Estimation of conservation value of myrtle(Myrtus communis)using a contingent valuation method:a case study in a Dooreh forest area,Lorestan Province,Iran

Background： Around 2000 plant species occur naturally in Lorestan Province of which 250 species are medicinal and myrtle is one of them. Myrtle is a shrub whose leaves and fruits have medicinal value and thus, if managed and harvested properly, could produce sustained economic benefits. In recent years, however, over half of the myrtle site areas was destroyed, due to inappropriate management and excessive harvesting practices. Thus, coming up with a practical harvesting approach along with identifying those factors damaging the sites, seems to be very crucial. Methods： In our investigation, we calculated the conservation value per hectare of myrtle in the Dooreh forest area in Lorestan Province. Using the Contingent Valuation （CV） and Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice （DBDC） methods, we determined the willingness to pay （VVTP） for myrtle conservation. The VVTP was estimated with a Iogit model for which indices were obtained based on a maximum precision criterion. Results： The results showed that 86.67 per cent of people were willing to pay for the conservation of these myrtle sites. Average monthly WTP per family was calculated as $0.79. The annual conservation value in terms of WTP for the preservation of the myrtle sites in Dooreh was estimated as $102,525. Among the variables of the model presented, education had a positive impact, while the amount proposed for payment and family size had a negative impact on the WTP. Conclusions： Our estimate of the value of myrtle conservation should provide justification for policy makers and decision making bodies of natural resources to implement policies in order to conserve the natural sites of this species more effectively.

Measuring Recreational Value of World Heritage Sites Based on Contingent Valuation Method:A Case Study of Jiuzhaigou

World heritage possesses various kinds of use value and non-use value. Measuring the recreational value of world heritage sites is a key issue in the heritage tourism. This paper employs Contingent Valuation Method (CVM), which is an evaluation instrument on the basis of tourists′ attitude and preference, to measure the recreational value of Jiuzhaigou, one of the World Natural Heritage sites in China, and analyzes the biases in the survey. The results show that: 1) In 2009, Jiuzhaigou′s recreational value was 3.46×108 yuan (RMB), and the per capita Willingness to Pay (WTP) was 137.31 yuan by CVM. Compared with the results of other methods, this result is significantly low. 2) Among the factors that influence Jiuzhaigou tourists′ WTP, psychological perception factors have the greatest effect while demographic and socio-economic characteristics have a small effect on WTP. 3) The virtuality in CVM creates biases both from CVM itself and in the procedures that CVM was implemented. The former includes hypothetical bias, information bias, protest response bias, and strategic bias; and the latter includes the questionnaire design, population and sample definition, sampling and data processing. The paper analyses those biases and illustrates their potential in-fluences on the accuracy of CVM measurement. 4) Although there are various defects in CVM measurement, it is still an effective valuation method.

Arbitrage-free interval of American contingent claims under proportional transaction cost

In a general continuous-time market model with proportional transaction costs, we derive the range of arbitrage-free prices of American contingent claims. Using a martingale approach, we obtain the upper and the lower hedging price of American contingent claims.

The Application of Contingent Value Method in Forest Recreational Value Evaluation of Nature Reserve

Through the survey of National Nature Reserve of Tianmu Mountain,based on relevant data of tourists of Tianmu Mountain over the years,the paper had analyzed some problems about the application of contingent value method(CVM) in forest recreational value evaluation.Then,it had evaluated the forest recreational value of National Nature Reserve of Tianmu Mountain in 2007 and obtained evaluation results.Through the statistics of tourists' payment targets,it had calculated the payment value of each function of Tianmu Nature Reserve.The functions were appreciating landscape,exercising,visiting historical sites,photographing,scientific research,picnic and camping,and religion ranking in order from higher to lower value.In terms of nonuse value,existence value was slightly higher than option value and heritage value.It could be known from above research that Tianmu Mountain had great tourism development potential.Finally,it had proposed some suggestions for publicity,project setting and artificial landscape construction.

Development of contingent valuation method in evaluating non-market values of resources and environment in China

The contingent valuation method （CVM） is one of the main methods for evaluating non-market values of resources. It originated in the United States and was introduced into China during the 1980s and 1990s. However, application of CVM in China is highly controversial based on three primary aspects： （I） the appropriate guidelines for CVM; （2） the elicitation techniques for willingness to pay （WTP）; and （3） reliability and validity testing of CVM. The major objectives of this paper are to i^eview the recem devel- opments pertaining to guidelines, elicitation techniques, and reliability and validity testing for application of CVM, and to summa- rize the limitations of and measures for improving application of CVM in China. The applicability of CVM in China is discussed to enhance the future development of CVM in China.

