Computer simulation models are widely applied in various areas of the health care sector, including the spread of infectious diseases. Patch models involve explicit movements of people between distinct locations. The ...Computer simulation models are widely applied in various areas of the health care sector, including the spread of infectious diseases. Patch models involve explicit movements of people between distinct locations. The aim of the present work has been designed and explored a patch model with population mobility between different patches and between each patch and an external population. The authors considered a SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) scheme. The model was explored by computer simulations. The results show how endemic levels are reached in all patches of the system. Furthermore, the performed explorations suggest that the people mobility between patches, the immigration from outside the system and the infection rate in each patch, are factors that may influence the dynamics of epidemics and should be considered in health policy planning.展开更多
Regular and extensive social population mobility in natural economy is neither necessary nor possible while in a planned economic system, social population distribution is necessary but social population mobility is u...Regular and extensive social population mobility in natural economy is neither necessary nor possible while in a planned economic system, social population distribution is necessary but social population mobility is unlikely. Modern market economy as a highly mobile economy has a free-mobile population characteristic of market economy, which is fundamental to optimize human resource distribution. The rule for the modern market-based population movement is as follows: If the mobile population is the rational behavior choosers, under the permissive developmental environment as arranged by the social system, they tend to move from low profit-making fields to high income fields when there exists comparable difference of income in different regions and different industries, and various potential and practical profit-making chances. The degree of difference in comparable income is positively co-relative to the velocity and flux of mobile population.展开更多
Mobile young white-collar workers not only have the characteristics of mobile young people,but also have the characteristics of general white-collar workers.Under the influence of both,their mental health may be suffe...Mobile young white-collar workers not only have the characteristics of mobile young people,but also have the characteristics of general white-collar workers.Under the influence of both,their mental health may be suffering from“double disadvantage”.So,based on an ecological model of the stress process,this paper tries to use the data of the questionnaire on the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers in Zhejiang Province to explore the influence of some factors in the middle workplace and residence place on the mental health of micro individuals.The results show that:(1)The working environment with high control and low freedom and the workplace discrimination against the mobile status will have a negative impact on the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers;(2)Financial anxiety in daily life will lead to a decline in the mental health level of mobile young white-collar workers;(3)Good organizational support and neighborhood social relations can significantly relieve life pressure,so as to effectively improve the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers.It can be seen that we also need to pay more attention to the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers in order to improve their situation.展开更多
Real-time monitoring and forecast of large scale active population density is of great significance as it can warn and prevent possible public safety accident caused by abnormal population aggregation.Active populatio...Real-time monitoring and forecast of large scale active population density is of great significance as it can warn and prevent possible public safety accident caused by abnormal population aggregation.Active population is defined as the number of people with their mobile phone powered on.Recently,an unfortunate deadly stampede occurred in Shanghai on December 31th 2014 causing the death of 39 people.We hope that our research can help avoid similar unfortunate accident from happening.In this paper we propose a method for active population density real-time monitoring and forecasting based on data from mobile network operators.Our method is based solely on mobile network operators existing infrastructure and barely requires extra investment,and mobile devices play a very limited role in the process of population locating.Four series forecasting methods,namely Simple Exponential Smoothing(SES),Double exponential smoothing(DES),Triple exponential smoothing(TES)and Autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)are used in our experiments.Our experimental results suggest that we can achieve good forecast result for 135 min in future.展开更多
Mobility restriction measures were the main tools to control the spread of COVID-19,but the extent to which the mobility has decreased remained unsure.We investigated the change in local population mobility and its co...Mobility restriction measures were the main tools to control the spread of COVID-19,but the extent to which the mobility has decreased remained unsure.We investigated the change in local population mobility and its correlation with COVID-19 infections,using 1185 billion aggregated mobile phone data records in nine main cities in China from 10 January to 24 February 2020.The mobility fell by as much as 79.57%compared to the normal days in 2020 and by 58.13%compared to the same lunar period in 2019.The daily incidence of COVID-19 was significantly correlated with local daily mobility(R2=0.77,P<0.001).The instantaneous reproduction number R(t)declined by 3%when mobility was reduced by 10%in the GLM analysis(P<0.05).Our study indicated that the decreased mobility level,driven by a mixture effect of holiday and public health interventions,could substantially reduce the transmission of COVID-19 to a low level.Our study could provide evidence of mobility restriction to control local transmission for other places facing COVID-19 outbreaks or potential next waves.展开更多
When mobility becomes the new normal for behavior and cognition, it's time to rethink international culture mobility and culture products. Singular thinking on mobility and culture products, staying at the level o...When mobility becomes the new normal for behavior and cognition, it's time to rethink international culture mobility and culture products. Singular thinking on mobility and culture products, staying at the level of economy and trade has affected our decision making with respect to culture product innovation and possible thinking on future value creation. Indian anthropologist Arjun Appadurai divides cross-border culture mobility into five global spaces and Stephen Greenblatt, literature historian with Harvard University, puts forward five dimensions of culture mobility that provide a direction for fully understanding international culture mobility. In the era of globalization, rethinking the concept of a nation's culture products means studies of generational possibilities and the vitality of the Chinese culture products from perspectives of immigration, technology, economy, culture and politics among the new context of international culture mobility.展开更多
文摘Computer simulation models are widely applied in various areas of the health care sector, including the spread of infectious diseases. Patch models involve explicit movements of people between distinct locations. The aim of the present work has been designed and explored a patch model with population mobility between different patches and between each patch and an external population. The authors considered a SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) scheme. The model was explored by computer simulations. The results show how endemic levels are reached in all patches of the system. Furthermore, the performed explorations suggest that the people mobility between patches, the immigration from outside the system and the infection rate in each patch, are factors that may influence the dynamics of epidemics and should be considered in health policy planning.
