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Analysis of the Reform of Ideological and Political Education in College English Curriculum from the Perspective of“Cultural Confidence” 被引量:1
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作者 Hui Zhang 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2024年第2期117-122,共6页
With the rapid development of the education industry,higher requirements have been put forward for college English education and teaching,accelerating the pace of college English reform.Issues such as how to integrate... With the rapid development of the education industry,higher requirements have been put forward for college English education and teaching,accelerating the pace of college English reform.Issues such as how to integrate knowledge transmission,language expression skill improvement,cultural element extraction,and ideological and political education,and present the role of curriculum education function have attracted attention.In the era of informatization,college students’thinking has undergone certain changes and gradually developed towards diversification.Therefore,universities should start from the perspective of cultural confidence,extract valuable ideological and political elements,and explore effective tourism ideological and political teaching methods.While helping college students enhance their cultural confidence,it is also beneficial for them to better inherit traditional Chinese culture.This article conducts an in-depth exploration of ideological and political education in college English courses from the perspective of“cultural confidence”and uses scientific and effective measures to solve the problems encountered,aiming to provide valuable guidelines for relevant researchers. 展开更多
关键词 Cultural confidence College English teaching Course ideological and political education MEASURE
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Reachability-Based Confidence-Aware Probabilistic Collision Detection in Highway Driving
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作者 Xinwei Wang Zirui Li +1 位作者 Javier Alonso-Mora Meng Wang 《Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期90-107,共18页
Risk assessment is a crucial component of collision warning and avoidance systems for intelligent vehicles.Reachability-based formal approaches have been developed to ensure driving safety to accurately detect potenti... Risk assessment is a crucial component of collision warning and avoidance systems for intelligent vehicles.Reachability-based formal approaches have been developed to ensure driving safety to accurately detect potential vehicle collisions.However,they suffer from over-conservatism,potentially resulting in false–positive risk events in complicated real-world applications.In this paper,we combine two reachability analysis techniques,a backward reachable set(BRS)and a stochastic forward reachable set(FRS),and propose an integrated probabilistic collision–detection framework for highway driving.Within this framework,we can first use a BRS to formally check whether a two-vehicle interaction is safe;otherwise,a prediction-based stochastic FRS is employed to estimate the collision probability at each future time step.Thus,the framework can not only identify non-risky events with guaranteed safety but also provide accurate collision risk estimation in safety-critical events.To construct the stochastic FRS,we develop a neural network-based acceleration model for surrounding vehicles and further incorporate a confidence-aware dynamic belief to improve the prediction accuracy.Extensive experiments were conducted to validate the performance of the acceleration prediction model based on naturalistic highway driving data.The efficiency and effectiveness of the framework with infused confidence beliefs were tested in both naturalistic and simulated highway scenarios.The proposed risk assessment framework is promising for real-world applications. 展开更多
关键词 Probabilistic collision detection confidence awareness Probabilistic acceleration prediction Reachability analysis Risk assessment
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Low-Carbon Dispatch of an Integrated Energy System Considering Confidence Intervals for Renewable Energy Generation
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作者 Yan Shi Wenjie Li +2 位作者 Gongbo Fan Luxi Zhang Fengjiu Yang 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第2期461-482,共22页
Addressing the insufficiency in down-regulation leeway within integrated energy systems stemming from the erratic and volatile nature of wind and solar renewable energy generation,this study focuses on formulating a c... Addressing the insufficiency in down-regulation leeway within integrated energy systems stemming from the erratic and volatile nature of wind and solar renewable energy generation,this study focuses on formulating a coordinated strategy involving the carbon capture unit of the integrated energy system and the resources on the load storage side.A scheduling model is devised that takes into account the confidence interval associated with renewable energy generation,with the overarching goal of optimizing the system for low-carbon operation.To begin with,an in-depth analysis is conducted on the temporal energy-shifting attributes and the low-carbon modulation mechanisms exhibited by the source-side carbon capture power plant within the context of integrated and adaptable operational paradigms.Drawing from this