The Domination for Evaluation of the Contingent Claims by Nonlinear Generator

In this paper,through applying the result of backward stochastic differential equations,it investigates a domination for pricing of the contingent claims by the use of nonlinear infinitesimal generator of process X. This domination provides a guide for valuing the price of the position on the financial market.

The Combined Application of WTP and WTA in Contingent Valuation Methods

The In most contingent valuation (CV) studies, WTP (Willingness to pay) and WTA (Willingness to accept) were often used separately, so protesting or no response or even babbling answers are increasing, and the debate persists over the reliability of CV in economic policy analysis. In order to improve the reliability of CV, WTP and WTA is used syn-chronously to estimate the restoration cost of Maqu grassland ecosystem. Data were partly from questionnaire survey, and partly from interviews and authorities. Before conclusions were derived, we assumed these data that came from interviews and authorities were right. The main result is: If we assumed that the degraded grassland of Maqu needs 10 years to be restored, and divided the restoring period into two stages, then the restoration cost was 0.85 × 108 RMB per year in former 4 years, 0.022 × 108 RMB per year in latter 6 years. The total cost of Maqu grassland restoration was 3.62 × 108 RMB. For all the costs of restoration, WTA occupied 94% and WTP only occupied 6%, suggesting that local grassland degradation was mainly caused by overgrazing and that the overloading livestock must be eliminated in order to achieve restoration successfully. Our research also showed that combining WTP and WTA in contingent valuation is very useful in estimating the cost of environmental improvement projects. Of course, whether these results are right or not, further researches are needed in the future, especially for the actual number of livestock in Maqu grassland.

The Contingent Valuation Method for Thessaloniki＇s Aesthetic Pollution in Greece

The purpose of this study is to provide an evaluation of the possible criteria used by the people of Thessaloniki for the evaluation of public goods and the investigation of the benefits of the conservation and restoration of city structures affected by carbon monoxide. These benefits are expressed in monetary units by using the CVM （Contingent Valuation Method）. The maintenance of the urban environment often entails excessive costs paid by the people through taxation. A city free of aesthetic pollution results in an increase in tourism. A portion of taxation paid by the citizens is allocated to cleaning the city. An increase in tourism provides the government with additional revenue through VAT （Value Added Taxes）. The main findings show that in a large proportion, 28% of the interviewees are willing to pay, but those that are willing to pay significant amounts tend to prefer mild interventions to the buildings, while those （42%） that agree with minimal to null amount demand radical intervention. The latter group, also, considers any contribution of theirs to restoration as unfair, judging that this expenditure should be covered exclusively by the State. Last but not least, from a sociopsychological point of view, this attitude could be attributed to extreme personalities which tend to prefer more holistic and direct solutions （i.e., no mixed strategy involving people and the State is acceptable by interviewees who considered themselves as having no further obligations after regular tax-paying）; as a result, they think that the State is exclusively responsible to resolve the situation.

The Opportunity Cost as a Critical Determinant Factor of the Cultural Heritage Monuments＇ Valuation： A Modified Contingent Valuation Method

The subject of this study, which involves two surveys, is to estimate externalities created round a cultural heritage preservation site by means of a CVM （Contingent Valuation Method）. The first survey was conducted for the ruins of ancient ＂Diolkos＂ located in Isthmus of Corinth, Greece using a sample of 200 soldiers. The second survey was conducted for the ancient theater of Lefkada, using a sample of 100 tourists mad locals. The results have been analyzed with Logit model regression. The findings show that willingness to pay （or participate） is strongly affected by opportunity cost and awareness of the site＇s history. Further, income level and education level play a critical role in developing volunteering activity.

Pointwise Convergence of a Nonparametric Estimator of Regression in a Measurable Space Used in Contingent Valuation Method

The Contingent Valuation Method is used to evaluate individual preferences for a change concerning a public non-market resource or property. The objective is to build a nonparametric forecasting model of an individual＇s Willingness To Pay according to geographical location. Within this framework, an estimator （of type Nadaraya-Watson） is proposed for the regression of the variable related to geolocation. The specific characteristics of the location variable lead us to a more general regression model than the traditional models. Results are established for convergence of our estimator.

