园区微能源网在波动的电力现货价格下常面临调度成本的不确定性,易造成额外的损失成本。然而,常用的随机优化手段——典型场景规划、条件风险价值(condition value at risk,CVaR)存在忽略场景合并损失及置信度主观选值的问题。为此,提...园区微能源网在波动的电力现货价格下常面临调度成本的不确定性,易造成额外的损失成本。然而,常用的随机优化手段——典型场景规划、条件风险价值(condition value at risk,CVaR)存在忽略场景合并损失及置信度主观选值的问题。为此,提出兼顾场景相似度与合并损失下的改进场景缩减优化方法,提取典型市场场景集,将场景缩减后的损失度作为置信度的选值依据,形成改进CVaR日前经济调度模型。算例分析表明,基于场景缩减优化引导置信度选值的方法有效促使CVaR值反映实际调度的损失成本,且较主观选值而言更接近理论最低的尾部风险损失,即表明园区微能源网的日前经济调度成本与实际环境更为接近,并进一步讨论了考虑风电不确定性及其他场景缩减方案下的模型推广性。展开更多
In communication alarm correlation analysis,traditional association rules generation(ARG) algorithm usually has low efficiency and high error rate.This paper proposes an alarm correlation rules generation algorithm ba...In communication alarm correlation analysis,traditional association rules generation(ARG) algorithm usually has low efficiency and high error rate.This paper proposes an alarm correlation rules generation algorithm based on the confidence covered value.Confidence covered value method can judge whether a rule is redundant or not scientific After the rules that based on weighted frequent patterns(WFPs) generated,the association rules were deleted by the confidence covered value,in order to delete the redundant rules and keep the rules with more information.Experiments show that the alarm correlation rules generation algorithm based on the confidence covered value has higher efficiency than the traditional method,and can effectively remove redundant rules.Thus it is very suitable for telecommunication alarm association rules processing.展开更多
文摘园区微能源网在波动的电力现货价格下常面临调度成本的不确定性,易造成额外的损失成本。然而,常用的随机优化手段——典型场景规划、条件风险价值(condition value at risk,CVaR)存在忽略场景合并损失及置信度主观选值的问题。为此,提出兼顾场景相似度与合并损失下的改进场景缩减优化方法,提取典型市场场景集,将场景缩减后的损失度作为置信度的选值依据,形成改进CVaR日前经济调度模型。算例分析表明,基于场景缩减优化引导置信度选值的方法有效促使CVaR值反映实际调度的损失成本,且较主观选值而言更接近理论最低的尾部风险损失,即表明园区微能源网的日前经济调度成本与实际环境更为接近,并进一步讨论了考虑风电不确定性及其他场景缩减方案下的模型推广性。
基金Project of Sichuan Provincial Department of Education,China(No.13Z215)the Foundation of Scientific Research of Chengdu University of Information Technology,China(No.J201405)+1 种基金the Project of Sichuan Provincial Department of Science and Technology,China(No.2015JY0047)the Open Research Subject of Key Laboratory of Signal and Information Processing,China(No.szjj 2015-070)
文摘In communication alarm correlation analysis,traditional association rules generation(ARG) algorithm usually has low efficiency and high error rate.This paper proposes an alarm correlation rules generation algorithm based on the confidence covered value.Confidence covered value method can judge whether a rule is redundant or not scientific After the rules that based on weighted frequent patterns(WFPs) generated,the association rules were deleted by the confidence covered value,in order to delete the redundant rules and keep the rules with more information.Experiments show that the alarm correlation rules generation algorithm based on the confidence covered value has higher efficiency than the traditional method,and can effectively remove redundant rules.Thus it is very suitable for telecommunication alarm association rules processing.