysis process,we adopt entropy-maximum deviation method(MDM)-decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL)-technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)to obtain a comprehensive analysis.The entropy-MDM is applied to get weight value,DEMATEL is utilized to obtain internal relations,and TOPSIS is adopted to get ideal evaluated solution.We consider aggregating two types of evaluation information according to similarities of smart complex equipment based on the combination between geometric mean and arithmetic mean.Moreover,based on the aforementioned attributes and generalized power Heronian mean operator,we aggregate preference information to acquire relevant satisfaction degree,then combine the constructed matching model to get suitable key supplier.Through comprehensive analysis of selecting suitable suppliers,we know that two-sided matching and information aggregation can provide more research perspectives for smart complex equipment.Through analysis for relevant factors,we find that leading role and service level are also significant for the smart complex equipment development process.

基于改进SEIQR模型的突发网络舆情传播与控制研究

[目的/意义]社会突发事件映射到互联网空间中形成的突发网络舆情在不良因素的干扰下于网民间扩散容易形成强烈的负面情绪导向,很可能对网络社会的和谐稳定产生极大破坏。因此,正确认识突发网络舆情的传播特点,把握各种舆情管控措施对传播的影响,对合理、有效地管理舆情至关重要。[方法/过程]针对突发网络舆情的传播特性对标准SEIQR模型进行改进,提出实施舆情管控措施下以媒体恶意炒作和网民间恶性正反馈为主要传播驱动的SEACBR模型,并利用仿真实验对不同规模的突发网络舆情在各种管控措施下的传播过程进行模拟,以探究不同措施的管控效果并验证模型的泛化性。[结果/结论]管控突发网络舆情应以良性引导为主,其他措施为辅,这样在及时施策、积极治理的情况下突发网络舆情的消极影响就可被有效抑制。

public—key密码系统破裂问题浅介

任何一个公开密钥密码系统(pkcs)可能在非确定的多项式时间内破裂,那么,最低限度,在确定的多项式时间内pkcs则不应当破裂,证明意味着,已知系统在N≠NP时是安全的.简略地说:pkcs的“破裂问题”是一个明文信息M的计算问题,而M又是由未知当前脱密密钥的密码C编码的.典型的计算问题,转换成多项式时间的等值判定性问题,而计算问题的复杂性结构是结合判定问题的分类来度量的.从而,确立了密码复杂性转换成精确结构的论点.

Space Complexity of Algorithm for Modular Multiplicative Inverse

In certain computational systems the amount of space required to execute an algorithm is even more restrictive than the corresponding time necessary for solution of a problem. In this paper an algorithm for modular multiplicative inverse is introduced and its computational space complexity is analyzed. A tight upper bound for bit storage required for execution of the algorithm is provided. It is demonstrated that for range of numbers used in public-key encryption systems, the size of bit storage does not exceed a 2K-bit threshold in the worst-case. This feature of the Enhanced-Euclid algorithm allows designing special-purpose hardware for its implementation as a subroutine in communication-secure wireless devices.

郑州“7·20”地铁水淹事件STAMP致因分析

为探讨河南郑州“7·20”地铁5号线伤亡事件致因,综合运用系统理论事件模型与过程(STAMP)模型,分析5号线伤亡事件安全控制结构,据此逐级辨识事件致因;基于复杂网络理论将事件致因及其联系抽象为网络的节点和边,建立地铁水灾事件网络;计算聚类系数、度数等拓扑参数定量分析事件致因性质,确定关键致因。结果表明:地方党委政府面对汛情的应对部署不紧不实,缺少有效的组织动员和有关部门对工程建设存在失管失察是事件的深层根源;建设单位、设计单位等五方主体单位及运维单位的主体责任失职是事件的主观关键致因;应从政府及有关部门、五方主体单位和运维单位方面采取多元协同的风险防控措施。

金融网络舆情演化机制仿真与实证

构建了金融网络舆情观点聚合模型并进行模拟仿真,在此基础上以2020年“美股熔断”为现实案例,检验了金融网络舆情观点聚合过程,刻画了金融网络舆情演化机制。研究发现:第一,在仿真环境下,个体接受度越大,舆情观点聚合速率越快;信任阈值越大,网络中的观点更容易趋于一致;个体间的强关系更能推动金融网络舆情观点聚合。第二,实证案例验证了个体投资者间的意见交互有利于实现观点聚合,但他们基于消极和积极情绪所表达出的观点仍存在两极对立,且个体投资者与主流财经媒体之间的强关系更能加速推动金融网络舆情演化。该研究结果对于完善中国金融网络舆情监管具有启示意义。

CAS理论视角下我国智慧社区公共体育服务多元治理

采用文献资料、案例分析等研究方法,结合嘉兴市“运动家”智慧体育社区治理实践,从复杂适应系统(CAS)理论视角分析智慧社区公共体育服务治理系统的结构、特征和运行机制。认为:智慧社区公共体育服务治理结构由服务供需主体、政策制度系统、社区环境系统和社会环境系统等多元系统构成,具有聚集、多样性、“流”以及非线性特征,其运行机制包含以“刺激—反应”模型运行的内部自适应机制和以“回声”模型运行的外部交互机制。在此基础上,提出创新“积木块”组合方式、优化制度设计,拓宽资源“流”渠道、整合治理资源,建立创新引领新“标识”、聚合主体共识,重视主体间的“非线性”关系、营造协同治理环境等优化策略。

文化综合体全时开放的公共空间设计研究——以深圳为例

全时开放公共空间设计是影响文化综合体公共空间层次和市民行为活动的重要因素,注重其设计质量对于城市公共空间和市民日常活动都具有重要意义。本文从公共活动的相关理论出发,探讨深圳文化综合体全时开放的公共空间承载市民活动的机制。从激活市民日常公共活动的角度,综合深圳市具有代表性的案例与实践,解析新趋势下文化综合体全时开放公共空间的具体设计方法,反思设计结果,提出了边界消隐、连接加强、尺度适宜、功能复合、流线立体、激发活力的设计策略。

面向复杂舆论场景的信息内容风险诊断模型构建与仿真研究

[研究目的]面向复杂舆论场景提取信息内容风险点,构建风险诊断概念模型,为现实工作提供方法参考和工具借鉴。[研究方法]综合SCL、JHA、SWOT及28位风险专家调查列举的统计数据,挖掘复杂舆论场景中的五大信息内容风险点。借助Delphi Method确定风险诊断指标框架后,运用AHP-DEMATEL加权中心度M_(i)和初始权重W^(1)_(i)并作归一化处理而形成诊断方程,结合风险分级标准构建风险诊断I-E-S模型,最后通过案例仿真检验模型性能。[研究结论]风险源和风险处置绩效对诊断指数的影响最大,受众情感反应与行为反应次之,传播力最小。错误内容占比、二次违法违规用户量、重大负面舆情量、线下失范行为量在20个末项操作化指标中的作用明显。多样本仿真检验发现,I-E-S模型诊断结果与用户风险感知契合度超过82.2%,模型实用性和精准性可初步满足风控工作需求。