Estimating the value of a statistical life in China: A contingent valuation study in six representative cities

The value of a statistical life(VSL)is a crucial tool for monetizing health impacts.To explore the VSL in China,this study examines people’s willingness to pay(WTP)to reduce death risk from air pollution in six representative cities in China based on face-to-face contingent valuation interviews(n=3936)from March 7,2019 to September 30,2019.The results reveal that the WTP varied from CNY 455 to 763 in 2019(USD 66-111),corresponding to a VSL range of CNY 3.79-6.36 million(USD 549395-921940).The VSL in China in 2019 is estimated to be CNY 4.76 million(USD 689659).The statistics indicate that monthly expenditure levels,environmental concerns,risk attitudes,and assumed market acceptance,which have seldom been dis‐cussed in previous studies,significantly impact WTP and VSL.These findings will serve as a reference for ana‐lyzing mortality risk reduction benefits in future research and for policymaking.

考虑次生故障差异化影响下韧性主动提升的输电系统网架重构策略

近年来,我国能源电力加速转型,极端自然灾害频发,国际形势不稳定,使得常规安全风险与非常规安全风险交织,大停电风险有增加的趋势。稳健可靠的网架重构方案对防止恢复中再次发生系统崩溃具有重要意义,针对当前研究中未有效计及恢复中次生故障的不足,该文提出一种考虑次生故障差异化影响下系统韧性主动提升的网架重构策略。首先,讨论在网架重构恢复方案中考虑次生故障影响的必要性;然后,基于分割多目标风险分析方法提出一种系统韧性指标,旨在差异化处理次生故障并突出高风险故障对恢复过程的影响;进一步建立考虑韧性主动提升的网架重构全局优化模型,以增强系统对高风险故障的抵御能力。为提高模型的求解效率,提出一种基于窗口滚动机制的求解策略,可给出兼顾快速性与稳健性的网架重构方案。最后,采用新英格兰10机39节点系统和IEEE 118节点系统验证所提出方法的有效性。

基于空间距离效应的青岛市浒苔治理支付意愿研究

支付意愿的空间属性是影响环境物品估值效度的主要因素之一,忽略对空间距离的考量可能导致最终资源环境物品或服务的货币估值产生偏差。文章以青岛市海域浒苔灾害为研究对象,使用条件价值评估法,构建支付意愿函数模型,测算受访者距青岛市海边的距离,探索浒苔治理支付意愿是否存在距离衰减现象;通过划分不同的距离区,测算不同距离区内公众浒苔治理支付意愿,最终汇总得出浒苔治理带来的经济价值。研究结果显示:公众浒苔治理支付意愿“距离衰减”效应明显,距离海边较近的公众倾向于为治理浒苔支付较高的金额;青岛市浒苔治理总经济价值为9.84亿元/a;不考虑距离衰减效应最终导致浒苔治理经济价值的高估达27.03%。研究结论可为空间尺度上的非市场价值评估提供新的研究思路和科学参考,不仅提高了条件价值评估法估值结果的有效性,也提供了更加精准的青岛市浒苔治理经济价值估值。

基于TCIA和CVM的皇家园林游憩价值评估研究——以北京市颐和园为例

运用科学方法评估皇家园林游憩价值对旅游资源的有效保护与合理利用具有重要意义。通过对北京市颐和园皇家园林运用旅行费用区间法(TCIA)和条件价值法(CVM)进行评估,得出以下结论:1)从使用价值来看,旅游者实际旅行费用>旅游消费者剩余,颐和园皇家园林在游憩资源利用方面已经基本满足了游客的体验需求,但仍有提升空间;2)从非使用价值的角度来看,存在价值最高,其次为遗产价值,最后为选择价值,游憩非使用价值量居于中上等水平。由于游客对皇家园林的保护意识存在显著差异,导致人均WTP也有所不同;3)从综合角度来看,颐和园皇家园林的游憩使用价值远大于非使用价值,说明颐和园皇家园林的游憩资源非使用价值并未得到充分利用,仍有很大的挖掘潜力;4)从两种方法的适用性来看,TCIA和CVM方法适用于与颐和园相似的皇家园林的游憩价值评估。

老旧小区绿色化改造居民支付意愿影响因素研究——基于赣州市8个小区的调查数据

从老旧小区绿色化改造主体的视角出发,选取个体特征、项目及政策感知三个层面的因素,运用条件价值评估法结合Logistic回归模型,基于赣州市8个小区的调查数据,研究居民对老旧小区绿色化改造支付意愿及其影响因素。研究发现:个体特征层面,74.08%的受访居民具有支付意愿,支付意愿的均值为403.93元,居民的支付意愿与其年龄呈负相关,与居住时长、月均收入呈正相关;项目层面,绿色建筑、配套设施及综合服务的改造对居民支付意愿均有正向影响;政策感知层面,政策认同、政策补贴及政策宣传均正向影响居民支付意愿。其中,配套设施的改造与居民政策认同是影响居民支付意愿的关键因素。