analysis,a model is devised to represent the adjustable resources on the charge-storage side,predicated on the principles of electro-thermal coupling within the energy system.Subsequently,the dissimilarities in the confidence intervals of renewable energy generation are considered,leading to the proposition of a flexible upper threshold for the confidence interval.Building on this,a low-carbon dispatch model is established for the integrated energy system,factoring in the margin allowed by the adjustable resources.In the final phase,a simulation is performed on a regional electric heating integrated energy system.This simulation seeks to assess the impact of source-load-storage coordination on the system’s low-carbon operation across various scenarios of reduction margin reserves.The findings underscore that the proactive scheduling model incorporating confidence interval considerations for reduction margin reserves effectively mitigates the uncertainties tied to renewable energy generation.Through harmonized orchestration of source,load,and storage elements,it expands the utilization scope for renewable energy,safeguards the economic efficiency of system operations under low-carbon emission conditions,and empirically validates the soundness and efficacy of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 Integrated energy system carbon capture power plant confidence interval optimized scheduling
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China Continues to Bring Confidence to Global Economy Recovery
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作者 Lily Wang 《China's Foreign Trade》 2024年第1期32-34,共3页
Looking forward to 2024,what opportunities and challenges will global development face?In particular,how can the global economy get rid of the“sequelae”of the pandemic?At the 170th“Monthly Talk on the Economy”held... Looking forward to 2024,what opportunities and challenges will global development face?In particular,how can the global economy get rid of the“sequelae”of the pandemic?At the 170th“Monthly Talk on the Economy”held recently by the China Center for International Economic Exchange,experts analyzed the world’s economy since the outbreak of COVID-19,and made clear the context of and provided suggestions for global development in 2024. 展开更多
关键词 ECONOMY RECOVERY confidence
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Ministry of Commerce:Full of confidence,clear direction,strong motivation
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《China Textile》 2024年第2期16-17,共2页
On March 12,the official account of the International Business Daily of the Ministry of Commerce published an article titled“Foreign trade enterprises:full of confidence,clear direction,strong motivation”.The conten... On March 12,the official account of the International Business Daily of the Ministry of Commerce published an article titled“Foreign trade enterprises:full of confidence,clear direction,strong motivation”.The content is as follows:This year,China is still facing a tough foreign trade situation.On the one hand,many international organizations predict that global economic growth in 2024 will still be lower than the historical average and the pressure on external demand will increase;on the other hand,trade protectionism and unilateralism are on the rise,geopolitical conflicts,the global“super election year”and other spillover factors have created many uncertainties. 展开更多
关键词 MOTIVATION TOUGH confidence
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Validity and reliability of the evaluation tool of TCM confidence in students with TCM learning experience
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作者 Rui-Min Jia Xiao-Ning Yan +1 位作者 Xing-Yu Liu Jin-Nan Wang 《Frontiers of Nursing》 2023年第4期465-469,共5页
Objective:This study aimed to design an evaluation scale of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)confidence and then evaluate its validity and reliability.Methods:Three parallel samples with TCM learning experience were i... Objective:This study aimed to design an evaluation scale of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)confidence and then evaluate its validity and reliability.Methods:Three parallel samples with TCM learning experience were included in this current study.Randomly selected 500 nursing students were included factor analysis and reliability and validity analyses.After 4 weeks,200 nursing students were recruited to retest the reliability.The evaluation tool of TCM confidence included 6 dimensions and 25 entries.Results:Cronbach's a coefficient of the evaluation scale was 0.95 and that of the 6 observed aspects were higher than 0.90,and splithalf reliability was 0.81.For the retest reliability,Cronbach's a coefficient of the evaluation scale was 0.93 and that of the 6 examined aspects was all over 0.80.The index of content validity Scale Content Validity Index(S-CVI)was 0.92 and Item Content Validity Index(I-CVI)was 0.83–1.00.Conclusions:Observed results may indicate that the designed tool can be used to assess the TCM confidence level of students with TCM studied experience and also can evaluate results of TCM education during studying TCM lectures. 展开更多
关键词 Chinese medicine confidence Evaluation tool of Chinese medicine confidence student with TCM experience traditional Chinese medicine validity and reliability
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Exploration on Ideological and Political Construction of Higher Vocational English Course in Southern Xinjiang from the Perspective of "Cultural Confidence" 被引量:1