文摘Regular and extensive social population mobility in natural economy is neither necessary nor possible while in a planned economic system, social population distribution is necessary but social population mobility is unlikely. Modern market economy as a highly mobile economy has a free-mobile population characteristic of market economy, which is fundamental to optimize human resource distribution. The rule for the modern market-based population movement is as follows: If the mobile population is the rational behavior choosers, under the permissive developmental environment as arranged by the social system, they tend to move from low profit-making fields to high income fields when there exists comparable difference of income in different regions and different industries, and various potential and practical profit-making chances. The degree of difference in comparable income is positively co-relative to the velocity and flux of mobile population.
基金the National Social Science Fund of China(Grant No.20BTJ005).
文摘Mobile young white-collar workers not only have the characteristics of mobile young people,but also have the characteristics of general white-collar workers.Under the influence of both,their mental health may be suffering from“double disadvantage”.So,based on an ecological model of the stress process,this paper tries to use the data of the questionnaire on the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers in Zhejiang Province to explore the influence of some factors in the middle workplace and residence place on the mental health of micro individuals.The results show that:(1)The working environment with high control and low freedom and the workplace discrimination against the mobile status will have a negative impact on the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers;(2)Financial anxiety in daily life will lead to a decline in the mental health level of mobile young white-collar workers;(3)Good organizational support and neighborhood social relations can significantly relieve life pressure,so as to effectively improve the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers.It can be seen that we also need to pay more attention to the mental health of mobile young white-collar workers in order to improve their situation.
文摘Real-time monitoring and forecast of large scale active population density is of great significance as it can warn and prevent possible public safety accident caused by abnormal population aggregation.Active population is defined as the number of people with their mobile phone powered on.Recently,an unfortunate deadly stampede occurred in Shanghai on December 31th 2014 causing the death of 39 people.We hope that our research can help avoid similar unfortunate accident from happening.In this paper we propose a method for active population density real-time monitoring and forecasting based on data from mobile network operators.Our method is based solely on mobile network operators existing infrastructure and barely requires extra investment,and mobile devices play a very limited role in the process of population locating.Four series forecasting methods,namely Simple Exponential Smoothing(SES),Double exponential smoothing(DES),Triple exponential smoothing(TES)and Autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)are used in our experiments.Our experimental results suggest that we can achieve good forecast result for 135 min in future.
基金financial support from National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42171400,71961137003,82103945]Research on Prevention and Control of COVID-19 in Guangdong Education Department[grant number 2020KZDZX1171]+2 种基金Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong[grant number 2021A1515011324]Natural Resources of Guangdong[grant number 202325]Shenzhen Science and Technology Innovation Commission[grant number JCYJ20190808174209308].
文摘Mobility restriction measures were the main tools to control the spread of COVID-19,but the extent to which the mobility has decreased remained unsure.We investigated the change in local population mobility and its correlation with COVID-19 infections,using 1185 billion aggregated mobile phone data records in nine main cities in China from 10 January to 24 February 2020.The mobility fell by as much as 79.57%compared to the normal days in 2020 and by 58.13%compared to the same lunar period in 2019.The daily incidence of COVID-19 was significantly correlated with local daily mobility(R2=0.77,P<0.001).The instantaneous reproduction number R(t)declined by 3%when mobility was reduced by 10%in the GLM analysis(P<0.05).Our study indicated that the decreased mobility level,driven by a mixture effect of holiday and public health interventions,could substantially reduce the transmission of COVID-19 to a low level.Our study could provide evidence of mobility restriction to control local transmission for other places facing COVID-19 outbreaks or potential next waves.
基金a staged research result of"Studies in the Rural Ethics of China"[15ZDB014]a major program of National Social Sciences Fund
文摘When mobility becomes the new normal for behavior and cognition, it's time to rethink international culture mobility and culture products. Singular thinking on mobility and culture products, staying at the level of economy and trade has affected our decision making with respect to culture product innovation and possible thinking on future value creation. Indian anthropologist Arjun Appadurai divides cross-border culture mobility into five global spaces and Stephen Greenblatt, literature historian with Harvard University, puts forward five dimensions of culture mobility that provide a direction for fully understanding international culture mobility. In the era of globalization, rethinking the concept of a nation's culture products means studies of generational possibilities and the vitality of the Chinese culture products from perspectives of immigration, technology, economy, culture and politics among the new context of international culture mobility.