粮食补贴政策的运行机制与改革逻辑——基于不确定性状态依存方法的解释

从种粮主体视角出发,引入劳动市场收入跨度概念,基于空间向量和不确定性状态依存方法构建了粮食补贴政策运行机制与改革逻辑的理论分析框架。基于该理论框架发现:(1)粮食补贴政策的核心作用之一是为粮食产业吸引较高技能禀赋的种粮者;(2)不同类型粮食补贴都会被当成收入性补贴,其产生的收入效应会起到扩大粮食种植面积和促进粮食科技进步的作用。因此应从政策空间、政策目标和政策弹性3个维度改革完善我国粮食补贴政策:一是进一步聚焦政策目标,提高技能型经营主体种粮意愿;二是充分发挥政策乘数效应,补贴聚焦产业链中后端;三是着力优化政策响应机制,抓住信息技术革命契机。

基于条件价值评估法的肠道准备药物支付意愿调查

目的了解患者对肠道准备药物的支付意愿水平并估算支付意愿(WTP)阈值,为促进合理用药提供参考。方法以二分式条件价值评估法设计调查问卷;对数据进行描述性统计,计算累计频度中位值作为平均WTP,并基于年龄段、就诊医疗机构级别等特征变量进行亚组分析。结果患者平均WTP为264.55元/1%。亚组中30~40岁、东北地区、就诊三级医疗机构,个人年收入>35万元和家庭年收入>60万元的患者所在组别的平均WTP较大。结论本次调查估算的WTP值可为肠道准备药物的成本-效果分析提供阈值参考。二分式条件价值评估法能有效引导患者给出真实的支付意愿。一般而言,患者就诊医疗机构级别、收入水平越高,其WTP越高,实际应用时可结合人群特征适当调整该阈值。

云南省野生动物肇事补偿现状及对策研究

云南省野生动物肇事频发,收集2014—2020年云南省野生动物公众责任险理赔等数据,结合州(市)肇事野生动物物种数据进行量化分析,比较分析陕西、贵州、甘肃、吉林等省关于补偿范围、补偿标准、财政负担等野生动物肇事补偿办法的规定。现阶段云南补偿工作仍存在着补偿范围有限、标准不一、程序复杂、经费不足等问题,结合现有国家补偿政策建议从健全法律法规、加大普法宣传、加强多学科研究、拓宽经费来源、简化申请流程等方面进行提升。

意愿调查法下村寨民族文化旅游资源补偿标准测算——以贵州肇兴侗寨为例

制定科学的民族文化旅游资源补偿标准是有效落实民族文化补偿机制、全面推进文旅融合与乡村旅游可持续发展的重要前提。运用意愿调查法测算民族文化补偿标准,采用R语言分析补偿标准的影响因素,通过水平均值图观测各因素影响程度。研究发现:村寨民族文化的供给方认为应当对民族文化进行补偿;同时,民族文化的需求方有积极的补偿意愿;文化需求方的补偿资金完全能够覆盖供给方的求偿需求。研究结果进一步证实了民族文化补偿的必要性、可行性且契合利益相关主体意愿,而补偿标准的测算解答了文化补偿机制中“补多少”的核心问题。

Preserving environmental quality of ecotourism sites through community participation in Purulia District of West Bengal,India

The importance of valuing environmental resources,especially in ecotourism sites,has become increasingly important over the last two decades.Ecotourism is now considered as an important source of livelihood of local stakeholders in backward regions.Therefore,the preservation of ecotourism sites through community participation seems very important to maintain continued flow of tourists.This study aimed at recognizing the importance of community participation for the preservation of ecotourism sites.For this,this study executed a survey based on non-probability sampling in two ecotourism sites(Garpanchkot and Baranti)covering 100 respondents in Purulia District,West Bengal of India.The central issue of this study was to assess the tendency of community participation for the conservation of ecotourism sites and find the optimum condition for offering participatory labour time.This study showed that the participation of young people is high,and the majority of respondents are aware of the importance in protecting ecotourism sites.Because respondents were too poor to offer money,the contingent valuation method(CVM)was used to elicit their willingness to pay(WTP)participatory labour time for the conservation of ecotourism sites.Respondents’age,income,education level,caste,and their perceived environmental quality had significant relationship with their WTP participatory labour time by applying the ordinary least square(OLS)model.It was found that the mean WTP participatory labour time of each respondent in a month is approximately 3.64 h.The significance of this study is that community participation can improve the sense of belonging,trust,and credibility of ecotourism sites,making them more appreciative of the value and protection of these sites.