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作者 Huiqin LIU Maierhaba·Ababake +1 位作者 Lilian YANG Lidan HE 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2023年第3期66-69,共4页
At present,the lack of Chinese culture in higher vocational English teaching in southern Xinjiang is serious.The existing English curriculum system is not enough to support the goal of cultivating ethnic minority coll... At present,the lack of Chinese culture in higher vocational English teaching in southern Xinjiang is serious.The existing English curriculum system is not enough to support the goal of cultivating ethnic minority college students cultural confidence,and its curriculum ideological and political construction is still in the initial stage of exploration.The combination of the Chinese national culture and the ethnic culture of Xinjiang and the ideological and political elements organically integrated into cultural confidence have endowed the vocational English education in Xinjiang with the characteristics of the times.In this paper,from the perspective of China s"cultural confidence",ideological and political elements were explored,and the background of ideological and political construction in higher vocational English teaching course in southern Xinjiang was analyzed;it is expounded that the ideological and political construction is an inevitable requirement for the high-quality development of vocational English education in southern Xinjiang,and the content design and implementation path of higher vocational English course was explored to provide new ideas and new ways for the curriculum ideological and political construction of higher vocational English teaching in southern Xinjiang. 展开更多
关键词 Cultural confidence Southern Xinjiang Vocational English Ideological and political construction
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Prediction of Uncertainty Estimation and Confidence Calibration Using Fully Convolutional Neural Network
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作者 Karim Gasmi Lassaad Ben Ammar +1 位作者 Hmoud Elshammari Fadwa Yahya 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第5期2557-2573,共17页
Convolution neural networks(CNNs)have proven to be effective clinical imagingmethods.This study highlighted some of the key issues within these systems.It is difficult to train these systems in a limited clinical imag... Convolution neural networks(CNNs)have proven to be effective clinical imagingmethods.This study highlighted some of the key issues within these systems.It is difficult to train these systems in a limited clinical image databases,and many publications present strategies including such learning algorithm.Furthermore,these patterns are known formaking a highly reliable prognosis.In addition,normalization of volume and losses of dice have been used effectively to accelerate and stabilize the training.Furthermore,these systems are improperly regulated,resulting in more confident ratings for correct and incorrect classification,which are inaccurate and difficult to understand.This study examines the risk assessment of Fully Convolutional Neural Networks(FCNNs)for clinical image segmentation.Essential contributions have been made to this planned work:1)dice loss and cross-entropy loss are compared on the basis of segment quality and uncertain assessment of FCNNs;2)proposal for a group model for assurance measurement of full convolutional neural networks trained with dice loss and group normalization;And 3)the ability of the measured FCNs to evaluate the segment quality of the structures and to identify test examples outside the distribution.To evaluate the study’s contributions,it conducted a series of tests in three clinical image division applications such as heart,brain and prostate.The findings of the study provide significant insights into the predictive ambiguity assessment and a practical strategies for outside-distribution identification and reliable measurement in the clinical image segmentation.The approaches presented in this research significantly enhance the reliability and accuracy rating of CNNbased clinical imaging methods. 展开更多
关键词 Medical image SEGMENTATION confidence calibration uncertainty estimation fully convolutional neural network
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Monocular 3D object detection with Pseudo-LiDAR confidence sampling and hierarchical geometric feature extraction in 6G network
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作者 Jianlong Zhang Guangzu Fang +3 位作者 Bin Wang Xiaobo Zhou Qingqi Pei Chen Chen 《Digital Communications and Networks》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第4期827-835,共9页
The high bandwidth and low latency of 6G network technology enable the successful application of monocular 3D object detection on vehicle platforms.Monocular 3D-object-detection-based Pseudo-LiDAR is a low-cost,lowpow... The high bandwidth and low latency of 6G network technology enable the successful application of monocular 3D object detection on vehicle platforms.Monocular 3D-object-detection-based Pseudo-LiDAR is a low-cost,lowpower solution compared to LiDAR solutions in the field of autonomous driving.However,this technique has some problems,i.e.,(1)the poor quality of generated Pseudo-LiDAR point clouds resulting from the nonlinear error distribution of monocular depth estimation and(2)the weak representation capability of point cloud features due to the neglected global geometric structure features of point clouds existing in LiDAR-based 3D detection networks.Therefore,we proposed a Pseudo-LiDAR confidence sampling strategy and a hierarchical geometric feature extraction module for monocular 3D object detection.We first designed a point cloud confidence sampling strategy based on a 3D Gaussian distribution to assign small confidence to the points with great error in depth estimation and filter them out according to the confidence.Then,we present a hierarchical geometric feature extraction module by aggregating the local neighborhood features and a dual transformer to capture the global geometric features in the point cloud.Finally,our detection framework is based on Point-Voxel-RCNN(PV-RCNN)with high-quality Pseudo-LiDAR and enriched geometric features as input.From the experimental results,our method achieves satisfactory results in monocular 3D object detection. 展开更多
关键词 Monocular 3D object detection Pseudo-LiDAR confidence sampling Hierarchical geometric feature extraction
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Aggregation operators and CRITIC-VIKOR method for confidence complex q-rung orthopair normal fuzzy information and their applications
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作者 Tahir Mahmood Zeeshan Ali Muhammad Naeem 《CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology》 SCIE EI 2023年第1期40-63,共24页
Supply chain management is an essential part of an organisation's sustainable programme.Understanding the concentration of natural environment,public,and economic influence and feasibility of your suppliers and pu... Supply chain management is an essential part of an organisation's sustainable programme.Understanding the concentration of natural environment,public,and economic influence and feasibility of your suppliers and purchasers is becoming progressively familiar as all industries are moving towards a massive sustainable potential.To handle such sort of developments in supply chain management the involvement of fuzzy settings and their generalisations is playing an important role.Keeping in mind this role,the aim of this study is to analyse the role and involvement of complex q-rung orthopair normal fuzzy(CQRONF)information in supply chain management.The major impact of this theory is to analyse the notion of confidence CQRONF weighted averaging,confidence CQRONF ordered weighted averaging,confidence CQRONF hybrid averaging,confidence CQRONF weighted geometric,confidence CQRONF ordered weighted geometric,confidence CQRONF hybrid geometric operators and try to diagnose various properties and results.Furthermore,with the help of the CRITIC and VIKOR models,we diagnosed the novel theory of the CQRONF-CRITIC-VIKOR model to check the sensitivity analysis of the initiated method.Moreover,in the availability of diagnosed operators,we constructed a multi-attribute decision-making tool for finding a beneficial sustainable supplier to handle complex dilemmas.Finally,the initiated operator's efficiency is proved by comparative analysis. 展开更多
关键词 averaging/geometric aggregation operators complex q-rung orthopair normal fuzzy information confidence levels strategic decision-making methods
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Constructing Confidence Regions for Autoregressive-Model Parameters
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作者 Jan Vrbik 《Applied Mathematics》 2023年第10期704-717,共14页
We discuss formulas and techniques for finding maximum-likelihood estimators of parameters of autoregressive (with particular emphasis on Markov and Yule) models, computing their asymptotic variance-covariance matrix ... We discuss formulas and techniques for finding maximum-likelihood estimators of parameters of autoregressive (with particular emphasis on Markov and Yule) models, computing their asymptotic variance-covariance matrix and displaying the resulting confidence regions;Monte Carlo simulation is then used to establish the accuracy of the corresponding level of confidence. The results indicate that a direct application of the Central Limit Theorem yields errors too large to be acceptable;instead, we recommend using a technique based directly on the natural logarithm of the likelihood function, verifying its substantially higher accuracy. Our study is then extended to the case of estimating only a subset of a model’s parameters, when the remaining ones (called nuisance) are of no interest to us. 展开更多
关键词 MARKOV Yule and Autoregressive Models Maximum Likelihood Function Asymptotic Variance-Covariance Matrix confidence Intervals Nuisance Parameters
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Full Confidence in China’s Development
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作者 ZHOU LIN 《China Today》 2023年第12期42-45,共4页
Roberta Lipson,a pioneering U.S.entrepreneur in China,speaks of the CIIE’s role in international cooperation,healthcare in China,and her own experience in this exclusive interview.
关键词 INTERVIEW SPEAK confidence
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Growing Confidence in China's High-Quality Development
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作者 ZHOU LIN 《China Today》 2023年第4期52-54,共3页
The new philosophy of innovative, coordinated, green, open,and shared development runs through the entire development process and is implemented in all fields of Beijing’s practice of building the “Two Zones.”
关键词 confidence QUALITY INNOVATIVE
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Entry-Level Forward Surgical Team Training Is Associated with Increased Confidence of Primary Combat Surgeons
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作者 Junnan Wang Jiating Hu +4 位作者 Wang Xi Pengchao Cheng Pei Wang Zhinong Wang Jian Xiao 《Surgical Science》 2023年第5期377-387,共11页
Background: In recent years, we have established an entry-level Forward Surgical Team (FST) training program in a Chinese military medical university for the 5th grade undergraduates, who would be deployed to differen... Background: In recent years, we have established an entry-level Forward Surgical Team (FST) training program in a Chinese military medical university for the 5th grade undergraduates, who would be deployed to different military medical services as primary combat surgeons. This study aimed to assess the role of this pre-service training in improving their confidence with combat medical skills, after several years since they received the training. Methods: We conducted a nationwide survey of 239 primary combat surgeons who have ever participated in an entry-level FST training program before deployment between June 2016 and June 2020, which was for evaluating on a 5-point Likert scale the benefits of entry-level FST training and conventional surgery training in improving their confidence with combat medical skills. The difference in scores was compared using the student t-test. Significance was considered as P Results: The total score was significantly higher for entry-level FST training than that for conventional surgery training (30.76 ± 4.33 vs. 28.95 ± 4.80, P There was no significant difference between the training for surgical skills confidence scores (18.03 ± 8.04 vs. 17.51 ± 8.30, P = 0.098), but for non-technical skills, the score of entry-level FST training was significantly higher than that of conventional surgery training (12.73 ± 5.39 vs. 11.44 ± 5.62, P The distributions of confidence scores were different under various subgroups by demographics. There were no significant differences in scores between the two training in all specific surgical skill sets except “life-saving surgery” (P = 0.011). Scores of all 4 non-technical skill sets were significantly higher for entry-level FST than those for conventional surgery training (P Conclusions: The training should be considered as an essential strategy to improve confidence in combat medical skills, especially life-saving surgery and non-technical skills, for primary combat surgeons. 展开更多
关键词 Forward Surgical Team Training Primary Combat Surgeons Combat Medical Skills Increased confidence
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Miracle of Civilization,Assurance of Confidence
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作者 Li Xinlie 《China & The World Cultural Exchange》 2023年第11期28-34,共7页
The"Hemudu Special Exhibition"is the first comprehensive display of Hemudu archaeological achievements in 50 years.This exhibition showcases a large number of artifacts for the first time in Beijing.It inclu... The"Hemudu Special Exhibition"is the first comprehensive display of Hemudu archaeological achievements in 50 years.This exhibition showcases a large number of artifacts for the first time in Beijing.It includes not only a concentrated display of classic archaeological artifacts but also presentations of the latest archaeological findings. 展开更多
关键词 confidence finding EXHIBITION
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The International Profile of Chinese Visiting Scholars in the UK: Improvement Needed in Linguistic, Cultural, and Academic Confidence
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作者 Zhang Rui 《Contemporary Social Sciences》 2021年第2期20-37,共18页
This study used Chinese visiting scholars in the UK as a sample, discussed Chinese visiting scholars' cross-cultural adaptation from the perspectives of linguistic confidence, cultural confidence and academic conf... This study used Chinese visiting scholars in the UK as a sample, discussed Chinese visiting scholars' cross-cultural adaptation from the perspectives of linguistic confidence, cultural confidence and academic confidence, analyzed the correlation among the three types of confidence, and then proposed the concept of establishing a positive international profile of Chinese visiting scholars. It was recommended that Chinese visiting scholars should make more improvements in their cross-cultural adaptation. They should become the representative of China's international image, and play a more active role in further internationalizing of Chinese higher education. 展开更多
关键词 Chinese visiting scholars international profile linguistic confidence cultural confidence academic confidence
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PMMA和Confidence高粘度骨水泥在老年胸腰椎骨折椎体成形术中的应用效果对比分析 被引量:2
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作者 王平 王昊 +2 位作者 武春雷 刘莅彤 任富继 《中国现代手术学杂志》 2016年第6期434-437,共4页
目的比较PMMA和Confidence高粘度骨水泥在老年胸腰椎骨折椎体成形术中的应用效果。方法选取2014年12月~2016年5月我院收治的116例老年胸腰椎骨折行椎体成形术患者,按照随机数字表法将患者分为研究组和对照组,每组58例。研究组使用Confid... 目的比较PMMA和Confidence高粘度骨水泥在老年胸腰椎骨折椎体成形术中的应用效果。方法选取2014年12月~2016年5月我院收治的116例老年胸腰椎骨折行椎体成形术患者,按照随机数字表法将患者分为研究组和对照组,每组58例。研究组使用Confidence高粘度骨水泥填充,对照组使用PMMA骨水泥填充。比较两组手术时间、术中出血量、住院时间、手术前后VAS评分、生活质量水平、椎体前缘高度及Cobb角的差异。结果研究组手术时间、术中出血量、住院时间分别为(73.36±14.83)min、(25.82±6.15)ml、(6.82±2.17)d,与对照组的(78.12±15.19)min、(28.10±6.39)ml、(7.08±2.09)d比较均无显著差异(P〉0.05)。术前,两组VAS评分比较无统计学差异(P〉0.05)。术后3 d、术后10 d、术后30 d,研究组VAS评分分别为(3.06±0.53)分、(1.87±0.42)分、(1.04±0.25)分,均显著低于对照组的(3.56±0.57)分、(2.33±0.51)分、(1.80±0.31)分(P〈0.05)。研究组手术后SF-36各维度评分均较对照组的为优(P〈0.05);两组椎体前缘高度及Cobb角比较无显著差异(P〉0.05)。结论 Confidence高粘度骨水泥用于老年胸腰椎骨折椎体成形术效果好,在减轻疼痛和提高生活质量方面比PMMA骨水泥更优,二者在改善椎体前缘高度及Cobb角方面效果相当。 展开更多
关键词 PMMA骨水泥 confidence高粘度骨水泥 脊柱骨折
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Confidence support vector domain description 被引量:2
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作者 Liu Sanyang Liang Jinjin +1 位作者 Wu De Duan Wei 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第4期852-857,共6页
To accelerate the training of support vector domain description (SVDD), confidence support vector domain description (CSVDD) is proposed based on the observation that the description boundary is determined by a sm... To accelerate the training of support vector domain description (SVDD), confidence support vector domain description (CSVDD) is proposed based on the observation that the description boundary is determined by a small subset of training data called support vectors. Namely, the number of training samples in the userdefined sphere is calculated and taken as the confidence measure, according to which the training samples are ranked in ascending order. Those former ranked ones are selected as the boundary targets for the SVDD training. Simulations on UCI data demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of CSVDD: the number of training targets and the training time are reduced without any loss of accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 support vector domain description confidence support vector domain description user-defined sphere confidence measure boundary targets.
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On the Confidence Limits of Bernoulli Parameter in Any Sequential Case
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作者 陈家鼎 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2001年第1期1-8,共8页
Let x 1,x 2,… be independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, in which x n=0 or 1 and the probability of {x n=1} is p. Here p is unknown. Let τ be any finite stopping ... Let x 1,x 2,… be independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, in which x n=0 or 1 and the probability of {x n=1} is p. Here p is unknown. Let τ be any finite stopping time for (x n,n1). For any sequential sample (x 1,x 2,…,x τ ) and γ∈(0,1), we have given an optimal confidence limit of p with confidence level γ . Some related problems are also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 sequential sample Bernoulli parameter lower (upper) confidence limit
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Reliability Analysis of Wind Turbine Gearbox Based on the Optimal Confidence Limit Method
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作者 安宗文 许洁 张小玲 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2014年第6期839-842,共4页
Based on the zero-failure data of 30 Chinese 1. 5 MW wind turbine gearboxes( WTGs),the optimal confidence limit method was developed to predict the reliability and reliability lifetime of WTG. Firstly,Bayesian method ... Based on the zero-failure data of 30 Chinese 1. 5 MW wind turbine gearboxes( WTGs),the optimal confidence limit method was developed to predict the reliability and reliability lifetime of WTG. Firstly,Bayesian method and classical probability estimation method were introduced to estimate the value interval of shape parameter considering the engineering practice. Secondly,taking this value interval into the optimal confidence limit method,the reliability and reliability lifetime of WTG could be obtained under different confidence levels. Finally,the results of optimal confidence limit method and Bayesian method were compared. And the comparison results show that the rationality of this estimated range.Meantime, the rule of confidence level selection in the optimal confidence limit method is provided, and the reliability and reliability lifetime prediction of WTG can be acquired. 展开更多
关键词 wind turbine gearbox(WTG) the optimal confidence limit method confidence level zero-failure data RELIABILITY
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